1. North American tree migration paced by climate in the West, lagging in the East.
- Author
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Sharma S, Andrus R, Bergeron Y, Bogdziewicz M, Bragg DC, Brockway D, Cleavitt NL, Courbaud B, Das AJ, Dietze M, Fahey TJ, Franklin JF, Gilbert GS, Greenberg CH, Guo Q, Hille Ris Lambers J, Ibanez I, Johnstone JF, Kilner CL, Knops JMH, Koenig WD, Kunstler G, LaMontagne JM, Macias D, Moran E, Myers JA, Parmenter R, Pearse IS, Poulton-Kamakura R, Redmond MD, Reid CD, Rodman KC, Scher CL, Schlesinger WH, Steele MA, Stephenson NL, Swenson JJ, Swift M, Veblen TT, Whipple AV, Whitham TG, Wion AP, Woodall CW, Zlotin R, and Clark JS
- Subjects
- Ecosystem, Fertility physiology, Geography, North America, Uncertainty, Climate Change, Trees physiology
- Abstract
Tree fecundity and recruitment have not yet been quantified at scales needed to anticipate biogeographic shifts in response to climate change. By separating their responses, this study shows coherence across species and communities, offering the strongest support to date that migration is in progress with regional limitations on rates. The southeastern continent emerges as a fecundity hotspot, but it is situated south of population centers where high seed production could contribute to poleward population spread. By contrast, seedling success is highest in the West and North, serving to partially offset limited seed production near poleward frontiers. The evidence of fecundity and recruitment control on tree migration can inform conservation planning for the expected long-term disequilibrium between climate and forest distribution., Competing Interests: Competing interest statement: M.B., W.D.K., and I.S.P. are collaborators on a 2020 review with T.W., (Copyright © 2021 the Author(s). Published by PNAS.)
- Published
- 2022
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