127 results on '"early warning score"'
Search Results
2. A multicentre validation study of the deep learning-based early warning score for predicting in-hospital cardiac arrest in patients admitted to general wards.
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Lee, Yeon Joo, Cho, Kyung-Jae, Kwon, Oyeon, Park, Hyunho, Lee, Yeha, Kwon, Joon-Myoung, Park, Jinsik, Kim, Jung Soo, Lee, Man-Jong, Kim, Ah Jin, Ko, Ryoung-Eun, Jeon, Kyeongman, and Jo, You Hwan
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CARDIAC arrest , *CARDIAC patients , *RECEIVER operating characteristic curves , *DEEP learning , *ADULTS - Abstract
Background: The recently developed deep learning (DL)-based early warning score (DEWS) has shown potential in predicting deteriorating patients. We aimed to validate DEWS in multiple centres and compare the prediction, alarming and timeliness performance with the modified early warning score (MEWS) to identify patients at risk for in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA).Method/research Design: This retrospective cohort study included adult patients admitted to the general wards of five hospitals during a 12-month period. The occurrence of IHCA within 24 h of vital sign observation was the outcome of interest. We assessed the discrimination using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC).Results: The study population consists of 173,368 patients (224 IHCAs). The predictive performance of DEWS was superior to that of MEWS in both the internal (AUROC: 0.860 vs. 0.754, respectively) and external (AUROC: 0.905 vs. 0.785, respectively) validation cohorts. At the same specificity, DEWS had a higher sensitivity than MEWS, and at the same sensitivity, DEWS reduced the mean alarm count by nearly half of MEWS. Additionally, DEWS was able to predict more IHCA patients in the 24-0.5 h before the outcome, and DEWS was reasonably calibrated.Conclusion: Our study showed that DEWS was superior to MEWS in three key aspects (IHCA predictive, alarming, and timeliness performance). This study demonstrates the potential of DEWS as an effective, efficient screening tool in rapid response systems (RRSs) to identify high-risk patients. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2021
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3. Evaluating the performance of the National Early Warning Score in different diagnostic groups.
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Price, Connor, Prytherch, David, Kostakis, Ina, and Briggs, Jim
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EARLY warning score , *RECEIVER operating characteristic curves , *VITAL records (Births, deaths, etc.) , *CLINICAL deterioration - Abstract
The National Early Warning Score (NEWS) is used in hospitals across the UK to detect deterioration of patients within care pathways. It is used for most patients, but there are relatively few studies validating its performance in groups of patients with specific conditions. The performance of NEWS was evaluated against 36 other Early Warning Scores, in 123 patient groups, through use of the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve technique, to compare the abilities of each Early Warning Score to discriminate an outcome within 24hrs of vital sign recording. Outcomes evaluated were death, ICU admission, or a combined outcome of either death or ICU admission within 24 hours of an observation set. The National Early Warning Score 2 performs either best or joint best within 120 of the 123 patient groups evaluated and is only outperformed in prediction of unanticipated ICU admission. When outperformed by other Early Warning Scores in the remaining 3 patient groups, the performance difference was marginal. Consistently high performance indicates that NEWS is a suitable early warning score to use for all diagnostic groups considered by this analysis, and patients are not disadvantaged through use of NEWS in comparison to any of the other evaluated Early Warning Scores. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2023
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4. A comparison of the ability of the National Early Warning Score and the National Early Warning Score 2 to identify patients at risk of in-hospital mortality: A multi-centre database study.
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Pimentel, Marco A.F., Redfern, Oliver C., Gerry, Stephen, Collins, Gary S., Malycha, James, Prytherch, David, Schmidt, Paul E., Smith, Gary B., and Watkinson, Peter J.
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PATIENT monitoring , *HOSPITAL mortality , *CARDIAC arrest , *VITAL signs , *RESPIRATORY insufficiency , *ACUTE medical care - Abstract
Abstract Aims To compare the ability of the National Early Warning Score (NEWS) and the National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) to identify patients at risk of in-hospital mortality and other adverse outcomes. Methods We undertook a multi-centre retrospective observational study at five acute hospitals from two UK NHS Trusts. Data were obtained from completed adult admissions who were not fit enough to be discharged alive on the day of admission. Diagnostic coding and oxygen prescriptions were used to identify patients with type II respiratory failure (T2RF). The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality within 24 h of a vital signs observation. Secondary outcomes included unanticipated intensive care unit admission or cardiac arrest within 24 h of a vital signs observation. Discrimination was assessed using the c-statistic. Results Among 251,266 adult admissions, 48,898 were identified to be at risk of T2RF by diagnostic coding. In this group, NEWS2 showed statistically significant lower discrimination (c-statistic, 95% CI) for identifying in-hospital mortality within 24 h (0.860, 0.857–0.864) than NEWS (0.881, 0.878-0.884). For 1394 admissions with documented T2RF, discrimination was similar for both systems: NEWS2 (0.841, 0.827-0.855), NEWS (0.862, 0.848–0.875). For all secondary endpoints, NEWS2 showed no improvements in discrimination. Conclusions NEWS2 modifications to NEWS do not improve discrimination of adverse outcomes in patients with documented T2RF and decrease discrimination in patients at risk of T2RF. Further evaluation of the relationship between SpO 2 values, oxygen therapy and risk should be investigated further before wide-scale adoption of NEWS2. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2019
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5. Predicting in-hospital mortality and unanticipated admissions to the intensive care unit using routinely collected blood tests and vital signs: Development and validation of a multivariable model.
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Redfern, Oliver C, Pimentel, Marco A F, Prytherch, David, Meredith, Paul, Clifton, David A, Tarassenko, Lionel, Smith, Gary B, and Watkinson, Peter J
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HOSPITAL admission & discharge , *INTENSIVE care units , *MORTALITY , *BLOOD testing , *VITAL signs , *EMERGENCY medical services , *COMPARATIVE studies , *HOSPITAL care , *RESEARCH methodology , *MEDICAL cooperation , *RESEARCH , *RISK assessment , *EVALUATION research , *RETROSPECTIVE studies , *SEVERITY of illness index , *RECEIVER operating characteristic curves , *STATISTICAL models , *HOSPITAL mortality - Abstract
Aim: The National Early Warning System (NEWS) is based on vital signs; the Laboratory Decision Tree Early Warning Score (LDT-EWS) on laboratory test results. We aimed to develop and validate a new EWS (the LDTEWS:NEWS risk index) by combining the two and evaluating the discrimination of the primary outcome of unanticipated intensive care unit (ICU) admission or in-hospital mortality, within 24 h.Methods: We studied emergency medical admissions, aged 16 years or over, admitted to Oxford University Hospitals (OUH) and Portsmouth Hospitals (PH). Each admission had vital signs and laboratory tests measured within their hospital stay. We combined LDT-EWS and NEWS values using a linear time-decay weighting function imposed on the most recent blood tests. The LDTEWS:NEWS risk index was developed using data from 5 years of admissions to PH, and validated on a year of data from both PH and OUH. We tested the risk index's ability to discriminate the primary outcome using the c-statistic.Results: The development cohort contained 97,933 admissions (median age = 73 years) of which 4723 (4.8%) resulted inhospital death and 1078 (1.1%) in unanticipated ICU admission. We validated the risk index using data from PH (n = 21,028) and OUH (n = 16,383). The risk index showed a higher discrimination in the validation sets (c-statistic value (95% CI)) (PH, 0.901 (0.898-0.905); OUH, 0.916 (0.911-0.921)), than NEWS alone (PH, 0.877 (0.873-0.882); OUH, 0.898 (0.893-0.904)).Conclusions: The LDTEWS:NEWS risk index increases the ability to identify patients at risk of deterioration, compared to NEWS alone. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2018
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6. Can early warning scores identify deteriorating patients in pre-hospital settings? A systematic review.
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Patel, Rita, Nugawela, Manjula D., Edwards, Hannah B., Richards, Alison, Le Roux, Hein, Pullyblank, Anne, and Whiting, Penny
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CRITICAL care medicine , *HOSPITAL patients , *EMERGENCY medical services , *ACCURACY , *DATABASES , *SEVERITY of illness index , *RISK assessment , *ACUTE diseases - Abstract
Objective: To evaluate the effectiveness and predictive accuracy of early warning scores (EWS) to predict deteriorating patients in pre-hospital settings.Methods: Systematic review. Seven databases searched to August 2017. Study quality was assessed using QUADAS-2. A narrative synthesis is presented.Eligibility: Studies that evaluated EWS predictive accuracy or that compared outcomes in populations that did or did not use EWS, in any pre-hospital setting were eligible for inclusion. EWS were included if they aggregated three or more physiological parameters.Results: Seventeen studies (157,878 participants) of predictive accuracy were included (16 in ambulance service and 1 in nursing home). AUCs ranged from 0.50 (CI not reported) to 0.89 (95%CI 0.82, 0.96). AUCs were generally higher (>0.80) for prediction of mortality within short time frames or for combination outcomes that included mortality and ICU admission. Few patients with low scores died at any time point. Patients with high scores were at risk of deterioration. Results were less clear for intermediate thresholds (≥4 or 5). Five studies were judged at low or unclear risk of bias, all others were judged at high risk of bias.Conclusions: Very low and high EWS are able to discriminate between patients who are not likely and those who are likely to deteriorate in the pre-hospital setting. No study compared outcomes pre- and post-implementation of EWS so there is no evidence on whether patient outcomes differ between pre-hospital settings that do and do not use EWS. Further studies are required to address this question and to evaluate EWS in pre-hospital settings. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2018
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7. The introduction of a rapid response system in acute hospitals: A pragmatic stepped wedge cluster randomised controlled trial.
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Haegdorens, Filip, Van Bogaert, Peter, Roelant, Ella, De Meester, Koen, Misselyn, Marie, Wouters, Kristien, and Monsieurs, Koenraad G.
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CARDIOPULMONARY resuscitation , *HOSPITAL admission & discharge , *INTENSIVE care units , *DISEASE incidence , *COMORBIDITY , *RANDOMIZED controlled trials - Abstract
Aim: Deterioration of hospitalised patients is often missed, misinterpreted, and mismanaged. Rapid Response Systems (RRSs) have been proposed to solve this problem. This study aimed to investigate the effect of an RRS on the incidence of unexpected death, cardiac arrest with cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR), and unplanned intensive care unit (ICU) admission.Methods: We conducted a stepped wedge cluster randomised controlled trial including 14 Belgian acute care hospitals with two medical and two surgical wards each. The intervention comprised a standardised observation and communication protocol including a pragmatic medical response strategy. Comorbidity and nurse staff levels were collected as potential confounders.Results: Twenty-eight wards of seven hospitals were studied from October 2013 until May 2015 and included in the final analysis. The control group contained 34,267 patient admissions and the intervention group 35,389. When adjusted for clustering and study time, we found no significant difference between the control and intervention group in unexpected death rates (1.5 vs 0.7/1000, OR 0.82, 95%CI 0.34-1.95), cardiac arrest rates (1.3 vs 1.0/1000, OR 0.71, 95%CI 0.33-1.52) or unplanned ICU admissions (6.5 vs 10.3/1000, OR 1.23, 95%CI 0.91-1.65).Conclusion: Our intervention had no significant effect on the incidence of unexpected death, cardiac arrest or unplanned ICU admission when adjusted for clustering and study time. We found a lower than expected baseline incidence of unexpected death and cardiac arrest rates which reduced the statistical power significantly in this study. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2018
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8. Predicting ICU admission and death in the Emergency Department: A comparison of six early warning scores.
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Covino, Marcello, Sandroni, Claudio, Della Polla, Davide, De Matteis, Giuseppe, Piccioni, Andrea, De Vita, Antonio, Russo, Andrea, Salini, Sara, Carbone, Luigi, Petrucci, Martina, Pennisi, Mariano, Gasbarrini, Antonio, and Franceschi, Francesco
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EARLY warning score , *HOSPITAL emergency services , *SEPSIS , *RECEIVER operating characteristic curves , *RESPIRATORY measurements , *ELECTRONIC records - Abstract
To compare the ability of the most used Early Warning Scores (EWS) to identify adult patients at risk of poor outcomes in the emergency department (ED). Single-center, retrospective observational study. We evaluated the digital records of consecutive ED admissions in patients ≥ 18 years from 2010 to 2019 and calculated NEWS, NEWS2, MEWS, RAPS, REMS, and SEWS based on parameters measured on ED arrival. We assessed the discrimination and calibration performance of each EWS in predicting death/ICU admission within 24 hours using ROC analysis and visual calibration. We also measured the relative weight of clinical and physiological derangements that identified patients missed by EWS risk stratification using neural network analysis. Among 225,369 patients assessed in the ED during the study period, 1941 (0.9%) were admitted to ICU or died within 24 hours. NEWS was the most accurate predictor (area under the receiver operating characteristic [AUROC] curve 0.904 [95% CI 0.805–0.913]), followed by NEWS2 (AUROC 0.901). NEWS was also well calibrated. In patients judged at low risk (NEWS < 2), 359 events occurred (18.5% of the total). Neural network analysis revealed that age, systolic BP, and temperature had the highest relative weight for these NEWS-unpredicted events. NEWS is the most accurate EWS for predicting the risk of death/ICU admission within 24 h from ED arrival. The score also had a fair calibration with few events occurring in patients classified at low risk. Neural network analysis suggests the need for further improvements by focusing on the prompt diagnosis of sepsis and the development of practical tools for the measurement of the respiratory rate. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2023
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9. The implementation of a real time early warning system using machine learning in an Australian hospital to improve patient outcomes.
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Bassin, Levi, Raubenheimer, Jacques, and Bell, David
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INTENSIVE care units , *MACHINE learning , *EARLY warning score , *HOSPITAL patients , *ELECTRONIC health records , *LENGTH of stay in hospitals - Abstract
Early Warning Scores (EWS) monitor inpatient deterioration predominantly using vital signs. We evaluated inpatient outcomes after implementing an Artificial Intelligence (AI) based intervention in our local EWS. A prior study calculated a Deterioration Index (DI) with logistic regression utilising demographics, vital signs, and laboratory results at multiple time points to predict any major adverse event (MAE—all cause mortality, ICU admission, or medical emergency team activation). The current study is a single hospital, pre-post study in Australia comparing the DI plus the existing EWS (Between the Flags-BTF) to only BTF. Data were collected on all eligible inpatients (≥16 years, admitted ≥24 hours, in general non-palliative wards). Controls were inpatients in the same hospital between January and December 2019. The DI was integrated into the electronic medical record and alerts were sent to senior ward nurse phones (July 2020–April 2021). We enrolled 28,639 patients (median age 73 years, IQR: 60–83) with 52.3% female. The intervention and control groups did not show any statistically significant differences apart from reduced admissions via the emergency department in the intervention group (40.4% vs 41.6%, P = 0.03). Risk for an MAE was lower in intervention than control (RR: 0.81; 95%CI: 0.74–0.89). Length of hospital stay was significantly reduced in the intervention group (3.74 days, IQR 1.84–7.26) compared to the control group (3.86 days, IQR 1.86–7.86, P = 0.002) Implementing the DI in one hospital in Australia was associated with some improved patient outcomes. Future RCTs are needed for further validation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2023
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10. Impact of the coronavirus pandemic on the patterns of vital signs recording and staff compliance with expected monitoring schedules on general wards
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David Prytherch, Connor Price, Paul Meredith, Philip Scott, Jim Briggs, Ina Kostakis, and Given Names Deactivated Family Name Deactivated
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Male ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Monitoring ,Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) ,Vital signs ,030204 cardiovascular system & hematology ,Emergency Nursing ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Patients' Rooms ,Health care ,Pandemic ,Protocol ,Humans ,Medicine ,Deterioration ,Aged ,Monitoring, Physiologic ,Aged, 80 and over ,Vital Signs ,business.industry ,COVID-19 ,Rapid response system ,030208 emergency & critical care medicine ,National health service ,Early warning score ,Hospitalization ,Rapid Response Systems ,Initial phase ,Emergency ,Emergency medicine ,Emergency Medicine ,Female ,Guideline Adherence ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,business - Abstract
Introduction Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) placed increased burdens on National Health Service hospitals and necessitated significant adjustments to their structures and processes. This research investigated if and how these changes affected the patterns of vital sign recording and staff compliance with expected monitoring schedules on general wards. Methods We compared the pattern of vital signs and early warning score (EWS) data collected from admissions to a single hospital during the initial phase of the COVID-19 pandemic with those in three control periods from 2018, 2019 and 2020. Main outcome measures were weekly and monthly hospital admissions; daily and hourly patterns of recorded vital signs and EWS values; time to next observation and; proportions of ‘on time’, ‘late’ and ‘missed’ vital signs observations sets. Results There were large falls in admissions at the beginning of the COVID-19 era. Admissions were older, more unwell on admission and throughout their stay, more often required supplementary oxygen, spent longer in hospital and had a higher in-hospital mortality compared to one or more of the control periods. More daily observation sets were performed during the COVID-19 era than in the control periods. However, there was no clear evidence that COVID-19 affected the pattern of vital signs collection across the 24-h period or the week. Conclusions The increased burdens of the COVID-19 pandemic, and the alterations in healthcare structures and processes necessary to respond to it, did not adversely affect the hospitals’ ability to monitor patients under its care and to comply with expected monitoring schedules.
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- 2021
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11. Dynamic individual vital sign trajectory early warning score (DyniEWS) versus snapshot national early warning score (NEWS) for predicting postoperative deterioration
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Jonathan H. Mackay, Mathew V. Patteril, David J. Morrice, Sofia S. Villar, Jonathan W Brand, James Clayton, Yi-Da Chiu, and Yajing Zhu
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Adult ,medicine.medical_specialty ,030204 cardiovascular system & hematology ,Emergency Nursing ,Logistic regression ,Risk Assessment ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Intensive care ,medicine ,Humans ,Hospital Mortality ,National early warning score ,Adverse effect ,Retrospective Studies ,Early warning scores ,Warning system ,Vital Signs ,business.industry ,Postoperative deterioration ,030208 emergency & critical care medicine ,Workload ,Retrospective cohort study ,Cardiac surgery ,Early warning score ,Regression ,Intensive Care Units ,Early Warning Score ,Emergency medicine ,Clinical Paper ,Emergency Medicine ,Dynamic prediction ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,business - Abstract
Aims International early warning scores (EWS) including the additive National Early Warning Score (NEWS) and logistic EWS currently utilise physiological snapshots to predict clinical deterioration. We hypothesised that a dynamic score including vital sign trajectory would improve discriminatory power. Methods Multicentre retrospective analysis of electronic health record data from postoperative patients admitted to cardiac surgical wards in four UK hospitals. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator-type regression (LASSO) was used to develop a dynamic model (DyniEWS) to predict a composite adverse event of cardiac arrest, unplanned intensive care re-admission or in-hospital death within 24 h. Results A total of 13,319 postoperative adult cardiac patients contributed 442,461 observations of which 4234 (0.96%) adverse events in 24 h were recorded. The new dynamic model (AUC = 0.80 [95% CI 0.78−0.83], AUPRC = 0.12 [0.10−0.14]) outperforms both an updated snapshot logistic model (AUC = 0.76 [0.73−0.79], AUPRC = 0.08 [0.60−0.10]) and the additive National Early Warning Score (AUC = 0.73 [0.70−0.76], AUPRC = 0.05 [0.02−0.08]). Controlling for the false alarm rates to be at current levels using NEWS cut-offs of 5 and 7, DyniEWS delivers a 7% improvement in balanced accuracy and increased sensitivities from 41% to 54% at NEWS 5 and 18% to –30% at NEWS 7. Conclusions Using an advanced statistical approach, we created a model that can detect dynamic changes in risk of unplanned readmission to intensive care, cardiac arrest or in-hospital mortality and can be used in real time to risk-prioritise clinical workload.
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- 2020
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12. Predicting intensive care unit admission and death for COVID-19 patients in the emergency department using early warning scores
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Marcello Covino, Francesco Franceschi, Veronica Ojetti, Luca Sabia, Maria Grazia Bocci, Marcello Candelli, Claudio Sandroni, Antonio Gasbarrini, Benedetta Simeoni, Massimo Antonelli, and Michele Santoro
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Male ,030204 cardiovascular system & hematology ,Emergency Nursing ,law.invention ,Patient Admission ,qSOFA ,0302 clinical medicine ,law ,Medicine ,Hospital Mortality ,REMS ,Letter to the Editor ,Early warning scores ,NEWS ,Middle Aged ,Early warning score ,Intensive care unit ,Survival Rate ,Intensive Care Units ,Italy ,Emergency Medicine ,Female ,Coronavirus Infections ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Pneumonia, Viral ,MEWS ,NEWS2 ,Risk Assessment ,Betacoronavirus ,03 medical and health sciences ,Settore MED/41 - ANESTESIOLOGIA ,Humans ,Pandemics ,Survival rate ,Aged ,Retrospective Studies ,Receiver operating characteristic ,SARS-CoV-2 ,business.industry ,Settore MED/09 - MEDICINA INTERNA ,COVID-19 ,030208 emergency & critical care medicine ,Retrospective cohort study ,Emergency department ,Triage ,Mews ,ROC Curve ,Early Warning Score ,Emergency ,Emergency medicine ,Clinical Paper ,business - Abstract
Aims To identify the most accurate early warning score (EWS) for predicting an adverse outcome in COVID-19 patients admitted to the emergency department (ED). Methods In adult consecutive patients admitted (March 1-April 15, 2020) to the ED of a major referral centre for COVID-19, we retrospectively calculated NEWS, NEWS2, NEWS-C, MEWS, qSOFA, and REMS from physiological variables measured on arrival. Sensitivity, specificity, positive (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV), and the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve of each EWS for predicting admission to the intensive care unit (ICU) and death at 48 h and 7 days were calculated. Results We included 334 patients (119 [35.6%] females, median age 66 [54-78] years). At 7 days, the rates of ICU admission and death were 56/334 (17%) and 26/334 (7.8%), respectively. NEWS was the most accurate predictor of ICU admission within 7 days (AUROC 0.783 [95% CI, 0.735-0.826]; sensitivity 71.4 [57.8-82.7]%; NPV 93.1 [89.8-95.3]%), while REMS was the most accurate predictor of death within 7 days (AUROC 0.823 [0.778–0.863]; sensitivity 96.1 [80.4-99.9]%; NPV 99.4[96.2–99.9]%). Similar results were observed for ICU admission and death at 48 h. NEWS and REMS were as accurate as the triage system used in our ED. MEWS and qSOFA had the lowest overall accuracy for both outcomes. Conclusion In our single-centre cohort of COVID-19 patients, NEWS and REMS measured on ED arrival were the most sensitive predictors of 7-day ICU admission or death. EWS could be useful to identify patients with low risk of clinical deterioration.
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- 2020
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13. Capillary refill time as part of an early warning score for rapid response team activation is an independent predictor of outcomes
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Christian Sebat, Sean Oldroyd, Frank Sebat, Andrew A. Kramer, and Mary Anne Vandegrift
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Adult ,medicine.medical_specialty ,genetic structures ,Critical Illness ,Population ,030204 cardiovascular system & hematology ,Emergency Nursing ,Independent predictor ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Humans ,Medicine ,Prospective Studies ,Rapid response team ,education ,education.field_of_study ,medicine.diagnostic_test ,Adult patients ,business.industry ,Microcirculation ,030208 emergency & critical care medicine ,Odds ratio ,Early warning score ,Capillary refill ,Early Warning Score ,Emergency medicine ,Emergency Medicine ,Observational study ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,business ,Hospital Rapid Response Team - Abstract
Capillary refill time (CRT) is easy, quick to perform and when prolonged in critical illness, correlates with progression of organ failure and mortality. It is utilized in our hospital's early warning score (EWS) as one of 11 parameters. We sought to define CRT's value in predicting patient outcomes, compared to the remaining EWS elements.Five-year prospective observational study of 6480 consecutive Rapid Response Team (RRT) patients. CRT measured at the index finger was considered prolonged if time to previous-color return was3 s. We analyzed the odds ratio of normal vs prolonged-CRT, compared to the other EWS variables, to individual and combined outcomes of mortality, cardiac arrest and higher-level of care transfer.Twenty-percent (N = 1329) of RRT-patients had prolonged-CRT (vs normal-CRT), were twice as likely to die (36% vs 17.8%, p .001), more likely to experience the combined outcome (72.1% vs 54.2%, p .001) and had longer hospital length of stays, 15.3 (SD 0.3) vs 13.5 days (SD 0.5) (p .001). Multivariable logistic regression for mortality ranked CRT second to hypoxia among all 11 variables evaluated (p 001).This is the first time CRT has been evaluated in RRT patients. Its measurement is easy to perform and proves useful as an assessment of adult patients at-risk for clinical decline. Its prolongation in our population was an independent predictor of mortality and the combined outcome. This study and others suggest that CRT should be considered further as a fundamental assessment of patients at-risk for clinical decline.
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- 2020
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14. Predicting clinical deterioration with Q-ADDS compared to NEWS, Between the Flags, and eCART track and trigger tools
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Adam Visser, Mia McLanders, Kyle A Carey, Shaune Gifford, Matthew M. Churpek, Roger Conway, Khoa D. Tran, Victoria Campbell, and Dana P. Edelson
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eCART ,Adult ,medicine.medical_specialty ,AUC ,Track and trigger ,Predictive value ,030204 cardiovascular system & hematology ,Emergency Nursing ,Risk Assessment ,Article ,MET call ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Humans ,Medicine ,Hospital Mortality ,Electronic cardiac arrest triage score ,Early warning scores ,Q-ADDS ,Retrospective Studies ,Chicago ,Clinical deterioration ,Warning system ,business.industry ,Track and trigger system ,Rapid response system ,030208 emergency & critical care medicine ,NEWS ,University hospital ,Early warning score ,Triage ,Heart Arrest ,Sensitivity and specificity ,Between the flags ,Emergency medicine ,Emergency Medicine ,Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve ,Queensland ,Electronics ,Emblems and Insignia ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,business - Abstract
Background Early warning tools have been widely implemented without evidence to guide (a) recognition and (b) response team expertise optimisation. With growing databases from MET-calls and digital hospitals, we now have access to guiding information. The Queensland Adult-Deterioration-Detection-System (Q-ADDS) is widely used and requires validation. Aim Compare the accuracy of Q-ADDS to National Early Warning Score (NEWS), Between-the-Flags (BTF) and the electronic Cardiac Arrest Risk Triage Score (eCART)). Methods Data from the Chicago University hospital database were used. Clinical deterioration was defined as unplanned admission to ICU or death. Currently used NEWS, BTF and eCART trigger thresholds were compared with a clinically endorsed Q-ADDS variant. Results Of 224,912 admissions, 11,706 (5%) experienced clinical deterioration. Q-ADDS (AUC 0.71) and NEWS (AUC 0.72) had similar predictive accuracy, BTF (AUC 0.64) had the lowest, and eCART (AUC 0.76) the highest. Early warning alert (advising ward MO review) had similar NPV (99.2–99.3%), for all the four tools however sensitivity varied (%: Q-ADDS = 47/NEWS = 49/BTF = 66/eCART = 40), as did alerting rate (% vitals sets: Q-ADDS = 1.4/NEWS = 3.5/BTF = 4.1/eCART = 3.4). MET alert (advising MET/critical-care review) had similar NPV for all the four tools (99.1–99.2%), however sensitivity varied (%: Q-ADDS = 14/NEWS = 24/BTF = 19/eCART = 29), as did MET alerting rate (%: Q-ADDS = 1.4/NEWS = 3.5/BTF = 4.1/eCART = 3.4). High-severity alert (advising advanced ward review, Q-ADDS only): NPV = 99.1%, sensitivity = 26%, alerting rate = 3.5%. Conclusion The accuracy of Q-ADDS is comparable to NEWS, and higher than BTF, with eCART being the most accurate. Q-ADDS provides an additional high-severity ward alert, and generated significantly fewer MET alerts. Impacts of increased ward awareness and fewer MET alerts on actual MET call numbers and patient outcomes requires further evaluation.
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- 2020
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15. Clinical outcomes of patients seen by Rapid Response Teams: A template for benchmarking international teams.
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Bannard-Smith, Jonathan, Lighthall, Geoffrey K., Subbe, Christian P., Durham, Lesley, Welch, John, Bellomo, Rinaldo, and Jones, Daryl A.
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HOSPITAL admission & discharge , *INTENSIVE care units , *HOSPITAL wards , *CRITICAL care medicine , *HEALTH outcome assessment , *EMERGENCY medical personnel , *BENCHMARKING (Management) , *EXPERIMENTAL design , *HEALTH care teams , *INTERNATIONAL relations , *LONGITUDINAL method , *EVALUATION of medical care , *SURVIVAL analysis (Biometry) - Abstract
Aim: The study was developed to characterize short-term outcomes of deteriorating ward patients triggering a Rapid Response Team (RRT), and describe variability between hospitals or groups thereof.Methods: We performed an international prospective study of Rapid Response Team (RRT) activity over a 7-day period in February 2014. Investigators at 51 acute hospitals across Australia, Denmark, the Netherlands, USA and United Kingdom collected data on all patients triggering RRT review concerning the nature, trigger and immediate outcome of RRT review. Further follow-up at 24h following RRT review focused on patient orientated outcomes including need for admission to critical care, change in limitations of therapy and all cause mortality.Results: We studied 1188 RRT activations. Derangement of vital signs as measured by the National Early Warning Score (NEWS) was more common in non-UK hospitals (p=0.03). Twenty four hour mortality after RRT review was 10.1% (120/1188). Urgent transfer to ICU or the operating theatre occurred in 24% (284/1188) and 3% (40/1188) of events, respectively. Patients in the UK were less likely to be admitted to ICU (31% vs. 22%; p=0.017) and their median (IQR) time to ICU admission was longer [4.4 (2.0-11.8) vs. 1.5 (0.8-4.4)h; p<0.001]. RRT involvement lead to new limitations in care in 28% of the patients not transferring to the ICU; in the UK such limitations were instituted in 21% of patients while this occurred in 40% of non-UK patients (p<0.001).Conclusion: Among patients triggering RRT review, 1 in 10 died within 24h; 1 in 4 required ICU admission, and 1 in 4 had new limitations in therapy implemented. We provide a template for an international comparison of outcomes at RRT level. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2016
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16. Frequency of early warning score assessment and clinical deterioration in hospitalized patients: A randomized trial.
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Petersen, John Asger, Antonsen, Kristian, and Rasmussen, Lars S.
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HOSPITAL patients , *RANDOMIZED controlled trials , *HEALTH outcome assessment , *HOSPITAL admission & discharge , *UNIVERSITY hospitals , *LOGISTIC regression analysis - Abstract
Aim: To explore whether early warning score (EWS) measurements at 8h intervals is associated with better outcomes than 12h intervals. We hypothesized that the proportion of patients that deteriorated to a higher EWS at 24h after hospital admission would be lower with 8h interval than with 12h interval.Method: This was a pragmatic, ward-level randomized, non-blinded, controlled trial at an urban University hospital. During two six weeks periods acutely admitted surgical and medical patients, with an initial EWS of 0 or 1, were monitored either every 8th hour or every 12th hour. The primary outcome was clinical deterioration 24h post-admission, estimated by the proportion of patients with an EWS≥2 at 24h after the initial EWS on admission.Results: Of 3185 patients screened for eligibility, 1346 patients were included to the trial. Forty-nine percent were allocated to the 8h group and 51% to the 12h group; of these, 23% and 20% had an elevated EWS≥2 at 24h, respectively (p=0.456), OR 1.17 (0.78-1.76); 3.4% and 2.2%, respectively had an EWS≥5 (p=0.391), and one patient in each group had an EWS≥7 at 24h (p=1.0). Multiple logistic regression analysis showed no significant interactions for the primary outcome and the predefined variables: age, gender, ward type, and inclusion period, with an adjusted OR 1.20 (0.79-1.82). There were no significant differences in regard to the secondary outcomes: cardiac arrests, ICU admissions, review by medical emergency team (MET), length of hospital stay, or elevated EWS at 48 h. Thirty-day mortality was 1.1% vs. 1.8% (p=0.357) in the 8h group and the 12h-group, respectively (OR=0.60 (0.23-1.50), p=0.279).Conclusion: We found no significant reduction in the proportion of clinical deterioration with monitoring frequencies of 3 vs. 2 times daily among patients acutely admitted to a surgical or medical ward and an initial EWS of 0-1. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2016
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17. Wireless and continuous monitoring of vital signs in patients at the general ward
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Tom H van de Belt, Mariska Weenk, Mats Koeneman, Sebastian J.H. Bredie, Harry van Goor, and Lucien J.L.P.G. Engelen
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Adult ,Male ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Vascular damage Radboud Institute for Health Sciences [Radboudumc 16] ,Vital signs ,Nursing Staff, Hospital ,Emergency Nursing ,Healthcare improvement science Radboud Institute for Health Sciences [Radboudumc 18] ,law.invention ,Wearable Electronic Devices ,All institutes and research themes of the Radboud University Medical Center ,Randomized controlled trial ,law ,medicine ,Humans ,In patient ,Vital sign monitoring ,Aged ,Monitoring, Physiologic ,Clinical Deterioration ,Vital Signs ,business.industry ,Continuous monitoring ,Middle Aged ,Early warning score ,Reconstructive and regenerative medicine Radboud Institute for Health Sciences [Radboudumc 10] ,Mews ,Early Warning Score ,Emergency medicine ,Emergency Medicine ,Female ,General ward ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,business - Abstract
Background Clinical deterioration regularly occurs in hospitalized patients potentially resulting in life threatening events. Early warning scores (EWS), like the Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS), assist care givers in assessing patients’ clinical situation, but cannot alert for deterioration between measurements. New devices, like the ViSi Mobile (VM) and HealthPatch (HP) allow for continuous monitoring and can alert deterioration in an earlier phase. VM and HP were tested regarding MEWS calculation compared to nurse measurements, and detection of high MEWS in periods between nurse observations. Methods This quantitative study was part of a randomized controlled trial. Sixty patients of the surgical and internal medicine ward with a minimal expected hospitalization time of three days were randomized to VM or HP continuous monitoring in addition to regular nurse MEWS measurements for 24–72 h. Results Median VM and HP MEWS were higher than nurse measurements (2.7 vs. 1.9 and 1.9 vs. 1.3, respectively), predominantly due to respiratory rate measurement differences. During 1282 h VM and 1886 h HP monitoring, 71 (14 patients) and 32 (7 patients) high MEWS periods were detected during the non-observed periods. Time between VM or HP based high MEWS and next regular nurse measurement ranged from 0 to 9 (HP) and 10 (VM) hours. Conclusions Both VM and HP are promising for continuous vital sign monitoring and may be more accurate than nurses. High MEWS can be detected in hospitalized patients around the clock and clinical deterioration at an earlier phase during unobserved periods.
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- 2019
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18. A single-centre observational cohort study of admission National Early Warning Score (NEWS).
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Abbott, Tom E.F., Vaid, Nidhi, Ip, Dorothy, Cron, Nicholas, Wells, Matt, Torrance, Hew D.T., and Emmanuel, Julian
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LENGTH of stay in hospitals , *CRITICAL care medicine , *COHORT analysis , *MEDICAL needs assessment , *SCIENTIFIC observation , *RETROSPECTIVE studies , *HEALTH outcome assessment - Abstract
Introduction Early warning scores are commonly used in hospitals to identify patients at risk of deterioration. The National Early Warning Score (NEWS) has recently been introduced to UK practice. However, it is not yet widely implemented. We aimed to compare NEWS to the early warning score currently used in our hospital – the Patient at Risk Score (PARS). Methods We conducted a prospective observational cohort study of all adult general medical patients admitted to a single hospital over a 20-day period. Physiological data and early warning scores recorded in bedside charts were collected on admission and a NEWS score was retrospectively calculated. The patient notes were reviewed at 48 h after admission. The primary outcome was a composite of critical care admission or death within 2 days of admission. The secondary outcome was hospital length of stay. Results NEWS was more strongly associated with the primary outcome than PARS (odds ratio 1.54, p < 0.001 compared to 1.42, p = 0.056). A NEWS of 3 or more was associated with the primary outcome (odds ratio 7.03, p = 0.003). Neither score was correlated with hospital length of stay. Conclusion NEWS on admission is superior to PARS for identifying patients at risk of death or critical care admission within the first 2 days of hospital stay. Current guidelines advocate a threshold of 5 for triggering a clinical review. However, since a score of 3 or more was associated with a poor outcome, this recommendation should be reviewed. Both scores were poor predictors of hospital length of stay. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2015
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19. Are observation selection methods important when comparing early warning score performance?
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Jarvis, Stuart W., Kovacs, Caroline, Briggs, Jim, Meredith, Paul, Schmidt, Paul E., Featherstone, Peter I., Prytherch, David R., and Smith, Gary B.
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ADVERSE health care events , *SYMPTOMS , *HEALTH outcome assessment , *COMPARATIVE studies , *RECEIVER operating characteristic curves - Abstract
Introduction Sicker patients generally have more vital sign assessments, particularly immediately before an adverse outcome, and especially if the vital sign monitoring schedule is driven by an early warning score (EWS) value. This lack of independence could influence the measured discriminatory performance of an EWS. Methods We used a population of 1564,143 consecutive vital signs observation sets collected as a routine part of patients’ care. We compared 35 published EWSs for their discrimination of the risk of death within 24 h of an observation set using (1) all observations in our dataset, (2) one observation per patient care episode, chosen at random and (3) one observation per patient care episode, chosen as the closest to a randomly selected point in time in each episode. We compared the area under the ROC curve (AUROC) as a measure of discrimination for each of the 35 EWSs under each observation selection method and looked for changes in their rank order. Results There were no significant changes in rank order of the EWSs based on AUROC between the different observation selection methods, except for one EWS that included age among its components. Whichever method of observation selection was used, the National Early Warning Score (NEWS) showed the highest discrimination of risk of death within 24 h. AUROCs were higher when only one observation set was used per episode of care (significantly higher for many EWSs, including NEWS). Conclusions Vital sign measurements can be treated as if they are independent – multiple observations can be used from each episode of care – when comparing the performance and ranking of EWSs, provided no EWS includes age. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2015
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20. Exploring the performance of the National Early Warning Score (NEWS) in a European emergency department.
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Alam, N., Vegting, I.L., Houben, E., van Berkel, B., Vaughan, L., Kramer, M.H.H., and Nanayakkara, P.W.B.
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MEDICAL triage , *MEDICAL emergencies , *ADVERSE health care events , *HEALTH outcome assessment , *INTENSIVE care units - Abstract
Background Several triage systems have been developed for use in the emergency department (ED), however they are not designed to detect deterioration in patients. Deteriorating patients may be at risk of going undetected during their ED stay and are therefore vulnerable to develop serious adverse events (SAEs). The National Early Warning Score (NEWS) has a good ability to discriminate ward patients at risk of SAEs. The utility of NEWS had not yet been studied in an ED. Objective To explore the performance of the NEWS in an ED with regard to predicting adverse outcomes. Design A prospective observational study. Patients Eligible patients were those presenting to the ED during the 6 week study period with an Emergency Severity Index (ESI) of 2 and 3 not triaged to the resuscitation room. Intervention NEWS was documented at three time points: on arrival (T0), hour after arrival (T1) and at transfer to the general ward/ICU (T2). The outcomes of interest were: hospital admission, ICU admission, length of stay and 30 day mortality. Results A total of 300 patients were assessed for eligibility. Complete data was able to be collected for 274 patients on arrival at the ED. NEWS was significantly correlated with patient outcomes, including 30 day mortality, hospital admission, and length of stay at all-time points. Conclusion The NEWS measured at different time points was a good predictor of patient outcomes and can be of additional value in the ED to longitudinally monitor patients throughout their stay in the ED and in the hospital. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2015
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21. Less is more: Detecting clinical deterioration in the hospital with machine learning using only age, heart rate, and respiratory rate
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Kyle A Carey, Dana P. Edelson, Matthew M. Churpek, Mary Akel, and Christopher Winslow
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Adult ,Respiratory rate ,Emergency Nursing ,Logistic regression ,Machine learning ,computer.software_genre ,Risk Assessment ,law.invention ,Machine Learning ,Respiratory Rate ,Patient age ,law ,Heart Rate ,Heart rate ,Medicine ,Humans ,Hospital Mortality ,Retrospective Studies ,Receiver operating characteristic ,Clinical Deterioration ,business.industry ,Early warning score ,Intensive care unit ,Hospitals ,Mews ,Intensive Care Units ,ROC Curve ,Emergency Medicine ,Artificial intelligence ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,business ,computer - Abstract
We sought to develop a machine learning analytic (eCART Lite) for predicting clinical deterioration using only age, heart rate, and respiratory data, which can be pulled in real time from patient monitors and updated continuously without need for additional inputs or cumbersome electronic health record integrations.We utilized a multicenter dataset of adult admissions from five hospitals. We trained a gradient boosted machine model using only current and 24-hour trended heart rate, respiratory rate, and patient age to predict the probability of intensive care unit (ICU) transfer, death, or the combined outcome of ICU transfer or death. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was calculated in the validation cohort and compared to those for the Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS), National Early Warning Score (NEWS), and eCARTv2, a previously-described, 27-variable, cubic spline, logistic regression model without trends.Of the 556,848 included admissions, 19,509 (3.5%) were transferred to an ICU and 5764 (1.0%) died within 24 hours of a ward observation. eCART Lite significantly outperformed the MEWS, NEWS, and eCART v2 for predicting ICU transfer (0.79 vs 0.71, 0.74, and 0.78, respectively; p 0.01) and the combined outcome (0.80 vs 0.72, 0.76, and 0.79, respectively; p 0.01). Two of the strongest predictors were respiratory rate and heart rate.Using only three inputs, we developed a tool for predicting clinical deterioration that is similarly or more accurate than commonly-used algorithms, with potential for use in inpatient settings with limited resources or in scenarios where low-cost tools are needed.
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- 2021
22. Serious adverse events in a hospital using early warning score – What went wrong?
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Petersen, John Asger, Mackel, Rebecca, Antonsen, Kristian, and Rasmussen, Lars S.
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ADVERSE health care events , *CARDIAC arrest , *HOSPITAL care , *HEALTH outcome assessment , *DISEASE incidence , *INTENSIVE care units , *HOSPITAL admission & discharge , *EMERGENCY medical personnel - Abstract
Aim To evaluate the performance of a new early warning score (EWS) system by reviewing all serious adverse events in our hospital over a 6-month time period. Method All incidents of unexpected death (UD), cardiac arrest (CA) and unanticipated intensive care unit admission(UICU) of adult patients on general wards were reviewed to see if the escalation protocol that is part of the EWS system was followed in the 24 h preceding the event, and if not where in the chain of events failure occurred. Results We found 77 UICU and 67 cases of the combined outcome (CO) of CA and UD. At least two full sets of EWS were recorded in 87, 94 and 75% of UICU, CA and UD. Patients were monitored according to the escalation protocol in 13, 31 and 13% of UICU, CA and UD. Nurses escalated care and contacted physicians in 64% and 60% of events of UICU and the corresponding proportions for CO were 58% and 55%. On call physicians provided adequate care in 49% of cases of UICU and 29% of cases of the CO. Senior staff was involved according to protocol in 53% and 36% of cases of UICU and CO, respectively. Conclusion Poor compliance with the escalation protocol was commonly found when serious adverse events occurred but level of care provided by physicians was also a problem in a hospital with implemented early warning system. This information may prove useful in improving performance of EWS systems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2014
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23. The impact of the use of the Early Warning Score (EWS) on patient outcomes: A systematic review.
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Alam, N., Hobbelink, E.L., van Tienhoven, A.J., van de Ven, P.M., Jansma, E.P., and Nanayakkara, P.W.B.
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EARLY diagnosis , *SYSTEMATIC reviews , *HEALTH outcome assessment , *CRITICALLY ill , *MORTALITY , *MEDICAL quality control - Abstract
Abstract: Background: Acute deterioration in critical ill patients is often preceded by changes in physiological parameters, such as pulse, blood pressure, temperature and respiratory rate. If these changes in the patient's vital parameters are recognized early, excess mortality and serious adverse events (SAEs) such as cardiac arrest may be prevented. The Early Warning Score (EWS) is a scoring system which assists with the detection of physiological changes and may help identify patients at risk of further deterioration. Objectives: The aim of this systematic review is to evaluate the impact of the use of the Early Warning Score (EWS) on particular patient outcomes, such as in-hospital mortality, patterns of intensive care unit admission and usage, length of hospital stay, cardiac arrests and other serious adverse events of adult patients on general wards and in medical admission units. Design and setting: Systematic review of studies identified from the bibliographic databases of PubMed, EMBASE.com and The Cochrane Library. Selection criteria: All controlled studies which measured in-hospital mortality, ICU mortality, serious adverse events (SAEs), cardiopulmonary arrest, length of stay and documentation of physiological parameters which used a EWS on the ward or the emergency department to identify patients at risk were included in the review. Data collection and analysis: Three reviewers (NA, AT and EH) independently screened all potentially relevant titles and abstracts for eligibility, by using a standardized data-worksheet. Meta-analysis was not possible due to heterogeneity. Main results: Seven studies met the inclusion criteria. The results of our included studies were mixed, with a positive trend towards better clinical outcomes following the introduction of the EWS chart, sometimes coupled with an outreach service. Six of the seven included studies used mortality as an endpoint: two of these studies reported no significant difference in in-hospital mortality rate; two found a significant reduction of in-hospital mortality; two other studies described a trend towards improved survival. Although, both ICU mortality and serious adverse events were not significantly improved, there was a trend towards reduction of these endpoints after introduction of the EWS. However only two studies looked respectively at each endpoint. There were conflicting results concerning cardiopulmonary arrests. One study found a reduction in the incidence of cardiac arrest calls as well as in the mortality of patients who underwent CPR, while another one found an increased incidence of cardio-pulmonary arrests. Neither study met all methodological quality criteria. Conclusion: The EWS itself is a simple and easy to use tool at the bedside, which may be of help in recognizing patients with potential for acute deterioration. Coupled with an outreach service, it may be used to timely initiate adequate treatment upon recognition, which may influence the clinical outcomes positively. However, the use of adapted forms of the EWS together with different thresholds, poor or inadequate methodology makes it difficult in drawing comparisons. A general conclusion can thus not be generated from the lack of use of a single standardized score and the use of different populations. In future large multi-centre trials using one standardized score are needed also in order to facilitate comparison. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]
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- 2014
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24. Widely used track and trigger scores: Are they ready for automation in practice?
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Romero-Brufau, Santiago, Huddleston, Jeanne M., Naessens, James M., Johnson, Matthew G., Hickman, Joel, Morlan, Bruce W., Jensen, Jeffrey B., Caples, Sean M., Elmer, Jennifer L., Schmidt, Julie A., Morgenthaler, Timothy I., and Santrach, Paula J.
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AUTOMATION , *RESUSCITATION , *VITAL signs , *COMPARATIVE studies , *INTENSIVE care units , *HOSPITAL patients , *PERFORMANCE evaluation - Abstract
Abstract: Introduction: Early Warning Scores (EWS) are widely used for early recognition of patient deterioration. Automated alarm/alerts have been recommended as a desirable characteristic for detection systems of patient deterioration. We undertook a comparative analysis of performance characteristics of common EWS methods to assess how they would function if automated. Methods: We evaluated the most widely used EWS systems (MEWS, SEWS, GMEWS, Worthing, ViEWS and NEWS) and the Rapid Response Team (RRT) activation criteria in use in our institution. We compared their ability to predict the composite outcome of Resuscitation call, RRS activation or unplanned transfer to the ICU, in a time-dependent manner (3, 8, 12, 24 and 36h after the observation) by determining the sensitivity, specificity and positive predictive values (PPV). We used a large vital signs database (6,948,689 unique time points) from 34,898 unique consecutive hospitalized patients. Results: PPVs ranged from less than 0.01 (Worthing, 3h) to 0.21 (GMEWS, 36h). Sensitivity ranged from 0.07 (GMEWS, 3h) to 0.75 (ViEWS, 36h). Used in an automated fashion, these would correspond to 1040–215,020 false positive alerts per year. Conclusions: When the evaluation is performed in a time-sensitive manner, the most widely used weighted track-and-trigger scores do not offer good predictive capabilities for use as criteria for an automated alarm system. For the implementation of an automated alarm system, better criteria need to be developed and validated before implementation. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]
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- 2014
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25. A multicentre validation study of the deep learning-based early warning score for predicting in-hospital cardiac arrest in patients admitted to general wards
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Hyunho Park, Jung Soo Kim, Jinsik Park, Ryoung-Eun Ko, You Hwan Jo, Yeon Joo Lee, Man-Jong Lee, Yeha Lee, Joon-myoung Kwon, Oyeon Kwon, Kyung-Jae Cho, Kyeongman Jeon, and Ah Jin Kim
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Research design ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Validation study ,Receiver operating characteristic ,business.industry ,030208 emergency & critical care medicine ,Retrospective cohort study ,030204 cardiovascular system & hematology ,Emergency Nursing ,Early warning score ,Mews ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Emergency medicine ,Emergency Medicine ,Medicine ,In patient ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,business ,Rapid response system - Abstract
Background The recently developed deep learning (DL)-based early warning score (DEWS) has shown potential in predicting deteriorating patients. We aimed to validate DEWS in multiple centres and compare the prediction, alarming and timeliness performance with the modified early warning score (MEWS) to identify patients at risk for in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA). Method/research design This retrospective cohort study included adult patients admitted to the general wards of five hospitals during a 12-month period. The occurrence of IHCA within 24 h of vital sign observation was the outcome of interest. We assessed the discrimination using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Results The study population consists of 173,368 patients (224 IHCAs). The predictive performance of DEWS was superior to that of MEWS in both the internal (AUROC: 0.860 vs. 0.754, respectively) and external (AUROC: 0.905 vs. 0.785, respectively) validation cohorts. At the same specificity, DEWS had a higher sensitivity than MEWS, and at the same sensitivity, DEWS reduced the mean alarm count by nearly half of MEWS. Additionally, DEWS was able to predict more IHCA patients in the 24–0.5 h before the outcome, and DEWS was reasonably calibrated. Conclusion Our study showed that DEWS was superior to MEWS in three key aspects (IHCA predictive, alarming, and timeliness performance). This study demonstrates the potential of DEWS as an effective, efficient screening tool in rapid response systems (RRSs) to identify high-risk patients.
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- 2020
26. Comparison of an early warning score to single-triggering warning system for inpatient deterioration: An audit of 4089 medical emergency calls
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Ekavi N. Georgousopoulou, Imogen Mitchell, Zsuzsoka Kecskes, and Ahmed Khalaf
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Inpatients ,Warning system ,business.industry ,Audit ,Emergency Nursing ,medicine.disease ,Early warning score ,Early Warning Score ,Emergency Medicine ,Medicine ,Humans ,Medical emergency ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,business ,Emergency Service, Hospital ,Retrospective Studies - Published
- 2020
27. New Early Warning Score: off-label approach for Covid-19 outbreak patient deterioration in the community
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Federico Semeraro, Tommaso Scquizzato, Donatella Del Giudice, Andrea Scapigliati, Fabio Mora, Giuseppe Ristagno, Cosimo Picoco, Oscar Dell'Arciprete, Lorenzo Gamberini, Marco Tartaglione, Giovanni Gordini, and Fiorella Cordenons
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Male ,2019-20 coronavirus outbreak ,medicine.medical_specialty ,China ,Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) ,Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) ,Pneumonia, Viral ,Emergency Nursing ,Off-label use ,Disease Outbreaks ,Betacoronavirus ,Residence Characteristics ,Medicine ,Humans ,Pandemics ,Clinical Deterioration ,business.industry ,SARS-CoV-2 ,Outbreak ,COVID-19 ,Early warning score ,Early Warning Score ,Emergency medicine ,Emergency ,Emergency Medicine ,Female ,business ,Coronavirus Infections ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine - Published
- 2020
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28. Are changes in objective observations or the patient’s subjective feelings the day after admission the best predictors of in-hospital mortality? An observational study in a low-resource sub-Saharan hospital
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John Kellett, Lucien Wasingya-Kasereka, and Mikkel Brabrand
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Male ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Sub saharan ,Low resource ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Vital sign trends ,Clinical Decision-Making ,education ,030204 cardiovascular system & hematology ,Emergency Nursing ,Logistic regression ,Diagnostic Self Evaluation ,03 medical and health sciences ,Cognition ,Patient Admission ,0302 clinical medicine ,Clinical Observation Units ,Predictive Value of Tests ,Functional capacity ,medicine ,Humans ,Uganda ,Hospital Mortality ,Early warning scores ,media_common ,Clinical deterioration ,Clinical Deterioration ,In hospital mortality ,Vital Signs ,business.industry ,030208 emergency & critical care medicine ,Middle Aged ,Predictors of mortality ,Prognosis ,Early warning score ,Gait ,In-hospital mortality ,Feeling ,Research Design ,Acute Disease ,Emergency medicine ,Emergency Medicine ,Female ,Observational study ,Gait Analysis ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,business - Abstract
Background: The first clinical re-assessment after admission to hospital probably provides the best opportunity to detect clinical deterioration or failure to improve, and decide if care should be intensified. Aim: Compare changes the day after admission in the patient's subjective feelings and objective findings that included age, gender, the National Early Warning Score (NEWS) on admission, gait stability and mid-upper arm circumference (MUAC) on admission, and changes in NEWS, gait stability and mental alertness. Setting: Acutely ill medical patients admitted to a low-resource sub-Saharan hospital. Methods: Prospective observational study. Results: 1810 patients were reassessed 18 h after hospital admission. Logistic regression identified NEWS and gait stability on admission, a subjective feeling of improvement, the change in NEWS, and MUAC as clinically significant predictors of in-hospital mortality. Stratifying patients according to their NEWS on admission altered the predictive value of the four other predictors: for patients with an admission NEWS < 3 a subjective feeling of improvement is the most powerful predictor of a good outcome. For patients with an admission NEWS > = 3 the change in NEWS, gait stability on admission and MUAC provide additional prognostic information. Conclusion: NEWS and gait stability on admission, MUAC, a subjective feeling of improvement, and change in NEWS the day after admission are all clinically significant predictors of in-hospital mortality.
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- 2019
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29. National early warning score (NEWS) in a Finnish multidisciplinary emergency department and direct vs. late admission to intensive care
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Sanna Hoppu, Mikko Kivipuro, Joonas Tirkkonen, Heini Huhtala, Arvi Yli-Hankala, Satu-Liisa Pauniaho, Juuso Solin, Timo Kontula, Jari Kalliomäki, Lääketieteen ja biotieteiden tiedekunta - Faculty of Medicine and Life Sciences, Yhteiskuntatieteiden tiedekunta - Faculty of Social Sciences, and University of Tampere
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Adult ,Male ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Time Factors ,Critical Care ,Critical Illness ,Kirurgia, anestesiologia, tehohoito, radiologia - Surgery, anesthesiology, intensive care, radiology ,030204 cardiovascular system & hematology ,Emergency Nursing ,Severity of Illness Index ,law.invention ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,law ,Multidisciplinary approach ,Intensive care ,Anesthesiology ,Humans ,Medicine ,Hospital Mortality ,Prospective Studies ,Finland ,Aged ,Chi-Square Distribution ,Clinical Deterioration ,Vital Signs ,business.industry ,030208 emergency & critical care medicine ,Emergency department ,Middle Aged ,Early warning score ,Intensive care unit ,Intensive Care Units ,Multivariate Analysis ,Emergency medicine ,Cohort ,Emergency Medicine ,Female ,Emergency Service, Hospital ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,business ,Cohort study - Abstract
We investigated the national early warning scores (NEWSs) and related outcomes of patients in a tertiary referral center's multidisciplinary emergency department (ED). Patients were further categorized into three groups: triaged directly to intensive care unit (EDICU), triaged to general ward with later ICU admission (EDwardICU) and triaged to general ward (EDward). NEWSs and subsequent outcomes among these sub groups were compared.We conducted a prospective one-month cohort study in Tampere University Hospital's ED, Finland. ED-NEWSs were obtained for all adult patients without treatment limitations, and control (ward) NEWSs were further obtained for the EDwardICU and EDward patients.Cohort consisted of 1,354 patients with a median ED-NEWS of 2, and higher ED-NEWS was associated with in-hospital mortality (OR 1.26, 95% CI 1.11-1.42; AUROC 0.75, 0.64‒0.86, p 0.001) and 30-day mortality (OR 1.27, 1.17-1.39; AUROC 0.78, 0.71‒0.84, p 0.001) irrespective of age and comorbidity. There were 64 patients in EDICU group, 12 patients in EDwardICU group and 1,278 patients in EDward group with median ED-NEWSs of 7, 3 and 2 (p 0.001), respectively. After the first 24 h in wards, median NEWSs of the EDwardICU patients had substantially increased as compared with EDward patients (6 vs. 2, p 0.001). There were no statistical differences in last NEWS before ICU admission between the EDICU and EDwardICU patients (7 vs. 8, p = 0.534), or in ICU severity-of-illness scores or patient outcomes.ED-NEWS is independently associated with in-hospital and 30-day mortality with acceptable discrimination capability. Direct and late ICU admissions occurred with comparable NEWSs at admission.
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- 2018
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30. P029 Clinical application of national early warning score 2 (NEWS2) in pre-hospital care: a prospective cohort study.
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Cidade, José Pedro, Barradas, Ana Rita, Conceição, Catarina, Nunes, Jorge, and Lufinha, Ana
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EARLY warning score , *LONGITUDINAL method , *COHORT analysis , *CLINICAL medicine - Published
- 2022
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31. Do either early warning systems or emergency response teams improve hospital patient survival? A systematic review.
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McNeill, G. and Bryden, D.
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SURVIVAL analysis (Biometry) , *SYSTEMATIC reviews , *EMERGENCY management , *HOSPITAL care , *CRITICAL care medicine , *COMPARATIVE studies - Abstract
Abstract: Background: For critical care to be effective it must have a system in place to achieve optimal care for the deteriorating ward patient. Objectives: To systematically review the available literature to assess whether either early warning systems or emergency response teams improve hospital survival. In the event of there being a lack of evidence regarding hospital survival, secondary outcome measures were considered (unplanned ICU admissions, ICU mortality, length of ICU stay, length of hospital stay, cardiac arrest rates). Methods: The Ovid Medline, EMBASE, CINAHL, Web of Science, Cochrane library and NHS databases were searched in September 2012 along with non-catalogued resources for papers examining the effect of early warning systems or emergency response teams on hospital survival. Inclusion criteria were original clinical trials and comparative studies in adult inpatients that assessed either an early warning system or emergency response team against any of the predefined outcome measures. Exclusion criteria were previous systematic reviews, non-English abstracts and studies incorporating paediatric data. Studies were arranged in to sections focusing on the following interventions: Early warning systems [-] Single parameter systems [-] Aggregate weighted scoring systems (AWSS) Emergency response teams [-] Medical emergency teams [-] Multidisciplinary outreach services In each section an appraisal of the level of evidence and a recommendation has been made using the SIGN grading system. Results: 43 studies meeting the review criteria were identified and included for analysis. 2 studies assessed single parameter scoring systems and 4 addressed aggregate weighted scoring systems. A total of 20 studies examined medical emergency teams and 22 studies examined multidisciplinary outreach teams. Limitations: The exclusion of non English studies and those including paediatric patients does limit the applicability of this review. Conclusions: Much of the available evidence is of poor quality. It is clear that a ‘whole system’ approach should be adopted and that AWSS appear to be more effective than single parameter systems. The response to deterioration appears most effective when a clinician with critical care skills leads it. The need for service improvement differs between health care systems. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]
- Published
- 2013
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32. A review of rapid response team activation parameters in New Zealand hospitals.
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Psirides, Alex, Hill, Jennifer, and Hurford, Sally
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PUBLIC hospitals , *PATIENT monitoring , *RESPIRATORY intensive care , *MEDICAL statistics , *ANALYSIS of variance - Abstract
Abstract: Objective: To review current systems for recognising and responding to clinically deteriorating patients in all New Zealand public hospitals. Design: A cross-sectional study of recognition and response systems in all New Zealand public hospitals was conducted in October 2011. Copies of all current vital sign charts and/or relevant policies were requested. These were examined for vital sign based recognition and response systems. The charts or policies were also used to determine the type of system in use and the vital sign parameters and trigger thresholds that provoke a call to the rapid response team. Setting: All New Zealand District Health Boards (DHBs). Main outcome measures: Physiological parameters used to trigger rapid response, the weighting of any early warning score assigned to them, type of system used, values of physiological derangement that trigger maximal system response. Results: All DHBs use aggregate scoring systems to assess deterioration and respond. A total of 9 different physiological parameters were scored with most charts (21%) scoring 6 different parameters. All scored respiratory rate, heart rate, systolic blood pressure and conscious level. 86% scored oliguria, 14% polyuria, 33% oxygen saturation and 24% oxygen administration. All systems used either aggregate scores or a single extreme parameter to elicit a maximal system response. The extremes of physiological derangement to which scores were assigned varied greatly with bradypnoea having the greatest range for what was considered grossly abnormal. Conclusion: A large variance exists in the criteria used to detect deteriorating patients within New Zealand hospitals. Standardising both the vital signs chart and escalation criteria is likely to be of significant benefit in the early detection of and response to patient deterioration. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]
- Published
- 2013
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- View/download PDF
33. Comparison of the Between the Flags calling criteria to the MEWS, NEWS and the electronic Cardiac Arrest Risk Triage (eCART) score for the identification of deteriorating ward patients
- Author
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Ashley Snyder, Matthew M. Churpek, Paul Hudson, Malcolm Green, Harvey Lander, and Dana P. Edelson
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Adult ,Patient Transfer ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Organ Dysfunction Scores ,Emergency Nursing ,Risk Assessment ,Sensitivity and Specificity ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,medicine ,Electronic Health Records ,Humans ,Hospital Mortality ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Adverse effect ,Aged ,Retrospective Studies ,Aged, 80 and over ,Clinical Deterioration ,business.industry ,Medical record ,Risk identification ,030208 emergency & critical care medicine ,Retrospective cohort study ,Middle Aged ,medicine.disease ,Early warning score ,Triage ,Heart Arrest ,Mews ,Early Diagnosis ,Area Under Curve ,Emergency medicine ,Emergency Medicine ,Medical emergency ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,Risk assessment ,business ,Algorithms - Abstract
Introduction Traditionally, paper based observation charts have been used to identify deteriorating patients, with emerging recent electronic medical records allowing electronic algorithms to risk stratify and help direct the response to deterioration. Objective(s) We sought to compare the Between the Flags (BTF) calling criteria to the Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS), National Early Warning Score (NEWS) and electronic Cardiac Arrest Risk Triage (eCART) score. Design and participants Multicenter retrospective analysis of electronic health record data from all patients admitted to five US hospitals from November 2008-August 2013. Main outcome measures: Cardiac arrest, ICU transfer or death within 24 h of a score Results Overall accuracy was highest for eCART, with an AUC of 0.801 (95% CI 0.799–0.802), followed by NEWS, MEWS and BTF respectively (0.718 [0.716–0.720]; 0.698 [0.696–0.700]; 0.663 [0.661–0.664]). BTF criteria had a high risk (Red Zone) specificity of 95.0% and a moderate risk (Yellow Zone) specificity of 27.5%, which corresponded to MEWS thresholds of > = 4 and > = 2, NEWS thresholds of > = 5 and > = 2, and eCART thresholds of > = 12 and > = 4, respectively. At those thresholds, eCART caught 22 more adverse events per 10,000 patients than BTF using the moderate risk criteria and 13 more using high risk criteria, while MEWS and NEWS identified the same or fewer. Conclusion(s) An electronically generated eCART score was more accurate than commonly used paper based observation tools for predicting the composite outcome of in-hospital cardiac arrest, ICU transfer and death within 24 h of observation. The outcomes of this analysis lend weight for a move towards an algorithm based electronic risk identification tool for deteriorating patients to ensure earlier detection and prevent adverse events in the hospital.
- Published
- 2018
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34. Finally good NEWS: Something simple is working in COVID-19!
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Subbe, Christian and Thorpe, Chris
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2019-20 coronavirus outbreak ,Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) ,SARS-CoV-2 ,business.industry ,Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) ,MEDLINE ,COVID-19 ,Emergency Nursing ,medicine.disease ,Early warning score ,Early Warning Score ,Emergency ,Emergency Medicine ,Humans ,Medicine ,Medical emergency ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,business ,Letter to the Editor ,Simple (philosophy) ,Introductory Journal Article - Published
- 2021
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35. The effect of a critical care outreach service and an early warning scoring system on respiratory rate recording on the general wards
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Odell, M., Rechner, I.J., Kapila, A., Even, T., Oliver, D., Davies, C.W.H., Milsom, L., Forster, A., and Rudman, K.
- Subjects
- *
RESPIRATORY diseases , *PHYSICAL diagnosis , *HOSPITALS , *MEDICAL care , *CARDIAC arrest , *COMPARATIVE studies , *CRITICAL care medicine , *HOSPITAL patients , *RESEARCH methodology , *MEDICAL cooperation , *MEDICAL records , *PATIENT monitoring , *RESEARCH , *ROOMS , *EVALUATION research , *DISEASE prevalence , *SEVERITY of illness index , *MEDICAL coding , *RESPIRATORY mechanics , *DIAGNOSIS ,CARDIAC arrest prevention - Abstract
Aim: To determine whether the implementation of a Reading-Modified Early Warning Scoring (R-MEWS) system, is associated with an increased recording of respiratory rate (RR) in hospital inpatients, and whether the presence of a critical care outreach (CCO) service has a further impact on the recording of patient's vital signs.Method: Five annual point prevalence surveys of all adult, non-obstetric acute inpatients (n=2638) in two Hospitals (A and B) were carried out between 2001 and 2005. The R-MEWS system was implemented incrementally in both hospitals to include all study group patients, but a CCO service was only available in Hospital A. Data were collected on numbers of patients, routinely documented physiological observations and R-MEW score.Results: Respiratory rate (RR) recording increased from 6.0% in the first survey to 77.9% in the last, which correlated with the incremental implementation of the R-MEWS system. Hospital A that had the CCO service showed a greater increase in RR recording than Hospital B with no CCO service.Conclusion: The introduction of an early warning scoring (EWS) was associated with improved respiratory rate recording, which may have been further enhanced by the presence of a CCO service. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2007
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36. NEWS2 needs to be tested in prospective trials involving patients with confirmed hypercapnia
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Peter M Turkington, Ronan O’Driscoll, Nawar Diar Bakerly, and Peter Murphy
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business.industry ,Emergency Nursing ,Respiration, Artificial ,Hospitals ,Hypercapnia ,Early Warning Score ,Anesthesia ,Emergency Medicine ,Medicine ,Humans ,Prospective Studies ,medicine.symptom ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,business - Published
- 2019
37. The effect of fractional inspired oxygen concentration on early warning score performance: A database analysis
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James, Malycha, Nazli, Farajidavar, Marco A F, Pimentel, Oliver, Redfern, David A, Clifton, Lionel, Tarassenko, Paul, Meredith, David, Prytherch, Guy, Ludbrook, J Duncan, Young, and Peter J, Watkinson
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Adult ,Aged, 80 and over ,Male ,Databases, Factual ,Decision trees ,Oxygen Inhalation Therapy ,Middle Aged ,Article ,Cohort Studies ,Oxygen ,Intensive Care Units ,Critical care ,Patient Admission ,Early Warning Score ,Intensive care ,Predictive scores ,Machine learning ,Humans ,Female ,Fractional inspired oxygen ,Retrospective Studies ,Early warning scores - Abstract
Objectives To calculate fractional inspired oxygen concentration (FiO2) thresholds in ward patients and add these to the National Early Warning Score (NEWS). To evaluate the performance of NEWS-FiO2 against NEWS when predicting in-hospital death and unplanned intensive care unit (ICU) admission. Methods A multi-centre, retrospective, observational cohort study was carried out in five hospitals from two UK NHS Trusts. Adult admissions with at least one complete set of vital sign observations recorded electronically were eligible. The primary outcome measure was an ‘adverse event’ which comprised either in-hospital death or unplanned ICU admission. Discrimination was assessed using the Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve (AUROC). Results A cohort of 83,304 patients from a total of 271,363 adult admissions were prescribed oxygen. In this cohort, NEWS-FiO2 (AUROC 0.823, 95% CI 0.819–0.824) outperformed NEWS (AUORC 0.811, 95% CI 0.809–0.814) when predicting in-hospital death or unplanned ICU admission within 24 h of a complete set of vital sign observations. Conclusions NEWS-FiO2 generates a performance gain over NEWS when studied in ward patients requiring oxygen. This warrants further study, particularly in patients with respiratory disorders.
- Published
- 2019
38. Does the National Early Warning Score 2 system serve its purpose?
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Jack Chen
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business.industry ,Vital Signs ,MEDLINE ,Vital signs ,Early warning score ,Emergency Nursing ,medicine.disease ,Physiological monitoring ,Article ,Intensive Care Units ,Emergency Medicine ,Medicine ,Humans ,COPD ,Medical emergency ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,business - Abstract
Aims To compare the ability of the National Early Warning Score (NEWS) and the National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) to identify patients at risk of in-hospital mortality and other adverse outcomes. Methods We undertook a multi-centre retrospective observational study at five acute hospitals from two UK NHS Trusts. Data were obtained from completed adult admissions who were not fit enough to be discharged alive on the day of admission. Diagnostic coding and oxygen prescriptions were used to identify patients with type II respiratory failure (T2RF). The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality within 24 h of a vital signs observation. Secondary outcomes included unanticipated intensive care unit admission or cardiac arrest within 24 h of a vital signs observation. Discrimination was assessed using the c-statistic. Results Among 251,266 adult admissions, 48,898 were identified to be at risk of T2RF by diagnostic coding. In this group, NEWS2 showed statistically significant lower discrimination (c-statistic, 95% CI) for identifying in-hospital mortality within 24 h (0.860, 0.857–0.864) than NEWS (0.881, 0.878-0.884). For 1394 admissions with documented T2RF, discrimination was similar for both systems: NEWS2 (0.841, 0.827-0.855), NEWS (0.862, 0.848–0.875). For all secondary endpoints, NEWS2 showed no improvements in discrimination. Conclusions NEWS2 modifications to NEWS do not improve discrimination of adverse outcomes in patients with documented T2RF and decrease discrimination in patients at risk of T2RF. Further evaluation of the relationship between SpO2 values, oxygen therapy and risk should be investigated further before wide-scale adoption of NEWS2.
- Published
- 2018
39. Paediatric early warning scores are predictors of adverse outcome in the pre-hospital setting: A national cohort study
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Linda Clerihew, Kevin Rooney, Paul J. Kelly, Daniel J. Silcock, Harry Staines, Elaine Stewart, and Alasdair R. Corfield
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Male ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Emergency Medical Services ,Adolescent ,Critical Illness ,Context (language use) ,Emergency Nursing ,Logistic regression ,Severity of Illness Index ,03 medical and health sciences ,Patient safety ,0302 clinical medicine ,Predictive Value of Tests ,030225 pediatrics ,Emergency medical services ,Medicine ,Humans ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Child ,Retrospective Studies ,Clinical Deterioration ,business.industry ,Vital Signs ,Infant, Newborn ,Infant ,Retrospective cohort study ,Odds ratio ,Early warning score ,Child mortality ,Hospitalization ,Logistic Models ,ROC Curve ,Scotland ,Child, Preschool ,Emergency medicine ,Emergency Medicine ,Female ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,business - Abstract
Physiological deterioration often precedes clinical deterioration as patients develop critical illness. Use of a specific Paediatric Early Warning Score (PEWS), based on basic physiological measurements, may help identify children prior to their clinical deterioration. NHS Scotland has adopted a single national PEWS - PEWS (Scotland). We aim to look at the utility of PEWS (Scotland) in unselected paediatric ambulance patients.We performed a retrospective cohort of all ambulance patients aged under 16 years conveyed to hospital in Scotland between 2011 and 2015. Patients were matched to their 30 day mortality and ICU admission using data linkage.Full results were available for 21,202 children and young people (CYP). On multivariate logistic regression, PEWS (Scotland) was an independent predictor of the primary outcome (ICU admission within 48 h or death within 30 days) with an odds ratio of 1.403 (95%CI 1.349-1.460, p 0.001). Area Under Receiving Operator Curve (AUROC) for aggregated PEWS was 0.797 (95% CI 0.759 to 0.836, p 0.001). The optimal PEWS using Youlden's Index was 5.These data show PEWS (Scotland) to be a useful tool in a pre-hospital setting. A single set of physiological observations undertaken prior to arrival at hospital can identify a group of children at higher risk of an adverse in-hospital outcome. Paediatric care is becoming more specialised and focussed on a smaller number of centres. In this context, use of PEWS (Scotland) in the pre-hospital phase may allow changes to paediatric pre-hospital pathways to improve both admission to ICU and child mortality rates.
- Published
- 2018
40. Reply to: NEWS2 needs to be tested in prospective trials involving patients with confirmed hypercapnia
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David Prytherch, Paul E. Schmidt, Peter J. Watkinson, Stephen Gerry, Marco A. F. Pimentel, Gary S. Collins, Gary B. Smith, James Malycha, and Oliver C. Redfern
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medicine.medical_specialty ,business.industry ,MEDLINE ,Carbon Dioxide ,Emergency Nursing ,Early warning score ,Hospitals ,Hypercapnia ,Early Warning Score ,Emergency medicine ,Emergency Medicine ,medicine ,Humans ,Prospective Studies ,medicine.symptom ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,Prospective cohort study ,business - Published
- 2019
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41. European Resuscitation Council Guidelines for Resuscitation 2015
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Ian K. Maconochie, Robert Bingham, Christoph Eich, Jesús López-Herce, Antonio Rodríguez-Núñez, Thomas Rajka, Patrick Van de Voorde, David A. Zideman, Dominique Biarent, Koenraad G. Monsieurs, and Jerry P. Nolan
- Subjects
Resuscitation ,business.industry ,medicine.medical_treatment ,Emergency Nursing ,medicine.disease ,Early warning score ,Life Support Care ,High dose epinephrine ,Life support ,Emergency Medicine ,Medicine ,Cardiopulmonary resuscitation ,Medical emergency ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,business ,Rapid response system - Published
- 2015
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42. CREWS: Improving specificity whilst maintaining sensitivity of the National Early Warning Score in patients with chronic hypoxaemia.
- Author
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Eccles, Sinan R., Subbe, Chris, Hancock, Daniel, and Thomson, Nicolette
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- *
HYPOXEMIA , *OBSTRUCTIVE lung diseases , *HOSPITAL wards , *FATIGUE (Physiology) , *CURVES , *CHRONIC diseases - Abstract
Abstract: Background: The National Early Warning Score (NEWS) is being introduced across the UK, but there are concerns about its specificity in patients with chronic hypoxaemia, such as some patients with COPD. This could lead to frequent clinically insignificant triggers and alarm fatigue. Aims of study: To investigate whether patients with chronic hypoxaemia trigger excessively with NEWS, and to design a simple variant of NEWS for patients with chronic hypoxaemia: a Chronic Respiratory Early Warning Score (CREWS). Methods: Data was collected from respiratory wards at two hospitals in North Wales. Components of NEWS and frequency of trigger thresholds being reached were recorded. CREWS was applied retrospectively to patients’ observations. Results: 196 admissions were analysed, including 78 for patients with chronic hypoxaemia. Patients with chronic hypoxaemia frequently exceeded trigger thresholds using NEWS during periods of stability/at discharge. Using CREWS, triggers during stability/at discharge were reduced from 32% of observations to 14% using a trigger threshold of a score greater than 6, and from 50% to 18% using a score greater than 5. All patients with chronic hypoxaemia who died within 30 days still reached CREWS trigger thresholds, and the area under receiver operated curves for NEWS and CREWS was comparable. Conclusion: CREWS is a simple variant of NEWS for patients with chronic hypoxaemia that could reduce clinically insignificant triggers and alarm fatigue, whilst still identifying the sickest patients. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]
- Published
- 2014
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43. The introduction of a rapid response system in acute hospitals: A pragmatic stepped wedge cluster randomised controlled trial
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Ella Roelant, Koen De Meester, Kristien Wouters, Filip Haegdorens, Marie Misselyn, Peter Van Bogaert, and Koenraad G. Monsieurs
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Male ,medicine.medical_specialty ,medicine.medical_treatment ,Emergency Nursing ,law.invention ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Patient Admission ,Randomized controlled trial ,Belgium ,law ,Acute care ,medicine ,Humans ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Cluster randomised controlled trial ,Cardiopulmonary resuscitation ,Hospital Mortality ,Aged ,Patient Care Team ,business.industry ,Incidence (epidemiology) ,030208 emergency & critical care medicine ,Middle Aged ,Early warning score ,Intensive care unit ,Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation ,Heart Arrest ,Intensive Care Units ,Outcome and Process Assessment, Health Care ,Emergency medicine ,Emergency Medicine ,Female ,Human medicine ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,business ,Rapid response system - Abstract
Aim Deterioration of hospitalised patients is often missed, misinterpreted, and mismanaged. Rapid Response Systems (RRSs) have been proposed to solve this problem. This study aimed to investigate the effect of an RRS on the incidence of unexpected death, cardiac arrest with cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR), and unplanned intensive care unit (ICU) admission. Methods We conducted a stepped wedge cluster randomised controlled trial including 14 Belgian acute care hospitals with two medical and two surgical wards each. The intervention comprised a standardised observation and communication protocol including a pragmatic medical response strategy. Comorbidity and nurse staff levels were collected as potential confounders. Results Twenty-eight wards of seven hospitals were studied from October 2013 until May 2015 and included in the final analysis. The control group contained 34,267 patient admissions and the intervention group 35,389. When adjusted for clustering and study time, we found no significant difference between the control and intervention group in unexpected death rates (1.5 vs 0.7/1000, OR 0.82, 95%CI 0.34–1.95), cardiac arrest rates (1.3 vs 1.0/1000, OR 0.71, 95%CI 0.33–1.52) or unplanned ICU admissions (6.5 vs 10.3/1000, OR 1.23, 95%CI 0.91–1.65). Conclusion Our intervention had no significant effect on the incidence of unexpected death, cardiac arrest or unplanned ICU admission when adjusted for clustering and study time. We found a lower than expected baseline incidence of unexpected death and cardiac arrest rates which reduced the statistical power significantly in this study.
- Published
- 2018
44. Aggregate National Early Warning Score (NEWS) values are more important than high scores for a single vital signs parameter for discriminating the risk of adverse outcomes
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Paul Meredith, Gary B. Smith, David Prytherch, Caroline Kovacs, Peter I. Featherstone, Paul E. Schmidt, Jim Briggs, and Stuart William Jarvis
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medicine.medical_specialty ,Monitoring ,Adverse outcomes ,Vital signs ,education ,Emergency Nursing ,Risk Assessment ,Severity of Illness Index ,Patient safety ,Health Sciences ,medicine ,News values ,Health Status Indicators ,Humans ,Physiologic ,Monitoring, Physiologic ,Vital Signs ,business.industry ,Aggregate (data warehouse) ,Computing ,Workload ,Early warning score ,medicine.disease ,Quality Improvement ,United Kingdom ,Failure to rescue ,Emergency medicine ,Critical Pathways ,Emergency Medicine ,Medical emergency ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,business ,Hospital Rapid Response Team ,Vital signs observation - Abstract
Introduction - The Royal College of Physicians (RCPL) National Early Warning Score (NEWS) escalates care to a doctor at NEWS values of ≥5 and when the score for any single vital sign is 3.Methods - We calculated the 24-h risk of serious clinical outcomes for vital signs observation sets with NEWS values of 3, 4 and 5, separately determining risks when the score did/did not include a single score of 3. We compared workloads generated by the RCPL's escalation protocol and for aggregate NEWS value alone.Results - Aggregate NEWS values of 3 or 4 (n = 142,282) formed 15.1% of all vital signs sets measured; those containing a single vital sign scoring 3 (n = 36,207) constituted 3.8% of all sets. Aggregate NEWS values of either 3 or 4 with a component score of 3 have significantly lower risks (OR: 0.26 and 0.53) than an aggregate value of 5 (OR: 1.0). Escalating care to a doctor when any single component of NEWS scores 3 compared to when aggregate NEWS values ≥5, would have increased doctors’ workload by 40% with only a small increase in detected adverse outcomes from 2.99 to 3.08 per day (a 3% improvement in detection).Conclusions - The recommended NEWS escalation protocol produces additional work for the bedside nurse and responding doctor, disproportionate to a modest benefit in increased detection of adverse outcomes. It may have significant ramifications for efficient staff resource allocation, distort patient safety focus and risk alarm fatigue. Our findings suggest that the RCPL escalation guidance warrants review.
- Published
- 2015
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45. Early Deterioration Indicator: Data-driven approach to detecting deterioration in general ward
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Bill Lord, Eric T. Carlson, Larry Eshelman, Erina Ghosh, and Lin Yang
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Adult ,Patient Transfer ,Vital signs ,030204 cardiovascular system & hematology ,Emergency Nursing ,Logistic regression ,Risk Assessment ,Sensitivity and Specificity ,Severity of Illness Index ,Data-driven ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Medicine ,Humans ,Hospital Mortality ,Aged ,Monitoring, Physiologic ,Warning system ,Receiver operating characteristic ,Clinical Deterioration ,business.industry ,030208 emergency & critical care medicine ,Middle Aged ,Early warning score ,medicine.disease ,Mews ,Intensive Care Units ,ROC Curve ,Emergency Medicine ,Medical emergency ,General ward ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,business - Abstract
Introduction Early detection of deterioration could facilitate more timely interventions which are instrumental in reducing transfer to higher levels of care such as Intensive Care Unit (ICU) and mortality [1] , [2] . Methods and results We developed the Early Deterioration Indicator (EDI) which uses log likelihood risk of vital signs to calculate continuous risk scores. EDI was developed using data from 11,864 general ward admissions. To validate EDI, we calculated EDI scores on an additional 2418 general ward stays and compared it to the Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS) and National Early Warning Score (NEWS). EDI was trained using the most significant variables in predicting deterioration by leveraging the knowledge from a large dataset through data mining. It was implemented electronically for continuous automatic computation. The discriminative performance of EDI, MEWS, and NEWS was calculated before deterioration using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Additionally, the performance of the 3 scores for 24 h prior to deterioration were computed. EDI was a better discriminator of deterioration than MEWS or NEWS; AUROC values for the validation dataset were: EDI – 0.7655, NEWS – 0.6569, MEWS – 0.6487. EDI also identified more patients likely to deteriorate for the same specificity as NEWS or MEWS. EDI had the best performance among the 3 scores for the last 24 h of the patient stay. Conclusion EDI detects more deteriorations for the same specificity as the other two scores. Our results show that EDI performs better at predicting deterioration than commonly used NEWS and MEWS.
- Published
- 2017
46. Trajectories of the averaged abbreviated Vitalpac™ early warning score (AbEWS) and clinical course of 44,531 consecutive admissions hospitalized for acute medical illness
- Author
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Simon Woodworth, Alan Murray, John Kellett, Wendy Huang, and Fei Wang
- Subjects
Male ,Pediatrics ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Time Factors ,Vital signs ,Emergency Nursing ,Risk Assessment ,Time frame ,Predictive Value of Tests ,Medical illness ,Health Status Indicators ,Humans ,Medicine ,In patient ,Hospital Mortality ,Aged ,Retrospective Studies ,Aged, 80 and over ,Ontario ,Vital Signs ,business.industry ,Clinical course ,Middle Aged ,Prognosis ,Clinical judgment ,Early warning score ,Hospitalization ,Acute Disease ,Emergency Medicine ,Female ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,business ,Biomedical sciences - Abstract
Background It is not known how often, to what extent and over what time frame any early warning scores change, and what the implications of these changes are. Setting Thunder Bay Regional Health Sciences Center, Ontario, Canada. Methods The averaged vital signs measured over different time periods of 44,531 consecutive acutely ill medical admissions were determined and then combined to calculate the averaged abbreviated version of the Vitalpac™ early warning score (AbEWS) during each time period examined. Results 18% of all in-hospital deaths within 30 days are in patients with a low AbEWS on admission. Those admitted with a low AbEWS are more likely to increase their score and those admitted with a high score are more likely to lower it. Paradoxically, patients who have an averaged score over the first 6 h in hospital that is lower than on admission have increased in-hospital mortality. Thereafter patients with an increase in the averaged score have almost twice the mortality of those with a decreased score. 4.7% of patients have a low averaged score on the day they die. Conclusion AbEWS, without clinical judgment, cannot be used to detect those patients who do not need to be admitted to hospital or are suitable for discharge. A period of observation of at least 12 h is required before the trajectory of AbEWS is of prognostic value, and any “improvement” that occurs before this time may be illusory.
- Published
- 2014
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47. In-hospital cardiac arrest: Is it time for an in-hospital ‘chain of prevention’?
- Author
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Smith, Gary B.
- Subjects
- *
CARDIAC arrest , *VITAL signs , *PREVENTION of heart diseases , *RESUSCITATION , *PATIENT monitoring , *EMERGENCY medical services , *MEDICAL personnel - Abstract
Abstract: The ‘chain of survival’ has been a useful tool for improving the understanding of, and the quality of the response to, cardiac arrest for many years. In the 2005 European Resuscitation Council Guidelines the importance of recognising critical illness and preventing cardiac arrest was highlighted by their inclusion as the first link in a new four-ring ‘chain of survival’. However, recognising critical illness and preventing cardiac arrest are complex tasks, each requiring the presence of several essential steps to ensure clinical success. This article proposes the adoption of an additional chain for in-hospital settings – a ‘chain of prevention’ – to assist hospitals in structuring their care processes to prevent and detect patient deterioration and cardiac arrest. The five rings of the chain represent ‘staff education’, ‘monitoring’, ‘recognition’, the ‘call for help’ and the ‘response’. It is believed that a ‘chain of prevention’ has the potential to be understood well by hospital clinical staff of all grades, disciplines and specialties, patients, and their families and friends. The chain provides a structure for research to identify the importance of each of the various components of rapid response systems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2010
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48. Using National Early Warning Score (NEWS) in Tampere University Hospital
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Elina Suoninen and Minna Peltomaa
- Subjects
business.industry ,Emergency Medicine ,Medicine ,Medical emergency ,Emergency Nursing ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,business ,University hospital ,medicine.disease ,Early warning score - Published
- 2018
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49. Comparison of prehospital national early warning score and machine learning methods for predicting mortality
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Sanna Hoppu, Joonas Tamminen, Antti Kallonen, and Jari Kalliomäki
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business.industry ,Emergency Medicine ,medicine ,Medical emergency ,Emergency Nursing ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,medicine.disease ,business ,Early warning score - Published
- 2019
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50. Reply to: Performance of the National Early Warning Score in hospitalised patients infected by Covid-19.
- Author
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Smith GB, Prytherch D, Kostakis I, Meredith P, Chauhan A, and Price C
- Subjects
- Humans, SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19, Early Warning Score
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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