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Background Emergency medical services (EMS) response volume has been linked to weather and temporal factors in a regional EMS system. We aimed to identify if models of EMS utilization incorporating these data are generalizable through geographically disparate areas in the United States. Methods We performed a retrospective analysis of EMS dispatch data from four regions: New York City, San Francisco, Cincinnati, and Marin County for years 2016–2019. For each model, we used local weather data summarized from the prior 6 h into hourly bins. Our outcome for each model was EMS dispatches as count data. We fit and optimized a negative binomial regression model for each region, to estimate incidence rate ratios. We compared findings to a prior study performed in Western Pennsylvania. Results We included 5,940,637 EMS dispatches from New York City, 809,405 from San Francisco, 260,412 from Cincinnati, and 77,461 from Marin County. Models demonstrated consistency with the Western Pennsylvania model with respect to temperature, season, wind speed, dew point, and time of day; both in terms of direction and effect size when expressed as incidence rate ratios. Precipitation was associated with increasing dispatches in the New York City, Cincinnati, and Marin County models, but not the San Francisco model. Conclusion With minor differences, regional models demonstrated consistent associations between dispatches and time and weather variables. Findings demonstrate the generalizability of associations between these variables with respect to EMS use. Weather and temporal factors should be considered in predictive modeling to optimize EMS staffing and resource allocation.

Introduction The use of Emergency Medical Services (EMS) for low-acuity pediatric problems is well documented. Attempts have been made to curb potentially unnecessary transports, including using EMS dispatch protocols, shown to predict acuity and needs of adults. However, there are limited data about this in children. The primary objective of this study is to determine the pediatric emergency department (PED) resource utilization (surrogate of acuity level) for pediatric patients categorized as “low-acuity” by initial EMS protocols. Methods Records of all pediatric patients classified as “low acuity” and transported to a PED in winter and summer of 2010 were reviewed. Details of the PED visit were recorded. Patients were categorized and compared based on chief complaint group. Resource utilization was defined as requiring any prescription medications, labs, procedures, consults, admission or transfer. “Under-triage” was defined as a “low-acuity” EMS transport subsequently requiring emergent interventions. Results Of the 876 eligible cases, 801 were included; 392/801 had no resource utilization while 409 of 801 had resource utilization. Most (737/801) were discharged to home; however, 64/801 were admitted, including 1 of 801 requiring emergent intervention (under-triage rate 0.12%). Gastroenterology and trauma groups had a significant increase in resource utilization, while infectious disease and ear-nose-throat groups had decreased resource utilization. Discussion While this EMS system did not well predict overall resource utilization, it safely identified most low-acuity patients, with a low under-triage rate. This study identifies subgroups of patients that could be managed without emergent transport and can be used to further refine current protocols or establish secondary triage systems.

Inappropriate use of emergency medical services (EMS) for nonemergencies strains EMS resources and limits efficiency. Protocol-driven dispatch systems attempt to correct the imbalance that exists between demand and available resources by prioritizing 911 calls. This study compared dispatch priority decisions with apparent patient need, based on emergency department (ED) presentation, by matching 320 ED charts with corresponding EMS dispatch and run information. The priorities assigned by the system based on dispatch information were compared with those assigned by a three-member panel of physicians based on ED presentation. The physicians and dispatchers agreed on the need for advanced life support (ALS) versus basic life support (BLS) transport 74% of the time. There was only 43% agreement on the more detailed 4-level classification system. The system assigned the highest level of dispatch utilizing combined ALS and first responders to a significantly greater degree than did the physicians. It was concluded that protocol systems for setting dispatch priorities utilize EMS resources to a higher degree than actually required based on ED presentation.