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Crop classification of large-scale agricultural land is crucial for crop monitoring and yield estimation. Hyperspectral image classification has proven to be an effective method for this task. Most current popular hyperspectral image classification methods are based on image classification, specifically on convolutional neural networks (CNNs) and recurrent neural networks (RNNs). In contrast, this paper focuses on methods based on semantic segmentation and proposes a new transformer-based approach called HyperSFormer for crop hyperspectral image classification. The key enhancement of the proposed method is the replacement of the encoder in SegFormer with an improved Swin Transformer while keeping the SegFormer decoder. The entire model adopts a simple and uniform transformer architecture. Additionally, the paper introduces the hyper patch embedding (HPE) module to extract spectral and local spatial information from the hyperspectral images, which enhances the effectiveness of the features used as input for the model. To ensure detailed model processing and achieve end-to-end hyperspectral image classification, the transpose padding upsample (TPU) module is proposed for the model's output. In order to address the problem of insufficient and imbalanced samples in hyperspectral image classification, the paper designs an adaptive min log sampling (AMLS) strategy and a loss function that incorporates dice loss and focal loss to assist model training. Experimental results using three public hyperspectral image datasets demonstrate the strong performance of HyperSFormer, particularly in the presence of imbalanced sample data, complex negative samples, and mixed sample classes. HyperSFormer outperforms state-of-the-art methods, including fast patch-free global learning (FPGA), a spectral–spatial-dependent global learning framework (SSDGL), and SegFormer, by at least 2.7% in the mean intersection over union (mIoU). It also improves the overall accuracy and average accuracy values by at least 0.9% and 0.3%, respectively, and the kappa coefficient by at least 0.011. Furthermore, ablation experiments were conducted to determine the optimal hyperparameter and loss function settings for the proposed method, validating the rationality of these settings and the fusion loss function. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The extraction and classification of crops is the core issue of agricultural remote sensing. The precise classification of crop types is of great significance to the monitoring and evaluation of crops planting area, growth, and yield. Based on the Google Earth Engine and Google Colab cloud platform, this study takes the typical agricultural oasis area of Xiangride Town, Qinghai Province, as an example. It compares traditional machine learning (random forest, RF), object-oriented classification (object-oriented, OO), and deep neural networks (DNN), which proposes a random forest combined with deep neural network (RF+DNN) classification framework. In this study, the spatial characteristics of band information, vegetation index, and polarization of main crops in the study area were constructed using Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 data. The temporal characteristics of crops phenology and growth state were analyzed using the curve curvature method, and the data were screened in time and space. By comparing and analyzing the accuracy of the four classification methods, the advantages of RF+DNN model and its application value in crops classification were illustrated. The results showed that for the crops in the study area during the period of good growth and development, a better crop classification result could be obtained using RF+DNN classification method, whose model accuracy, training, and predict time spent were better than that of using DNN alone. The overall accuracy and Kappa coefficient of classification were 0.98 and 0.97, respectively. It is also higher than the classification accuracy of random forest (OA = 0.87, Kappa = 0.82), object oriented (OA = 0.78, Kappa = 0.70) and deep neural network (OA = 0.93, Kappa = 0.90). The scalable and simple classification method proposed in this paper gives full play to the advantages of cloud platform in data and operation, and the traditional machine learning combined with deep learning can effectively improve the classification accuracy. Timely and accurate extraction of crop types at different spatial and temporal scales is of great significance for crops pattern change, crops yield estimation, and crops safety warning. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, we demonstrate the capabilities of Pleiades-1a imagery for very high resolution (VHR) crop yield estimation by utilizing the predictor variables from the horizontal-spectral information, through Normalized Difference Vegetation Indices (NDVI), and the vertical-volumetric crop characteristics, through the derivation of Crop Canopy Models (CCMs), from the stereo imaging capacity of the satellite. CCMs captured by Unmanned Aerial Vehicles are widely used in precision farming applications, but they are not suitable for the mapping of large or inaccessible areas. We further explore the spatiotemporal relationship of the CCMs and the NDVI for five observation dates during the growing season for eight selected crop fields in Germany with harvester-measured ground truth crop yield. Moreover, we explore different CCM normalization methods, as well as linear and non-linear regression algorithms, for the crop yield estimation. Overall, using the Extremely Randomized Trees regression, the combination of CCMs and NDVI achieves an R2 coefficient of determination of 0.92. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Crop type mapping at high resolution is crucial for various purposes related to agriculture and food security, including the monitoring of crop yields, evaluating the potential effects of natural disasters on agricultural production, analyzing the potential impacts of climate change on agriculture, etc. However, accurately mapping crop types and ranges on large spatial scales remains a challenge. For the accurate mapping of crop types at the regional scale, this paper proposed a crop type mapping method based on the combination of multiple single-temporal feature images and time-series feature images derived from Sentinel-1 (SAR) and Sentinel-2 (optical) satellite imagery on the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform. Firstly, crop type classification was performed separately using multiple single-temporal feature images and the time-series feature image. Secondly, with the help of information entropy, this study proposed a pixel-scale crop type classification accuracy evaluation metric, i.e., the CA-score, which was used to conduct a vote on the classification results of multiple single-temporal images and the time-series feature image to obtain the final crop type map. A comparative analysis showed that the proposed classification method had excellent performance and that it can achieve accurate mapping of multiple crop types at a 10 m resolution for large spatial scales. The overall accuracy (OA) and the kappa coefficient (KC) were 84.15% and 0.80, respectively. Compared with the classification results that were based on the time-series feature image, the OA was improved by 3.37%, and the KC was improved by 0.03. In addition, the CA-score proposed in this study can effectively reflect the accuracy of crop identification and can serve as a pixel-scale classification accuracy evaluation metric, providing a more comprehensive visual interpretation of the classification accuracy. The proposed method and metrics have the potential to be applied to the mapping of larger study areas with more complex land cover types using remote sensing. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Reliable and timely crop-yield prediction and crop mapping are crucial for food security and decision making in the food industry and in agro-environmental management. The global coverage, rich spectral and spatial information and repetitive nature of remote sensing (RS) data have made them effective tools for mapping crop extent and predicting yield before harvesting. Advanced machine-learning methods, particularly deep learning (DL), can accurately represent the complex features essential for crop mapping and yield predictions by accounting for the nonlinear relationships between variables. The DL algorithm has attained remarkable success in different fields of RS and its use in crop monitoring is also increasing. Although a few reviews cover the use of DL techniques in broader RS and agricultural applications, only a small number of references are made to RS-based crop-mapping and yield-prediction studies. A few recently conducted reviews attempted to provide overviews of the applications of DL in crop-yield prediction. However, they did not cover crop mapping and did not consider some of the critical attributes that reveal the essential issues in the field. This study is one of the first in the literature to provide a thorough systematic review of the important scientific works related to state-of-the-art DL techniques and RS in crop mapping and yield estimation. This review systematically identified 90 papers from databases of peer-reviewed scientific publications and comprehensively reviewed the aspects related to the employed platforms, sensors, input features, architectures, frameworks, training data, spatial distributions of study sites, output scales, evaluation metrics and performances. The review suggests that multiple DL-based solutions using different RS data and DL architectures have been developed in recent years, thereby providing reliable solutions for crop mapping and yield prediction. However, challenges related to scarce training data, the development of effective, efficient and generalisable models and the transparency of predictions should be addressed to implement these solutions at scale for diverse locations and crops. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Timely and accurate crop yield information can ensure regional food security. In the field of predicting crop yields, deep learning techniques such as long short-term memory (LSTM) and convolutional neural networks (CNN) are frequently employed. Many studies have shown that the predictions of models combining the two are better than those of single models. Crop growth can be reflected by the vegetation index calculated using data from remote sensing. However, the use of pure remote sensing data alone ignores the spatial heterogeneity of different regions. In this paper, we tested a total of three models, CNN-LSTM, CNN and convolutional LSTM (ConvLSTM), for predicting the annual rice yield at the county level in Hubei Province, China. The model was trained by ERA5 temperature (AT) data, MODIS remote sensing data including the Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI), Gross Primary Productivity (GPP) and Soil-Adapted Vegetation Index (SAVI), and a dummy variable representing spatial heterogeneity; rice yield data from 2000–2019 were employed as labels. Data download and processing were based on Google Earth Engine (GEE). The downloaded remote sensing images were processed into normalized histograms for the training and prediction of deep learning models. According to the experimental findings, the model that included a dummy variable to represent spatial heterogeneity had a stronger predictive ability than the model trained using just remote sensing data. The prediction performance of the CNN-LSTM model outperformed the CNN or ConvLSTM model. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Crop yield is an important factor for evaluating production processes and determining the profitability of growing coffee. Frequently, the total number of coffee beans per area unit is estimated manually by physically counting the coffee cherries, the branches, or the flowers. However, estimating yield requires an investment in time and work, so it is not usual for small producers. This paper studies a non-intrusive and attainable alternative to predicting coffee crop yield through multispectral aerial images. The proposal is designed for small low-tech producers monitored by capturing aerial photos with a MapIR camera on an unmanned aerial vehicle. This research shows how to predict yields in the early stages of the coffee tree productive cycle, such as at flowering by using aerial imagery. Physical and spectral descriptors were evaluated as predictors for yield prediction models. The results showed correlations between the selected predictors and 370 yield samples of a Colombian Arabica coffee crop. The coffee tree volume, the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), and the Coffee Ripeness Index (CRI) showed the highest values with 71%, 55%, and 63%, respectively. Further, these predictors were used as the inputs for regression models to analyze their precision in predicting coffee crop yield. The validation stage concluded that Linear Regression and Stochastic Descending Gradient Regression were better models with determination coefficient values of 56% and 55%, respectively, which are promising for predicting yield. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Compared with a monoculture planting mode, the practice of crop rotations improves fertilizer efficiency and increases crop yield. Large-scale crop rotation monitoring relies on the results of crop classification using remote sensing technology. However, the limited crop classification accuracy cannot satisfy the accurate identification of crop rotation patterns. In this paper, a crop classification and rotation mapping scheme combining the random forest (RF) algorithm and new statistical features extracted from time-series ground range direction (GRD) Sentinel-1 images. First, the synthetic aperture radar (SAR) time-series stacks are established, including VH, VV, and VH/VV channels. Then, new statistical features named the objected generalized gamma distribution (OGΓD) features are introduced to compare with other object-based features for each polarization. The results showed that the OGΓD σVH achieved 96.66% of the overall accuracy (OA) and 95.34% of the Kappa, improving around 4% and 6% compared with the object-based backscatter in VH polarization, respectively. Finally, annual crop-type maps for five consecutive years (2017–2021) are generated using the OGΓD σVH and the RF. By analyzing the five-year crop sequences, the soybean-corn (corn-soybean) is the most representative rotation in the study region, and the soybean-corn-soybean-corn-soybean (together with corn-soybean-corn-soybean-corn) has the highest count with 100 occurrences (25.20% of the total area). This study offers new insights into crop rotation monitoring, giving the basic data for government food planning decision-making. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Soil moisture content (SMC) is an indispensable basic element for crop growth and development in agricultural production. Obtaining accurate information on SMC in real time over large agricultural areas has important guiding significance for crop yield estimation and production management. In this study, the paper reports on the retrieval of SMC from RADARSAT-2 polarimetric SAR data. The proposed SMC retrieval algorithm includes vegetation correction based on a ratio method and roughness correction based on the optimal roughness method. Three vegetation description parameters (i.e., RVI, LAI, and NDVI) serve as vegetation descriptors in the parameterization of the algorithm. To testify the vegetation correction result of the algorithm, the water cloud model (WCM) was compared with the algorithm. The calibrated integrated equation model (CIEM) was employed to describe the backscattering from the underlying soil. To improve the accuracy of SMC retrieval, the CIEM model was optimized by using the optimal roughness parameter and the normalization method of reference incidence angle. Validation against ground measurements showed a high correlation between the measured and estimated SMC when the NDVI serves as vegetation descriptor (R2 = 0.68, RMSE = 4.15 vol.%, p < 0.01). The overall estimation performance of the proposed SMC retrieval algorithm is better than that of the WCM. It demonstrates that the proposed algorithm has an operational potential to estimate SMC over wheat fields during the growing season. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We developed a combined drought index to better monitor agricultural drought events. To develop the index, different combinations of the temperature condition index, precipitation condition index, vegetation condition index, soil moisture condition index, gross primary productivity, and normalized difference water index were used to obtain a single drought severity index. To obtain more effective results, a mesoscale hydrologic model was used to obtain soil moisture values. The SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) algorithm was used to calculate the weights for the combined index. To provide input to the SHAP model, crop yield was predicted using a machine learning model, with the training set yielding a correlation coefficient (R) of 0.8, while the test set values were calculated to be 0.68. The representativeness of the new index in drought situations was compared with established indices, including the Standardized Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) and the Self-Calibrated Palmer Drought Severity Index (scPDSI). The index showed the highest correlation with an R-value of 0.82, followed by the SPEI with 0.7 and scPDSI with 0.48. This study contributes a different perspective for effective detection of agricultural drought events. The integration of an increased volume of data from remote sensing systems with technological advances could facilitate the development of significantly more efficient agricultural drought monitoring systems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Accurately predicting winter wheat yield before harvest could greatly benefit decision-makers when making management decisions. In this study, we utilized weather forecast (WF) data combined with Sentinel-2 data to establish the deep-learning network and achieved an in-season county-scale wheat yield prediction in China's main wheat-producing areas. We tested a combination of short-term WF data from the China Meteorological Administration to predict in-season yield at different forecast lengths. The results showed that explicitly incorporating WF data can improve the accuracy in crop yield predictions [Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) = 0.517 t/ha] compared to using only remote sensing data (RMSE = 0.624 t/ha). After comparing a series of WF data with different time series lengths, we found that adding 25 days of WF data can achieve the highest yield prediction accuracy. Specifically, the highest accuracy (RMSE = 0.496 t/ha) is achieved when predictions are made on Day of The Year (DOY) 215 (40 days before harvest). Our study established a deep-learning model which can be used for early yield prediction at the county level, and we have proved that weather forecast data can also be applied in data-driven deep-learning yield prediction tasks. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Agricultural land parcels (ALPs) are essential for effective agricultural management, influencing activities ranging from crop yield estimation to policy development. However, traditional methods of ALP delineation are often labor-intensive and require frequent updates due to the dynamic nature of agricultural practices. Additionally, the significant variations across different regions and the seasonality of agriculture pose challenges to the automatic generation of accurate and timely ALP labels for extensive areas. This study introduces the cadastral-to-agricultural (Cad2Ag) framework, a novel approach that utilizes cadastral data as training labels to train deep learning models for the delineation of ALPs. Cadastral parcels, which are relatively widely available and stable elements in land management, serve as proxies for ALP delineation. Employing an adapted U-Net model, the framework automates the segmentation process using remote sensing images and geographic information system (GIS) data. This research evaluates the effectiveness of the proposed Cad2Ag framework in two U.S. regions—Indiana and California—characterized by diverse agricultural conditions. Through rigorous evaluation across multiple scenarios, the study explores diverse scenarios to enhance the accuracy and efficiency of ALP delineation. Notably, the framework demonstrates effective ALP delineation across different geographic contexts through transfer learning when supplemented with a small set of clean labels, achieving an F 1 -score of 0.80 and an Intersection over Union (IoU) of 0.67 using only 200 clean label samples. The Cad2Ag framework's ability to leverage automatically generated, extensive, free training labels presents a promising solution for efficient ALP delineation, thereby facilitating effective management of agricultural land. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Scientific evaluation of cultivated land quality (CLQ) is necessary for promoting rational utilization of cultivated land and achieving one of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs): Zero Hunger. However, the CLQ evaluation system proposed in previous studies was diversified, and the methods were inefficient. In this study, based on China's first national standard "Cultivated Land Quality Grade" (GB/T 33469-2016), we constructed a unified county-level CLQ evaluation system by selecting 15 indicators from five aspects—site condition, environmental condition, physicochemical property, nutrient status and field management—and used the Delphi method to calculate the membership degree of the indicators. Taking Jimo district of Shandong Province, China, as a case study, we compared the performance of three machine learning models, including random forest, AdaBoost, and support vector regression, to evaluate CLQ using multi-temporal remote sensing data. The comprehensive index method was used to reveal the spatial distribution of CLQ. The results showed that the CLQ evaluation based on multi-temporal remote sensing data and machine learning model was efficient and reliable, and the evaluation results had a significant positive correlation with crop yield (r was 0.44, p < 0.001). The proportions of cultivated land of high-, medium- and poor-quality were 27.43%, 59.37% and 13.20%, respectively. The CLQ in the western part of the study area was better, while it was worse in the eastern and central parts. The main limiting factors include irrigation capacity and texture configuration. Accordingly, a series of targeted measures and policies were suggested, such as strengthening the construction of farmland water conservancy facilities, deep tillage of soil and continuing to construct well-facilitated farmland. This study proposed a fast and reliable method for evaluating CLQ, and the results are helpful to promote the protection of cultivated land and ensure food security. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Reliable and accurate crop yield prediction at the field scale is critical for meeting the global demand for reliable food sources. In this study, we tested the viability of VENμS satellite data as an alternative to other popular and publicly available multispectral satellite data to predict winter wheat yield and produce a yield prediction map for a field located in southwestern Ontario, Canada, in 2020. Random forest (RF) and support vector regression (SVR) were the two machine learning techniques employed. Our results indicate that machine learning models paired with vegetation indices (VIs) derived from VENμS imagery can accurately predict winter wheat yield 1~2 months prior to harvest, with the most accurate predictions achieved during the early fruit development stage. While both machine learning approaches were viable, SVR produced the most accurate prediction with an R2 of 0.86 and an RMSE of 0.3925 t/ha using data collected from tillering to the early fruit development stage. NDRE-1, NDRE-2, and REP from various growth stages were ranked among the top seven variables in terms of importance for the prediction. These findings provide valuable insights into using high-resolution satellites as tools for non-destructive yield potential analysis. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Prolonged drought exacerbated by climate change in the Mesilla Valley, one of the major agricultural areas of New Mexico, USA, is causing a shortage of surface water from the Rio Grande for irrigation. Farmers in the Valley are using groundwater for irrigation and complementing it with limited surface water from the river (Rio Grande). Managing irrigation water better is vital to sustaining agriculture in the Valley. Remote sensing (RS)-based crop evapotranspiration (ETa) models offer significant advantages over traditional methods. The ET maps generated by these RS models provide valuable information that can be used to manage irrigation water and crops in water-scarce areas. This study used METRIC and SSEBop RS models to map the ET of alfalfa on a private farm that is managed as commonly practiced in the Valley. The integrated ET values of the two models are compared to those of the ETa measured using the eddy covariance method. The comparison showed that 91.55% of the variability in SSEBop ETa estimates can be explained by the variability in the METRIC ETa estimates, and the variability in eddy covariance ETa can explain 93.07% of the variability in METRIC ETa and 86.01% in the SSEBop Eta estimates. Both METRIC and SSEBop reflected the ETa of alfalfa during full growth and harvesting periods. However, the absolute percent mean relative difference (MRD) of ET was higher for two out of three cuttings by SSEBop (>32%) compared to those for METRIC and eddy covariance. The spatiotemporal variabilities in crop ET estimates using METRIC and SSEBop showed a need to improve on-farm irrigation conveyance and on-the-field irrigation efficiency. Overall, RS models can provide spatiotemporal maps of ET that can be used for decision-making to manage irrigation water better and improve crop yield on a field, farm, and regional scale. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Winter wheat is one of the major cereal crops globally and one of the top three cereal crops in China. The precise forecasting of the yield of winter wheat holds significant importance in the realms of agricultural management and ensuring food security. The use of multi-temporal remote sensing data for crop yield prediction has gained increasing attention. Previous research primarily focused on utilizing remote sensing data from individual or a few growth stages as input parameters or integrated data across the entire growth period. However, a detailed analysis of the impact of different temporal combinations on the accuracy of yield prediction has not been extensively reported. In this study, we optimized the temporal sequence of growth stages using interpolation methods, constructed a yield prediction model incorporating the enhanced vegetation index (EVI) at different growth stages as input parameters, and employed a random forest (RF) algorithm. The results indicated that the RF model utilizing the EVI from all the temporal combinations throughout the growth period as input parameters accurately predicted the winter wheat yield with an R2 of the calibrated dataset exceeding 0.58 and an RMSE less than 1284 kg/ha. Among the 1023 yield models tested in this study with ten different growth stage combinations, the most accurate temporal combination comprised five stages corresponding to the regreening, erecting, jointing, heading, and filling stages, with an R2 of 0.81 and an RMSE of 1250 kg/ha and an NRMSE of 15%. We also observed a significant decrease in estimation accuracy when the number of growth stages was fewer than five and a certain degree of decline when the number exceeded five. Our findings confirmed the optimal number and combination of growth stages for the best yield prediction, providing substantial insights for winter wheat yield forecasting. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Real-time estimation of crop progress stages is critical to the US agricultural economy and decision making. In this paper, a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) based method combining multisource features has been presented. The multisource features include mean Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), fractal dimension, and Accumulated Growing Degree Days (AGDDs). In our case, these features are global variable, and measured in the state-level. Moreover, global feature in each Day of Year (DOY) would be impacted by multiple progress stages. Therefore, a mixture model is employed to model the observation probability distribution with all possible stage components. Then, a filtering based algorithm is utilized to estimate the proportion of each progress stage in the real-time. Experiments are conducted in the states of Iowa, Illinois and Nebraska in the USA, and our results are assessed and validated by the Crop Progress Reports (CPRs) of the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS). Finally, a quantitative comparison and analysis between our method and spectral pixel-wise based methods is presented. The results demonstrate the feasibility of the proposed method for the estimation of corn progress stages. The proposed method could be used as a supplementary tool in aid of field survey. Moreover, it also can be used to establish the progress stage estimation model for different types of crops. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Many remote sensing applications are devoted to the agricultural sector. Representative case studies are presented in the special issue "Advances in Remote Sensing of Agriculture". To complement the examples published within the special issue, a few main applications with regional to global focus were selected for this review, where remote sensing contributions are traditionally strong. The selected applications are put in the context of the global challenges the agricultural sector is facing: minimizing the environmental impact, while increasing production and productivity. Five different applications have been selected, which are illustrated and described: (1) biomass and yield estimation, (2) vegetation vigor and drought stress monitoring, (3) assessment of crop phenological development, (4) crop acreage estimation and cropland mapping and (5) mapping of disturbances and land use/land cover (LULC) changes. Many other applications exist, such as precision agriculture and irrigation management (see other special issues of this journal), but were not included to keep the paper concise. The paper starts with an overview of the main agricultural challenges. This section is followed by a brief overview of existing operational monitoring systems. Finally, in the main part of the paper, the mentioned applications are described and illustrated. The review concludes with some key recommendations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Timely and reliable maize yield prediction is essential for the agricultural supply chain and food security. Previous studies using either climate or satellite data or both to build empirical or statistical models have prevailed for decades. However, to what extent climate and satellite data can improve yield prediction is still unknown. In addition, fertilizer information may also improve crop yield prediction, especially in regions with different fertilizer systems, such as cover crop, mineral fertilizer, or compost. Machine learning (ML) has been widely and successfully applied in crop yield prediction. Here, we attempted to predict maize yield from 1994 to 2007 at the plot scale by integrating multi-source data, including monthly climate data, satellite data (i.e., vegetation indices (VIs)), fertilizer data, and soil data to explore the accuracy of different inputs to yield prediction. The results show that incorporating all of the datasets using random forests (RF) and AB (adaptive boosting) can achieve better performances in yield prediction (R2: 0.85~0.98). In addition, the combination of VIs, climate data, and soil data (VCS) can predict maize yield more effectively than other combinations (e.g., combinations of all data and combinations of VIs and soil data). Furthermore, we also found that including different fertilizer systems had different prediction accuracies. This paper aggregates data from multiple sources and distinguishes the effects of different fertilization scenarios on crop yield predictions. In addition, the effects of different data on crop yield were analyzed in this study. Our study provides a paradigm that can be used to improve yield predictions for other crops and is an important effort that combines multi-source remotely sensed and environmental data for maize yield prediction at the plot scale and develops timely and robust methods for maize yield prediction grown under different fertilizing systems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Novel approaches and algorithms to estimate crop physiological processes from Earth Observation (EO) data are essential to develop more sustainable management practices in agricultural systems. Within this context, this paper presents the results of different research activities carried out within the ESA-MOST Dragon 4 programme. The paper encompasses two research avenues: (a) the retrieval of biophysical variables of crops and yield prediction; and (b) food security related to different crop management strategies. Concerning the retrieval of variables, results show that LAI, derived by radiative transfer model (RTM) inversion, when assimilated into a crop growth model (i.e., SAFY) provides a way to assess yields with a higher accuracy with respect to open loop model runs: 1.14 t·ha−1 vs 4.42 t·ha−1 RMSE for assimilation and open loop, respectively. Concerning food security, results show that different pathogens could be detected by remote sensing satellite data. A k coefficient higher than 0.84 was achieved for yellow rust, thus assuring a monitoring accuracy, and for the diseased samples k was higher than 0.87. Concerning permanent crops, neural network (NN) algorithms allow classification of the Pseudomonas syringae pathogen on kiwi orchards with an overall accuracy higher than 91%. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This systematic review explores the role of remote sensing technology in addressing the requirements of sustainable olive growing, set against the backdrop of growing global food demands and contemporary environmental constraints in agriculture. The critical analysis presented in this document assesses different remote sensing platforms (satellites, manned aircraft vehicles, unmanned aerial vehicles and terrestrial equipment) and sensors (RGB, multispectral, thermal, hyperspectral and LiDAR), emphasizing their strategic selection based on specific study aims and geographical scales. Focusing on olive growing, particularly prominent in the Mediterranean region, this article analyzes the diverse applications of remote sensing, including the management of inventory and irrigation; detection/monitoring of diseases and phenology; and estimation of crucial parameters regarding biophysical parameters, water stress indicators, crop evapotranspiration and yield. Through a global perspective and insights from studies conducted in diverse olive-growing regions, this review underscores the potential benefits of remote sensing in shaping and improving sustainable agricultural practices, mitigating environmental impacts and ensuring the economic viability of olive trees. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

PROBA-V is a new global vegetation monitoring satellite launched in the second quarter of 2013 that provides data with a 100 m to 1 km spatial resolution and a daily to 10-day temporal resolution in the visible and near infrared (VNIR) bands. A major mission of the PROBA-V satellite is global agriculture monitoring, in which the accuracy of crop mapping plays a key role. In countries such as China, crop fields are typically small, in assorted shapes and with various management approaches, which deem traditional methods of crop identification ineffective, and accuracy is highly dependent on image resolution and acquisition time. The five-day temporal and 100 m spatial resolution PROBA-V data make it possible to automatically identify crops using time series phenological information. This paper takes advantage of the improved spatial and temporal resolution of the PROBA-V data, to map crops at the Yucheng site in Shandong Province and the Hongxing farm in Heilongjiang province of China. First, the Swets filter algorithm was employed to eliminate noisy pixels and fill in data gaps on time series data during the growing season. Then, the crops are classified based on the Iterative Self-Organizing Data Analysis Technique (ISODATA) clustering, the maximum likelihood method (MLC) and similarity analysis. The mapping results were validated using field-collected crop type polygons and high resolution crop maps based on GaoFen-1 satellite (GF-1) data in 16 m resolution. Our study showed that, for the Yucheng site, the cropping system is simple, mainly dominated by winter wheat-maize rotation. The overall accuracy of crop identification was 73.39% which was slightly better than the result derived from MODIS data. For the Hongxing farm, the cropping system is more complex (i.e., more than three types of crops were planted). The overall accuracy of the crop mapping by PROBA-V was 73.29% which was significantly higher than the MODIS product (46.81%). This study demonstrates that time series PROBA-V data can serve as a useful source for reliable crop identification and area estimation. The high revisiting frequency and global coverage of the PROBA-V data show good potential for future global crop mapping and agricultural monitoring. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The advent of multiple satellite systems capable of resolving smallholder agricultural plots raises possibilities for significant advances in measuring and understanding agricultural productivity in smallholder systems. However, since only imperfect yield data are typically available for model training and validation, assessing the accuracy of satellite-based estimates remains a central challenge. Leveraging a survey experiment in Mali, this study uses plot-level sorghum yield estimates, based on farmer reporting and crop cutting, to construct and evaluate estimates from three satellite-based sensors. Consistent with prior work, the analysis indicates low correlation between the ground-based yield measures (r = 0.33). Satellite greenness, as measured by the growing season peak value of the green chlorophyll vegetation index from Sentinel-2, correlates much more strongly with crop cut (r = 0.48) than with self-reported (r = 0.22) yields. Given the inevitable limitations of ground-based measures, the paper reports the results from the regressions of self-reported, crop cut, and (crop cut-calibrated) satellite sorghum yields. The regression covariates explain more than twice as much variation in calibrated satellite yields (R2 = 0.25) compared to self-reported or crop cut yields, suggesting that a satellite-based approach anchored in crop cuts can be used to track sorghum yields as well or perhaps better than traditional measures. Finally, the paper gauges the sensitivity of yield predictions to the use of Sentinel-2 versus higher-resolution imagery from Planetscope and DigitalGlobe. All three sensors exhibit similar performance, suggesting little gains from finer resolutions in this system. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Improved agricultural production systems, together with increased grain yield, are essential to feed the growing global population in the 21st century. Global gridded crop models (GGCMs) have been extensively used to assess crop production and yield simulation on a large geographical scale. However, GGCMs are less effective when they are used on a finer scale, significantly limiting the precision in capturing the yearly maize yield. To address this issue, we propose a relatively more advanced approach that downsizes GGCMs by combining machine learning and crop modeling to enhance the accuracy of maize yield simulations on a regional scale. In this study, we combined the random forest algorithm with multiple data sources, trained the algorithm on low-resolution maize yield simulations from GGCMs, and applied it to a finer spatial resolution on a regional scale in China. We evaluated the performance of the eight GGCMs by utilizing a total of 1046 county-level maize yield data available over a 30-year period (1980–2010). Our findings reveal that the downscaled models created for maize yield simulations exhibited a remarkable level of accuracy (R2 ≥ 0.9, MAE < 0.5 t/ha, RMSE < 0.75 t/ha). The original GGCMs performed poorly in simulating county-level maize yields in China, and the improved GGCMs in our study captured an additional 17% variability in the county-level maize yields in China. Additionally, by optimizing nitrogen management strategies, we identified an average maize yield gap at the county level in China ranging from 0.47 to 1.82 t/ha, with the south maize region exhibiting the highest yield gap. Our study demonstrates the high effectiveness of machine learning methods for the spatial downscaling of crop models, significantly improving GGCMs' performance in county-level maize yield simulations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Food demand is expected to rise significantly by 2050 due to the increase in population; additionally, receding water levels, climate change, and a decrease in the amount of available arable land will threaten food production. To address these challenges and increase food security, input cost reductions and yield optimization can be accomplished using yield precision maps created by machine learning models; however, without considering the spatial structure of the data, the precision map's accuracy evaluation assessment risks being over-optimistic, which may encourage poor decision making that can lead to negative economic impacts (e.g., lowered crop yields). In fact, most machine learning research involving spatial data, including the unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) imagery-based yield prediction literature, ignore spatial structure and likely obtain over-optimistic results. The present work is a UAV imagery-based corn yield prediction study that analyzed the effects of image spatial and spectral resolution, image acquisition date, and model evaluation scheme on model performance. We used various spatial generalization evaluation methods, including spatial cross-validation (CV), to (a) identify over-optimistic models that overfit to the spatial structure found inside datasets and (b) estimate true model generalization performance. We compared and ranked the prediction power of 55 vegetation indices (VIs) and five spectral bands over a growing season. We gathered yield data and UAV-based multispectral (MS) and red-green-blue (RGB) imagery from a Canadian smart farm and trained random forest (RF) and linear regression (LR) models using 10-fold CV and spatial CV approaches. We found that imagery from the middle of the growing season produced the best results. RF and LR generally performed best with high and low spatial resolution data, respectively. MS imagery led to generally better performance than RGB imagery. Some of the best-performing VIs were simple ratio index(near-infrared and red-edge), normalized difference red-edge index, and normalized green index. We found that 10-fold CV coupled with spatial CV could be used to identify over-optimistic yield prediction models. When using high spatial resolution MS imagery, RF and LR obtained 0.81 and 0.56 correlation coefficient (CC), respectively, when using 10-fold CV, and obtained 0.39 and 0.41, respectively, when using a k-means-based spatial CV approach. Furthermore, when using only location features, RF and LR obtained an average CC of 1.00 and 0.49, respectively. This suggested that LR had better spatial generalizability than RF, and that RF was likely being over-optimistic and was overfitting to the spatial structure of the data. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This article aims to estimate the water footprint (WF) of cereals—specifically, wheat and barley—in the Kairouan plain, located in central Tunisia. To achieve this objective, two components must be determined: actual evapotranspiration (ETa) and crop yield. The study covers three growing seasons from 2010 to 2013. The ETa estimation employed the S-SEBI (simplified surface energy balance index) model, utilizing Landsat 7 and 8 optical and thermal infrared spectral bands. For yield estimation, an empirical model based on the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) was applied. Results indicate the effectiveness of the S-SEBI model in estimating ETa, demonstrating an R2 of 0.82 and an RMSE of 0.45 mm/day. Concurrently, yields mapped over the area range between 6 and 77 qx/ha. Globally, cereals' average WF varied from 1.08 m3/kg to 1.22 m3/kg over the three study years, with the majority below 1 m3/kg. Notably in dry years, the importance of the blue WF is emphasized compared to years with average rainfall (WFb-2013 = 1.04 m3/kg, WFb-2012 = 0.61 m3/kg, WFb-2011 = 0.41 m3/kg). Moreover, based on an in-depth agronomic analysis combining yields and WF, four classes were defined, ranging from the most water efficient to the least, revealing that over 30% of cultivated areas during the study years (approximately 40% in 2011 and 2012 and 29% in 2013) exhibited low water efficiency, characterized by low yields and high WF. A unique index, the WFI, is proposed to assess the spatial variability of green and blue water. Spatial analysis using the WFI highlighted that in 2012, 40% of cereal plots with low yields but high water consumption were irrigated (81% blue water compared to 6% in 2011). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The high spatial and temporal resolution of recently developed evapotranspiration (ET) products facilitates agricultural water-savings in irrigated areas as well as improved estimates of crop yield, especially in arid and semi-arid regions. However, cloud cover interferes with ET estimates, in particular when using thermal-infrared-based models in temperate and tropical regions. Previous studies have shown that the two-source energy balance (TSEB) model coupled with soil moisture (TSEB-SM) has great potential for estimating surface ET by overcoming this issue. In this study, the TSEB-SM model was first used to generate a spatiotemporally continuous 1 km daily ET dataset across the Heihe River Basin in China from 2000 to 2020, which was then evaluated against four spatially distributed sites (Arou, Huazhaizi, Daman, and Sidaoqiao) and further compared with the two most widely used daily ET datasets (PML-V2 (Penman–Monteith–Leuning) and SEBAL (surface energy balance algorithm for land)). The results showed that the newly developed ET dataset agrees well with ground-based observations and outperforms the PML-V2 and SEBAL products in precisely characterizing the seasonal fluctuations and spatial distribution as well as the spatiotemporal trends of ET. In particular, ET in the Heihe River Basin exhibits clear regional differences. The upstream and midstream grassland and irrigated oasis areas provide much higher annual ET than the downstream desert areas, with a difference of up to 600 mm/year. A three-cornered hat (TCH)-based pixel-by-pixel analysis further demonstrated that the TSEB-SM and PML-V2 products have substantially smaller relative uncertainties as compared to SEBAL ET. In general, the proposed ET datasets are expected to be more beneficial for irrigation scheduling and to provide more efficient water management across the Heihe River Basin. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Wheat, being the third largest U.S. crop and the principal food grain, faces significant risks from climate extremes such as drought. This necessitates identifying and developing methods for early water-stress detection to prevent yield loss and improve water-use efficiency. This study investigates the potential of hyperspectral imaging to detect the early stages of drought stress in wheat. The goal is to utilize this technology as a tool for screening and selecting drought-tolerant wheat genotypes in breeding programs. Additionally, this research aims to systematically evaluate the effectiveness of various existing sensors and methods for detecting early stages of water stress. The experiment was conducted in a durum wheat experimental field trial in Maricopa, Arizona, in the spring of 2019 and included well-watered and water-limited treatments of a panel of 224 replicated durum wheat genotypes. Spectral indices derived from hyperspectral imagery were compared against other plant-level indicators of water stress such as Photosystem II (PSII) and relative water content (RWC) data derived from proximal sensors. Our findings showed a 12% drop in photosynthetic activity in the most affected genotypes when compared to the least affected. The Leaf Water Vegetation Index 1 (LWVI1) highlighted differences between drought-resistant and drought-susceptible genotypes. Drought-resistant genotypes retained 43.36% more water in leaves under well-watered conditions compared to water-limited conditions, while drought-susceptible genotypes retained only 15.69% more. The LWVI1 and LWVI2 indices, aligned with the RWC measurements, revealed a strong inverse correlation in the susceptible genotypes, underscoring their heightened sensitivity to water stress in earlier stages. Several genotypes previously classified based on their drought resistance showed spectral indices deviating from expectations. Results from this research can aid farmers in improving crop yields by informing early management practices. Moreover, this research offers wheat breeders insights into the selection of drought-tolerant genotypes, a requirement that is becoming increasingly important as weather patterns continue to change. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Radiative transfer models (RTMs) provide reliable information about crop yield and traits with high resource efficiency. In this study, we have conducted a systematic literature review (SLR) to fill the gaps in the overall insight of RTM-based crop yield prediction (CYP) and crop traits retrieval. Following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines, 76 articles were found to be relevant to crop traits retrieval and 15 for CYP. China had the highest number of RTM applications (33), followed by the USA (13). Crop-wise, cereals, and traits-wise, leaf area index (LAI) and chlorophyll, had a high number of research studies. Among RTMs, the PROSAIL model had the highest number of articles (62), followed by SCOPE (6) with PROSAIL accuracy for CYP (median R2 = 0.62) and crop traits (median R2 = 0.80). The same was true for crop traits retrieval with LAI (CYP median R2 = 0.62 and traits median R2 = 0.85), followed by chlorophyll (crop traits median R2 = 0.70). Document co-citation analysis also found the relevancy of selected articles within the theme of this SLR. This SLR not only focuses on information about the accuracy and reliability of RTMs but also provides comprehensive insight towards understanding RTM applications for crop yield and traits, further exploring possibilities of new endeavors in agriculture, particularly crop yield modeling. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Climate change is predicted to impact corn yields. Previous studies analyzing these impacts differ in data and modeling approaches and, consequently, corn yield projections. We analyze the impacts of climate change on corn yields using two statistical models with different approaches for dealing with county-level effects. The first model, which is novel to modeling corn yields, uses a computationally efficient spatial basis function approach. We use a Bayesian framework to incorporate both parametric and climate model structural uncertainty. We find that the statistical models have similar predictive abilities, but the spatial basis function model is faster and hence potentially a useful tool for crop yield projections. We also explore how different gridded temperature datasets affect the statistical model fit and performance. Compared to the dataset with only weather station data, we find that the dataset composed of satellite and weather station data results in a model with a magnified relationship between temperature and corn yields. For all statistical models, we observe a relationship between temperature and corn yields that is broadly similar to previous studies. We use downscaled and bias-corrected CMIP5 climate model projections to obtain detrended corn yield projections for 2020–2049 and 2069–2098. In both periods, we project a decrease in the mean corn yield production, reinforcing the findings of other studies. However, the magnitude of the decrease and the associated uncertainties we obtain differ from previous studies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Spatial monitoring of the sowing date plays an important role in crop yield estimation at the regional scale. The feasibility of using polarimetric synthetic aperture radar (SAR) data for early season monitoring of the sowing dates of oilseed rape (Brassica napus L.) fields is explored in this paper. Polarimetric SAR responses of six parameters, relying on polarization decomposition methods, were investigated as a function of days after sowing (DAS) during the entire growing season, by means of five consecutive Radarsat-2 images. A near-continuous temporal evolution of these parameters was observed, based on 88 oilseed rape fields. It provided a solid basis for determining the suitable temporal window and the best polarimetric parameters for sowing date monitoring. A high sensitivity of all polarimetric parameters to the DAS at different growing stages was shown. Simple linear models could be calibrated to estimate sowing dates at early growth stages and were validated on an independent data set. Although Volume and Span parameters provided the highest sowing date estimation accuracy at the earlier growth stages, the other four parameters (Volume/Total, Odd/Total, Entropy and Alpha) were more accurate for a wider temporal window. These results demonstrate the capability and high potential of polarimetric SAR data for monitoring the sowing date of crops in the early season. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Remote sensing techniques that provide synoptic and repetitive observations over large geographic areas have become increasingly important in studying the role of agriculture in global carbon cycles. However, it is still challenging to model crop yields based on remotely sensed data due to the variation in radiation use efficiency (RUE) across crop types and the effects of spatial heterogeneity. In this paper, we propose a production efficiency model-based method to estimate corn and soybean yields with MODerate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data by explicitly handling the following two issues: (1) field-measured RUE values for corn and soybean are applied to relatively pure pixels instead of the biome-wide RUE value prescribed in the MODIS vegetation productivity product (MOD17); and (2) contributions to productivity from vegetation other than crops in mixed pixels are deducted at the level of MODIS resolution. Our estimated yields statistically correlate with the national survey data for rainfed counties in the Midwestern US with low errors for both corn (R2 = 0.77; RMSE = 0.89 MT/ha) and soybeans (R2 = 0.66; RMSE = 0.38 MT/ha). Because the proposed algorithm does not require any retrospective analysis that constructs empirical relationships between the reported yields and remotely sensed data, it could monitor crop yields over large areas. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study explored the suitability of the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectrometer (MODIS) obtained for six sugar management zones, over nine years (2002-2010), to forecast sugarcane yield on an annual and zonal base. To take into account the characteristics of the sugarcane crop management (15-month cycle for a ratoon, accompanied with continuous harvest in Western Kenya), the temporal series of NDVI was normalized through an original weighting method that considered the growth period of the sugarcane crop (wNDVI), and correlated it with historical yield datasets. Results when using wNDVI were consistent with historical yield and significant at P-value = 0.001, while results when using traditional annual NDVI integrated over the calendar year were not significant. This correlation between yield and wNDVI is mainly drawn by the spatial dimension of the data set (R2 = 0.53, when all years are aggregated together), rather than by the temporal dimension of the data set (R2 = 0.1, when all zones are aggregated). A test on 2012 yield estimation with this model realized a RMSE less than 5 t.ha-1. Despite progress in the methodology through the weighted NDVI, and an extensive spatio-temporal analysis, this paper shows the difficulty in forecasting sugarcane yield on an annual base using current satellite low-resolution data. This is particularly true in the context of small scale farmers with fields measuring less than the size of MODIS 250 m pixel, and in the context of a 15-month crop cycle with no seasonal cropping calendar. Future satellite missions should permit monitoring of sugarcane yields using image resolutions that facilitate extraction of crop phenology from a group of individual plots [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Multitemporal optical remote sensing constitutes a useful, cost efficient method for crop status monitoring over large areas. Modelers interested in yield monitoring can rely on past and recent observations of crop reflectance to estimate aboveground biomass and infer the likely yield. Therefore, in a framework constrained by information availability, remote sensing data to yield conversion parameters are to be estimated. Statistical models are suitable for this purpose, given their ability to deal with statistical errors. This paper explores the performance in yield estimation of various remote sensing indicators based on varying degrees of bio-physical insight, in interaction with statistical methods (linear regressions) that rely on different hypotheses. Performances in estimating the temporal and spatial variability of yield, and implications of data scarcity in both dimensions are investigated. Jackknifed results (leave one year out) are presented for the case of wheat yield regional estimation in Tunisia using the SPOT-VEGETATION instrument. Best performances, up to 0.8 of R2, are achieved using the most physiologically sound remote sensing indicator, in conjunction with statistical specifications allowing for parsimonious spatial adjustment of the parameters. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Monitoring crop growth and estimating crop yield are essential for managing agricultural production, ensuring food security, and maintaining sustainable agricultural development. Combining the mechanistic framework of a crop growth model with remote sensing observations can provide a means of generating realistic and spatially detailed crop growth information that can facilitate accurate crop yield estimates at different scales. The main objective of this study was to develop a robust estimation methodology of within-field winter wheat yield at a high spatial resolution (20 m × 20 m) by combining a light use efficiency-based model and Sentinel-2 data. For this purpose, Sentinel-2 derived leaf area index (LAI) time series were assimilated into the Simple Algorithm for Yield Estimation (SAFY) model using an ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF). The study was conducted on rainfed winter wheat fields in southern Sweden. LAI was estimated using vegetation indices (VIs) derived from Sentinel-2 data with semi-empirical models. The enhanced two-band vegetation index (EVI2) was found to be a useful VI for LAI estimation, with a coefficient of determination (R2) and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.80 and 0.65 m2/m2, respectively. Our findings demonstrate that the assimilation of LAI derived from Sentinel-2 into the SAFY model using EnKF enhances the estimation of within-field spatial variability of winter wheat yield by 70% compared to the baseline simulation without the assimilation of remotely sensed data. Additionally, the assimilation of LAI improves the accuracy of winter wheat yield estimation by decreasing the RMSE by 53%. This study demonstrates an approach towards practical applications of freely accessible Sentinel-2 data and a crop growth model through data assimilation for fine-scale mapping of crop yield. Such information is critical for quantifying the yield gap at the field scale, and to aid the optimization of management practices to increase crop production. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Anomaly hotSpots of Agricultural Production (ASAP) Decision Support System was launched operationally in 2017 for providing timely early warning information on agricultural production based on Earth Observation and agro-climatic data in an open and easy to use online platform. Over the last three years, the system has seen several methodological improvements related to the input indicators and to system functionalities. These include: an improved dataset of rainfall estimates for Africa; a new satellite indicator of biomass optimised for near-real-time monitoring; an indicator of crop and rangeland water stress derived from a water balance accounting scheme; the inclusion of seasonal precipitation forecasts; national and sub-national crop calendars adapted to ASAP phenology; and a new interface for the visualisation and analysis of high spatial resolution Sentinel and Landsat data. In parallel to these technical improvements, stakeholders and users uptake was consolidated through the set up of regionally adapted versions of the ASAP system for Eastern Africa in partnership with the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC), for North Africa with the Observatoire du Sahara et du Sahel (OSS), and through the collaboration with the Angolan National Institute of Meteorology and Geophysics (INAMET), that used the ASAP system to inform about agricultural drought. Finally, ASAP indicators have been used as inputs for quantitative crop yield forecasting with machine learning at the province level for Algeria's 2021 and 2022 winter crop seasons that were affected by drought. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

High-throughput measurement of plant photosynthesis ability presents a challenge for the breeding process aimed to improve crop yield. As a novel technique, hyperspectral lidar (HSL) has the potential to characterize the spatial distribution of plant photosynthesis traits under less confounding factors. In this paper, HSL reflectance spectra of maize leaves were utilized for estimating the maximal velocity of Rubisco carboxylation (Vcmax) and maximum rate of electron transport at a specific light intensity (J) based on both reflectance-based and trait-based methods, and the results were compared with the commercial Analytical Spectral Devices (ASD) system. A linear combination of the Lambertian model and the Beckmann law was conducted to eliminate the angle effect of the maize point cloud. The results showed that the reflectance-based method (R2 ≥ 0.42, RMSE ≤ 28.1 for J and ≤4.32 for Vcmax) performed better than the trait-based method (R2 ≥ 0.31, RMSE ≤ 33.7 for J and ≤5.17 for Vcmax), where the estimating accuracy of ASD was higher than that of HSL. The Lambertian–Beckmann model performed well (R2 ranging from 0.74 to 0.92) for correcting the incident angle at different wavelength bands, so the spatial distribution of photosynthesis traits of two maize plants was visually displayed. This study provides the basis for the further application of HSL in high-throughput measurements of plant photosynthesis. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Crop production is a major source of food and livelihood for many people in arid and semi-arid (ASA) regions across the world. However, due to irregular climatic events, ASA regions are affected commonly by frequent droughts that can impact food production. In addition, ASA regions in the Middle East and Africa are often characterised by political instability, which can increase population vulnerability to hunger and ill health. Remote sensing (RS) provides a platform to improve the spatial prediction of crop production and food availability, with the potential to positively impact populations. This paper, firstly, describes some of the important characteristics of agriculture in ASA regions that require monitoring to improve their management. Secondly, it demonstrates how freely available RS data can support decision-making through a cost-effective monitoring system that complements traditional approaches for collecting agricultural data. Thirdly, it illustrates the challenges of employing freely available RS data for mapping and monitoring crop area, crop status and forecasting crop yield in these regions. Finally, existing approaches used in these applications are evaluated, and the challenges associated with their use and possible future improvements are discussed. We demonstrate that agricultural activities can be monitored effectively and both crop area and crop yield can be predicted in advance using RS data. We also discuss the future challenges associated with maintaining food security in ASA regions and explore some recent advances in RS that can be used to monitor cropland and forecast crop production and yield. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Because of the recent advances in drones or Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) platforms, sensors and software, UAVs have gained popularity among precision agriculture researchers and stakeholders for estimating traits such as crop yield and diseases. Early detection of crop disease is essential to prevent possible losses on crop yield and ultimately increasing the benefits. However, accurate estimation of crop disease requires modern data analysis techniques such as machine learning and deep learning. This work aims to review the actual progress in crop disease detection, with an emphasis on machine learning and deep learning techniques using UAV-based remote sensing. First, we present the importance of different sensors and image-processing techniques for improving crop disease estimation with UAV imagery. Second, we propose a taxonomy to accumulate and categorize the existing works on crop disease detection with UAV imagery. Third, we analyze and summarize the performance of various machine learning and deep learning methods for crop disease detection. Finally, we underscore the challenges, opportunities and research directions of UAV-based remote sensing for crop disease detection. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The generally established protocol for leaf measurement with proximal optical sensors is to use the most recently fully expanded leaf. However, differences in the nitrogen (N) status of lower and upper leaves could possibly be used to enhance optical sensor measurement. Normalized indices that consider both upper and lower leaves have been proposed to improve the assessment of crop N status and yield estimation. This study evaluated whether normalized indices improved the estimation of crop yield from measurements with three different proximal optical sensors: (i) SPAD-502 leaf chlorophyll meter, (ii) Crop Circle ACS 470 canopy reflectance sensor, and (iii) Multiplex fluorescence meter. The study was conducted with sweet pepper (Capsicum annuum L.) and muskmelon (Cucumis melo L.) in plastic greenhouses in Almeria, Spain. Measurements were made on the latest (most recent) leaf (L1), and the second (L2), third (L3) and fourth (L4) fully expanded leaves. Yield estimation models, using linear regression analysis, were developed and validated from the absolute and normalized measurements of the three optical sensors. Overall, the calibration and validation results indicated that the absolute measurements generally had better yield estimation performance than the normalized indices for all the leaves and different leaf profiles. In both species, there was a better performance at the early phenological stages, such as the vegetative and flowering stages, for the absolute and normalized indices for the three optical sensors. Absolute proximal optical sensor measurements on the lower leaves (L2, L3 and L4) slightly improved yield estimation compared to the L1 leaf. Normalized indices that included the L4 leaf (L1–L4) had better yield estimation compared to those using L2 and L3 (e.g., L1–L2 and L1–L3). Of the normalized indices evaluated, the yield performance of the Relative Index (RI), Relative Difference Index (RDI), and Normalized Difference Index (NDI) were very similar, and generally superior to the Difference Index (DI). Overall, the results of this study demonstrated that for three different proximal optical sensors in both muskmelon and sweet pepper (i) normalized indices did not improve yield estimation, and (ii) that absolute measurements on lower leaves (L2, L3 and L4) slightly improved yield estimation performance. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The increasing availability and variety of global satellite products and the rapid development of new algorithms has provided great potential to generate a new level of data with different spatial, temporal, and spectral resolutions. However, the ability of these synthetic spatiotemporal datasets to accurately map and monitor our planet on a field or regional scale remains underexplored. This study aimed to support future research efforts in estimating crop yields by identifying the optimal spatial (10 m, 30 m, or 250 m) and temporal (8 or 16 days) resolutions on a regional scale. The current study explored and discussed the suitability of four different synthetic (Landsat (L)-MOD13Q1 (30 m, 8 and 16 days) and Sentinel-2 (S)-MOD13Q1 (10 m, 8 and 16 days)) and two real (MOD13Q1 (250 m, 8 and 16 days)) NDVI products combined separately to two widely used crop growth models (CGMs) (World Food Studies (WOFOST), and the semi-empiric Light Use Efficiency approach (LUE)) for winter wheat (WW) and oil seed rape (OSR) yield forecasts in Bavaria (70,550 km2) for the year 2019. For WW and OSR, the synthetic products' high spatial and temporal resolution resulted in higher yield accuracies using LUE and WOFOST. The observations of high temporal resolution (8-day) products of both S-MOD13Q1 and L-MOD13Q1 played a significant role in accurately measuring the yield of WW and OSR. For example, L- and S-MOD13Q1 resulted in an R2 = 0.82 and 0.85, RMSE = 5.46 and 5.01 dt/ha for WW, R2 = 0.89 and 0.82, and RMSE = 2.23 and 2.11 dt/ha for OSR using the LUE model, respectively. Similarly, for the 8- and 16-day products, the simple LUE model (R2 = 0.77 and relative RMSE (RRMSE) = 8.17%) required fewer input parameters to simulate crop yield and was highly accurate, reliable, and more precise than the complex WOFOST model (R2 = 0.66 and RRMSE = 11.35%) with higher input parameters. Conclusively, both S-MOD13Q1 and L-MOD13Q1, in combination with LUE, were more prominent for predicting crop yields on a regional scale than the 16-day products; however, L-MOD13Q1 was advantageous for generating and exploring the long-term yield time series due to the availability of Landsat data since 1982, with a maximum resolution of 30 m. In addition, this study recommended the further use of its findings for implementing and validating the long-term crop yield time series in different regions of the world. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Globally, drought is an increasing threat to agricultural ecosystems, resulting in impaired crop yields, high food prices, and low incomes for farmers. Fluctuations in crop production and prices can exert a negative transboundary effect on food exporting and importing countries across the world through international trade. Therefore, it is important to regionally assess agricultural drought risk to reduce crop yield reduction by adapting existing systems. In this study, from the perspective of Chinese sugar security, a comprehensive assessment index of drought risk of sugarcane was constructed by considering the atmosphere–soil–crop continuum. Based on disaster-causing factors (hazards) and exposure, vulnerability, and mitigation capabilities of disaster subjects (disaster bearers), a risk assessment model of drought disaster of sugarcane in the growing season was established. Results of this study were three-fold. First, the maximum entropy model accurately reflected the reliability and relative importance of the disaster-causing factors of vegetation condition index (VCI), soil moisture condition index (SMCI), and standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI), with the area under the curve value of the comprehensive drought risk of sugarcane being greater than 0.75. Second, the drought frequency and impact range in four growth stages of sugarcane significantly declined with the increasing drought severity. Light drought was prevalent in each growth stage, and the occurrence frequency of severe drought was relatively low. The drought frequency was significantly higher in the seedling and maturity stages than in the tillering and stem elongation stages, and the drought distribution was mainly concentrated in the southwest and central regions. Finally, the spatial distribution characteristics of drought risk significantly differed among the four growth stages of sugarcane. The risk level in the seedling stage declined from the southwest to the northeast. The high risk in the tillering stage was mainly concentrated in the southwest and northeast of the study region. In the stem elongation stage, the southwest became a low- risk area. In the maturity stage, the risk level was higher in the southeast than in the other areas. As sugarcane is majorly planted on dry slopes with uneven rainfall, a lack of good infrastructure, and the further intensification of global warming, sugarcane areas that were highly exposed to drought stress were highly vulnerable to drought risk, which in turn weakens farmers' willingness to plant, thus threatening the security of sugar and biofuel production. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Rapid and accurate yield estimates at both field and regional levels remain the goal of sustainable agriculture and food security. Hereby, the identification of consistent and reliable methodologies providing accurate yield predictions is one of the hot topics in agricultural research. This study investigated the relationship of spatiotemporal fusion modelling using STRAFM on crop yield prediction for winter wheat (WW) and oil-seed rape (OSR) using a semi-empirical light use efficiency (LUE) model for the Free State of Bavaria (70,550 km2), Germany, from 2001 to 2019. A synthetic normalised difference vegetation index (NDVI) time series was generated and validated by fusing the high spatial resolution (30 m, 16 days) Landsat 5 Thematic Mapper (TM) (2001 to 2012), Landsat 7 Enhanced Thematic Mapper Plus (ETM+) (2012), and Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager (OLI) (2013 to 2019) with the coarse resolution of MOD13Q1 (250 m, 16 days) from 2001 to 2019. Except for some temporal periods (i.e., 2001, 2002, and 2012), the study obtained an R2 of more than 0.65 and a RMSE of less than 0.11, which proves that the Landsat 8 OLI fused products are of higher accuracy than the Landsat 5 TM products. Moreover, the accuracies of the NDVI fusion data have been found to correlate with the total number of available Landsat scenes every year (N), with a correlation coefficient (R) of +0.83 (between R2 of yearly synthetic NDVIs and N) and −0.84 (between RMSEs and N). For crop yield prediction, the synthetic NDVI time series and climate elements (such as minimum temperature, maximum temperature, relative humidity, evaporation, transpiration, and solar radiation) are inputted to the LUE model, resulting in an average R2 of 0.75 (WW) and 0.73 (OSR), and RMSEs of 4.33 dt/ha and 2.19 dt/ha. The yield prediction results prove the consistency and stability of the LUE model for yield estimation. Using the LUE model, accurate crop yield predictions were obtained for WW (R2 = 0.88) and OSR (R2 = 0.74). Lastly, the study observed a high positive correlation of R = 0.81 and R = 0.77 between the yearly R2 of synthetic accuracy and modelled yield accuracy for WW and OSR, respectively. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Cropland phenology provides key information in managing agricultural practices and modelling crop yield. However, most of the existing phenological products have coarse spatial resolution ranging from 250 to 8000 m, which is not sufficient to capture the critical spatial details of cropland phenology at the landscape scale. Landsat imagery provides an unprecedented data source to generate 30-m spatial resolution phenological products. This paper explored the potential of utilizing multi-year Landsat enhanced vegetation index to derive annual phenological metrics of a double-season agricultural land from 1993 to 2009 in a sub-urban area of Shanghai, China. We used all available Landsat TM and ETM+ observations (538 scenes) and developed a Landsat double-cropping phenology (LDCP) algorithm. LDCP captures the temporal trajectory of multi-year enhanced vegetation index time series very well, with the degree of fitness ranging from 0.78 to 0.88 over the study regions. We found good agreements between derived annual phenological metrics and in situ observation, with root mean square error ranging from 8.74 to 18.04 days, indicating that the proposed LDCP is capable of detecting double-season cropland phenology. LDCP could reveal the spatial heterogeneity of cropland phenology at parcel scales. Phenology metrics were retrieved for approximately one-third and two-thirds of the 17 years for the first and second cropping cycles, respectively, depending on the number of good quality Landsat data. In addition, we found an advanced peak of season for both cropping cycles in 50–60% of the study area, and a delayed start of season for the second cropping cycle in 50–70% of the same area. The potential drivers of those trends might be climate warming and changes in agricultural practices. The derived cropland phenology can be used to help estimate historical crop yields at Landsat spatial resolution, providing insights on evaluating the effects of climate change on temporal variations of crop growth, and contributing to food security policy making. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Low-altitude remote sensing (RS) using unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) is a powerful tool in precision agriculture (PA). In that context, thermal RS has many potential uses. The surface temperature of plants changes rapidly under stress conditions, which makes thermal RS a useful tool for real-time detection of plant stress conditions. Current applications of UAV thermal RS include monitoring plant water stress, detecting plant diseases, assessing crop yield estimation, and plant phenotyping. However, the correct use and interpretation of thermal data are based on basic knowledge of the nature of thermal radiation. Therefore, aspects that are related to calibration and ground data collection, in which the use of reference panels is highly recommended, as well as data processing, must be carefully considered. This paper aims to review the state of the art of UAV thermal RS in agriculture, outlining an overview of the latest applications and providing a future research outlook. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

As the climate warms, the impact of drought on plants has increased. We aimed to construct a comprehensive drought index (CDI), coupling soil-vegetation-atmosphere drought and heat conditions based on multi-source information, and to combine it with static and dynamic drought hazard evaluation models to analyze the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of agricultural drought disasters and hazards during the growing season (May to September) in Northeast China (NEC). The results demonstrated that the CDI could combine the benefits of meteorology (standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index, SPEI), vegetation (vegetation health index, VHI), and soil (standardized soil moisture condition index, SMCI) indices. This was performed using a relative weighting method based on the remote sensing data of solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF) to determine the weights of SPEI, VHI, and SMCI. The CDI for drought monitoring has the advantages of broad spatial range, long time range, and high accuracy, and can effectively reflect agricultural drought; the growing season in NEC showed a trend of becoming drier during 1982–2020. However, the trends of the drought index, the impact range of drought events, and the hazard of agricultural drought all turned around 2000. The drought hazard was highly significant (p < 0.001) and decreased from 2000 to 2020. The frequency of drought disasters was the highest, and the hazard was the greatest in May. The best level of climatic yield anomalies in maize were explained by drought hazard in August (R2 = 0.28). In the center and western portions of the study area, farmland and grassland areas were where higher levels of hazard were most commonly seen. The dynamic hazard index is significantly correlated with climatic yield anomalies and can reflect the actual impact of drought on crop yield. The study results serve as a scientific foundation for drought risk assessment and management, agricultural planning, and the formulation of drought adaptation policies, as well as for ensuring food security in China. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Over the last decades, growing crop production across China has had far-reaching consequences for both the environment and human welfare. One of the emerging questions is "how to meet the growing food demand in China?" In essence, the consensus is that the best way forward would be to increase crop yield rather than further extend the current cropland area. However, assessing progress in crop production is challenging as it is driven by multiple factors. To date, there are no studies to determine how multiple factors affect the crop production increase, considering both intensive farming (using yield and multiple cropping index) and large-scale farming (using mean parcel size and number of parcels). Using the Logarithmic-Mean-Divisia-Index (LMDI) decomposition method combined with statistical data and land cover data (GlobeLand30), we assess the contribution of intensive farming and large-scale farming changes to crop production dynamics at the national and county scale. Despite a negative contribution from MPS (mean parcel size, −25%), national crop production increased due to positive contributions from yield (+77%), MCI (multiple cropping index, +27%), as well as NP (number of parcels, +21%). This allowed China to meet the growing national crop demand. We further find that large differences across regions persist over time. For most counties, the increase in crop production is a consequence of improved yields. However, in the North China Plain, NP is another important factor leading to crop production improvement. On the other hand, regions witnessing a decrease in crop production (e.g., the southeast coastal area of China) were characterized by a remarkable decrease in yield and MCI. Our detailed analyses of crop production provide accurate estimates and therefore can guide policymakers in addressing food security issues. Specifically, besides stabilizing yield and maintaining the total NP, it would be advantageous for crop production to increase the mean parcel size and MCI through land consolidation and financial assistance for land transfer and advanced agricultural infrastructure. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The United Nations 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development highlighted the importance of adopting sustainable agricultural practices to mitigate the threat posed by climate change to food systems around the world, to provide wise water management and to restore degraded lands. At the same time, it suggested the benefits and advantages brought by the use of near-surface geophysical measurements to assist precision farming, in particular providing information on soil variability at both vertical and horizontal scales. Among such survey methodologies, Ground Penetrating Radar has demonstrated its effectiveness in soil characterisation as a consequence of its sensitivity to variations in soil electrical properties and of its additional capability of investigating subsurface stratification. The aim of this contribution is to provide a comprehensive review of the current use of the GPR technique within the domain of precision irrigation, and specifically of its capacity to provide detailed information on the within-field spatial variability of the textural, structural and hydrological soil properties, which are needed to optimize irrigation management, adopting a variable-rate approach to preserve water resources while maintaining or improving crop yields and their quality. For each soil property, the review analyses the commonly adopted operational and data processing approaches, highlighting advantages and limitations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Remotely sensed data have been used in crop condition monitoring for decades. Traditionally, crop growth conditions were assessed by comparing Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) of the current year and past years at a pixel scale on the same calendar day. The assumption of this comparison is that the different years' crops were at the same growing stage on the same day. However, this assumption is often violated in reality. This paper proposes to combine remotely sensed data and meteorological data to assess corn growth conditions at the same growth stages at county level. The proposed approach uses the active accumulated temperature (AAT) computed from Daymet, a daily weather data product, to align different years of NDVI time series at the same growth stages estimated from AATs. The study area covers Carroll County, Iowa. The best index slope extraction (BISE) method and Savitzky–Golay filter are used to filter noise and to reconstruct 11 years of corn growing season NDVI time series from 250 m MODIS daily surface reflectance data product (MOD09GQ). The corn growth stages are identified every year with precise Julian dates from AAT time series. The corn growth conditions are assessed based on the aligned growth stages. The validation of the assessed crop conditions is performed based on National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) reports. The study indicates that the crop condition assessment results based on aligned growth stages are consistent with the NASS reported results and they are more reliable than the results based on the same calendar days. The proposed method provides not only crop growth condition information but also crop phenology information. Potentially, it can help improve crop yield prediction since it can effectively measure crop growth changes with NDVI and AAT data. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Plant height is a morphological characteristic of plant growth that is a useful indicator of plant stress resulting from water and nutrient deficit. While height is a relatively simple trait, it can be difficult to measure accurately, especially in crops with complex canopy architectures like cotton. This paper describes the deployment of four nadir view ultrasonic transducers (UTs), two light detection and ranging (LiDAR) systems, and an unmanned aerial system (UAS) with a digital color camera to characterize plant height in an upland cotton breeding trial. The comparison of the UTs with manual measurements demonstrated that the Honeywell and Pepperl+Fuchs sensors provided more precise estimates of plant height than the MaxSonar and db3 Pulsar sensors. Performance of the multi-angle view LiDAR and UAS technologies demonstrated that the UAS derived 3-D point clouds had stronger correlations (0.980) with the UTs than the proximal LiDAR sensors. As manual measurements require increased time and labor in large breeding trials and are prone to human error reducing repeatability, UT and UAS technologies are an efficient and effective means of characterizing cotton plant height. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]