27 results on '"Climatic factors"'
Search Results
2. Spatiotemporal patterns and driving factors of gross primary productivity over the Mongolian Plateau steppe in the past 20 years.
- Author
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Ding, Lei, Li, Zhenwang, Wang, Xu, Shen, Beibei, Xiao, Liujun, Dong, Gang, Yu, Lu, Nandintsetseg, Banzragch, Shi, Zhou, Chang, Jinfeng, and Shao, Changliang
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
3. Spatio-temporal patterns and control mechanism of the ecosystem carbon use efficiency across the Mongolian Plateau.
- Author
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Liu, Xinyi, Lai, Quan, Yin, Shan, Bao, Yuhai, Tong, Siqin, Adiya, Zolzaya, Sanjjav, Amarjargal, and Gao, Rihe
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- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
4. Nitrogen fertilization rate affects communities of ammonia-oxidizing archaea and bacteria in paddy soils across different climatic zones of China.
- Author
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Ren, Bingjie, Wang, Weiqi, Shen, Lidong, Yang, Wangting, Yang, Yuling, Jin, Jinghao, and Geng, Caiyu
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- 2023
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- View/download PDF
5. Hydraulic study of a non-steady horizontal sub-surface flow constructed wetland during start-up.
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Aylward, Lara, Bonner, Ricky, Sheridan, Craig, and Kappelmeyer, Uwe
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WETLAND ecology , *HYDRAULIC structures , *EVAPOTRANSPIRATION , *CLIMATE change , *FLUORIMETER - Abstract
Abstract This paper describes the hydraulic performance of a start-up, pilot-scale, horizontal sub-surface flow constructed wetland (CW), located outdoors at the Helmholtz UFZ, Leipzig. This paper aims to investigate the impact of the method of hydraulic calculation in a pilot-scale system. Impulse-response tracer tests were conducted at multiple depths and locations throughout the system and the uranine concentration was measured using a fluorometer. In addition, the volumetric flow rate was closely monitored and climatic data was gathered to support the hydraulic results. Werner and Kadlec's modified residence time distribution (RTD) theory (originally developed for systems with large flow rate and volume fluctuations) was applied and the results compared to those obtained using classic RTD theory. Progressive uranine dispersion, broadening of the RTD base, a change in peak shape and extended tailing were observed with increasing distance. All of these factors indicated deviation from plug flow and mixing effects with low-to-moderate dead volume. As this was a non-steady flow system, application of modified RTD theory ensured that the first moments of the normalized breakthrough curves and RTD functions were always unity. The Student's t -test (95% confidence) showed that the outlet RTDs calculated assuming steady-flow were significantly different, but those determined using the modified theory were closely comparable. In general, a decrease in flow rate from inlet to outlet was observed and fluctuations in the outflow were linked to climatic conditions. August was characterized by the highest temperatures, high global radiation and high rates of evapotranspiration. Low or no outflow was recorded in conjunction with high evapotranspiration. The lowest temperatures, low global radiation, low evapotranspiration and high humidity were recorded in October, as well as the second highest rainfall (82 mm) after June (115 mm). Surges in outflow were observed with rain events. Graphical abstract Unlabelled Image Highlights • Impulse-response tracer tests in a start-up, non-steady flow, pilot-scale HSSF CW • Fluctuations in outflow linked to vegetation and climatic conditions. • Comparison of results of classic RTD theory with Werner & Kadlec's modified method • Significant difference between outlet RTDs calculated using standard RTD theory. • Variable flow method should be used preferentially as outlet RTDs are comparable. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
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6. Latitudinal patterns of leaf N, P stoichiometry and nutrient resorption of Metasequoia glyptostroboides along the eastern coastline of China.
- Author
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Zhang, Hui, Guo, Weihong, Yu, Mukui, Wang, G. Geoff, and Wu, Tonggui
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DAWN redwood , *STOICHIOMETRY , *NUTRIENT uptake , *COASTS , *ATMOSPHERIC temperature , *METEOROLOGICAL precipitation - Abstract
Latitudinal patterns of leaf stoichiometry and nutrient resorption were not consistent among published studies, likely due to confounding effects from taxonomy (e.g., plant distribution and community composition), and environment, which is also influenced by altitude and longitude. Thus, the latitudinal patterns and environmental mechanism could be best revealed by testing a given species along a latitude gradient with similar altitude and longitude. We determined nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) concentrations of green (leaf) and senesced leaves (litter) from eight Metasequoia glyptostroboides forests along the eastern coastline of China, with similar altitude and longitude. Leaf N, P concentrations increased along latitude, mainly driven by mean annual temperature (MAT), mean annual precipitation (MAP), annual evaporation (AE), aridity index (AI), and annual total solar radiation (ATSR); While leaf N:P ratio was stable with no latitudinal pattern. Nitrogen resorption efficiency (NRE) increased along latitude, and was also mainly influenced by MAT, MAP, AE, and AI. Phosphorus resorption efficiency (PRE) first increased and then decreased with latitude, which was impacted by soil available P. These results indicated that only climate (such as heat, water, and light) controlled the shift in leaf stoichiometry and NRE, while soil nutrient was likely responsible for the shift in PRE along eastern China. Our findings also suggested that leaf N, P stoichiometry and NRE displayed similar latitudinal patterns at regional scale when studied for a given species (this study) or multi-species (previous studies). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2018
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7. Combined influence of multiple climatic factors on the incidence of bacterial foodborne diseases.
- Author
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Park, Myoung Su, Park, Ki Hwan, and Bahk, Gyung Jin
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FOODBORNE diseases , *CLIMATE change , *FOOD pathogens , *HUMIDITY , *SALMONELLA food poisoning - Abstract
Information regarding the relationship between the incidence of foodborne diseases (FBD) and climatic factors is useful in designing preventive strategies for FBD based on anticipated future climate change. To better predict the effect of climate change on foodborne pathogens, the present study investigated the combined influence of multiple climatic factors on bacterial FBD incidence in South Korea. During 2011–2015, the relationships between 8 climatic factors and the incidences of 13 bacterial FBD, were determined based on inpatient stays, on a monthly basis using the Pearson correlation analyses, multicollinearity tests, principal component analysis (PCA), and the seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) modeling. Of the 8 climatic variables, the combination of temperature, relative humidity, precipitation, insolation, and cloudiness was significantly associated with salmonellosis ( P < 0.01), vibriosis ( P < 0.05), and enterohemorrhagic Escherichia coli O157:H7 infection ( P < 0.01). The combined effects of snowfall, wind speed, duration of sunshine, and cloudiness were not significant for these 3 FBD. Other FBD, including campylobacteriosis, were not significantly associated with any combination of climatic factors. These findings indicate that the relationships between multiple climatic factors and bacterial FBD incidence can be valuable for the development of prediction models for future patterns of diseases in response to changes in climate. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2018
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8. Spatial and temporal evolution of climatic factors and its impacts on potential evapotranspiration in Loess Plateau of Northern Shaanxi, China.
- Author
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Li, C, Wu, PT, Li, XL, Zhou, TW, Sun, SK, Wang, YB, Luan, XB, and Yu, X
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CLIMATE change forecasts , *EVAPOTRANSPIRATION , *IRRIGATION water , *METEOROLOGICAL precipitation , *WATER supply management - Abstract
Agriculture is very sensitive to climate change, and correct forecasting of climate change is a great help to accurate allocation of irrigation water. The use of irrigation water is influenced by crop water demand and precipitation. Potential evapotranspiration (ET 0 ) is a measure of the ability of the atmosphere to remove water from the surface through the processes of evaporation and transpiration, assuming no control on water supply. It plays an important role in assessing crop water requirements, regional dry–wet conditions, and other factors of water resource management. This study analyzed the spatial and temporal evolution processes and characteristics of major meteorological parameters at 10 stations in the Loess Plateau of northern Shaanxi (LPNS). By using the Mann–Kendall trend test with trend–free pre–whitening and the ArcGIS platform, the potential evapotranspiration of each station was quantified by using the Penman–Monteith equation, and the effects of climatic factors on potential evapotranspiration were assessed by analyzing the contribution rate and sensitivity of the climatic factors. The results showed that the climate in LPNS has become warmer and drier. In terms of the sensitivity of ET 0 to the variation of each climatic factor in LPNS, relative humidity (0.65) had the highest sensitivity, followed by daily maximum temperature, wind speed, sunshine hours, and daily minimum temperature (− 0.05). In terms of the contribution rate of each factor to ET 0 , daily maximum temperature (5.16%) had the highest value, followed by daily minimum temperature, sunshine hours, relative humidity, and wind speed (1.14%). This study provides a reference for the management of agricultural water resources and for countermeasures to climate change. According to the climate change and the characteristics of the study area, farmers in the region should increase irrigation to guarantee crop water demand. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
9. Global distributions of foliar nitrogen and phosphorus resorption in forest ecosystems.
- Author
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Huang, Xingzhao, Lu, Zhouying, Xu, Xiaoniu, Wan, Fangfang, Liao, Jiaqiang, and Wang, Jinsong
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- 2023
- Full Text
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10. Four decades of hydrological response to vegetation dynamics and anthropogenic factors in the Three-North Region of China and Mongolia.
- Author
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Li, Dehui, Liu, Kai, Wang, Shudong, Wu, Taixia, Li, Hang, Bo, Yong, Zhang, Hongyan, Huang, Yuling, and Li, Xueke
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- 2023
- Full Text
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11. Impacts of climate change on vegetation phenology over the Great Lakes Region of Central Asia from 1982 to 2014.
- Author
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Gao, Xuan and Zhao, Dongsheng
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- 2022
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12. The influences of the East Asian Monsoon on the spatio-temporal pattern of seasonal influenza activity in China.
- Author
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Zhang, Shuwen, Sun, Zhaobin, He, Juan, Li, Ziming, Han, Ling, Shang, Jing, and Hao, Yu
- Published
- 2022
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13. Peatland pines as a proxy for water table fluctuations: Disentangling tree growth, hydrology and possible human influence.
- Author
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Smiljanić, Marko, Seo, Jeong-Wook, Läänelaid, Alar, van der Maaten-Theunissen, Marieke, Stajić, Branko, and Wilmking, Martin
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PEATLAND forestry , *PEATLAND animals , *PEATLAND ecology , *WATER table ,CLIMATIC factors - Abstract
Dendrochronological investigations of Scots pine ( Pinus sylvestris L.) growing on Männikjärve peatland in central Estonia showed that annual tree growth of peatland pines can be used as a proxy for past variations of water table levels. Reconstruction of past water table levels can help us to better understand the dynamics of various ecological processes in peatlands, e.g. the formation of vegetation patterns or carbon and nitrogen cycling. Männikjärve bog has one of the longest water table records in the boreal zone, continuously monitored since 1956. Common uncertainties encountered while working with peatland trees (e.g. narrow, missing and wedging rings) were in our case exacerbated with difficulties related to the instability of the relationship between tree growth and peatland environment. We hypothesized that the instable relationship was mainly due to a significant change of the limiting factor, i.e. the rise of the water table level due to human activity. To test our hypothesis we had to use several novel methods of tree-ring chronology analysis as well as to test explicitly whether undetected missing rings biased our results. Since the hypothesis that the instable relationship between tree growth and environment was caused by a change in limiting factor could not be rejected, we proceeded to find possible significant changes of past water table levels using structural analysis of the tree-ring chronologies. Our main conclusions were that peatland pines can be proxies to water table levels and that there were several shifting periods of high and low water table levels in the past 200 years. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2014
- Full Text
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14. Comparative infection modeling and control of COVID-19 transmission patterns in China, South Korea, Italy and Iran
- Author
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Runjie Jin, Carlos M. Duarte, Junyu He, Guangwei Chen, Jiaping Wu, Ashton Shortridge, Mingjun He, Susana Agustí, Yutong Jiang, and George Christakos
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China ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Environmental Engineering ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) ,Transmission rate ,Dynamic ,Pneumonia, Viral ,Distancing measures ,Climatic factors ,Iran ,010501 environmental sciences ,01 natural sciences ,Article ,Betacoronavirus ,Republic of Korea ,Pandemic ,medicine ,Humans ,Environmental Chemistry ,Socioeconomics ,Pandemics ,Waste Management and Disposal ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,SARS-CoV-2 ,Public health ,Mortality rate ,COVID-19 ,Outbreak ,Models, Theoretical ,Pollution ,Geography ,Italy ,Infectious disease (medical specialty) ,SEIR ,Coronavirus Infections - Abstract
The COVID-19 has become a pandemic. The timing and nature of the COVID-19 pandemic response and control varied among the regions and from one country to the other, and their role in affecting the spread of the disease has been debated. The focus of this work is on the early phase of the disease when control measures can be most effective. We proposed a modified susceptible-exposed-infected-removed model (SEIR) model based on temporal moving windows to quantify COVID-19 transmission patterns and compare the temporal progress of disease spread in six representative regions worldwide: three Chinese regions (Zhejiang, Guangdong and Xinjiang) vs. three countries (South Korea, Italy and Iran). It was found that in the early phase of COVID-19 spread the disease follows a certain empirical law that is common in all regions considered. Simulations of the imposition of strong social distancing measures were used to evaluate the impact that these measures might have had on the duration and severity of COVID-19 outbreaks in the three countries. Measure-dependent transmission rates followed a modified normal distribution (empirical law) in the three Chinese regions. These rates responded quickly to the launch of the 1st-level Response to Major Public Health Emergency in each region, peaking after 1–2 days, reaching their inflection points after 10–19 days, and dropping to zero after 11–18 days since the 1st-level response was launched. By March 29th, the mortality rates were 0.08% (Zhejiang), 0.54% (Guangdong) and 3.95% (Xinjiang). Subsequent modeling simulations were based on the working assumption that similar infection transmission control measures were taken in South Korea as in Zhejiang on February 25th, in Italy as in Guangdong on February 25th, and in Iran as in Xinjiang on March 8th. The results showed that by June 15th the accumulated infection cases could have been reduced by 32.49% (South Korea), 98.16% (Italy) and 85.73% (Iran). The surface air temperature showed stronger association with transmission rate of COVID-19 than surface relative humidity. On the basis of these findings, disease control measures were shown to be particularly effective in flattening and shrinking the COVID-10 case curve, which could effectively reduce the severity of the disease and mitigate medical burden. The proposed empirical law and the SEIR-temporal moving window model can also be used to study infectious disease outbreaks worldwide., Graphical abstract Unlabelled Image, Highlights • SEIR model can simulate the transmission spread of COVID-19. • Transmission rate followed a modified normal distribution in three regions of China. • Following strict measures, transmission rate reduced to 0 after 11-18 days. • Effective measures can flatten and shrink the curve of COVID-19 cases. • Temperature showed stronger association with COVID-19 than humidity.
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- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
15. Environmental and ecological factors influencing soil functionality of biologically crusted soils by different lichen species in drylands
- Author
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Raúl Ortega, Carmen Trasar-Cepeda, Isabel Miralles, Manuel Esteban Lucas-Borja, R. Soria, Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad (España), Ministerio de Economía, Industria y Competitividad (España), Xunta de Galicia, Junta de Andalucía, European Commission, Trasar-Cepeda, C., and Trasar-Cepeda, C.[0000-0001-9019-5590]
- Subjects
Environmental Engineering ,Lichens ,Bryophyta ,Climatic factors ,Soil respiration ,Soil ,Lichen biocrusts ,Ascomycota ,Enzyme activities ,Environmental Chemistry ,Lichen ,Waste Management and Disposal ,Productivity ,Ecosystem ,Soil Microbiology ,biology ,Agroforestry ,business.industry ,N mineralization ,biology.organism_classification ,Pollution ,Soil quality ,Almeria ,Agriculture ,Microbial biomass-C ,Soil water ,Environmental science ,Christian ministry ,business - Abstract
Biocrusts are an essential soil surface cover at drylands where ecosystems are especially fragile to soil degradationprocesses due to climatic peculiarities. In the present work, (micro)biological and physicochemical properties indic-ative of soil functionality were studied in two different biocrust types dominated byDipolschistes diacapsisandLepraria isidiataand in underlying soil at two different depths (SL1, soil layer right below the biocrusts, and SL2,soil layer underlying SL1) at the Tabernas desert (southeast Spain). The influence of climatic factors (rainfall andtemperature) and general soilproperties on the (micro)biological properties were also analyzed in different envi-ronmental (climatic) conditions over a period of two years. PERMANOVA analyses showed significant statisticaldifferences (Pseudo-F = 63.9; P (perm) = 0.001) among biocrust and soil layers. Throughout the study period, en-zyme activities involved in C, N, and P cycles; microbial biomass-C; basal respiration; and several properties directlyrelated to ecosystem productivity (total organic carbon, total nitrogen, concentration of ammonium and nitrate)were higher in both biocrust types than in the underlying soil layers, showing that biocrusts improved soil functionsrelated to nutrient cycling. These properties progressively diminished in successive soil layers under the biocrusts(biocrusts > SL1 > SL2). Biocrusts showed greater similarity to each other and to SL1 than to SL2 in (micro)biologicalproperties. A distance-based linear model analysis showed that total organic carbon, rainfall, pH, mineralized N-NH4+, and total nitrogen were the most important variables for predicting (micro)biological soil properties inbiocrusts. Different biochemical behavior between the biocrusts and successive underlying soil layers has beenfound in wet periods. After rainfall periods, the biocrusts showed important peaks in basal soil respiration and in en-zyme activities involved in C and P cycles. Nevertheless, soil biochemical properties hardly showed any peak in SL1anddidnotchangeinSL2despitesoilmoisturebeinghigherinthesoillayersbelowthebiocrusts.Correlationanal-yses corroborated the existence of different relationships between soil moisture and enzymatic activities. In biocrusts, soil moisture showed a greater number of significant positive correlations with enzymes such asβ-glucosidase, invertase, and phosphomonoesterase among others, whereas in SL1 it was only correlated with cellu-lase and in SL2 with dehydrogenase. A change in rainfall regime, as predicted by models based on climate changein arid and semiarid zones, could affect the activity of soil enzymes in the biocrusts and underlying layers, thus ag-gravating the degradation of these fragile dryland ecosystems., This study was funded by the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness (MINECO) and FEDER, through the project CGL2017-88734-R (BIORESOC) MINECO/AEI/FEDER, UE, the FEDER-Junta deAndalucía Research Projects: RESTAGRO (UAL18-RNM-A021-B) andRestoration of Abandoned Agricultural Soils in Semiarid Zones toImprove Productivity and Soil Quality and Enhance Carbon Sequestra-tion (P18-RT-4112), and by the Xunta de Galicia by the projectIN607A 2017/6. Isabel Miralles is grateful for funding received fromthe Ramón y Cajal Research Grant (RYC-2016-21191) from the SpanishMinistry of Economy,Industry andCompetitiveness (MINECO)and Raúl Ortega thanks his postdoctoral contract HIPATIA of the University of Almería Research Plan.
- Published
- 2021
16. Climate as the most important factor determining anti-fungal biocide performance in paint films
- Author
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Shirakawa, Márcia Aiko, Tavares, Roberta Gonçalves, Gaylarde, Christine Claire, Taqueda, Maria Elena Santos, Loh, Kai, and John, Vanderley Moacyr
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WEATHER , *ANTIFUNGAL agents , *FUNGICIDES , *PAINT , *THIN films , *CONCRETE blocks , *COLONIZATION (Ecology) - Abstract
Abstract: The effect of Pigment Volume Content (PVC) on fungal growth on acrylic paint formulations with and without biocide, exposed to weathering in three different climatic regions in Brazil for four years, was studied. Latex paints, with PVC of 30%, 35% and 50%, were applied to autoclaved aerated concrete blocks pre-covered with acrylic sealer and acrylic plaster. They were exposed to equatorial, tropical and temperate climates in north, south-east, and south Brazil. Cladosporium was the most abundant fungal genus detected in the biofilm on the surfaces of all paint formulations at all sites after four years. Heaviest fungal colonization occurred in the tropical south-east and lightest in the temperate south of the country, but more phototrophs, principally cyanobacteria, were detected in the equatorial region. PVC and presence of biocides were shown to be of less importance than environmental conditions (irradiance, humidity and temperature) for biofilm formation and consequent discolouration. These results have important implications for testing of paint formulations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2010
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
17. Erratum to “Temperature and hydrological variations of the urban environment in the Taipei metropolitan area, Taiwan”
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Wang, Chung-Ho, Lin, Wen-Zer, Peng, Tsung-Ren, and Tsai, Hsiao-Chung
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CLIMATE change , *GLOBAL warming , *WATER table , *METROPOLITAN areas , *HYDROGEOLOGY , *GROUNDWATER ,CLIMATIC factors - Abstract
Abstract: In this study, the temperature, precipitation and groundwater level variations and changing patterns with varied time scales are presented for Taipei metropolitan area which consists of the capital city with neighboring counties. Along with the continuous city expansion during the past decades, global warming and heat island effect have generated perceivable negative impacts on environmental and reflect on the climatic and hydrological parameters. In addition to accelerating climate warming, hydrological extremity becomes more evident during the past decades and greatly elevates the risks of drought and floods in the study area. These observations in the Taipei metropolitan area support the common hypothesis that climate variability would increase as climate warms. The air temperature records, in conjunction with hydrological data, provide useful and invaluable information for the ongoing study of subsurface environmental changes resulting from nature and anthropogenic influences in Taipei metropolitan area. The continuing climatic warming and hydrological extremity would create observable impacts on the subsurface environment of Taipei metropolitan area and need to pursue in a fast and efficient pace. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]
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- 2009
- Full Text
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18. Spatial patterns and driving factors of aboveground and belowground biomass over the eastern Eurasian steppe.
- Author
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Ding, Lei, Li, Zhenwang, Shen, Beibei, Wang, Xu, Xu, Dawei, Yan, Ruirui, Yan, Yuchun, Xin, Xiaoping, Xiao, Jingfeng, Li, Ming, and Wang, Ping
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
19. Environmental and ecological factors influencing soil functionality of biologically crusted soils by different lichen species in drylands.
- Author
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Miralles, Isabel, Trasar-Cepeda, Carmen, Soria, Rocío, Ortega, Raúl, and Lucas-Borja, Manuel Esteban
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
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20. Disaggregating climatic and anthropogenic influences on vegetation changes in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region of China.
- Author
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Jiang, Meichen, He, Yuexin, Song, Conghe, Pan, Yuepeng, Qiu, Tong, and Tian, Shufang
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- 2021
- Full Text
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21. Climate change versus land-use change—What affects the ecosystem services more in the forest-steppe ecotone?
- Author
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Cui, Fengqi, Wang, Bojie, Zhang, Qin, Tang, Haiping, De Maeyer, Philippe, Hamdi, Rafiq, and Dai, Luwei
- Abstract
The Ecosystem services (ESs), which play an important role in the balance of the natural ecosystem and social-economic development, are suffering from degradation caused by human activities and climate change. However, the manner in which the ESs respond to the land use/cover changes (LUCCs) and the climatic factors respectively remain elusive, especially in the forest-steppe ecotone, which is highly sensitive to climate change and anthroponotic activities. Based on the remote sensing data and in situ meteorological data, we comprehensively modeled and compared 4 key ESs changes caused by 3 LUCC types, land-use change fraction, and climate changes through two simple comparative experiments. Our results showed that: the Grain for the Green Project improved the mean soil conservation, carbon sequestration, and water yield but reduced the sand fixation. The cropland expansion had a positive influence on the water yield and sand fixation, but it induced a decline in soil conservation and carbon sequestration. The urbanization very likely increased the water yield and decreased soil conservation, carbon sequestration, and sand fixation. The unequal change fractions of the same land-use conversion may affect the ESs differently. The ESs changes have different responses to climate change in different landscapes due to the ecological process. The water yield could be well explained by the temperature, precipitation, radiation, and wind speed. Climate change had a stronger effect on the water yield and carbon sequestration than the land use/cover changes but sand fixation and soil conservation were more likely to be affected by LUCCs. The impact of three types of land-use changes and climate change on the ecosystem services should be considered when formulating land-use policies. This paper might aid the decision-makers in achieving ESs sustainable management and develop land-use strategies in the forest-steppe ecotone. Unlabelled Image • The influence of LUCC and climate changes on ESs were quantified and compared. • The unequal change fractions of the same land-use conversion may affect the ESs differently. • The WY and CS were mainly influenced by the climate change, while SF and SC were mainly influenced by the LUCC. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
22. Comparative infection modeling and control of COVID-19 transmission patterns in China, South Korea, Italy and Iran.
- Author
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He, Junyu, Chen, Guangwei, Jiang, Yutong, Jin, Runjie, Shortridge, Ashton, Agusti, Susana, He, Mingjun, Wu, Jiaping, Duarte, Carlos M., and Christakos, George
- Abstract
The COVID-19 has become a pandemic. The timing and nature of the COVID-19 pandemic response and control varied among the regions and from one country to the other, and their role in affecting the spread of the disease has been debated. The focus of this work is on the early phase of the disease when control measures can be most effective. We proposed a modified susceptible-exposed-infected-removed model (SEIR) model based on temporal moving windows to quantify COVID-19 transmission patterns and compare the temporal progress of disease spread in six representative regions worldwide: three Chinese regions (Zhejiang, Guangdong and Xinjiang) vs. three countries (South Korea, Italy and Iran). It was found that in the early phase of COVID-19 spread the disease follows a certain empirical law that is common in all regions considered. Simulations of the imposition of strong social distancing measures were used to evaluate the impact that these measures might have had on the duration and severity of COVID-19 outbreaks in the three countries. Measure-dependent transmission rates followed a modified normal distribution (empirical law) in the three Chinese regions. These rates responded quickly to the launch of the 1st-level Response to Major Public Health Emergency in each region, peaking after 1–2 days, reaching their inflection points after 10–19 days, and dropping to zero after 11–18 days since the 1st-level response was launched. By March 29th, the mortality rates were 0.08% (Zhejiang), 0.54% (Guangdong) and 3.95% (Xinjiang). Subsequent modeling simulations were based on the working assumption that similar infection transmission control measures were taken in South Korea as in Zhejiang on February 25th, in Italy as in Guangdong on February 25th, and in Iran as in Xinjiang on March 8th. The results showed that by June 15th the accumulated infection cases could have been reduced by 32.49% (South Korea), 98.16% (Italy) and 85.73% (Iran). The surface air temperature showed stronger association with transmission rate of COVID-19 than surface relative humidity. On the basis of these findings, disease control measures were shown to be particularly effective in flattening and shrinking the COVID-10 case curve, which could effectively reduce the severity of the disease and mitigate medical burden. The proposed empirical law and the SEIR-temporal moving window model can also be used to study infectious disease outbreaks worldwide. Unlabelled Image • SEIR model can simulate the transmission spread of COVID-19. • Transmission rate followed a modified normal distribution in three regions of China. • Following strict measures, transmission rate reduced to 0 after 11-18 days. • Effective measures can flatten and shrink the curve of COVID-19 cases. • Temperature showed stronger association with COVID-19 than humidity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
23. Time lag of vegetation growth on the Loess Plateau in response to climate factors: Estimation, distribution, and influence.
- Author
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Kong, Dongxian, Miao, Chiyuan, Wu, Jingwen, Zheng, Haiyan, and Wu, Sihong
- Abstract
Vegetation growth is importantly affected by seasonal weather patterns. The time lag between changes in these patterns and the vegetative response is an important factor in vegetation–climate interactions and can vary considerably with the spatial heterogeneity of an ecosystem. In this study of the Loess Plateau, China, highly accurate time lags were determined at the daily scale using linear regression based on a multiyear normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) dataset (1982–2015) and the corresponding reconstructed monthly climate series. We found that lag length varied among catchments, vegetation zones, and land-cover types. The mean time lag between precipitation and the NDVI response varied from 7.9 days to 17.7 days across the catchments; for temperature and NDVI, the lag in response ranged from 6.2 days to 25.3 days. Across the six vegetation zones that range from the southeast to the northwest of the Loess Plateau, both the precipitation–NDVI and temperature–NDVI lag lengths were largest in the central zones and lower in the zones closer to the edges of the plateau. Among the different land-cover types, grassland had the largest lags between precipitation or temperature change and the NDVI response, followed by shrubland, arable land, and then forests. The possible impact of vegetative time lags on sediment yield was also investigated for the first time, and this information has great relevance for soil conservation on the Loess Plateau and sediment reduction in the lower Yellow River. Unlabelled Image • Daily-scale time lags between precipitation/temperature and NDVI were detected. • Vegetative response on the central plateau exhibited the longest lag length. • Grassland had the longest lags between precipitation/temperature and the NDVI. • Reducing vegetative time lags following seasonal weather may suppress sediment yield. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
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24. Association between climatic factors and varicella incidence in Guangzhou, Southern China, 2006–2018.
- Author
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Lu, Jian-yun, Zhang, Zhou-bin, He, Qing, Ma, Xiao-wei, and Yang, Zhi-cong
- Abstract
To analyze the correlation between climatic factors and the incidence of varicella in Guangzhou, and improve the prevention measures about public health. Data for daily climatic variables and varicella incidence from 2006 to 2018 in Guangzhou were collected from the Guangzhou Meteorological Bureau and the National Notifiable Disease Report System. Distributed lag nonlinear models were applied to evaluate the association between climatic factors and varicella incidence. The nonlinear effects of meteorological factors were observed. At lag day21,when the mean temperature was 31.8 °C, the relative risk was the highest as 1.11 (95% CI: 1.07–1.16). When the diurnal temperature range was 24.0 °C at lag day 20, the highest RR was 1.11 (95% CI: 1.05–1.17). For rainfall, the highest RR was 1.09 (95% CI: 1.01–1.19) at lag day 21,when the aggregate rainfall was 160 mm. When air pressure was 1028 hPa, the highest RR was 1.08 (95% CI: 1.04–1.13) at lag day 21. When wind speed was 0.7 m/s, the highest RR was 1.07 (95% CI: 1.04–1.11) at lag day 7. When the hours of sunshine were 9.0 h at lag day 21, the RR was highest as 1.04 (95% CI: 1.02–1.05). Aggregate rainfall, air pressure, and sunshine hours were positively correlated with the incidence of varicella, which was inconsistent with the wind velocity. Mean temperature showed a reverse U-shape curve relationship with varicella, while the diurnal temperature range showed a binomial distribution curve. The extreme effect of climatic factors on the varicella cases was statistically significant, apart from the extremely low effect of rainfall. Our preliminary results offered fundamental knowledge which might be benefit to give an insight into epidemic trends of varicella and develop an early warning system. We could use our findings about influential factors to strengthen the intervention and prevention of varicella. Fig. 3 Dimensional Plots of the relative risk of climatic factors on varicella incidence. Unlabelled Image • To explore the relationships between 7 climatic factors and varicella by DLNMs • Extreme effects and delayed effects of climatic factors were analyzed. • Climatic factors have a significant impact on varicella incidence. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2020
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25. Environmental filtering, predominance of strong competitor trees and exclusion of moderate-weak competitor trees shape species richness and biomass.
- Author
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Ali, Arshad, Sanaei, Anvar, Nalivan, Omid Asadi, Ahmadaali, Khaled, Pour, Mohsen Javanmiri, Valipour, Ahmad, Karami, Jalil, Aminpour, Mohammad, Kaboli, Hasan, and Askari, Yousef
- Abstract
Strong competitor (i.e. big-sized) trees are globally crucial for promoting aboveground biomass. Still, we do not fully understand the simultaneous influences of different levels of competitor (i.e. strong, moderate, medium and weak) trees at stand level in shaping forest diversity and biomass along a climatic gradient. We hypothesized that few strong competitor trees shape the positive relationship between tree species richness and aboveground biomass better than moderate, medium and weak competitor trees along a climatic gradient. Using the forest inventory data (i.e. tree diameter, height and crown diameter), we quantified strong (i.e. 99th percentile; top 1%), moderate (i.e. 75th percentile; top 25%), medium (i.e. 50th percentile) and weak (i.e. 25th percentile) competitor trees as well as species richness and aboveground biomass of 248 plots (moist temperate, semi-humid, and semi-arid forests) across 12 sites in Iran. The main results from three piecewise structural equation models (i.e. tree diameter, height and crown based models) showed that, after considering the simultaneous fixed effects of climate and random effects of sites or forest types variation, strong competitor trees possessed strong positive effects on tree species richness and biomass whereas moderate, medium and weak competitor trees possessed negligible positive to negative effects. Also, different levels of competitor trees promoted each other in a top-down way but the effects of strong competitor trees on moderate, medium and weak competitor trees were relatively weak. This study suggests that the simultaneous interactions of different tree sizes at stand level across forest sites should be included in the integrative ecological modeling for better understanding the role of different levels of competitor trees in shaping positive forest diversity – functioning relationship in a changing environment. Unlabelled Image • Different levels of competitor trees promoted each other in a top-down way. • Strong competitor trees promoted but moderate-weak competitor trees declined species richness. • Strong competitor trees promoted biomass directly and indirectly via species richness. • Environmental filtering shaped biomass via strong competitor trees. • Climatic drought could decline species richness directly. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2020
- Full Text
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26. Geographical distribution and determining factors of different invasive ranks of alien species across China.
- Author
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Zhou, Quanlai, Wang, Yongcui, Li, Xuehua, Liu, Zhimin, Wu, Jing, Musa, Ala, Ma, Qun, Yu, Haibin, Cui, Xue, and Wang, Lixin
- Abstract
Determination of the geographical distribution and life-form spectra of alien species with different invasive abilities are essential to understand the process of invasion and to develop measures to manage alien species. Based on six classifications of Chinese alien species, environmental and social data, we determined species density, life-form spectrum of alien species, and the relationship between species density of alien species and climatic or social factors. The species density of alien species increased from the northwest to the southeast regions of China for all the six ranks. The boundary line between low and high species density of alien species was consistent with the dividing line of population density (the "Hu Line"). Mean annual precipitation was the most important factor for species density in malignant invaders, serious invaders, local invaders, and species requiring further observation (Ranks I, II, III, and V, respectively). Gross domestic product per square kilometer and annual minimum temperature were the most important factors in mild invaders and cultivated aliens (Ranks IV and VI, respectively). Annual and biennial herbs made up 52.9% to 71.2% of total species in Ranks I to IV; shrubs and trees 3.7% to 14.7%. The annual and biennial herbs were 35.5% and 32.6%, and the shrubs and trees were 25.3% and 31.6% in Ranks IV and VI. Results implied that precipitation was the most important factor on species density for the invasive alien species. However, social factors and temperature were the most important factors for the non-invasive alien species. The invasive alien species had a high proportion of annual and biennial herbs and non-invasive alien had a high proportion of shrubs and trees. It is important to understand the geographical distribution and life-form spectra of various invasive alien species for alien species controls. Unlabelled Image • The species density of alien species increased from the northwest to the southeast regions of China. • Climatic and social factors affecting species density distribution were determined. • Life-form spectra traits of various invasive alien species were found. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2020
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27. Impacts of climatic and edaphic factors on the diversity, structure and biomass of species-poor and structurally-complex forests.
- Author
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Ali, Arshad, Sanaei, Anvar, Li, Mingshi, Nalivan, Omid Asadi, Ahmadaali, Khaled, Pour, Mohsen Javanmiri, Valipour, Ahmad, Karami, Jalil, Aminpour, Mohammad, Kaboli, Hasan, and Askari, Yousef
- Abstract
Understanding the impacts of multiple climatic and edaphic factors on forest diversity, structure and biomass is crucial to predicting how forests will react to global environmental change. Here, we addressed how do forest structural attributes (i.e. top 1% big, top 25% big medium and small trees; in terms of tree height, diameter, and crown), species richness, and aboveground biomass respond to temperature-related and water-related climatic factors as well as to edaphic factors. By assuming disturbance as a constant factor in the study forests, we hypothesize that water-related and temperature-related climatic factors play contrasting roles whereas edaphic factors play an additional role in shaping forest diversity, structure and aboveground biomass in species-poor and structurally-complex forests. We used forest inventory and environmental factors data from 248 forest plots (moist temperate, semi-humid, and semi-arid) across 12 sites in Iran. We developed multiple linear mixed-effect models for each response variable by using multiple climatic and edaphic factors as fixed effects whereas sites as a random effect. Top 1% big, top 25% big, medium, and small trees enhanced with mean annual temperature but declined with water-related climatic (i.e. mean annual precipitation, cloud cover, potential evapotranspiration, and wet day frequency) factors, whereas soil texture (i.e. sand content) and pH were of additional importance. Species richness increased with precipitation and cloud cover but decreased with temperature, potential evapotranspiration, soil fertility and sand content. Aboveground biomass increased along temperature gradient but decreased with potential evapotranspiration, clay and sand contents. Temperature seemed to be the main driver underlying the increase in forest structure (i.e. diameter-related attributes) and biomass whereas precipitation did so for species richness. We argue that the impacts of multiple climatic factors on forest structural attributes, diversity and biomass should be properly evaluated in order to better understand the responses of species-poor forests to climate change. Unlabelled Image • Temperature promoted large-diameter trees as well as biomass. • Precipitation increased but temperature decreased species richness. • Water-related climatic factors decreased forest structure and biomass. • Soil nutrients and texture were of additional importance. • Forest structure, diversity and biomass were dependent on sites variation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
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