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Characterizing the coseismic slip behaviors of earthquakes could offer a better understanding of regional crustal deformation and future seismic potential assessments. On 18 December 2023, an Mw 6.0 earthquake occurred on the Lajishan–Jishishan fault system (LJFS) in the northeastern Tibetan Plateau, causing serious damage and casualties. The seismogenic fault hosting this earthquake is not well constrained, as no surface rupture was identified in the field. To address this issue, in this study, we use Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) data to investigate the coseismic surface deformation of this earthquake and invert both ascending and descending line-of-sight observations to probe the seismogenic fault and its slip characteristics. The InSAR observations show up to ~6 cm surface uplift caused by the Jishishan earthquake, which is consistent with the thrust-dominated focal mechanism. A Bayesian-based dislocation modeling indicates that two fault models, with eastern and western dip orientations, could reasonably fit the InSAR observations. By calculating the coseismic Coulomb failure stress changes (∆CFS) induced by both fault models, we find that the east-dipping fault scenario could reasonably explain the aftershock distributions under the framework of stress triggering, while the west-dipping fault scenario produced a negative ∆CFS in the region of dense aftershocks. Integrating regional geological structures, we suggest that the seismogenic fault of the Jishishan earthquake, which strikes NNE with a dip of 56° to the east, may be either the Jishishan western margin fault or a secondary buried branch. The optimal finite-fault slip modeling shows that the coseismic slip was dominated by reverse slip and confined to a depth range between ~5 and 15 km. The released seismic moment is 1.61 × 1018 N·m, which is equivalent to an Mw 6.07 earthquake. While the Jishishan earthquake ruptured a fault segment of approximately 20 km, it only released a small part of the seismic moment that was accumulated along the 220 km long Lajishan–Jishishan fault system. The remaining segments of the Lajishan–Jishishan fault system still have the capability to generate moderate-to-large earthquakes in the future. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The current deformation and stable state of slopes with historical shatter signs is a concern for engineering construction. Suspected landslide scarps were discovered at the rear edge of the Genie slope on the Tibetan Plateau during a field investigation. To qualitatively determine the current status of the surface deformation of this slope, this study used high-resolution optical remote sensing, airborne light detection and ranging (LiDAR), and interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) technologies for comprehensive analysis. The interpretation of high-resolution optical and airborne LiDAR data revealed that the rear edge of the slope exhibits three levels of scarps. However, no deformation was detected with differential InSAR (D-InSAR) analysis of ALOS-1 radar images from 2007 to 2008 or with Stacking-InSAR and small baseline subset InSAR (SBAS-InSAR) processing of Sentinel-1A radar images from 2017 to 2020. This study verified the credibility of the InSAR results using the standard deviation of the phase residuals, as well as in-borehole displacement monitoring data. A conceptual model of the slope was developed by combining field investigation, borehole coring, and horizontal exploratory tunnel data, and the results indicated that the slope is composed of steep anti-dip layered dolomite limestone and that the scarps at the trailing edges of the slope were caused by historical shallow toppling. Unlike previous remote sensing studies of deformed landslides, this paper argues that remote sensing results with reliable accuracy are also applicable to the study of undeformed slopes and can help make preliminary judgments about the stability of unexplored slopes. The study demonstrates that the long-term consistency of InSAR results in integrated remote sensing can serve as an indicator for assessing slope stability. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Located on the southeastern periphery of the Tibetan Plateau, the Xianshuihe fault (XSHF) is an active left-lateral strike-slip fault renowned for its frequent and intensive seismic activities. This highlights the necessity of employing advanced geodetic methodologies to precisely evaluate the fault kinematics and seismic hazard potential along this fault. Among these techniques, interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) stands out for its high spatial resolution and regular revisit intervals, enabling accurate mapping of interseismic deformation associated with fault motion. However, the precision of InSAR in measuring deformation encounters several challenges, particularly artifacts stemming from phase unwrapping errors and atmospheric phase delays. In this study, we utilize ascending and descending Sentinel-1 InSAR images spanning from January 2017 to January 2023 to drive the line-of-sight (LOS) mean crustal velocities associated with the XSHF with emphasis on phase unwrapping errors and atmospheric delay corrections. Then, the reliability of the derived LOS velocities is assessed using independent observations from the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS). The inferred fault slip rate along the XSHF shows significant along-strike variations, gradually decreasing from ~11.1 mm/yr at the Luhuo section to ~6.6 mm/yr at the Kangding section and then sharply increasing to ~13.0 mm/yr towards its eastern terminus at the Moxi section. The fault locking depth shows similar along-strike variations, decreasing from ~19.5 km in the northwestern part to ~4.8 km at the Kangding section, before increasing to 19.6 km at the Moxi segment. Notably, apparent surface fault creeping, characterized by a slip rate of ~2.7 mm/yr, is observed at the Kangding segment, likely resulting from postseismic slip following the 2014 Mw 6.3 Kangding earthquake. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Mêdog is located at the entrance of the water vapor channel of the Yarlung Tsangpo Great Canyon on the southeastern Tibetan Plateau (TP). In this study, the seasonal variation in the microphysical vertical structure of stratiform precipitation at the Mêdog site in 2022 was investigated using micro rain radar (MRR) observations, as there is a lack of similar studies in this region. The average melting layer height is the lowest in February, after which it gradually increases, reaches its peak in August, and then gradually decreases. For lower rain categories, the vertical distribution of small drops remains uniform in winter below the melting layer. The medium-sized drops show slight increases, leading to negative gradients in the microphysical profiles. Slight or evident decreases in concentrations of small drops are observed with decreasing height in the premonsoon, monsoon, and postmonsoon seasons, likely due to significant evaporation. The radar reflectivity, rain rate, and liquid water content profiles decrease with decreasing height according to the decrease in concentrations of small drops. With increasing rain rate, the drop size distribution (DSD) displays significant variations in winter, and the fall velocity decreases rapidly with decreasing height. In the premonsoon, monsoon, and postmonsoon seasons, the concentrations of large drops significantly decrease below the melting layer because of the breakup mechanism, leading to the decreases in the fall velocity profiles with decreasing height during these seasons. Raindrops with sizes ranging from 0.3–0.5 mm are predominant in terms of the total drop number concentration in all seasons. Precipitation in winter and postmonsoon seasons is mainly characterized by small raindrops, while that in premonsoon and monsoon seasons mainly comprises medium-sized raindrops. Understanding the seasonal variation in the vertical structure of precipitation in Mêdog will improve the radar quantitative estimation and the use of microphysical parameterization schemes in numerical weather forecast models over the TP. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Tibetan Plateau vortex (TPV), as an α-scale mesoscale weather system, often brings severe weather conditions like torrential rain and severe convective storms. Based on the detections from the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) Core Observatory's Dual-frequency Precipitation Radar (DPR) and the FY-4A satellite's Advanced Geostationary Radiation Imager (AGRI), combined with ERA5 reanalysis data, the precipitation characteristics of a TPV moving eastward during 8–13 July 2021 at different developmental stages are explored in this study. It was clear that the near-surface precipitation rate of the TPV during the initial stage at the eastern Tibetan Plateau (TP) was below 1 mm·h−1, implying overall weak precipitation dominated by stratiform clouds. After moving out of the TP, the radar reflectivity factor (Ze), precipitation rate, and normalized intercept parameter (dBNw) significantly increased, while the proportion of convective clouds gradually rose. Following the TPV movement, the distribution range and vertical thickness of Ze, mass-weighted mean diameter (Dm), and dBNw tended to increase. The high-frequency region of Ze appeared at 15–20 dBZ, while Dm and dBNw occurred at around 1 mm and 33 mm−1·m−3, respectively. Near the melting layer, Ze was characterized by a significant increase due to the aggregation and melting of ice crystals. The precipitation rate of convective clouds was generally greater than that of stratiform clouds, whilst both of them increased during the movement of the TPV. Particularly, at 01:00 on 12 July, there was a significant increase in the precipitation rate and Dm of convective clouds, while dBNw noticeably decreased. These findings could provide valuable insights into the three-dimensional structure and microphysical characteristics of the precipitation during the movement of the TPV, contributing to a better understanding of cloud precipitation mechanisms. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Thermodynamic and liquid water profiles can be retrieved by a ground-based microwave radiometer (MWR) in nearly all weather conditions, which is useful for detecting mesoscale phenomena. This paper reviews the advances in remote sensing of atmospheric profiles and cloud properties by MWR in central China. Comparative studies indicate that MWR retrieval accuracy is different under various skies, especially those that decay under precipitation. The off-zenith method is proven to be capable of reducing the impact of precipitation and snow on MWR retrieval accuracy. Application studies demonstrate that MWR retrievals are helpful for early warning of rainstorms, hailstorms, and thunderstorms. Moreover, MWR retrievals provide a way to study cloud properties. The temporal variations of cloud occurrence frequency (COF) and liquid water path (LWP) are different for low, middle, and high clouds, and the vertical distribution of COF is also different in autumn and other seasons. Note that MWR can infer valid retrievals over the eastern Tibetan Plateau due to the weak precipitation over there. Also, cloud properties over the eastern Tibetan Plateau present differences from those over central China, and this is related to the different characteristics of atmospheric water vapor between these two regions. To bring more benefits for mechanism study and early warning of severe weather and numerical weather prediction, the decayed accuracy of MWR zenith retrievals under precipitation should be resolved. And combining MWR with other instruments is necessary for MWR application in detecting multi-layer clouds and ice clouds. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Precipitation water vapor (PWV) is an important parameter in numerical weather forecasting and climate research. However, existing PWV adjustment models lack comprehensive consideration of seasonal and geographic factors. This study utilized the General Regression Neural Network (GRNN) algorithm and Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) PWV in China to construct and evaluate European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Atmospheric Reanalysis (ERA5) PWV adjustment models for various seasons and subregions based on meteorological parameters (GMPW model) and non-meteorological parameters (GFPW model). A linear model (GLPW model) was established for model accuracy comparison. The results show that: (1) taking GNSS PWV as a reference, the Bias and root mean square error (RMSE) of the GLPW, GFPW, and GMPW models are about 0/1 mm, which better weakens the systematic error of ERA5 PWV. The overall Bias of the GLPW, GFPW, and GMPW models in the Northwest (NWC), North China (NC), Tibetan Plateau (TP), and South China (SC) subregions is approximately 0 mm after adjustment. The adjusted overall RMSE of the GLPW, GFPW, and GMPW models of the four subregions are 0.81/0.71/0.62 mm, 1.15/0.95/0.77 mm, 1.66/1.26/1.05 mm, and 2.11/1.35/0.96 mm, respectively. (2) The accuracy of the three models is tested using GNSS PWV, which is not involved in the modeling. The adjusted overall RMSE of the GLPW, GFPW, and GMPW models in the four subregions are 0.89/0.85/0.83 mm, 1.61/1.58/1.27 mm, 2.11/1.75/1.68 mm and 3.65/2.48/1.79 mm, respectively. As a result, the GFPW and GMPW models have better accuracy in adjusting ERA5 PWV than the linear model GLPW. Therefore, the GFPW and GMPW models can effectively contribute to water vapor monitoring and the integration of multiple PWV datasets. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In order to investigate the variations of cloud and aerosol vertical profiles over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) in winter, we performed ground-based lidar observations in Lhasa, a city on the TP, from November 2021 to January 2022. The profiles of extinction coefficient, depolarization ratio, and signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) were retrieved using the atmospheric echo signals collected by the lidar. Clouds were identified by the range-correction echo signals and classified into water clouds, mixed clouds, horizontally oriented ice crystal clouds (HOICC), and ice clouds by the depolarization ratio and the hourly temperature from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis version 5 (ERA5). The clouds mainly appeared at a height of 3~5 km from 14:00–22:00 Beijing Time throughout the field campaign. The height and frequency (~30%) for cloud appearance were significantly lower than that reported in previous studies in summer. The cloud categories were dominated by mixed clouds and ice clouds during the observation period. The proportions of ice clouds gradually increased with increasing heights. After eliminating profiles influenced by clouds, the aerosol extinction coefficient and depolarization ratio were obtained, and the atmospheric boundary layer height (ABLH) was calculated. The aerosol extinction coefficient decreased with increasing height in the ABLH, and there were no obvious changes for the aerosol extinction coefficient above the ABL. The aerosol extinction coefficients near the Earth's surface presented two peaks, appearing in the morning and evening, respectively. The high aerosols at the surface in the morning continually spread upward for 4–5 h and finally reached an altitude of 1 km with the development of ABLH. In addition, the depolarization ratio of aerosols decreased slowly with increasing altitudes. There was no obvious diurnal variation for depolarization ratios, indicating partly that the source of aerosols did not change significantly. These results are beneficial in understanding the evolution of cloud and aerosol vertical profiles over the TP. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Using CloudSat/CALIPSO satellite data and ERA5 reanalysis data from 2006 to 2010, the effects of aerosols on ice- and mixed-phase, single-layer, non-precipitating clouds over the Tibetan Plateau during nighttime in the MAM (March to May), JJA (June to August), SON (September to November), and DJF (December to February) seasons were examined. The results indicated the following: (1) The macrophysical and microphysical characteristics of ice- and mixed-phase clouds exhibit a nonlinear trend with increasing aerosol optical depth (AOD). When the logarithm of AOD (lnAOD) was ≤−4.0, with increasing AOD during MAM and JJA nights, the cloud thickness and ice particle effective radius of ice-phase clouds and mixed-phase clouds, the ice water path and ice particle number concentration of ice-phase clouds, and the liquid water path and cloud fraction of mixed-phase clouds all decreased; during SON and DJF nights, the cloud thickness of ice-phase clouds, cloud top height, liquid droplet number concentration, and liquid water path of mixed-phase clouds all decreased. When the lnAOD was >−4.0, with increasing AOD during MAM and JJA nights, the cloud top height, cloud base height, cloud fraction, and ice particle number concentration of ice-phase clouds, and the ice water path of mixed-phase clouds all increased; during SON and DJF nights, the cloud fraction of mixed-phase clouds and the ice water path of ice-phase clouds all increased. (2) Under the condition of excluding meteorological factors, including the U-component of wind, V-component of wind, pressure vertical velocity, temperature, and relative humidity at the atmospheric pressure heights near the average cloud top height, within the cloud, and the average cloud base height, as well as precipitable water vapor, convective available potential energy, and surface pressure. During MAM and JJA nights. When the lnAOD was ≤−4.0, an increase in aerosols may have led to a decrease in the thickness of ice and mixed-phase cloud layers, as well as a reduction in cloud water path values. In contrast, when the lnAOD was >−4.0, an increase in aerosols may contribute to elevated cloud base and cloud top heights for ice-phase clouds. During SON and DJF nights, changes in various cloud characteristics may be influenced by both aerosols and meteorological factors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Over the past decades, the cryosphere has changed significantly in High Mountain Asia (HMA), leading to multiple natural hazards such as rock–ice avalanches, glacier collapse, debris flows, landslides, and glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs). Monitoring cryosphere change and evaluating its hydrological effects are essential for studying climate change, the hydrological cycle, water resource management, and natural disaster mitigation and prevention. However, knowledge gaps, data uncertainties, and other substantial challenges limit comprehensive research in climate–cryosphere–hydrology–hazard systems. To address this, we provide an up-to-date, comprehensive, multidisciplinary review of remote sensing techniques in cryosphere studies, demonstrating primary methodologies for delineating glaciers and measuring geodetic glacier mass balance change, glacier thickness, glacier motion or ice velocity, snow extent and water equivalent, frozen ground or frozen soil, lake ice, and glacier-related hazards. The principal results and data achievements are summarized, including URL links for available products and related data platforms. We then describe the main challenges for cryosphere monitoring using satellite-based datasets. Among these challenges, the most significant limitations in accurate data inversion from remotely sensed data are attributed to the high uncertainties and inconsistent estimations due to rough terrain, the various techniques employed, data variability across the same regions (e.g., glacier mass balance change, snow depth retrieval, and the active layer thickness of frozen ground), and poor-quality optical images due to cloudy weather. The paucity of ground observations and validations with few long-term, continuous datasets also limits the utilization of satellite-based cryosphere studies and large-scale hydrological models. Lastly, we address potential breakthroughs in future studies, i.e., (1) outlining debris-covered glacier margins explicitly involving glacier areas in rough mountain shadows, (2) developing highly accurate snow depth retrieval methods by establishing a microwave emission model of snowpack in mountainous regions, (3) advancing techniques for subsurface complex freeze–thaw process observations from space, (4) filling knowledge gaps on scattering mechanisms varying with surface features (e.g., lake ice thickness and varying snow features on lake ice), and (5) improving and cross-verifying the data retrieval accuracy by combining different remote sensing techniques and physical models using machine learning methods and assimilation of multiple high-temporal-resolution datasets from multiple platforms. This comprehensive, multidisciplinary review highlights cryospheric studies incorporating spaceborne observations and hydrological models from diversified techniques/methodologies (e.g., multi-spectral optical data with thermal bands, SAR, InSAR, passive microwave, and altimetry), providing a valuable reference for what scientists have achieved in cryosphere change research and its hydrological effects on the Third Pole. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Earthquake-triggered landslides (ETLs) feature large quantities, extensive distributions, and enormous losses to human lives and critical infrastructures. Near-real spatial prediction of ETLs can rapidly predict the locations of coseismic landslides just after a violent earthquake and is a vital technical support for emergency response. However, near-real prediction of ETLs has always been a great challenge with relatively low accuracy. This work proposes an ensemble prediction model of EnPr by integrating machine learning tree models and a deep learning convolutional neural network. EnPr exhibits relatively strong prediction and generalization performance and achieves relatively accurate prediction of ETLs. Six great seismic events occurring from 2008 to 2022 on the southeastern margin of the Tibetan Plateau are selected to conduct ETL prediction. In a chronological order, the 2008 Ms 8.0 Wenchuan, 2010 Ms 7.1 Yushu, 2013 Ms 7.0 Lushan, and 2014 Ms 6.5 Ludian earthquakes are employed for model training and learning. The 2017 Ms 7.0 Jiuzhaigou and 2022 Ms 6.1 Lushan earthquakes are adopted for ETL prediction. The prediction accuracy merits of ACC and AUC attain 91.28% and 0.85, respectively, for the Jiuzhaigou earthquake. The values of ACC and AUC achieve 93.78% and 0.88, respectively, for the Lushan earthquake. The proposed EnPr algorithm outperforms the algorithms of XGBoost, random forest (RF), extremely randomized trees (ET), convolutional neural network (CNN), and Transformer. Moreover, this work reveals that seismic intensity, high and steep relief, pre-seismic fault tectonics, and pre-earthquake road construction have played significant roles in coseismic landslide occurrence and distribution. The EnPr model uses globally accessible open datasets and can therefore be used worldwide for new large seismic events in the future. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The intermittency of gravity wave potential energy (GWPE) in the upper troposphere and stratosphere was investigated using the Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere, and Climate-2 (COSMIC-2) temperature data over three typical mountains (Tibetan Plateau, Rocky Mountains, and Andes). These typical mountains have high sea level elevations but different land–sea contrast. The probability density function (PDF) of GWPE has the independent variable of GWPE and dependent variable of occurrence probability of GWPE over a region. Our analysis showed that the PDFs of GWPE over these three mountains roughly followed lognormal distributions in all heights and months. But, the key parameters (mean value and standard deviation) of lognormal distribution varied with heights and months. Above each mountain, the two key parameters exhibited similar temporal and spatial distributions. They had the largest values around the tropopause region, smaller values in the lower stratosphere (~20–30 km), and larger values in the upper stratosphere (~35–45 km). The intermittency of GWs is represented as the ratio of the GWPE at 50th percentile to the GWPE at 90th percentile. The weakest intermittency was at ~20–30 km (above the zonal mean winds of zero) over the Tibetan Plateau and Rocky Mountains in all months and over the Andes from November to March, respectively. Generally, the weakest intermittency (~0.4) occurred in the region where the key parameters were the smallest around summer. The key parameters of lognormal distribution were dominated by annual variation over the Andes throughout the height range, 8–50 km. However, the semiannual variations are also significant in the lower stratosphere over the Tibetan Plateau and Rocky Mountains. The seasonal variations in the intermittency were not as obvious as those of the key parameters. The lognormal distributions and the intermittencies derived here provide an observational constraint on the tunable parameters in GW parameterization schemes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The southeastern Tibetan Plateau (SETP), which hosts the most extensive marine glaciers on the Tibetan Plateau (TP), exhibits enhanced sensitivity to climatic fluctuations. Under global warming, persistent glacier mass depletion within the SETP poses a risk to water resource security and sustainability in adjacent nations and regions. This study deployed a high-precision ICESat-2 satellite altimetry technique to evaluate SETP glacier thickness changes from 2018 to 2022. Our results show that the average change rate in glacier thickness in the SETP is −0.91 ± 0.18 m/yr, and the corresponding glacier mass change is −7.61 ± 1.52 Gt/yr. In the SETP, the glacier mass loss obtained via ICESat-2 data is larger than the mass change in total land water storage observed by the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment follow-on satellite (GRACE-FO), −5.13 ± 2.55 Gt/yr, which underscores the changes occurring in other land water components, including snow (−0.44 ± 0.09 Gt/yr), lakes (−0.06 ± 0.02 Gt/yr), soil moisture (1.88 ± 1.83 Gt/yr), and groundwater (1.45 ± 0.70 Gt/yr), with a closure error of −0.35 Gt/yr. This demonstrates that this dramatic glacier mass loss is the main reason for the decrease in total land water storage in the SETP. Generally, there are decreasing trends in solid water storage (glacier and snow) against stable or increasing trends in liquid water storage (lakes, soil moisture, and groundwater) in the SETP. This persistent decrease in solid water is linked to the enhanced melting induced by rising temperatures. Given the decreasing trend in summer precipitation, the surge in liquid water in the SETP should be principally ascribed to the increased melting of solid water. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Lightning stroke strength, characterized by energy and peak currents, over the Tibetan Plateau (TP), is investigated by utilizing datasets from the World Wide Lightning Location Network and the Chinese Cloud-to-Ground Lightning Location System during 2016–2019. Focused on the south-central (SC) and southeast (SE) of the TP, it reveals that SE-TP experiences strokes with larger average energy and peak currents. Strong strokes (energy ≥ 100 kJ or peak currents ≥ |100| kA), exhibiting bimodal distribution in winter and summer, are more frequent and have larger average values over the SE-TP than the SC-TP, with diurnal distribution indicating peaks in energy and positive strokes in the middle of the night and negative strokes peaking in the morning. Utilizing the ECMWF/ERA-5 and MERRA-2 reanalysis, we find that stronger strokes correlate with thinner charge zone depths and larger CIWCFs but stable warm cloud depths and zero-degree levels over the SC-TP. Over the SE-TP, stronger strokes are associated with smaller CIWCFs and show turning points for warm cloud depths and zero-degree levels. Thicker charge zone depths correlate with stronger negative strokes but weaker positive strokes. Generating strokes of similar strength over the SC-TP requires larger CIWCFs, thinner warm cloud depths, and lower zero-degree levels than over the SE-TP. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Geometric complexities of a fault system have a significant impact on the rupture behavior of the fault. The 2021 Mw7.4 Maduo earthquake occurred on a multi-segmented complex sinistral fault in the interior of the Bayan-Har block in the northern Tibetan Plateau. Here, we integrate centimeter-resolution surface rupture zones and Sentinel-2 optical displacement fields to accurately determine the geometric parameters of the causative fault in detail. An adaptive quadtree down-sampling method for interferograms was employed to enhance the reliability of the coseismic slip model inversion for interferograms. The optimal coseismic slip model indicated a complex non-planar structure with varying strike and dip angles. The largest slip of ~6 m, at a depth of ~7 km, occurred near a 6 km-wide stepover (a geometric complexity area) to the east of the epicenter, which occurred at the transition zone from sub-shear to super-shear rupture suggested by seismological studies. Optical and SAR displacement fields consistently indicated the local minimization of effective normal stress on releasing stepovers, which facilitated rupture through them. Moreover, connecting intermediate structures contributes to maintaining the rupture propagation through wide stepovers and may even facilitate the transition from subshear to supershear. Our study provides more evidence of the reactivation of a branched fault at the western end during the mainshock, which was previously under-appreciated. Furthermore, we found that a strong asymmetry in slip depth, stress drop, and rupture velocity east and west of the epicenter was coupled with variations in geometric and structural characteristics of fault segments along the strike. Our findings highlight the sensitivity of rupture behaviors to small-scale details of fault geometry. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Maritime glaciers in the southeastern Tibetan Plateau (TP) have experienced important changes in mass and dynamics over the past decades, challenging the regional water supply and glacier-related hazards. However, knowledge about long-term variations in the surface velocity and mass balance of maritime glaciers remains incomplete due to the lack of representative observations in the southeastern TP. In this study, offset tracking is employed to measure spatiotemporal variation in the surface velocity of the Hailuogou Glacier (HLG) in Mount Gongga of the southeastern TP using Sentinel-1A imagery, while the time series of the HLG mass balance is reconstructed since 1950 by a physically based energy–mass balance model. Our satellite-based results find that HLG surface velocity shows significant spatial heterogeneity with a double-peak pattern along the flow line, and sustained slowdown below the icefall zone has been observed during the past nearly 40 years, although the icefall zone and the area above it have become relatively active. Our modeling indicates a persistent increase in mass loss over the last seven decades with an average rate of −0.58 m water equivalent (w.e.) year−1, which has accelerated in the past two decades. Sustained slowdown on the glacier is concomitant with pronounced negative mass balance, thereby enhancing glacier wastage in recent decades. The long-term trend in HLG mass loss is mainly driven by an increase in positive air temperature that decreases surface albedo and solid precipitation ratio and increases longwave incoming radiation, besides the influence of supraglacial debris cover. Large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns in the Eurasian region provide important implications for regional-to-local climate variability, unsustainably intensifying the trend of the negative mass balance of the HLG in the southeastern TP in the past two decades. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Glaciers play a vital role in the Asian mountain water towers and have significant downstream impacts on domestic, agricultural, and industrial water usage. The rate of glacier mass loss in the Southeastern Tibetan Plateau (SETP) is among the highest in Asia and has intensified in recent decades. However, a comprehensive quantification that considers both spatial and temporal aspects of glacier mass loss across the entire SETP is still insufficient. This study aimed to address this gap by utilizing geodetic datasets specific to each glacier by calibrating the Open Global Glacier Model (OGGM) driven by HAR v2 and reconstructing the glacier mass balance of 7756 glaciers in the SETP from 1980 to 2019 while examining their spatial variability. The findings reveal that the average mass balance during this period was −0.50 ± 0.28 m w.e. a−1, with an accelerated loss observed in the 2000s (average: 0.62 ± 0.24 m w.e. a−1). Notably, central glaciers in the SETP exhibited relatively smaller mass loss, indicating a gradient effect of increased loss from the central region toward the eastern and western sides. By the end of this century, the area, length, and volume of glaciers in the entire SETP region are projected to decrease by 83.57 ± 4.91%, 90.25 ± 4.23%, and 88.04 ± 4.52%, respectively. Moreover, the SETP glacier melt runoff is estimated to decrease by 62.63 ± 6.16% toward the end of the century, with the "peak water" point of glacier melt runoff predicted to occur in 2023 under the SSP585 scenario. Sensitivity experiments demonstrated that the SETP glaciers are more than three times more sensitive to temperature changes than to precipitation variations, and the observed decrease in monsoon precipitation indicates the weakening magnitude of the Indian summer monsoon in recent years. The spatially refined and high-temporal-resolution characteristics of glacier mass loss presented in this study contribute to a better understanding of specific glacier changes in the SETP. Additionally, the prediction results provide valuable references for future water resources management and policy formulation in the SETP region. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The variation of lake water storage is an important indicator for studying both climate change and ecological environment changes. Previous studies have mainly focused on the lake storage changes in recent decades, and predicting future lake storage changes on the Tibetan Plateau under climate change scenarios remains a crucial gap. We addressed this gap by establishing prediction models for water storage changes in nine lakes using historical water storage and climate data from the past 29 years and predicting the water storage changes for the next 80 years under three scenarios based on Phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) data. The Quantile-mapping (QM) method was applied to correct the precipitation data of CMIP6 with assimilated data. The results indicated that the prediction model performed well, with high correlation (R2 > 0.7 for the training set) and low mean absolute error (MSE < 0.1 km3). The results suggest that most lakes will experience a slight increase in water storage until 2050, followed by a rapid rise until 2100 under all three SSP (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways) scenarios, including SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585. By the end of the century, the total projected increase in lake water storage is estimated to be 189.676 ± 16.266 km3, 191.762 ± 10.683 km3, and 186.212 ± 6.441 km3 until 2100, respectively. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The interrelation between grassland vegetation greenness and hydrothermal conditions on the Tibetan Plateau demonstrates a significant correlation. However, understanding the spatial patterns and the degree of this correlation, especially in relation to minimum and maximum air temperatures across various vertical gradient zones of the Plateau, necessitates further examination. Utilizing the normalized difference phenology index (NDPI) and considering four distinct hydrothermal conditions (minimum, maximum, mean temperature, and precipitation) during the growing season, an analysis was conducted on the correlation of NDPI with hydrothermal conditions across plateau elevations from 2000 to 2021. Results indicate that the correlation between vegetation greenness and hydrothermal conditions on the Tibetan Plateau grasslands is spatially varied. There is a pronounced negative correlation of greenness to maximum temperature and precipitation in the northeastern plateau, while areas exhibit stronger positive correlations to mean temperature. Additionally, as elevation increases, the positive correlation and sensitivity of alpine grassland vegetation greenness to minimum temperature significantly intensify, contrary to the effects observed with maximum temperature. The correlations between greenness and mean temperature in relation to elevational changes primarily exhibit a unimodal pattern across the Tibetan Plateau. These findings emphasize that the correlation and sensitivity of grassland vegetation greenness to hydrothermal conditions are both elevation-dependent and spatially distinct. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau (QTP), which has a unique and severe environment, suffers from the absence of rainfall gauges in western arid land. Using different precipitation products in this region would easily lead to contradictory results. To evaluate nine fine-resolution precipitation products in the QTP, we propose a "down to top" methodology, based on water balance and drought chain, by forecasting two accuracy assessment indices—multi-year precipitation bias and precipitation correlation. We assessed the biases of all products in the Jinsha–Yalong, Yellow, Heihe, Yangtze, Yarlung Zangbo catchments and interior drainage areas. And we assessed gauge-based correlation of precipitation products, based on the correlations between precipitation product-based effective drought index (EDI), Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP)-based soil moisture anomaly, and the moderate-resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS)-based normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) anomaly (R = 0.712, R = 0.36, and R = 0.785, respectively) for cross-sectional rainfall observations on the Tibetan Plateau in 2018. The results showed that ERA5-Land and IMERG merged precipitation dataset (EIMD) can efficiently close the water budget at the catchment scale. Moreover, the EIMD-based EDI exhibited the best performance in correlation with both the SMAP-based soil moisture anomaly and MODIS-based NDVI anomaly for the three main herbaceous species areas—Kobresia pygmaea meadow, Stipa purpurea steppe, and Carex moorcroftii steppe. Overall, we find that EIMD is the most accurate among the nine products. The annual average precipitation (2001–2018) was determined to be 568.16 mm in the QTP. Our assessment methodology has a remote sensing basis with low cost and can be used for other arid lands in the future. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]