1. Interleukin-6, C-Reactive Protein, and Recurrence After Stroke: A Time-Course Analysis of Individual-Participant Data.
- Author
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McCabe JJ, Walsh C, Gorey S, Arnold M, DeMarchis GM, Harris K, Hervella P, Iglesias-Rey R, Jern C, Katan M, Li L, Miyamoto N, Montaner J, Purroy F, Rothwell PM, Stanne TM, Sudlow C, Ueno Y, Vicente-Pascual M, Whiteley W, Woodward M, and Kelly PJ
- Subjects
- Aged, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Inflammation blood, Time Factors, Biomarkers blood, C-Reactive Protein metabolism, Interleukin-6 blood, Recurrence, Stroke blood
- Abstract
Background: Inflammation promotes atherogenesis. Randomized controlled trials of anti-inflammatory therapies for prevention after stroke have not yet demonstrated clear benefit. IL-6 (interleukin-6) and hsCRP (high-sensitivity C-reactive protein) are independently associated with major adverse cardiovascular events poststroke and may guide patient selection in future randomized controlled trials. Optimal timing of hsCRP/IL-6 measurement poststroke is unknown, as early blood levels may be confounded by the inflammatory response to brain infarction., Methods: Using individual-participant data from a systematic review, we performed a time-course analysis to investigate the association between hsCRP/IL-6 and recurrent events stratified by timing of sampling. The prespecified coprimary end points after sample measurement were: (1) recurrent major adverse cardiovascular events (first major coronary event, recurrent stroke, or vascular death) and (2) recurrent stroke (ischemic, hemorrhagic, or unspecified). The poststroke dynamics of IL-6/hsCRP were analyzed by plotting their median (interquartile interval) concentrations within each tenth of the sampling timeframe. Acute/postacute phases were defined for each biomarker according to the shape of this relationship., Results: There were data for 9798 patients from 11 studies (19 891 person-years follow-up, 10 observational cohorts, and 1 randomized trial). Each marker was measured once. IL-6 was markedly elevated <24 hours poststroke compared with postacute levels (≥24 hours; 11.6 versus 3.02 pg/mL; P <0.001). HsCRP was elevated for 10 days. IL-6 was associated with recurrent major adverse cardiovascular events in the postacute phase (≥24 hours; risk ratio, 1.30 [CI, 1.19-1.41], per unit log
e IL-6), but not in the acute phase (<24 hours; risk ratio, 1.10 [CI, 0.98-1.25]; Pinteraction unit (risk ratio, 1.16 [CI, 1.05-1.66]) and per quarter increase (risk ratio, 1.55 [CI, 1.19-2.02]; Q4 versus Q1), but not if measured acutely. Similar findings were observed for recurrent stroke. There was no evidence of time-dependent interaction with hsCRP.e unit (risk ratio, 1.16 [CI, 1.05-1.66]) and per quarter increase (risk ratio, 1.55 [CI, 1.19-2.02]; Q4 versus Q1), but not if measured acutely. Similar findings were observed for recurrent stroke. There was no evidence of time-dependent interaction with hsCRP., Conclusions: Timing of sample measurement after stroke modifies the association with recurrent major adverse cardiovascular events for IL-6 but not hsCRP. These data inform future randomized controlled trial designs incorporating biomarker-based selection of patients for anti-inflammatory therapies., Competing Interests: Dr McCabe is supported by grant funding from Irish Institute for Clinical Neuroscience. Dr Woodward performs consultancy work for Freeline. Dr Katan received funding from the Swiss national Science Foundation; grants from the Swiss Heart Foundation and USZ Foundation; participated on advisory boards and speaker honoraria for Medtronic, BMS Pfizer/Jansen, and Astra Zeneca; and in kind contributions from Roche Diagnostics, and Brahms Thermo Fisher Scientific. Dr Rothwell performed consultancy work for Abbott, Bayer, and Sanofi; and data/safety monitoring for Bristol-Myers Squibb. Dr Sudlow received grant support from Asthma Lung UK, British Heart Foundation, Medical Research Council, Kidney Research UK, the Stroke Association, and Diabetes UK. Dr Whiteley performed consultancy work for Bayer and Viatris, data/safety monitoring for several clinical trials (CATIS-ICAD [Combination Antithrombotic Treatment for Prevention of Recurrent Ischemic Stroke in Intracranial Atherosclerotic Disease], TEMPO-2 [Tenecteplase Versus Standard of Care for Minor Ischemic Stroke With Proven Occlusion], PROTECT-U [Prospective Randomized Open-Label Trial to Evaluate Risk Factor Management in Patients With Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms], and INTERACT-3 [The Third Intensive Care Bundle With Blood Pressure Reduction in Acute Cerebral Hemorrhage Trial]); and received compensation from UK Courts for expert witness services. Dr Kelly is the principal investigator of the CONVINCE trial (Colchicine for Prevention of Vascular Inflammation in Non-cardio Embolic Stroke). The other authors report no conflicts.- Published
- 2024
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