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Severely bleeding trauma patients requiring massive transfusion (MT) often experience poor outcomes. Our purpose was to determine the potential role of near infrared spectrometry derived tissue hemoglobin oxygen saturation (StO2) monitoring in early prediction of MT, and in the identification of those MT patients who will have poor outcomes.Data from a prospective multi-institution StO2 monitoring study were analyzed to determine the current epidemiology of MT (defined as transfusion volume/=10 units packed red blood cells in 24 hours of hospitalization). Multivariate logistic regression was used to develop prediction models.Seven US level I trauma centers (TC) enrolled 383 patients. 114 (30%) required MT. MT progressed rapidly (40% exceeded MT threshold 2 hours after TC arrival, 80% after 6 hours). One third of MT patients died. Two thirds of deaths were due to early exsanguination and two thirds of early exsanguination patients died within 6 hours. One third of the early MT survivors developed multiple organ dysfunction syndrome. MT could be predicted with standard, readily available clinical data within 30 minutes and 60 minutes of TC arrival (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve = 0.78 and 0.80). In patients who required MT, StO2 was the only consistent predictor of poor outcome (multiple organ dysfunction syndrome or death).MT progresses rapidly to significant morbidity and mortality despite level I TC care. Patients who require MT can be predicted early, and persistent low StO2 identifies those MT patients destined to have poor outcome. The ultimate goal is to identify these high risk patients as early as possible to test new strategies to improve outcome. Further validation studies are needed to analyze appropriate allocation and study appropriate use of damage control interventions.

Near-infrared spectroscopy (NIRS) can continuously and noninvasively monitor tissue oxygen saturation (StO2) in muscle and may be an indicator of shock severity. Our purpose was to evaluate how well StO2 predicted outcome in high-risk torso trauma patients presenting in shock.The primary outcome in this prospective study was multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS). StO2 data were obtained upon hospital arrival and for 24 hours along with other known predictors of hypoperfusion and clinical outcomes. Clinicians were blinded to StO2 measurements.Seven Level I trauma centers enrolled 383 patients, 50 of whom developed MODS. Minimum StO2 performed similarly to maximum base deficit (BD) in discrimination of MODS patients. The sensitivity for both measures (StO2 cutoff = 75%; BD cutoff = 6 mEq/L) was 78%, the specificity was 34% to 39%, the positive predictive value was 18% to 20% and the negative predictive value was 88% to 91%. StO2 and BD were also comparable in predicting death.NIRS-derived muscle StO2 measurements perform similarly to BD in identifying poor perfusion and predicting the development of MODS or death after severe torso trauma, yet have the additional advantages of being continuous and noninvasive.