1. Aegean Territorial Waters Conflict: An Evolutionary Narrative
- Author
-
Serdar Ş. Güner
- Subjects
Evolutionary game ,Economics and Econometrics ,Equilibrium ,Status quo ,media_common.quotation_subject ,0211 other engineering and technologies ,Evolutionary game theory ,Globe ,02 engineering and technology ,Unitary state ,Doves ,Political science ,Development economics ,050602 political science & public administration ,Territorial waters ,medicine ,Narrative ,Stable state ,media_common ,021110 strategic, defence & security studies ,geography.geographical_feature_category ,Norm (philosophy) ,Continental shelf ,05 social sciences ,0506 political science ,Hawks ,Geography ,medicine.anatomical_structure ,Economy ,Foreign policy ,Political economy ,Political Science and International Relations ,Crisis cycles - Abstract
Conflicts over the delimitation of territorial waters are abundant around the globe. Greece and Turkey, two NATO allies, are no exceptions. The delimitation of territorial waters and continental shelf, the status of islands, islets, and flight control zones and corridors in the Aegean Sea constitute constant sources of friction between them. We offer an evolutionary game model to explore for directions their relations can take including chances of new crises and the revision of the status quo. We find that crises constitute a norm in bilateral relations of the two littoral states. The crisis equilibrium indicates routinized practices involving first displaying then falling back. Hence aggressive behavior can be periodically observed but the current status quo will persist. A revised status quo becomes a likely prospect only if both countries were posited as single unitary actors maximizing their expected utilities.
- Published
- 2003