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Puerariae Thomsonii Radix (PTR) is not only widely used in disease prevention and treatment but is also an important raw material as a source of starch and other food. The growth years of PTR are closely related to its quality. The rapid and nondestructive identification of growth year is essential for the quality control of PTR and other traditional Chinese medicines. In this study, we proposed a convolutional neural network (CNN)-based classification framework in conjunction with hyperspectral imaging (HSI) technology for the rapid identification of the growth years of PTRs. Traditional treatment methods (i.e., multiplicative scatter correction, standard normal variate, and Savitzky-Golay smoothing) combined with machine learning algorithms (i.e., random forest, logistic regression, naive Bayes, and eXtreme gradient boost) were used as baseline models. Among them, the F1-score of CNN-based models based on PTRs' outer surfaces was over 90%, outperforming all the other baseline models. These results showed that it was feasible to use a deep learning algorithm in conjunction with HSI technology to identify the growth years of PTR. This method provides a fast, nondestructive, and simple method of identifying the growth years of PTR. It can be easily applied to other scenarios, such as for the identification of the locality or years of growth for other traditional Chinese herbs. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Molecular dynamics of charged particles in porous conductive media have received considerable attention in recent years due to their application in cutting-edge technologies such as batteries and supercapacitors. Due to the presence of long-range electrical interactions, induced charges present at the boundary, and the influence of boundary conditions, the simulation of these systems is more challenging than the simulation of typical molecular dynamic systems. Simulating these kinds of systems typically involves using a numerical solver to solve the Poisson equation, which is a very time-consuming procedure. Recently, Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) have been introduced as an alternative to numerical solutions of PDEs. In this paper, we present a new PINN-based model for predicting the potential of point-charged particles surrounded by conductive walls. As a result of the proposed PINN model, the mean square error is less than 7 % and R 2 score is more than 90 % for the corresponding example simulation. Results have been compared with typical neural networks and random forest as standard machine learning algorithms. The R 2 score of the random forest model was 70 % , and a standard neural network could not be trained well. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Traditional fingerprint localization algorithms need help with low localization accuracy, large data volumes, and device dependence. This paper proposes a LoRa-based improved fingerprint localization algorithm-particle swarm optimization-random forest-fingerprint localization for indoor localization. The first improvement step involves creating a new exceptional fingerprint value (referred to as RSSI-RANGE) by adding the Time of Flight ranging value (referred to as RANGE) to the Received Signal Strength Indication (RSSI) value and weighting them together. The second improvement step involves preprocessing the fingerprint data to eliminate gross errors using Gaussian and median filtering. After noise reduction, the particle swarm optimization algorithm is used to optimize the hyper parameters of the random forest algorithm, and the best RSSI-RANGE value is obtained using the random forest algorithm. The Kriging method is then used for interpolation to establish an offline fingerprint database, and the final online recognition and localization are performed. Experimental results demonstrate that the first improvement step improves localization accuracy by 53–57% in different experimental scenarios, while the second improves localization accuracy by 25–31%. When both steps are combined, the localization accuracy is improved by 58–63%. The effectiveness of this method is demonstrated through experiments. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Recent advances in machine learning (ML) have transformed the landscape of energy exploration, including hydrocarbon, CO2 storage, and hydrogen. However, building competent ML models for reservoir characterization necessitates specific in-depth knowledge in order to fine-tune the models and achieve the best predictions, limiting the accessibility of machine learning in geosciences. To mitigate this issue, we implemented the recently emerged automated machine learning (AutoML) approach to perform an algorithm search for conducting an unconventional reservoir characterization with a more optimized and accessible workflow than traditional ML approaches. In this study, over 1000 wells from Alberta's Athabasca Oil Sands were analyzed to predict various key reservoir properties such as lithofacies, porosity, volume of shale, and bitumen mass percentage. Our proposed workflow consists of two stages of AutoML predictions, including (1) the first stage focuses on predicting the volume of shale and porosity by using conventional well log data, and (2) the second stage combines the predicted outputs with well log data to predict the lithofacies and bitumen percentage. The findings show that out of the ten different models tested for predicting the porosity (78% in accuracy), the volume of shale (80.5%), bitumen percentage (67.3%), and lithofacies classification (98%), distributed random forest, and gradient boosting machine emerged as the best models. When compared to the manually fine-tuned conventional machine learning algorithms, the AutoML-based algorithms provide a notable improvement on reservoir property predictions, with higher weighted average f1-scores of up to 15–20% in the classification problem and 5–10% in the adjusted-R2 score for the regression problems in the blind test dataset, and it is achieved only after ~ 400 s of training and testing processes. In addition, from the feature ranking extraction technique, there is a good agreement with domain experts regarding the most significant input parameters in each prediction. Therefore, it is evidence that the AutoML workflow has proven powerful in performing advanced petrophysical analysis and reservoir characterization with minimal time and human intervention, allowing more accessibility to domain experts while maintaining the model's explainability. Integration of AutoML and subject matter experts could advance artificial intelligence technology implementation in optimizing data-driven energy geosciences. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The current prognostic tools for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) lack the necessary accuracy to facilitate individualized patient management strategies. To address this issue, this study was conducted to develop a machine learning (ML) prediction model for ESCC patients' survival management. Six ML approaches, including Rpart, Elastic Net, GBM, Random Forest, GLMboost, and the machine learning-extended CoxPH method, were employed to develop risk prediction models. The model was trained on a dataset of 1954 ESCC patients with 27 clinical features and validated on a dataset of 487 ESCC patients. The discriminative performance of the models was assessed using the concordance index (C-index). The best performing model was used for risk stratification and clinical evaluation. The study found that N stage, T stage, surgical margin, tumor grade, tumor length, sex, MPV, AST, FIB, and Mg are the important feature for ESCC patients' survival. The machine learning-extended CoxPH model, Elastic Net, and Random Forest had similar performance in predicting the mortality risk of ESCC patients, and outperformed GBM, GLMboost, and Rpart. The risk scores derived from the CoxPH model effectively stratified ESCC patients into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups with distinctly different 3-year overall survival (OS) probabilities of 80.8%, 58.2%, and 29.5%, respectively. This risk stratification was also observed in the validation cohort. Furthermore, the risk model demonstrated greater discriminative ability and net benefit than the AJCC8th stage, suggesting its potential as a prognostic tool for predicting survival events and guiding clinical decision-making. The classical algorithm of the CoxPH method was also found to be sufficiently good for interpretive studies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The pantropical spotted dolphin in the Eastern Tropical Pacific (ETP) is found in two genetically and phenotypically diverged ecotypes, coastal and offshore. These habitats have distinct acoustic characteristics, which can lead to the evolution of distinct acoustic communication. Whistles are sounds widely used by dolphins to mediate species and individual recognition and social interactions. Here, we study the whistle acoustic structure and repertoire diversity of offshore and coastal pantropical spotted dolphins. Our results show that there is significantly more within- and across-group variation in whistle fundamental frequency between ecotypes than between offshore groups and between coastal groups. A Random Forest classification analysis performed with an accuracy of 83.99% and identified duration, peak and minimum frequency as the most informative variables for distinguishing between ecotypes. Overall, coastal spotted dolphins produced significantly shorter whistles that were significantly lower in frequency (peak, minimum and maximum, and start and end) than offshore dolphins. Ecotypes produced whistle repertoires that were similar in diversity, but different in contour composition, with the coastal ecotype producing more upsweep whistles than offshore dolphins. The results of this study suggest that acoustic adaptations to coastal and offshore environments could be important contributors to intraspecific variation of dolphin whistle repertoires. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this study, we present a comprehensive approach for predicting the remaining useful life (RUL) of aircraft engines, incorporating advanced feature engineering, dimensionality reduction, feature selection techniques, and machine learning models. The process begins with a rolling time series window, followed by the extraction of a multitude of statistical features, and the application of principal component analysis for dimensionality reduction. We utilize a variety of feature selection methods, such as Genetic Algorithm, Recursive Feature Elimination, Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator Regression, and Feature Importances from a Random Forest model. As a significant contribution, we introduce the novel aggregated feature importances with cross-validation (AFICv) technique, which ranks features based on their mean importance. We establish a selection criterion that retains features with a cumulative mean sum equal to 70%, thereby reducing the complexity of machine learning models and enhancing their generalizability. Four machine learning regression models—Natural and Extreme Gradient Boosting, Random Forest, and Multi-Layer Perceptron—were employed to evaluate the effectiveness of the selected features. The performance of our proposed method is assessed by the evaluation metrics Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and R2 Score, and also considered within-interval percentages and relative accuracy metrics. Importantly, a novel PCA interpretability was introduced to provide real-world context and enhance the utility of our findings for domain experts. Our results indicate that the proposed AFICv technique efficiently achieves competitive performance across the Commercial Modular Aero-Propulsion System Simulation (C-MAPSS) sub-datasets using a significantly smaller subset of features, thus contributing to a more effective and interpretable RUL prediction methodology for aircraft engines. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Numerous natural disasters that threaten people's lives and property occur in Indonesia. Climate change-induced temperature increases are expected to affect the frequency of natural hazards in the future and pose more risks. This study examines the consequences of droughts and forest fires on the Indonesian island of Kalimantan. We first create maps showing the eleven contributing factors that have the greatest impact on forest fires and droughts related to the climate, topography, anthropogenic, and vegetation. Next, we used RF to create single and multi-risk maps for forest fires and droughts in Kalimantan Island. Finally, using the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) integrated evaluation model, a future climate scenario was applied to predict multiple risk maps for RCP-SSP2-4.5 and RCP-SSP5-8.5 in 2040–2059 and 2080–2099. The probability of a 22.6% drought and a 21.7% forest fire were anticipated to have an influence on the study's findings, and 2.6% of the sites looked at were predicted to be affected by both hazards. Both RCP-SSP2-4.5 and RCP-SSP5-8.5 have an increase in these hazards projected for them. Researchers and stakeholders may use these findings to assess risks under various mitigation strategies and estimate the spatial behavior of such forest fire and drought occurrences. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Creativity is a compelling yet elusive phenomenon, especially when manifested in visual art, where its evaluation is often a subjective and complex process. Understanding how individuals judge creativity in visual art is a particularly intriguing question. Conventional linear approaches often fail to capture the intricate nature of human behavior underlying such judgments. Therefore, in this study, we employed interpretable machine learning to probe complex associations between 17 subjective art-attributes and creativity judgments across a diverse range of artworks. A cohort of 78 non-art expert participants assessed 54 artworks varying in styles and motifs. The applied Random Forests regressor models accounted for 30% of the variability in creativity judgments given our set of art-attributes. Our analyses revealed symbolism, emotionality, and imaginativeness as the primary attributes influencing creativity judgments. Abstractness, valence, and complexity also had an impact, albeit to a lesser degree. Notably, we observed non-linearity in the relationship between art-attribute scores and creativity judgments, indicating that changes in art-attributes did not consistently correspond to changes in creativity judgments. Employing statistical learning, this investigation presents the first attribute-integrating quantitative model of factors that contribute to creativity judgments in visual art among novice raters. Our research represents a significant stride forward building the groundwork for first causal models for future investigations in art and creativity research and offering implications for diverse practical applications. Beyond enhancing comprehension of the intricate interplay and specificity of attributes used in evaluating creativity, this work introduces machine learning as an innovative approach in the field of subjective judgment. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Severe air pollution poses a significant threat to public safety and human health. Predicting future air quality conditions is crucial for implementing pollution control measures and guiding residents' activity choices. However, traditional single-module machine learning models suffer from long training times and low prediction accuracy. To improve the accuracy of air quality forecasting, this paper proposes a ISSA–LSTM model-based approach for predicting the air quality index (AQI). The model consists of three main components: random forest (RF) and mRMR, improved sparrow search algorithm (ISSA), and long short-term memory network (LSTM). Firstly, RF–mRMR is used to select the influential variables affecting AQI, thereby enhancing the model's performance. Next, ISSA algorithm is employed to optimize the hyperparameters of LSTM, further improving the model's performance. Finally, LSTM model is utilized to predict AQI concentrations. Through comparative experiments, it is demonstrated that the ISSA–LSTM model outperforms other models in terms of RMSE and R2, exhibiting higher prediction accuracy. The model's predictive performance is validated across different time steps, demonstrating minimal prediction errors. Therefore, the ISSA–LSTM model is a viable and effective approach for accurately predicting AQI. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Climate change significantly impacts the global hydrological cycle, leading to pronounced shifts in hydroclimatic extremes such as increased duration, occurrence, and intensity. Despite these significant changes, our understanding of hydroclimatic risks and hydrological resilience remains limited, particularly at the catchment scale in peninsular India. This study aims to address this gap by examining hydroclimatic extremes and resilience in 54 peninsular catchments from 1988 to 2011. We initially assess extreme precipitation and discharge indices and estimate design return levels using non-stationary Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) models that use global climate modes (ENSO, IOD, and AMO) as covariates. Further, hydrological resilience is evaluated using a convex model that inputs simulated discharge from the best hydrological model among SVM, RVM, random forest, and a conceptual model (abcd). Our analysis shows that the spatial patterns of mean extreme precipitation indices (R1 and R5) mostly resemble with extreme discharge indices (Q1 and Q5). Additionally, all extreme indices, including R1, Q1, R5, and Q5, demonstrate non-stationary behavior, indicating the substantial influence of global climate modes on extreme precipitation and flooding across the catchments. Our results indicate that the random forest model outperforms the others. Furthermore, we find that 68.52% of the catchments exhibit low to moderate hydrological resilience. Our findings emphasize the importance of understanding hydroclimatic risks and catchment resilience for accurate climate change impact predictions and effective adaptation strategies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Hepatitis C Virus (HCV) is a viral infection that causes liver inflammation. Annually, approximately 3.4 million cases of HCV are reported worldwide. A diagnosis of HCV in earlier stages helps to save lives. In the HCV review, the authors used a single ML-based prediction model in the current research, which encounters several issues, i.e., poor accuracy, data imbalance, and overfitting. This research proposed a Hybrid Predictive Model (HPM) based on an improved random forest and support vector machine to overcome existing research limitations. The proposed model improves a random forest method by adding a bootstrapping approach. The existing RF method is enhanced by adding a bootstrapping process, which helps eliminate the tree's minor features iteratively to build a strong forest. It improves the performance of the HPM model. The proposed HPM model utilizes a 'Ranker method' to rank the dataset features and applies an IRF with SVM, selecting higher-ranked feature elements to build the prediction model. This research uses the online HCV dataset from UCI to measure the proposed model's performance. The dataset is highly imbalanced; to deal with this issue, we utilized the synthetic minority over-sampling technique (SMOTE). This research performs two experiments. The first experiment is based on data splitting methods, K-fold cross-validation, and training: testing-based splitting. The proposed method achieved an accuracy of 95.89% for k = 5 and 96.29% for k = 10; for the training and testing-based split, the proposed method achieved 91.24% for 80:20 and 92.39% for 70:30, which is the best compared to the existing SVM, MARS, RF, DT, and BGLM methods. In experiment 2, the analysis is performed using feature selection (with SMOTE and without SMOTE). The proposed method achieves an accuracy of 41.541% without SMOTE and 96.82% with SMOTE-based feature selection, which is better than existing ML methods. The experimental results prove the importance of feature selection to achieve higher accuracy in HCV research. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Animals and their gut microbes mutually benefit their health. Nutrition plays a central role in this, directly influencing both host and microbial fitness and the nature of their interactions. This makes nutritional symbioses a complex and dynamic tri-system of diet-microbiota-host. Despite recent discoveries on this field, full control over the interplay among these partners is challenging and hinders the resolution of fundamental questions, such as how to parse the gut microbes' effect as raw nutrition or as symbiotic partners? To tackle this, we made use of the well-characterized Drosophila melanogaster/Lactiplantibacillus plantarum experimental model of nutritional symbiosis to generate a quantitative framework of gut microbes' effect on the host. By coupling experimental assays and Random Forest analysis, we show that the beneficial effect of L. plantarum strains primarily results from the active relationship as symbionts rather than raw nutrients, regardless of the bacterial strain. Metabolomic analysis of both active and inactive bacterial cells further demonstrated the crucial role of the production of beneficial bacterial metabolites, such as N-acetylated-amino-acids, as result of active bacterial growth and function. Altogether, our results provide a ranking and quantification of the main bacterial features contributing to sustain animal growth. We demonstrate that bacterial activity is the predominant and necessary variable involved in bacteria-mediated benefit, followed by strain-specific properties and the nutritional potential of the bacterial cells. This contributes to elucidate the role of beneficial bacteria and probiotics, creating a broad quantitative framework for host-gut microbiome that can be expanded to other model systems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Emerging evidence of the relationship between the microbiome composition and the development of numerous diseases, including cancer, has led to an increasing interest in the study of the human microbiome. Technological breakthroughs regarding DNA sequencing methods propelled microbiome studies with a large number of samples, which called for the necessity of more sophisticated data-analytical tools to analyze this complex relationship. The aim of this work was to develop a machine learning-based approach to distinguish the type of cancer based on the analysis of the tissue-specific microbial information, assessing the human microbiome as valuable predictive information for cancer identification. For this purpose, Random Forest algorithms were trained for the classification of five types of cancer—head and neck, esophageal, stomach, colon, and rectum cancers—with samples provided by The Cancer Microbiome Atlas database. One versus all and multi-class classification studies were conducted to evaluate the discriminative capability of the microbial data across increasing levels of cancer site specificity, with results showing a progressive rise in difficulty for accurate sample classification. Random Forest models achieved promising performances when predicting head and neck, stomach, and colon cancer cases, with the latter returning accuracy scores above 90% across the different studies conducted. However, there was also an increased difficulty when discriminating esophageal and rectum cancers, failing to differentiate with adequate results rectum from colon cancer cases, and esophageal from head and neck and stomach cancers. These results point to the fact that anatomically adjacent cancers can be more complex to identify due to microbial similarities. Despite the limitations, microbiome data analysis using machine learning may advance novel strategies to improve cancer detection and prevention, and decrease disease burden. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Korea is showing the fastest trend in the world in population aging; there is a high interest in the elderly population nationwide. Among the common chronic diseases, the elderly tends to have a high incidence of depression. That said, it has been vital to focus on preventing depression in the elderly in advance. Hence, this study aims to select the factors related to depression in low-income seniors identified in previous studies and to develop a prediction model. In this study, 2975 elderly people from low-income families were extracted using the 13th-year data of the Korea Welfare Panel Study (2018). Decision trees, logistic regression, neural networks, and random forest were applied to develop a predictive model among the numerous data mining techniques. In addition, the wrapper's stepwise backward elimination, which finds the optimal model by removing the least relevant factors, was applied. The evaluation of the model was confirmed via accuracy. It was verified that the final prediction model, in the case of a decision tree, showed the highest predictive power with an accuracy of 97.3%. Second, psychological factors, leisure life satisfaction, social support, subjective health awareness, and family support ranked higher than demographic factors influencing depression. Based on the results, an approach focused on psychological support is much needed to manage depression in low-income seniors. As predicting depression in the elderly varies on numerous influencing factors, using a decision tree may be beneficial to establish a firm prediction model to identify vital factors causing depression in the elderly population. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Inferring causal relationships from observational data is a key challenge in understanding the interpretability of Machine Learning models. Given the ever-increasing amount of observational data available in many areas, Machine Learning algorithms used for forecasting have become more complex, leading to a less understandable path of how a decision is made by the model. To address this issue, we propose leveraging ensemble models, e.g., Random Forest, to assess which input features the trained model prioritizes when making a forecast and, in this way, establish causal relationships between the variables. The advantage of these algorithms lies in their ability to provide feature importance, which allows us to build the causal network. We present our methodology to estimate causality in time series from oil field production. As it is difficult to extract causal relations from a real field, we also included a synthetic oil production dataset and a weather dataset, which is also synthetic, to provide the ground truth. We aim to perform causal discovery, i.e., establish the existing connections between the variables in each dataset. Through an iterative process of improving the forecasting of a target's value, we evaluate whether the forecasting improves by adding information from a new potential driver; if so, we state that the driver causally affects the target. On the oil field-related datasets, our causal analysis results agree with the interwell connections already confirmed by tracer information; whenever the tracer data are available, we used it as our ground truth. This consistency between both estimated and confirmed connections provides us the confidence about the effectiveness of our proposed methodology. To our knowledge, this is the first time causal analysis using solely production data is employed to discover interwell connections in an oil field dataset. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Energy has been propelling the development of human civilization for millennia. Humanity presently stands at Type 0.7276 on the Kardashev Scale, which was proposed to quantify the relationship between energy consumption and the development of civilizations. However, current predictions of human civilization remain underdeveloped and energy consumption models are oversimplified. In order to improve the precision of the prediction, we use machine learning models random forest and autoregressive integrated moving average to simulate and predict energy consumption on a global scale and the position of humanity on the Kardashev Scale through 2060. The result suggests that global energy consumption is expected to reach ~ 887 EJ in 2060, and humanity will become a Type 0.7449 civilization. Additionally, the potential energy segmentation changes before 2060 and the influence of the advent of nuclear fusion are discussed. We conclude that if energy strategies and technologies remain in the present course, it may take human civilization millennia to become a Type 1 civilization. The machine learning tool we develop significantly improves the previous projection of the Kardashev Scale, which is critical in the context of civilization development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We propose an interpretable and scalable model to predict likely diagnoses at an encounter based on past diagnoses and lab results. This model is intended to aid physicians in their interaction with the electronic health records (EHR). To accomplish this, we retrospectively collected and de-identified EHR data of 2,701,522 patients at Stanford Healthcare over a time period from January 2008 to December 2016. A population-based sample of patients comprising 524,198 individuals (44% M, 56% F) with multiple encounters with at least one frequently occurring diagnosis codes were chosen. A calibrated model was developed to predict ICD-10 diagnosis codes at an encounter based on the past diagnoses and lab results, using a binary relevance based multi-label modeling strategy. Logistic regression and random forests were tested as the base classifier, and several time windows were tested for aggregating the past diagnoses and labs. This modeling approach was compared to a recurrent neural network based deep learning method. The best model used random forest as the base classifier and integrated demographic features, diagnosis codes, and lab results. The best model was calibrated and its performance was comparable or better than existing methods in terms of various metrics, including a median AUROC of 0.904 (IQR [0.838, 0.954]) over 583 diseases. When predicting the first occurrence of a disease label for a patient, the median AUROC with the best model was 0.796 (IQR [0.737, 0.868]). Our modeling approach performed comparably as the tested deep learning method, outperforming it in terms of AUROC (p < 0.001) but underperforming in terms of AUPRC (p < 0.001). Interpreting the model showed that the model uses meaningful features and highlights many interesting associations among diagnoses and lab results. We conclude that the multi-label model performs comparably with RNN based deep learning model while offering simplicity and potentially superior interpretability. While the model was trained and validated on data obtained from a single institution, its simplicity, interpretability and performance makes it a promising candidate for deployment. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Marine microplastics are emerging as a growing environmental concern due to their potential harm to marine biota. The substantial variations in their physical and chemical properties pose a significant challenge when it comes to sampling and characterizing small-sized microplastics. In this study, we introduce a novel microfluidic approach that simplifies the trapping and identification process of microplastics in surface seawater, eliminating the need for labeling. We examine various models, including support vector machine, random forest, convolutional neural network (CNN), and residual neural network (ResNet34), to assess their performance in identifying 11 common plastics. Our findings reveal that the CNN method outperforms the other models, achieving an impressive accuracy of 93% and a mean area under the curve of 98 ± 0.02%. Furthermore, we demonstrate that miniaturized devices can effectively trap and identify microplastics smaller than 50 µm. Overall, this proposed approach facilitates efficient sampling and identification of small-sized microplastics, potentially contributing to crucial long-term monitoring and treatment efforts. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Aircraft landings are especially perilous when the wind is gusty near airport runways. For this reason, an aircraft may deviate from its glide slope, miss its approach, or even crash in the worst cases. In the study, we used the state-of-the-art glass-box model, the Explainable Boosting Machine (EBM), to estimate the variation in headwind speed and turbulence intensity along the airport runway glide slope and to interpret the various contributing factors. To begin, the wind field characteristics were examined by developing a scaled-down model of Hong Kong International Airport (HKIA) runway as well as and the surrounding buildings and complex terrain in the TJ-3 atmospheric boundary layer wind tunnel. The placement of probes along the glide slope of the model runway aided in the measurement of wind field characteristics at different locations in the presence and absence of surrounding buildings. Next, the experimental data was used to train the EBM model in conjunction with Bayesian optimization approach. The counterpart black box models (extreme gradient boosting, random forest, extra tree and adaptive boosting) as well as other glass box models (linear regression and decision tree) were compared with the outcomes of the EBM model. Based on the holdout testing data, the EBM model revealed superior performance for both variation in headwind speed and turbulence intensity in terms of mean absolute error, mean squared error, root mean squared error and R-square values. To further evaluate the impact of different factors on the wind field characteristics along the airport runway glide slope, the EBM model allows for a full interpretation of the contribution of individual and pairwise interactions of factors to the prediction results from both a global and a local perspective. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Machine learning-based pathogenicity prediction helps interpret rare missense variants of BRCA1 and BRCA2, which are associated with hereditary cancers. Recent studies have shown that classifiers trained using variants of a specific gene or a set of genes related to a particular disease perform better than those trained using all variants, due to their higher specificity, despite the smaller training dataset size. In this study, we further investigated the advantages of "gene-specific" machine learning compared to "disease-specific" machine learning. We used 1068 rare (gnomAD minor allele frequency (MAF) < 0.005) missense variants of 28 genes associated with hereditary cancers for our investigation. Popular machine learning classifiers were employed: regularized logistic regression, extreme gradient boosting, random forests, support vector machines, and deep neural networks. As features, we used MAFs from multiple populations, functional prediction and conservation scores, and positions of variants. The disease-specific training dataset included the gene-specific training dataset and was > 7 × larger. However, we observed that gene-specific training variants were sufficient to produce the optimal pathogenicity predictor if a suitable machine learning classifier was employed. Therefore, we recommend gene-specific over disease-specific machine learning as an efficient and effective method for predicting the pathogenicity of rare BRCA1 and BRCA2 missense variants. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Glucose plays a central role in tumor metabolism and development and is a target for novel therapeutics. To characterize the response of cancer cells to blockade of glucose uptake, we collected time-resolved microscopy data to track the growth of MDA-MB-231 breast cancer cells. We then developed a mechanism-based, mathematical model to predict how a glucose transporter (GLUT1) inhibitor (Cytochalasin B) influences the growth of the MDA-MB-231 cells by limiting access to glucose. The model includes a parameter describing dose dependent inhibition to quantify both the total glucose level in the system and the glucose level accessible to the tumor cells. Four common machine learning models were also used to predict tumor cell growth. Both the mechanism-based and machine learning models were trained and validated, and the prediction error was evaluated by the coefficient of determination (R2). The random forest model provided the highest accuracy predicting cell dynamics (R2 = 0.92), followed by the decision tree (R2 = 0.89), k-nearest-neighbor regression (R2 = 0.84), mechanism-based (R2 = 0.77), and linear regression model (R2 = 0.69). Thus, the mechanism-based model has a predictive capability comparable to machine learning models with the added benefit of elucidating biological mechanisms. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Miniaturized electrical stimulation (ES) implants show great promise in practice, but their real-time control by means of biophysical mechanistic algorithms is not feasible due to computational complexity. Here, we study the feasibility of more computationally efficient machine learning methods to control ES implants. For this, we estimate the normalized twitch force of the stimulated extensor digitorum longus muscle on n = 11 Wistar rats with intra- and cross-subject calibration. After 2000 training stimulations, we reach a mean absolute error of 0.03 in an intra-subject setting and 0.2 in a cross-subject setting with a random forest regressor. To the best of our knowledge, this work is the first experiment showing the feasibility of AI to simulate complex ES mechanistic models. However, the results of cross-subject training motivate more research on error reduction methods for this setting. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This work presents the results of using tree-based models, including Gradient Boosting, Extra Trees, and Random Forest, to model the solubility of hyoscine drug and solvent density based on pressure and temperature as inputs. The models were trained on a dataset of hyoscine drug with known solubility and density values, optimized with WCA algorithm, and their accuracy was evaluated using R2, MSE, MAPE, and Max Error metrics. The results showed that Gradient Boosting and Extra Trees models had high accuracy, with R2 values above 0.96 and low MAPE and Max Error values for both solubility and density output. The Random Forest model was less accurate than the other two models. These findings demonstrate the effectiveness of tree-based models for predicting the solubility and density of chemical compounds and have potential applications in determination of drug solubility prior to process design by correlation of solubility and density to input parameters including pressure and temperature. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The detection of illicit radiological materials is critical to establishing a robust second line of defence in nuclear security. Neutron-capture prompt-gamma activation analysis (PGAA) can be used to detect multiple radioactive materials across the entire Periodic Table. However, long detection times and a high rate of false positives pose a significant hindrance in the deployment of PGAA-based systems to identify the presence of illicit substances in nuclear forensics. In the present work, six different machine-learning algorithms were developed to classify radioactive elements based on the PGAA energy spectra. The model performance was evaluated using standard classification metrics and trend curves with an emphasis on comparing the effectiveness of algorithms that are best suited for classifying imbalanced datasets. We analyse the classification performance based on Precision, Recall, F1-score, Specificity, Confusion matrix, ROC-AUC curves, and Geometric Mean Score (GMS) measures. The tree-based algorithms (Decision Trees, Random Forest and AdaBoost) have consistently outperformed Support Vector Machine and K-Nearest Neighbours. Based on the results presented, AdaBoost is the preferred classifier to analyse data containing PGAA spectral information due to the high recall and minimal false negatives reported in the minority class. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Acute Kidney Injury (AKI) is a sudden episode of kidney failure that is frequently seen in critically ill patients. AKI has been linked to chronic kidney disease (CKD) and mortality. We developed machine learning-based prediction models to predict outcomes following AKI stage 3 events in the intensive care unit. We conducted a prospective observational study that used the medical records of ICU patients diagnosed with AKI stage 3. A random forest algorithm was used to develop two models that can predict patients who will progress to CKD after three and six months of experiencing AKI stage 3. To predict mortality, two survival prediction models have been presented using random survival forests and survival XGBoost. We evaluated established CKD prediction models using AUCROC, and AUPR curves and compared them with the baseline logistic regression models. The mortality prediction models were evaluated with an external test set, and the C-indices were compared to baseline COXPH. We included 101 critically ill patients who experienced AKI stage 3. To increase the training set for the mortality prediction task, an unlabeled dataset has been added. The RF (AUPR: 0.895 and 0.848) and XGBoost (c-index: 0.8248) models have a better performance than the baseline models in predicting CKD and mortality, respectively Machine learning-based models can assist clinicians in making clinical decisions regarding critically ill patients with severe AKI who are likely to develop CKD following discharge. Additionally, we have shown better performance when unlabeled data are incorporated into the survival analysis task. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Anthropogenic activities and global climate change increase the risk of Chromolaena odorata invasion and habitat expansion. To predict its global distribution and habitat suitability under climate change, a random forest (RF) model was employed. The RF model, utilizing default parameters, analyzed species presence data and background information. The model revealed that the current spatial distribution of C. odorata covers 7,892,447 km2. Predictions for 2061– 2080 indicate expansion of suitable habitat (42.59 and 46.30%), reduction of suitable habit (12.92 and 12.20%), and preservation of suitable habitat (87.08 and 87.80%) under the SSP (Shared Socio-economic Pathway) 2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios, respectively, in comparison to the present distribution. Currently, C. odorata is predominantly found in South America, with limited presence in other continents. However, the data suggest that climate change will elevate the global invasion risk of C. odorata worldwide, particularly in Oceania, Africa, and Australia. Countries such as Gambia, Guinea-Bissau, and Lesotho, which currently have unsuitable habitats, are predicted to have highly suitable habitats with climate change, supporting the idea that global habitat expansion for C. odorata will occur due to climate change. This study indicates that proper management of C. odorata is crucial during the early invasion phase. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We aimed to investigate sex-specific associations between cardiovascular risk factors and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk using machine learning. We studied 258,279 individuals (132,505 [51.3%] men and 125,774 [48.7%] women) without documented ASCVD who underwent national health screening. A random forest model was developed using 16 variables to predict the 10-year ASCVD in each sex. The association between cardiovascular risk factors and 10-year ASCVD probabilities was examined using partial dependency plots. During the 10-year follow-up, 12,319 (4.8%) individuals developed ASCVD, with a higher incidence in men than in women (5.3% vs. 4.2%, P < 0.001). The performance of the random forest model was similar to that of the pooled cohort equations (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, men: 0.733 vs. 0.727; women: 0.769 vs. 0.762). Age and body mass index were the two most important predictors in the random forest model for both sexes. In partial dependency plots, advanced age and increased waist circumference were more strongly associated with higher probabilities of ASCVD in women. In contrast, ASCVD probabilities increased more steeply with higher total cholesterol and low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol levels in men. These sex-specific associations were verified in the conventional Cox analyses. In conclusion, there were significant sex differences in the association between cardiovascular risk factors and ASCVD events. While higher total cholesterol or LDL cholesterol levels were more strongly associated with the risk of ASCVD in men, older age and increased waist circumference were more strongly associated with the risk of ASCVD in women. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In the treatment of most newly discovered solid cancerous tumors, surgery remains the first treatment option. An important factor in the success of these operations is the precise identification of oncological safety margins to ensure the complete removal of the tumor without affecting much of the neighboring healthy tissue. Here we report on the possibility of applying femtosecond Laser-Induced Breakdown Spectroscopy (LIBS) combined with Machine Learning algorithms as an alternative discrimination technique to differentiate cancerous tissue. The emission spectra following the ablation on thin fixed liver and breast postoperative samples were recorded with high spatial resolution; adjacent stained sections served as a reference for tissue identification by classical pathological analysis. In a proof of principle test performed on liver tissue, Artificial Neural Networks and Random Forest algorithms were able to differentiate both healthy and tumor tissue with a very high Classification Accuracy of around 0.95. The ability to identify unknown tissue was performed on breast samples from different patients, also providing a high level of discrimination. Our results show that LIBS with femtosecond lasers is a technique with potential to be used in clinical applications for rapid identification of tissue type in the intraoperative surgical field. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Small-scale distributed water treatment equipment such as sequencing batch reactor (SBR) is widely used in the field of rural domestic sewage treatment because of its advantages of rapid installation and construction, low operation cost and strong adaptability. However, due to the characteristics of non-linearity and hysteresis in SBR process, it is difficult to construct the simulation model of wastewater treatment. In this study, a methodology was developed using artificial intelligence and automatic control system that can save energy corresponding to reduce carbon emissions. The methodology leverages random forest model to determine a suitable soft sensor for the prediction of COD trends. This study uses pH and temperature sensors as premises for COD sensors. In the proposed method, data were pre-processed into 12 input variables and top 7 variables were selected as the variables of the optimized model. Cycle ended by the artificial intelligence and automatic control system instead of by fixed time control that was an uncontrolled scenario. In 12 test cases, percentage of COD removal is about 91. 075% while 24. 25% time or energy was saved from an average perspective. This proposed soft sensor selection methodology can be applied in field of rural domestic sewage treatment with advantages of time and energy saving. Time-saving results in increasing treatment capacity and energy-saving represents low carbon technology. The proposed methodology provides a framework for investigating ways to reduce costs associated with data collection by replacing costly and unreliable sensors with affordable and reliable alternatives. By adopting this approach, energy conservation can be maintained while meeting emission standards. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Imaginary worlds are present and often central in many of the most culturally successful modern narrative fictions, be it in novels (e.g., Harry Potter), movies (e.g., Star Wars), video games (e.g., The Legend of Zelda), graphic novels (e.g., One Piece) and TV series (e.g., Game of Thrones). We propose that imaginary worlds are popular because they activate exploratory preferences that evolved to help us navigate the real world and find new fitness-relevant information. Therefore, we hypothesize that the attraction to imaginary worlds is intrinsically linked to the desire to explore novel environments and that both are influenced by the same underlying factors. Notably, the inter-individual and cross-cultural variability of the preference for imaginary worlds should follow the inter-individual and cross-cultural variability of exploratory preferences (with the personality trait Openness-to-experience, age, sex, and ecological conditions). We test these predictions with both experimental and computational methods. For experimental tests, we run a pre-registered online experiment about movie preferences (N = 230). For computational tests, we leverage two large cultural datasets, namely the Internet Movie Database (N = 9424 movies) and the Movie Personality Dataset (N = 3.5 million participants), and use machine-learning algorithms (i.e., random forest and topic modeling). In all, consistent with how the human preference for spatial exploration adaptively varies, we provide empirical evidence that imaginary worlds appeal more to more explorative people, people higher in Openness-to-experience, younger individuals, males, and individuals living in more affluent environments. We discuss the implications of these findings for our understanding of the cultural evolution of narrative fiction and, more broadly, the evolution of human exploratory preferences. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Due to the similarity in the grain and difference in the market value among many rice varieties, deliberate mislabeling and adulteration has become a serious problem. To check the authenticity, we aimed to discriminate rice varieties based on their volatile organic compounds (VOCs) composition by headspace solid phase microextraction (HS-SPME) coupled with gas chromatography mass spectrometry (GC–MS). The VOC profiles of Wuyoudao 4 from nine sites in Wuchang were compared to 11 rice cultivar from other regions. Multivariate analysis and unsupervised clustering showed an unambiguous distinction between Wuchang rice and non-Wuchang rice. Partial least squares discriminant analysis (PLS-DA) demonstrated a goodness of fit of 0.90 and a goodness of prediction of 0.85. The discriminating ability of volatile compounds is also supported by Random forest analysis. Our data revealed eight biomarkers including 2-acetyl-1-pyrroline (2-AP) that can be used for variation identification. Taken together, the current method can readily distinguish Wuchang rice from other varieties which it holds great potential in checking the authenticity of rice. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Ethiopia has been challenged by the growing magnitude of diabetes in general and type-2 diabetes in particular. Knowledge extraction from stored dataset can be an important base for better decision on diabetes rapid diagnosis, suggestive on prediction for early intervention. Thus, this study was addressed these problem by application of supervised machine learning algorithms for classification and prediction of type 2 diabetes disease status and might provide context-specific information to program planners and policy makers so that, priority will be given to the more affected groups. To apply supervised machine learning algorithms; compare these algorithms and select the best algorithm based on their performance for classification and prediction of type-2 diabetic disease status (positive or negative) in public hospitals of Afar regional state, Northeastern Ethiopia. This study was conducted at Afar regional state from February to June of 2021. Decision tree; pruned J 48, Artificial neural network, K-nearest neighbor, Support vector machine, Binary logistic regression, Random forest, and Naïve Bayes supervised machine learning algorithms were applied using secondary data from the medical database record review. A total of 2239 sample Dataset diagnosed for diabetes from 2012 to April 22/2020 (1523 with type-2 diabetes and 716 without type-2 diabetes) was checked for its completeness prior to analysis. For all algorithms, WEKA3.7 tool was used for analysis purposes. Moreover, all algorithms were compared based on their correctly classification rate, kappa statistics, confusion matrix, area under the curve, sensitivity, and specificity. From the seven major supervised machine learning algorithms, the best classification and prediction results were obtained from random forest [correctly classified rate (93.8%), kappa statistics (0.85), sensitivity (0.98), area under the curve (0.97) and confusion matrix (out of 454 actual positive prediction for 446)] which was followed by decision tree pruned J 48 [correctly classified rate (91.8%), kappa statistics (0.80), sensitivity (0.96), area under the curve (0.91) and confusion matrices (out of 454 actual positive prediction for 438)] and k-nearest neighbor [correctly classified rate (89.8%), kappa statistics (0.76), sensitivity (0.92), area under the curve (0.88) and confusion matrices (out of 454 actual positive prediction for 421)]. Random forest, Decision tree pruned J48 and k-nearest neighbor algorithms have better classification and prediction performance for classifying and predicting type-2 diabetes disease status. Therefore, based on this performance, random forest algorithm can be judged as suggestive and supportive for clinicians at the time of type-2 diabetes diagnosis. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The combination of TMS and EEG has the potential to capture relevant features of Alzheimer's disease (AD) pathophysiology. We used a machine learning framework to explore time-domain features characterizing AD patients compared to age-matched healthy controls (HC). More than 150 time-domain features including some related to local and distributed evoked activity were extracted from TMS-EEG data and fed into a Random Forest (RF) classifier using a leave-one-subject out validation approach. The best classification accuracy, sensitivity, specificity and F1 score were of 92.95%, 96.15%, 87.94% and 92.03% respectively when using a balanced dataset of features computed globally across the brain. The feature importance and statistical analysis revealed that the maximum amplitude of the post-TMS signal, its Hjorth complexity and the amplitude of the TEP calculated in the window 45–80 ms after the TMS-pulse were the most relevant features differentiating AD patients from HC. TMS-EEG metrics can be used as a non-invasive tool to further understand the AD pathophysiology and possibly contribute to patients' classification as well as longitudinal disease tracking. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Risk-based strategies are widely used for decision making in the prophylaxis of postoperative nausea and vomiting (PONV), a major complication of general anesthesia. However, whether risk is associated with individual treatment effect remains uncertain. Here, we used machine learning-based algorithms for estimating the conditional average treatment effect (CATE) (double machine learning [DML], doubly robust [DR] learner, forest DML, and generalized random forest) to predict the treatment response heterogeneity of dexamethasone, the first choice for prophylactic antiemetics. Electronic health record data of 2026 adult patients who underwent general anesthesia from January to June 2020 were analyzed. The results indicated that only a small subset of patients respond to dexamethasone treatment, and many patients may be non-responders. Estimated CATE did not correlate with predicted risk, suggesting that risk may not be associated with individual treatment responses. The current study suggests that predicting treatment responders by CATE models may be more appropriate for clinical decision making than conventional risk-based strategy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Our emotions and sentiments are influenced by naturalistic stimuli such as the movies we watch and the songs we listen to, accompanied by changes in our brain activation. Comprehension of these brain-activation dynamics can assist in identification of any associated neurological condition such as stress and depression, leading towards making informed decision about suitable stimuli. A large number of open-access functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) datasets collected under naturalistic conditions can be used for classification/prediction studies. However, these datasets do not provide emotion/sentiment labels, which limits their use in supervised learning studies. Manual labeling by subjects can generate these labels, however, this method is subjective and biased. In this study, we are proposing another approach of generating automatic labels from the naturalistic stimulus itself. We are using sentiment analyzers (VADER, TextBlob, and Flair) from natural language processing to generate labels using movie subtitles. Subtitles generated labels are used as the class labels for positive, negative, and neutral sentiments for classification of brain fMRI images. Support vector machine, random forest, decision tree, and deep neural network classifiers are used. We are getting reasonably good classification accuracy (42–84%) for imbalanced data, which is increased (55–99%) for balanced data. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) is a heterogeneous tumor that is highly aggressive and ranks fifth among the most common cancers worldwide. Although, the researches that attempted to construct a diagnostic model were deficient in HNSCC. Currently, the gold standard for diagnosing head and neck tumors is pathology, but this requires a traumatic biopsy. There is still a lack of a noninvasive test for such a high—incidence tumor. In order to screen genetic markers and construct diagnostic model, the methods of random forest (RF) and artificial neural network (ANN) were utilized. The data of HNSCC gene expression was accessed from Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database; we selected three datasets totally, and we combined 2 datasets (GSE6631 and GSE55547) for screening differentially expressed genes (DEGs) and chose another dataset (GSE13399) for validation. Firstly, the 6 DEGs (CRISP3, SPINK5, KRT4, MMP1, MAL, SPP1) were screened by RF. Subsequently, ANN was applied to calculate the weights of 6 genes. Besides, we created a diagnostic model and nominated it as neuralHNSCC, and the performance of neuralHNSCC by area under curve (AUC) was verified using another dataset. Our model achieved an AUC of 0.998 in the training cohort, and 0.734 in the validation cohort. Furthermore, we used the Cell-type Identification using Estimating Relative Subsets of RNA Transcripts (CIBERSORT) algorithm to investigate the difference in immune cell infiltration between HNSCC and normal tissues initially. The selected 6 DEGs and the constructed novel diagnostic model of HNSCC would make contributions to the diagnosis. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

As the incidence of obstructive sleep apnea syndrome (OSAS) increases worldwide, the need for a new screening method that can compensate for the shortcomings of the traditional diagnostic method, polysomnography (PSG), is emerging. In this study, data from 4014 patients were used, and both supervised and unsupervised learning methods were used. Clustering was conducted with hierarchical agglomerative clustering, K-means, bisecting K-means algorithm, Gaussian mixture model, and feature engineering was carried out using both medically researched methods and machine learning techniques. For classification, we used gradient boost-based models such as XGBoost, LightGBM, CatBoost, and Random Forest to predict the severity of OSAS. The developed model showed high performance with 88%, 88%, and 91% of classification accuracy for three thresholds for the severity of OSAS: Apnea-Hypopnea Index (AHI) ≥ 5, AHI ≥ 15, and AHI ≥ 30, respectively. The results of this study demonstrate significant evidence of sufficient potential to utilize machine learning in predicting OSAS severity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

After graphene was first exfoliated in 2004, research worldwide has focused on discovering and exploiting its distinctive electronic, mechanical, and structural properties. Application of the efficacious methodology used to fabricate graphene, mechanical exfoliation followed by optical microscopy inspection, to other analogous bulk materials has resulted in many more two-dimensional (2D) atomic crystals. Despite their fascinating physical properties, manual identification of 2D atomic crystals has the clear drawback of low-throughput and hence is impractical for any scale-up applications of 2D samples. To combat this, recent integration of high-performance machine-learning techniques, usually deep learning algorithms because of their impressive object recognition abilities, with optical microscopy have been used to accelerate and automate this traditional flake identification process. However, deep learning methods require immense datasets and rely on uninterpretable and complicated algorithms for predictions. Conversely, tree-based machine-learning algorithms represent highly transparent and accessible models. We investigate these tree-based algorithms, with features that mimic color contrast, for automating the manual inspection process of exfoliated 2D materials (e.g., MoSe2). We examine their performance in comparison to ResNet, a famous Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), in terms of accuracy and the physical nature of their decision-making process. We find that the decision trees, gradient boosted decision trees, and random forests utilize physical aspects of the images to successfully identify 2D atomic crystals without suffering from extreme overfitting and high training dataset demands. We also employ a post-hoc study that identifies the sub-regions CNNs rely on for classification and find that they regularly utilize physically insignificant image attributes when correctly identifying thin materials. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Drug combinations can be the prime strategy for increasing the initial treatment options in cancer therapy. However, identifying the combinations through experimental approaches is very laborious and costly. Notably, in vitro and/or in vivo examination of all the possible combinations might not be plausible. This study presented a novel computational approach to predicting synergistic drug combinations. Specifically, the deep neural network-based binary classification was utilized to develop the model. Various physicochemical, genomic, protein–protein interaction and protein-metabolite interaction information were used to predict the synergy effects of the combinations of different drugs. The performance of the constructed model was compared with shallow neural network (SNN), k-nearest neighbors (KNN), random forest (RF), support vector machines (SVMs), and gradient boosting classifiers (GBC). Based on our findings, the proposed deep neural network model was found to be capable of predicting synergistic drug combinations with high accuracy. The prediction accuracy and AUC metrics for this model were 92.21% and 97.32% in tenfold cross-validation. According to the results, the integration of different types of physicochemical and genomics features leads to more accurate prediction of synergy in cancer drugs. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The degree to which an individual is willing to take risks i.e., risk tolerance is often cited as a significant causal element in the majority of workplace accidents. It is essential to determine the risk tolerance level of miners and utilise their risk profiles to design improved training modules, safety, recruitment, and deployment policies. This paper aims to identify the most critical factors (or features) influencing miners' risk tolerance in the Indian coal industry and develop a robust prediction model to learn their risk tolerance levels. To do end, we first conducted a questionnaire survey representing the complete feature set (with 36 features) among 360 miners and divided their responses into five classes of risk tolerance. Next, we propose a wrapper based hybrid system that combines particle swarm optimization (PSO) and random forest (RF) to train a multi-class classifier with a subset of features. In general, the proposed system selects the best feature subset by iteratively generating different feature combinations using the PSO and training an RF classifier model to assess the effectiveness of the generated feature subsets for the F1-score. At last, we compared the PSO-RF with four traditional classification methods to evaluate its effectiveness in terms of precision, recall, F1-score, accuracy, goodness-of-fit, and area under the curve. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Using a unique harmonized real‐time data set from the COME-HERE longitudinal survey that covers five European countries (France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and Sweden) and applying a non-parametric machine learning model, this paper identifies the main individual and macro-level predictors of self-protecting behaviors against the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) during the first wave of the pandemic. Exploiting the interpretability of a Random Forest algorithm via Shapely values, we find that a higher regional incidence of COVID-19 triggers higher levels of self-protective behavior, as does a stricter government policy response. The level of individual knowledge about the pandemic, confidence in institutions, and population density also ranks high among the factors that predict self-protecting behaviors. We also identify a steep socioeconomic gradient with lower levels of self-protecting behaviors being associated with lower income and poor housing conditions. Among socio-demographic factors, gender, marital status, age, and region of residence are the main determinants of self-protective measures. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We aimed to explore diagnostic biomarks and immune cell infiltration characteristics in ulcerative colitis (UC). We used the dataset GSE38713 as the training set and dataset GSE94648 as the test set. A total of 402 differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were obtained from GSE38713. Annotating, visualizing, and integrating discovery of these differential genes was performed using Gene Ontology (GO), Kyoto Gene and Genome Encyclopedia Pathway (KEGG), and Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA). Protein–protein interaction networks were constructed from the STRING database, and protein functional modules were identified using the CytoHubba plugin of Cytoscape. Random forest and LASSO regression were used to screen for UC-related diagnostic markers, and ROC curves were generated to validate their diagnostic value. The composition of 22 immune cells was analyzed, and the immune cell infiltration in UC was analyzed using CIBERSORT. Results: Seven diagnostic markers associated with UC were identified: TLCD3A, KLF9, EFNA1, NAAA,WDR4, CKAP4, and CHRNA1. Immune cell infiltration assessment revealed that macrophages M1, activated dendritic cells, and neutrophil cells infiltrated relatively more compared to normal control samples. Our results suggest a new functional feature of UC and suggest potential biomarkers for UC through comprehensive analysis of integrated gene expression data. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The random forest (RF) and support vector machine (SVM) methods are mainstays in molecular machine learning (ML) and compound property prediction. We have explored in detail how binary classification models derived using these algorithms arrive at their predictions. To these ends, approaches from explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) are applicable such as the Shapley value concept originating from game theory that we adapted and further extended for our analysis. In large-scale activity-based compound classification using models derived from training sets of increasing size, RF and SVM with the Tanimoto kernel produced very similar predictions that could hardly be distinguished. However, Shapley value analysis revealed that their learning characteristics systematically differed and that chemically intuitive explanations of accurate RF and SVM predictions had different origins. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The role of RNA N6-methyladenosine (m6A) modification in the regulation of the immune microenvironment in ischaemic cardiomyopathy (ICM) remains largely unclear. This study first identified differential m6A regulators between ICM and healthy samples, and then systematically evaluated the effects of m6A modification on the characteristics of the immune microenvironment in ICM, including the infiltration of immune cells, the human leukocyte antigen (HLA) gene, and HALLMARKS pathways. A total of seven key m6A regulators, including WTAP, ZCH3H13, YTHDC1, FMR1, FTO, RBM15 and YTHDF3, were identified using a random forest classifier. A diagnostic nomogram based on these seven key m6A regulators could effectively distinguish patients with ICM from healthy subjects. We further identified two distinct m6A modification patterns (m6A cluster-A and m6A cluster-B) that are mediated by these seven regulators. Meanwhile, we also noted that one m6A regulator, WTAP, was gradually upregulated, while the others were gradually downregulated in the m6A cluster-A vs. m6A cluster-B vs. healthy subjects. In addition, we observed that the degree of infiltration of the activated dendritic cells, macrophages, natural killer (NK) T cells, and type-17 T helper (Th17) cells gradually increased in m6A cluster-A vs. m6A cluster-B vs. healthy subjects. Furthermore, m6A regulators, including FTO, YTHDC1, YTHDF3, FMR1, ZC3H13, and RBM15 were significantly negatively correlated with the above-mentioned immune cells. Additionally, several differential HLA genes and HALLMARKS signalling pathways between the m6A cluster-A and m6A cluster-B groups were also identified. These results suggest that m6A modification plays a key role in the complexity and diversity of the immune microenvironment in ICM, and seven key m6A regulators, including WTAP, ZCH3H13, YTHDC1, FMR1, FTO, RBM15, and YTHDF3, may be novel biomarkers for the accurate diagnosis of ICM. Immunotyping of patients with ICM will help to develop immunotherapy strategies with a higher level of accuracy for patients with a significant immune response. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

COVID-19 is a newly recognized illness with a predominantly respiratory presentation. Although initial analyses have identified groups of candidate gene biomarkers for the diagnosis of COVID-19, they have yet to identify clinically applicable biomarkers, so we need disease-specific diagnostic biomarkers in biofluid and differential diagnosis in comparison with other infectious diseases. This can further increase knowledge of pathogenesis and help guide treatment. Eight transcriptomic profiles of COVID-19 infected versus control samples from peripheral blood (PB), lung tissue, nasopharyngeal swab and bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF) were considered. In order to find COVID-19 potential Specific Blood Differentially expressed genes (SpeBDs), we implemented a strategy based on finding shared pathways of peripheral blood and the most involved tissues in COVID-19 patients. This step was performed to filter blood DEGs with a role in the shared pathways. Furthermore, nine datasets of the three types of Influenza (H1N1, H3N2, and B) were used for the second step. Potential Differential Blood DEGs of COVID-19 versus Influenza (DifBDs) were found by extracting DEGs involved in only enriched pathways by SpeBDs and not by Influenza DEGs. Then in the third step, a machine learning method (a wrapper feature selection approach supervised by four classifiers of k-NN, Random Forest, SVM, Naïve Bayes) was utilized to narrow down the number of SpeBDs and DifBDs and find the most predictive combination of them to select COVID-19 potential Specific Blood Biomarker Signatures (SpeBBSs) and COVID-19 versus influenza Differential Blood Biomarker Signatures (DifBBSs), respectively. After that, models based on SpeBBSs and DifBBSs and the corresponding algorithms were built to assess their performance on an external dataset. Among all the extracted DEGs from the PB dataset (from common PB pathways with BALF, Lung and Swab), 108 unique SpeBD were obtained. Feature selection using Random Forest outperformed its counterparts and selected IGKC, IGLV3-16 and SRP9 among SpeBDs as SpeBBSs. Validation of the constructed model based on these genes and Random Forest on an external dataset resulted in 93.09% Accuracy. Eighty-three pathways enriched by SpeBDs and not by any of the influenza strains were identified, including 87 DifBDs. Using feature selection by Naive Bayes classifier on DifBDs, FMNL2, IGHV3-23, IGLV2-11 and RPL31 were selected as the most predictable DifBBSs. The constructed model based on these genes and Naive Bayes on an external dataset was validated with 87.2% accuracy. Our study identified several candidate blood biomarkers for a potential specific and differential diagnosis of COVID-19. The proposed biomarkers could be valuable targets for practical investigations to validate their potential. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

It is difficult to accurately estimate the incidence rate of intimate partner violence (IPV) using traditional social survey methods because IPV victims are often reluctant to disclose their experiences, leading to an underestimation of the incidence rate. To address this issue, we applied machine learning algorithms to predict the incidence rate of IPV in China based on data from the Third Wave Survey on the Social Status of Women in China (TWSSSCW 2010). Specifically, we examined five unbalanced sample-processing methods and six machine learning algorithms, choosing the random under-sampling ensemble method and the random forest algorithm to impute the missing data. Analysis of the complete data showed that the incidence rates of physical violence, verbal violence, and cold violence were 7.10%, 13.74%, and 21.35%, respectively, which were higher than the incidence rates in the original dataset (4.05%, 11.21%, and 17.95%, respectively). The robustness of our findings was further confirmed by analysis using different training sets. Overall, this study demonstrates that better tools need to be developed to accurately estimate the incidence rates of IPV. It also serves as a useful guide for future research that imputes missing data using machine learning. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

With the continuous development of information technology and the running speed of computers, the development of informatization has led to the generation of increasingly more medical data. Solving unmet needs such as employing the constantly developing artificial intelligence technology to medical data and providing support for the medical industry is a hot research topic. Cytomegalovirus (CMV) is a kind of virus that exists widely in nature with strict species specificity, and the infection rate among Chinese adults is more than 95%. Therefore, the detection of CMV is of great importance since the vast majority of infected patients are in a state of invisible infection after the infection, except for a few patients with clinical symptoms. In this study, we present a new method to detect CMV infection status by analyzing high-throughput sequencing results of T cell receptor beta chains (TCRβ). Based on the high-throughput sequencing data of 640 subjects from cohort 1, Fisher's exact test was performed to evaluate the relationship between TCRβ sequences and CMV status. Furthermore, the number of subjects with these correlated sequences to different degrees in cohort 1 and cohort 2 were measured to build binary classifier models to identify whether the subject was CMV positive or negative. We select four binary classification algorithms: logistic regression (LR), support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), and linear discriminant analysis (LDA) for side-by-side comparison. According to the performance of different algorithms corresponding to different thresholds, four optimal binary classification algorithm models are obtained. The logistic regression algorithm performs best when Fisher's exact test threshold is 10−5, and the sensitivity and specificity are 87.5% and 96.88%, respectively. The RF algorithm performs better at the threshold of 10−5, with a sensitivity of 87.5% and a specificity of 90.63%. The SVM algorithm also achieves high accuracy at the threshold value of 10−5, with a sensitivity of 85.42% and specificity of 96.88%. The LDA algorithm achieves high accuracy with 95.83% sensitivity and 90.63% specificity when the threshold value is 10−4. This is probably because the two-dimensional distribution of CMV data samples is linearly separable, and linear division models such as LDA are more effective, while the division effect of nonlinear separable algorithms such as random forest is relatively inaccurate. This new finding may be a potential diagnostic method for CMV and may even be applicable to other viruses, such as the infectious history detection of the new coronavirus. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Disparities in premature cardiovascular mortality (PCVM) have been associated with socioeconomic, behavioral, and environmental risk factors. Understanding the "phenotypes", or combinations of characteristics associated with the highest risk of PCVM, and the geographic distributions of these phenotypes is critical to targeting PCVM interventions. This study applied the classification and regression tree (CART) to identify county phenotypes of PCVM and geographic information systems to examine the distributions of identified phenotypes. Random forest analysis was applied to evaluate the relative importance of risk factors associated with PCVM. The CART analysis identified seven county phenotypes of PCVM, where high-risk phenotypes were characterized by having greater percentages of people with lower income, higher physical inactivity, and higher food insecurity. These high-risk phenotypes were mostly concentrated in the Black Belt of the American South and the Appalachian region. The random forest analysis identified additional important risk factors associated with PCVM, including broadband access, smoking, receipt of Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program benefits, and educational attainment. Our study demonstrates the use of machine learning approaches in characterizing community-level phenotypes of PCVM. Interventions to reduce PCVM should be tailored according to these phenotypes in corresponding geographic areas. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In the present study, various statistical and machine learning (ML) techniques were used to understand how device fabrication parameters affect the performance of copper oxide-based resistive switching (RS) devices. In the present case, the data was collected from copper oxide RS devices-based research articles, published between 2008 to 2022. Initially, different patterns present in the data were analyzed by statistical techniques. Then, the classification and regression tree algorithm (CART) and decision tree (DT) ML algorithms were implemented to get the device fabrication guidelines for the continuous and categorical features of copper oxide-based RS devices, respectively. In the next step, the random forest algorithm was found to be suitable for the prediction of continuous-type features as compared to a linear model and artificial neural network (ANN). Moreover, the DT algorithm predicts the performance of categorical-type features very well. The feature importance score was calculated for each continuous and categorical feature by the gradient boosting (GB) algorithm. Finally, the suggested ML guidelines were employed to fabricate the copper oxide-based RS device and demonstrated its non-volatile memory properties. The results of ML algorithms and experimental devices are in good agreement with each other, suggesting the importance of ML techniques for understanding and optimizing memory devices. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]