1. Does weak enforcement deter tax progressivity?
- Author
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Rubolino, Enrico
- Subjects
Tax rates ,Taxpayer compliance ,Tax evasion ,Local government ,Tax collection ,Underground economy ,Property tax ,Business ,Economics ,Government - Abstract
Keywords Tax enforcement; Tax evasion; Local taxes; Tax progressivity Highlights * I study the impact of stricter tax enforcement on local taxes set by Italian municipalities. * I take advantage of cross-municipality variation in stricter tax enforcement generated by the Ghost Buildings Program. * Stricter tax enforcement raises statutory tax progressivity on both income and property tax rates. * Larger tax collections increase public spending. Abstract In contexts with weak enforcement, the threat of tax evasion may constrain policy makers' power to set tax policies optimally. This paper studies whether stricter tax enforcement affects the tax schedule set by local governments. I take advantage of an Italian policy that generated cross-municipality variation in the scope for tackling income and property tax evasion through stricter tax enforcement. Combining an event-study design with municipality-level panel data on statutory tax rates, I show that stricter tax enforcement tips the balance in favor of higher marginal tax rates for middle and top incomes, while the poor benefit of a lower marginal tax rate. The tax hike is larger in places with higher pre-program inequality and where intrinsic tax compliance attitudes are weaker. As a result of higher tax revenue, municipalities hire more workers and raise public spending. These results suggest that tax enforcement policies have not only the power to foster tax capacity, but also to enhance the ability to pursue redistributive policies. Author Affiliation: University of Lausanne, Department of Economics and Business, Switzerland Article History: Received 22 April 2022; Revised 23 January 2023; Accepted 23 January 2023 (footnote)[white star] I would like to thank the editor, Ricardo Perez-Truglia, for his guidance and three anonymous reviewers for their helpful comments. The paper also benefited from discussions and comments from Mike Brewer, Marius Brülhart, Ben Meiselman, Andreas Mueller, Alari Paulus, Morten Ravn, Emmanuel Saez, Ugo Troiano and participants at TARC Conference (University of Exeter, April 2019), Shadow Economy Conference (University of Trento, July 2019), NTA Conference (Tampa, November 2019), University of Essex (February 2020), IIPF virtual Conference (August 2020), EEA virtual Congress (August 2020), SIEP Conference (September 2021) for providing constructive comments. Thanks also to Franco Maggio and Giovanni Reina from the Internal Revenue Agency (Agenzia delle Entrate) and Pasquale Recano from the Ministry of Interior (Ministero dell' Interno) for data assistance. All errors are mine. Byline: Enrico Rubolino [enrico.rubolino@unil.ch]
- Published
- 2023
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