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Energy consumption is increasing daily, and with that comes a continuous increase in energy costs. Predicting future energy consumption and building an effective energy management system for smart homes has become essential for many industrialists to solve the problem of energy wastage. Machine learning has shown significant outcomes in the field of energy management systems. This paper presents a comprehensive predictive-learning based framework for smart home energy management systems. We propose five modules: classification, prediction, optimization, scheduling, and controllers. In the classification module, we classify the category of users and appliances by using k-means clustering and support vector machine based classification. We predict the future energy consumption and energy cost for each user category using long-term memory in the prediction module. We define objective functions for optimization and use grey wolf optimization and particle swarm optimization for scheduling appliances. For each case, we give priority to user preferences and indoor and outdoor environmental conditions. We define control rules to control the usage of appliances according to the schedule while prioritizing user preferences and minimizing energy consumption and cost. We perform experiments to evaluate the performance of our proposed methodology, and the results show that our proposed approach significantly reduces energy cost while providing an optimized solution for energy consumption that prioritizes user preferences and considers both indoor and outdoor environmental factors.

The vast amounts of mobile communication data collected by mobile operators can provide important insights regarding epidemic transmission or traffic patterns. By analyzing historical data and extracting user location information, various methods can be used to predict the mobility of mobile users. However, existing prediction algorithms are mainly based on the historical data of all users at an aggregated level and ignore the heterogeneity of individual behavior patterns. To improve prediction accuracy, this paper proposes a weighted Markov prediction model based on mobile user classification. The trajectory information of a user is extracted first by analyzing real mobile communication data, where the complexity of a user’s trajectory is measured using the mobile trajectory entropy. Second, classification criteria are proposed based on different user behavior patterns, and all users are classified with machine learning algorithms. Finally, according to the characteristics of each user classification, the step threshold and the weighting coefficients of the weighted Markov prediction model are optimized, and mobility prediction is performed for each user classification. Our results show that the optimized weighting coefficients can improve the performance of the weighted Markov prediction model.