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The traditional speed prediction generally utilizes the Global Position System (GPS) and video images, and thus, the prediction precision mainly depends on environmental factors (i.e., weather, ionosphere, troposphere, air, and electromagnetic waves).We study the Radio Frequency Identification (RFID) data-driven vehicle speed prediction and proposed an improved extended kalman filter (i.e., the adaptive extended kalman filter, AEKF) algorithm. Firstly, the on-board RFID reader equipped in the vehicle reads the information (i.e., current speed and time) from the tag deployed on the road. Secondly, the received information is transmitted to the on-board information processing unit, and it is demodulated and decoded into available information. Finally, based on the vehicle state space model, the AEKF algorithm is proposed to predict vehicle speed and improve the prediction results, so that the vehicle speed gradually approaches the actual vehicle speed. The simulation results show that compared with the conventional extended kalman filter (EKF) algorithm, our proposed AEKF algorithm improves the dynamic performance of the filtering and better suppresses the filtering divergence process. Moreover, the AEKF algorithm also improves the precision of the Mean Square Error (MSE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) by 57.4% and 32.4%, respectively. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Vehicle speed prediction can obtain the future driving status of a vehicle in advance, which helps to make better decisions for energy management strategies. We propose a novel deep learning neural network architecture for vehicle speed prediction, called VSNet, by combining convolutional neural network (CNN) and long-short term memory network (LSTM). VSNet adopts a fake image composed of 15 vehicle signals in the past 15 s as model input to predict the vehicle speed in the next 5 s. Different from the traditional series or parallel structure, VSNet is structured with CNN and LSTM in series and then in parallel with two other CNNs of different convolutional kernel sizes. The unique architecture allows for better fitting of highly nonlinear relationships. The prediction performance of VSNet is first examined. The prediction results show a RMSE range of 0.519–2.681 and a R2 range of 0.997–0.929 for the future 5 s. Finally, an energy management strategy combined with VSNet and model predictive control (MPC) is simulated. The equivalent fuel consumption of the simulation increases by only 4.74% compared with DP-based energy management strategy and decreased by 2.82% compared with the speed prediction method with low accuracy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

With the development of technology, speed prediction has become an important part of intelligent vehicle control strategies. However, the time-varying and nonlinear nature of vehicle speed increases the complexity and difficulty of prediction. Therefore, a CNN-based neural network architecture with two channel input (DICNN) is proposed in this paper. With two inputs and four channels, DICNN can predict the speed changes in the next 5 s by extracting the temporal information of 10 vehicle signals and the driver's intention. The prediction performances of DICNN are firstly examined. The best RMSE, MAE, ME and R2 are obtained compared with a Markov chain combined with Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation, a support vector machine (SVM) and a single input CNN (SICNN). Secondly, equivalent fuel consumption minimization strategies (ECMS) combining different vehicle speed prediction methods are constructed. After verification by simulation, the equivalent fuel consumption of the simulation increases by only 4.89% compared with dynamic-programming-based energy management strategy and decreased by 5.40% compared with the speed prediction method with low accuracy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]