1. Decompounding discrete distributions: A nonparametric Bayesian approach
- Author
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Shota Gugushvili, Ester Mariucci, and Frank van der Meulen
- Subjects
Statistics and Probability ,Nonparametric Bayesian estimation ,Markov chain Monte Carlo scheme ,Metropolis-Hastings algorithm ,Mathematics - Statistics Theory ,Natural number ,Statistics Theory (math.ST) ,01 natural sciences ,compound Poisson process ,Wiskundige en Statistische Methoden - Biometris ,010104 statistics & probability ,symbols.namesake ,Frequentist inference ,Compound Poisson process ,Gibbs sampler ,FOS: Mathematics ,diophantine equation ,Applied mathematics ,62G20 (Primary), 62M30 (Secondary) ,0101 mathematics ,Mathematical and Statistical Methods - Biometris ,Mathematics ,Nonparametric Bayesian approach ,010102 general mathematics ,Estimator ,Markov chain Monte Carlo ,Poisson process ,510.72 ,Metropolis–Hastings algorithm ,Sample size determination ,symbols ,Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty ,Gibbs sampling ,data augmentation - Abstract
Suppose that a compound Poisson process is observed discretely in time and assume that its jump distribution is supported on the set of natural numbers. In this paper we propose a non-parametric Bayesian approach to estimate the intensity of the underlying Poisson process and the distribution of the jumps. We provide a MCMC scheme for obtaining samples from the posterior. We apply our method on both simulated and real data examples, and compare its performance with the frequentist plug-in estimator proposed by Buchmann and Gr\"ubel. On a theoretical side, we study the posterior from the frequentist point of view and prove that as the sample size $n\rightarrow\infty$, it contracts around the `true', data-generating parameters at rate $1/\sqrt{n}$, up to a $\log n$ factor., Comment: 27 pages, 7 figures
- Published
- 2020
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