1. Determinants of the term premium in Brazil.
- Author
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da Costa Filho, Adonias Evaristo
- Subjects
- *
INTEREST rates , *MONETARY policy , *PRICE inflation , *EXTERNAL debts , *GROSS domestic product , *DEBT - Abstract
This paper uses a model to decompose nominal yields in expected shortterm future rates and the term premium. It then uses regressions to explain the determinants of the term premium in Brazil. Among external variables, U.S. term premium and monetary policy help to explain Brazilian 10-year term premium, while among domestic variables, survey expectations for inflation, GDP growth, the Selic policy rate and net debt, along with their disagreement, contribute to explain movements in the Brazilian 10-year term premium. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023