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The development of clinically progressive fibrosis complicates a wide array of interstitial lung diseases (ILDs). However, there are limited data regarding its prevalence and prognosis.We analysed consecutive patients seen for initial evaluation of a fibrosing form of ILD (FILD). Patients were evaluated for evidence of progressive fibrosis over the first 24 months of follow-up. We defined a progressive phenotype as the presence of at least one of the following: a relative decline in forced vital capacity (FVC) of ≥10%; a relative decline in FVC of ≥5%-10% with a relative decline in diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide of ≥15%, increased fibrosis on HRCT or progressive symptoms.Eight hundred and forty-four patients (397 with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis [IPF] and 447 non-IPF FILD) made up the final analysis cohort. Three hundred and fifty-five patients (42.1%) met the progressive phenotype criteria (59.4% of IPF patients and 26.6% of non-IPF FILD patients, p 0.01). In both IPF and non-IPF FILD, transplantation-free survival differed between patients with a progressive phenotype and those without (p 0.01). Multivariable analysis showed that a progressive phenotype was an independent predictor of transplantation-free survival (hazard ratio [HR]: 3.36, 95% CI: 2.68-4.23, p 0.01). Transplantation-free survival did not differ between non-IPF FILD with a progressive phenotype and IPF (HR: 1.12, 95% CI: 0.85-1.48, p = 0.42).Over one-fourth of non-IPF FILD patients develop a progressive phenotype compared to approximately 60% of IPF patients. The survival of non-IPF FILD patients with a progressive phenotype is similar to IPF.

Background and objective Interstitial lung disease (ILD) is a common pulmonary manifestation of systemic sclerosis (SSc). It is unknown whether radiographic fibrosis score predicts mortality in SSc-associated ILD (SSc-ILD). We retrospectively analysed patients with SSc-ILD to evaluate whether radiographic fibrosis score was a useful predictor of mortality. Methods We identified SSc-ILD patients evaluated at Kurashiki Central Hospital (Japan) from 2006 to 2016, and radiographic fibrosis scores based on the extent of reticulation and honeycombing on high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) scanning were calculated by manually tracing around each fibrotic area. Independent predictors of overall survival were determined using the Cox proportional hazards model. Results The study included 48 patients, of whom 19 had usual interstitial pneumonia on HRCT. The median follow-up period was 56.6 months, and over the follow-up period 15 patients died. The 5-year survival was 72.4%. In the multivariate analysis, radiographic fibrosis score, age, being male and forced vital capacity were independently associated with an increased risk of death, while HRCT pattern was not. Conclusion A high radiographic fibrosis score was a poor prognostic factor in SSc-ILD. More widespread fibrosis was associated with an increased risk of death, independent of HRCT pattern.