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Background: Despite the known association between frailty and postoperative morbidity, the use of preoperative frailty in surgical practice remains limited. We sought to develop a risk tool to predict postoperative increase in functional dependence., Methods: Patients of ≥65 years in the National Surgical Quality Improvement Project database who had a primary hepatopancreatic surgery between 2015 and 2019 were used to identify predictors of increased dependence and development of a simplified tool to calculate the risk stratification score for increased discharge care level (https://ktsahara.shinyapps.io/care&#95;discharge/)., Results: Among 31,338 patients who underwent primary hepatopancreatic surgery, 4,259 (13.6%) had an increased level of care at discharge compared to their preadmission care. Patients with increased discharge care had a higher proportion of patients with a modified frailty index of at least 2 (n = 1496; 35.1%) compared with individuals with unchanged care (n = 6,760; 25.0%). In addition, 12.3% (n = 3,858) were discharged to a skilled nursing or rehabilitation facility. Of note, the odds of increased care at discharge were increased by 1.41 (95% confidence interval: 1.32-1.50), 1.11 (95% confidence interval :1.11-1.12), and 1.95 (95% confidence interval:1.86-2.04) times with every unit increase in modified frailty index, age beyond 65 years, and the number of in-hospital complications, respectively. Area under receiver operative curve for the parsimonious model used to develop the risk calculator was 0.7486 (95% confidence interval: 0.7405-0.7566) (all P < .001)., Conclusion: Approximately, 1 in 7 patients required an increased level of care at the time of discharge compared with their preadmission status. A simplified web-based risk tool can be used in clinical practice as a surgical decision aid in post-discharge planning after complex elective surgery., (Copyright © 2022 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Prognostic stratification of patients with colorectal cancer liver metastasis based solely on tumor-related factors has only moderate discriminatory ability. We hypothesized that the inclusion of nontumor related factors can improve prediction of long-term prognosis of patients with colorectal cancer liver metastasis., Methods: Nontumor related laboratory markers were assessed utilizing a training cohort from 2 U.S. institutions (n = 1,205). Factors independently associated with prognosis were used to develop a nontumor related prognostic score. The discriminatory ability, assessed by Harrell's C-statistics (C-index) and net reclassification improvement, was validated and compared with 3 commonly used tumor-related clinical risk scores: Fong clinical risk scores, m-clinical risk scores, and Genetic and Morphological Evaluation (GAME) score in an external validation cohort from 5 Asian (n = 1,307) and 3 European (n = 1,058) institutions. The discriminatory ability of nontumor related prognostic score combined with each of these 3 tumor-related prognostic scores was also estimated., Results: Alkaline phosphatase (hazard ratio 1.43; 95% confidence interval, 1.11-1.84), albumin (hazard ratio 0.71; 95% confidence interval, 0.57-0.89), and mean corpuscular volume (hazard ratio 19.0, per log unit; 95% confidence interval, 4.79-75.0) were each independently associated with increased risk of death after resection of colorectal cancer liver metastasis (all P < .05). In turn, alkaline phosphatase, albumin, and mean corpuscular volume were combined to form a nontumor related prognostic score (2.942 × mean corpuscular volume + 0.399 × alkaline phosphatase-0.339 × albumin-12) × 10 (median, 16; range, 1-30). The nontumor related prognostic score had good-to-modest discriminatory ability in the external cohort (C-index = 0.58), which was comparable to the 3 established tumor-related prognostic scores (C-index: Fong clinical risk scores, 0.53, m-clinical risk scores, 0.55, GAME, 0.58). The addition of the nontumor related prognostic score to the tumor-related prognostic scores enhanced the discriminatory ability in the entire study cohort (C-index: nontumor related score+Fong, 0.60, nontumor related score+m-clinical risk scores, 0.61, nontumor related score+GAME, 0.64), as well reclassification improvement (42.5, 42.7%, and 21.2%, respectively)., Conclusion: Nontumor related prognostic information may help improve the prognostic stratification of patients after resection of colorectal cancer liver metastasis. The nontumor related prognostic score may be combined with tumor-related prognostic tools to enhance prognostic stratification of patients with colorectal cancer liver metastasis., (Copyright © 2022 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: The objective of this study was to assess trends in the use as well as the outcomes of patients undergoing simultaneous versus staged resection for synchronous colorectal liver metastases., Methods: Patients undergoing resection for colorectal liver metastases between 2008 and 2018 were identified using a multi-institutional database. Trends in use and outcomes of simultaneous resection of colorectal liver metastases were examined over time and compared with that of staged resection after propensity score matching., Results: Among 1,116 patients undergoing resection for colorectal liver metastases, 690 (61.8%) patients had synchronous disease. Among them, 314 (45.5%) patients underwent simultaneous resection, while 376 (54.5%) had staged resection. The proportion of patients undergoing simultaneous resection for synchronous colorectal liver metastases increased over time (2008: 37.2% vs 2018: 47.4%; p tre nd  = 0.02). After propensity score matching (n = 201 per group), patients undergoing simultaneous resection for synchronous colorectal liver metastases had a higher incidence of overall (44.8% vs 34.3%; P = .03) and severe complications (Clavien-Dindo ≥III) (16.9% vs 7.0%; P = .002) yet comparable 90-day mortality (3.5% vs 1.0%; P = .09) compared with patients undergoing staged resection. The incidence of severe morbidity decreased over time (2008: 50% vs 2018: 11.1%; p tren d  = 0.02). Survival was comparable among patients undergoing simultaneous versus staged resection of colorectal liver metastases (3-year overall survival: 66.1% vs 62.3%; P = .67). Following simultaneous resection, severe morbidity and mortality increased incrementally based on the extent of liver resection and complexity of colectomy., Conclusion: While simultaneous resection was associated with increased morbidity, the incidence of severe morbidity decreased over time. Long-term survival was comparable after simultaneous resection versus staged resection of colorectal liver metastases., (Copyright © 2021 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Although KRAS mutation status is known to affect the prognosis of patients with colorectal liver metastasis, the hierarchical association between other prognostic factors and KRAS status is not fully understood., Methods: Patients who underwent a hepatectomy for colorectal liver metastasis were identified in a multi-institutional international database. A classification and regression tree model was constructed to investigate the hierarchical association between prognostic factors and overall survival relative to KRAS status., Results: Among 1,123 patients, 29.9% (n = 336) had a KRAS mutation. Among wtKRAS patients, the classification and regression tree model identified presence of metastatic lymph nodes as the most important prognostic factor, whereas among mtKRAS patients, carcinoembryonic antigen level was identified as the most important prognostic factor. Among patients with wtKRAS, the highest 5-year overall survival (68.5%) was noted among patients with node negative primary colorectal cancer, solitary colorectal liver metastases, size <4.3 cm. In contrast, among patients with mtKRAS colorectal liver metastases, the highest 5-year overall survival (57.5%) was observed among patients with carcinoembryonic antigen <6 mg/mL. The classification and regression tree model had higher prognostic accuracy than the Fong score (wtKRAS [Akaike's Information Criterion]: classification and regression tree model 3334 vs Fong score 3341; mtKRAS [Akaike's Information Criterion]: classification and regression tree model 1356 vs Fong score 1396)., Conclusion: Machine learning methodology outperformed the traditional Fong clinical risk score and identified different factors, based on KRAS mutational status, as predictors of long-term prognosis., (Copyright © 2020 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Assessing composite measures of quality such as textbook outcome may be superior to focusing on individual parameters when evaluating hospital performance. The aim of the current study was to assess the impact of teaching hospital status on the occurrence of a textbook outcome after hepatopancreatic surgery., Methods: The Medicare Inpatient Standard Analytic Files were used to identify patients undergoing hepatopancreatic surgery from 2013 to 2015 for a malignant indication. Stratified and multivariable regression analyses were performed to determine the relationship between teaching hospital status, hospital surgical volume and textbook outcome., Results: Among 8,035 Medicare patients (hepatectomy; 41.8%, pancreatectomy; 58.2%), 6,196 (77.1%) patients underwent surgery at a major teaching hospital, whereas 1,839 (22.9%) patients underwent surgery at a minor teaching hospital. Patients undergoing surgery for pancreatic cancer at a major teaching hospital had a greater likelihood of achieving a textbook outcome compared with patients treated at a minor teaching hospital (minor teaching hospital: 456, 40% versus major teaching hospital: 1,606, 45.4%; P = .002). The likelihood of textbook outcome was also greater among patients undergoing hepatopancreatic surgery at high-volume centers (pancreas, low volume: 875, 40.5% versus high volume: 1,187, 47.1% P < .001; liver, low volume: 608, 41.8% versus high volume: 886, 46.6%; P = .005). When examining only major teaching hospitals, patients undergoing a pancreatectomy at a high-volume center had 29% greater odds of achieving a textbook outcome (odds ratio 1.29, 95% confidence interval 1.12-1.49). In contrast, among patients undergoing pancreatic resection at high-volume centers, the odds of achieving a textbook outcome was comparable among major versus minor teaching hospital (odds ratio 1.17, 95% confidence interval 0.89-1.53)., Conclusion: The odds of achieving a textbook outcome after pancreatic and hepatic surgery was greater at major versus minor teaching hospitals; however, this effect was largely mediated by hepatopancreatic procedural volume. Patients and payers should focus on regionalization of pancreatic and liver resection to high-volume centers in an effort to optimize the chances of achieving a textbook outcome., (Copyright © 2020 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Cholecystectomy is one of the most commonly performed operations in the United States, yet it still carries up to a 6% risk of major morbidity. Lawsuits are a major source of emotional, financial, and personal stress for surgeons. We sought to characterize malpractice claims associated with gallbladder surgery as well as define contributing factors and costs with these claims., Methods: The Westlaw database (Thomson Reuters Corporation, Toronto, Canada) was queried for jury verdicts and settlements related to cholecystectomy and malpractice between 2000 and 2018. Data were abstracted from the case files and details of the settlements, jury verdicts, and factors related to the claims were assessed., Results: Among 231 cases, a plaintiff verdict was reached in 45 (19.5%) and a defendant verdict was reached in 122 (53%); other cases were either settled (n = 29, 12%), dismissed (n = 31, 13%), or denied (n = 4, 2%). Plaintiff cases often involved young (median age, 44 years [interquartile range: 35-57]) female (n = 146, 63%) patients. The attending surgeon accounted for 59% of defendants. Procedural error (49%), wrongful death (18%), or failure to treat in a timely manner (13%) were the most commonly cited reasons for litigation. Among the 134 cases where a second surgical procedure was performed, the most common types of procedures were biliary tract repair (n = 82, 61%) and bowel repair (n = 16, 12%). The total cost of the claims over the study period was $22 million with a median payout of $500,000; the median time from operative event to final disposition was over 5 years (interquartile range: 4-7)., Conclusion: A plaintiff verdict or settlement was reached in 1 in 3 cases, and large payouts were common. Minimizing procedural error and improving care of patients after cholecystectomy complications should be emphasized., (Copyright © 2020 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Surgery is considered the only potentially curative treatment option for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. However, the chance that patients will eventually be "cured" after liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma remains ill defined., Methods: Patients who underwent curative-intent hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma between 1998 and 2017 were identified using an international multi-institutional database. A nonmixture cure model was used with disease-free survival as a primary measure to estimate cure fractions after matching patients with the general population by age, race, and sex., Results: Among 1,010 patients, the median and 5-year disease-free survival were 2.8 years and 36.6%, respectively. The probability of being cured after hepatocellular carcinoma resection was 42.2% and the median time to cure was 3.35 years. The multivariable cure model revealed preoperative alpha-fetoprotein level, tumor size, tumor number, and margin status as independent predictors of cure. The cure fraction for patients with an alpha-fetoprotein level ≤ 10 ng/mL, largest tumor size ≤5 cm, ≤3 nodules, and R0 resection was 61.6%. In contrast, patients who had all 4 unfavorable prognostic factors (ie, alpha-fetoprotein >11 ng/mL, nodules ≥4, size >5cm, R1 resection) had a cure fraction of 15.8%. Although the probability of cure was 47.6% among Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer-A patients, patients undergoing resection for Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer-B hepatocellular carcinoma had a 37.6% cure fraction. Only alpha-fetoprotein levels predicted the probability of cure among Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer-B patients., Conclusion: Roughly 4 in 10 patients could be considered "cured" after liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma. Although cure was achieved more often after resection for Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer-A hepatocellular carcinoma, surgery still provided a reasonable probability of cure among select patients with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer-B hepatocellular carcinoma., (Copyright © 2019 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Over 19 million Americans have a substance abuse disorder. The current study sought to characterize the relationship between substance abuse with in-hospital outcomes following major, elective abdominal surgery., Methods: The Nationwide Inpatient Sample was used to identify patients who underwent major abdominal surgery between 2007 to 2014. Patients with preoperative substance abuse, including alcohol, opioids, and non-opioid drugs, were identified. Propensity score matching was used to examine the association of substance abuse with perioperative outcomes., Results: Among 301,659 patients, 7,925 patients (2.6%) had a history of substance abuse. Pancreatectomy was the surgical procedure with the highest proportion of patients with substance abuse history (n = 844, 4.7%). Compared with patients without a substance abuse history, patients with a substance abuse history were more likely to be younger (median age, 60 years [interquartile range (IQR) 52-69] vs 63 years [IQR 52-72]), male (n = 5,438, 67.5% vs n = 132,961, 54.7%), and be in the lowest income category (n = 2,062, 26% vs n = 64,345, 21.9%) (all P < .001). On propensity score matching, substance abuse was associated with increased odds ratio of experiencing a complication (odds ratio [OR] 1.68, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.55-1.82), non-home discharge (OR 1.95, 95% CI 1.76-2.16), extended length of stay (OR 1.88, 95% CI 1.76-2.02), and higher expenditure (OR 1.62, 95% CI 1.49-1.77). Stratified by the type of substance abuse, patients with history of alcohol (OR 1.57, 95% CI 1.44-1.71) and drug abuse (OR 1.26, 95% CI 1.14-1.39) were more likely to experience a complication, whereas only history of alcohol abuse was associated with higher odds ratio of in-hospital mortality (OR 1.38, 95% CI 1.07-1.79) (all P < .05)., Conclusion: Up to 1 in 50 patients undergoing complex abdominal surgery had a substance abuse history. History of substance abuse was associated with an increased risk of adverse perioperative outcomes and higher healthcare expenditures., (Copyright © 2019 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)