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For endocrine-positive Her2 negative breast cancer patients at an early stage, the benefit of adding chemotherapy to adjuvant endocrine therapy is not still confirmed. Several genomic tests are available on the market but are very expensive. Therefore, there is the urgent need to explore novel reliable and less expensive prognostic tools in this setting. In this paper, we shown a machine learning survival model to estimate Invasive Disease-Free Events trained on clinical and histological data commonly collected in clinical practice. We collected clinical and cytohistological outcomes of 145 patients referred to Istituto Tumori "Giovanni Paolo II". Three machine learning survival models are compared with the Cox proportional hazards regression according to time-dependent performance metrics evaluated in cross-validation. The c-index at 10 years obtained by random survival forest, gradient boosting, and component-wise gradient boosting is stabled with or without feature selection at approximately 0.68 in average respect to 0.57 obtained to Cox model. Moreover, machine learning survival models have accurately discriminated low- and high-risk patients, and so a large group which can be spared additional chemotherapy to hormone therapy. The preliminary results obtained by including only clinical determinants are encouraging. The integrated use of data already collected in clinical practice for routine diagnostic investigations, if properly analyzed, can reduce time and costs of the genomic tests., (© 2023. The Author(s).)

In breast cancer patients, an accurate detection of the axillary lymph node metastasis status is essential for reducing distant metastasis occurrence probabilities. In case of patients resulted negative at both clinical and instrumental examination, the nodal status is commonly evaluated performing the sentinel lymph-node biopsy, that is a time-consuming and expensive intraoperative procedure for the sentinel lymph-node (SLN) status assessment. The aim of this study was to predict the nodal status of 142 clinically negative breast cancer patients by means of both clinical and radiomic features extracted from primary breast tumor ultrasound images acquired at diagnosis. First, different regions of interest (ROIs) were segmented and a radiomic analysis was performed on each ROI. Then, clinical and radiomic features were evaluated separately developing two different machine learning models based on an SVM classifier. Finally, their predictive power was estimated jointly implementing a soft voting technique. The experimental results showed that the model obtained by combining clinical and radiomic features provided the best performances, achieving an AUC value of 88.6%, an accuracy of 82.1%, a sensitivity of 100% and a specificity of 78.2%. The proposed model represents a promising non-invasive procedure for the SLN status prediction in clinically negative patients., (© 2022. The Author(s).)

The dynamic contrast-enhanced MR imaging plays a crucial role in evaluating the effectiveness of neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) even since its early stage through the prediction of the final pathological complete response (pCR). In this study, we proposed a transfer learning approach to predict if a patient achieved pCR (pCR) or did not (non-pCR) by exploiting, separately or in combination, pre-treatment and early-treatment exams from I-SPY1 TRIAL public database. First, low-level features, i.e., related to local structure of the image, were automatically extracted by a pre-trained convolutional neural network (CNN) overcoming manual feature extraction. Next, an optimal set of most stable features was detected and then used to design an SVM classifier. A first subset of patients, called fine-tuning dataset (30 pCR; 78 non-pCR), was used to perform the optimal choice of features. A second subset not involved in the feature selection process was employed as an independent test (7 pCR; 19 non-pCR) to validate the model. By combining the optimal features extracted from both pre-treatment and early-treatment exams with some clinical features, i.e., ER, PgR, HER2 and molecular subtype, an accuracy of 91.4% and 92.3%, and an AUC value of 0.93 and 0.90, were returned on the fine-tuning dataset and the independent test, respectively. Overall, the low-level CNN features have an important role in the early evaluation of the NAC efficacy by predicting pCR. The proposed model represents a first effort towards the development of a clinical support tool for an early prediction of pCR to NAC.