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Accurate assessment of road conditions can effectively alleviate traffic congestion and guide people's travel plans, traffic control decisions of transportation departments, and formulation of traffic-related laws and regulations. This paper proposes a quantum particle swarm optimization (QPSO) and adaptive hybrid exponential smoothing with residual correction (AHES-RC) for the nonlinearity and randomness of traffic flow. In the proposed algorithm, the single–double-exponential smoothing method is mixed with adaptive weights to form AHES, a new method of mixing weights according to real-time traffic trend changes. After the residual correction of AHES is calculated by the extreme learning machine algorithm, the parameters of AHES-RC are optimized using QPSO to improve the prediction accuracy further. This paper comprehensively compares the QPSO-AHES-RC algorithm with other benchmark models through testing on 26 real-world data sets. The results show that the proposed algorithm can adaptive forecasting under various traffic conditions, yielding the best forecasting performance in terms of various forecast error metrics. Compared with advanced machine learning algorithms such as XGBoost and CatBoost, the mean RMSE and mean MAPE have been improved by over 20% on average. In addition, it is revealed that the real-time dynamic capture of traffic flow can effectively improve prediction accuracy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Based on the hypothesis that all vehicles on roads are floating vehicles equipped with vehicular terminals and upload their traffic information to the traffic control center in real time, many traffic flow guidance algorithms are proposed in order to improve the road capacity in Intelligent Transportation System. Based on this complete information scenario, the traffic control center can obtain all traffic information on roads and compute the guidance metrics according to the traffic flow guidance algorithm. The vehicle therefore can select the route with the guidance. However, due to the cost and technology limits, in short time, some vehicles cannot be equipped with vehicular terminals, which are non-floating vehicles and cannot upload their traffic information to the traffic control center. In this incomplete information scenario, the guidance effect will be affected by non-floating vehicles. In this paper, the method of estimating non-floating vehicles' driving information according to floating vehicles' information is introduced. With the estimation method, a new traffic flow guidance algorithm, Estimated Weighted Vehicle Density Feedback Strategy based on Weighted Vehicle Density Feedback Strategy (WVDFS) is proposed. In the simulation, the guidance effect of the new algorithm is performed based on the two-route scenario, which is the simplified model of traffic network. NaSch model is also used as the vehicle mobility model, which can simulate the vehicle motion. The simulation results show that non-floating vehicles have great negative influence on the performance of WVDFS, and the applicability of our algorithm is validated to have better performance in incomplete information scenarios. Our algorithm can provide solutions for current traffic flow guidance with incomplete information scenarios. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]