1. Abstract P641: Risk and Predictors of New Cancer Diagnoses After Acute Ischemic Stroke
- Author
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Cenai Zhang, Neal S. Parikh, Babak B. Navi, Stephanie Buchman Rutrick, Yahya B Atalay, Hooman Kamel, Bhavan U. Shah, Marialaura Simonetto, Meenakshi Bassi, and Kelsey N Lansdale
- Subjects
Advanced and Specialized Nursing ,medicine.medical_specialty ,business.industry ,Incidence (epidemiology) ,Cancer ,medicine.disease ,Thrombosis ,Older population ,Internal medicine ,Medicine ,Neurology (clinical) ,Occult cancer ,Medical diagnosis ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,business ,Stroke ,Acute ischemic stroke - Abstract
Introduction: Acute ischemic stroke (AIS) may be the first sign of occult cancer. We aimed to better define the incidence of cancer in the year after AIS and to identify clinical factors associated with new cancer diagnoses. Methods: This was a retrospective cohort study using data from the Cornell Acute Stroke Academic Registry (CAESAR) on patients hospitalized at our center with AIS from 2011-2015. Patients with history of cancer were excluded. Through automated electronic data capture and manual abstraction of inpatient and outpatient medical records, we collected data on patients’ demographics, comorbidities, presentation, radiographic characteristics, stroke subtype, and clinical outcomes. Patients were followed for 1 year after the index AIS for a new diagnosis of pathologically-confirmed cancer. Cox hazards regression adjusting for the competing risk of death was used to evaluate associations between clinical factors and incident cancer. Factors significantly associated in multivariable analysis were entered into a risk stratification score, and this score’s discriminatory ability was evaluated by Harrell’s C-statistic. Results: After excluding 253 patients with history of cancer, this analysis included 963 patients with AIS. During a mean follow-up of 222 days, 16 patients (1.7%; 95% CI, 1.0-2.7%) were diagnosed with cancer. The most common cancers were lung (n=7) and leukemia (n=4) and the median time to cancer diagnosis was 13 days (IQR, 7-194 days). Among patients with cryptogenic stroke, the 1-year cancer incidence rate was 1.7% (95% CI, 0.6-3.7%). Clinical factors associated with incident cancer in multivariable analysis were venous thromboembolism during the AIS hospitalization (HR, 12.5; 95% CI, 3.3-47.0), unexplained weight loss within 6 months (HR 11.7; 95% CI, 3.3-42.0), and three-territory acute infarcts (HR, 4.1, 95% CI, 1.3-13.4). These factors were used to create a clinical score that had a C-statistic of 0.7 (95% CI, 0.5-0.8). Conclusions: In a large urban cohort of AIS, the estimated 1-year incidence of first-ever cancer was 1.7%. Unexplained weight loss, concomitant venous thromboembolism, and three-territory acute infarction pattern may serve as clues to occult cancer with AIS.
- Published
- 2021