1. Machine learning-based prediction of intraoperative hypoxemia for pediatric patients
- Author
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Jung-Bin Park, Ho-Jong Lee, Hyun-Lim Yang, Eun-Hee Kim, Hyung-Chul Lee, Chul-Woo Jung, and Hee-Soo Kim
- Subjects
Medicine ,Science - Abstract
Background Reducing the duration of intraoperative hypoxemia in pediatric patients by means of rapid detection and early intervention is considered crucial by clinicians. We aimed to develop and validate a machine learning model that can predict intraoperative hypoxemia events 1 min ahead in children undergoing general anesthesia. Methods This retrospective study used prospectively collected intraoperative vital signs and parameters from the anesthesia ventilator machine extracted every 2 s in pediatric patients undergoing surgery under general anesthesia between January 2019 and October 2020 in a tertiary academic hospital. Intraoperative hypoxemia was defined as oxygen saturation Results In total, 1,540 (11.73%) patients with intraoperative hypoxemia out of 13,130 patients’ records with 2,367 episodes were included for developing the model dataset. After model development, 200 (13.25%) of the 1,510 patients’ records with 289 episodes were used for holdout validation. Among the models developed, the GBM had the highest AUROC of 0.904 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.902 to 0.906), which was significantly higher than that of the LSTM (0.843, 95% CI 0.840 to 0.846 P < .001) and the transformer model (0.885, 95% CI, 0.882–0.887, P < .001). In holdout validation, GBM also demonstrated best performance with an AUROC of 0.939 (95% CI 0.936 to 0.941) which was better than LSTM (0.904, 95% CI 0.900 to 0.907, P < .001) and the transformer model (0.929, 95% CI 0.926 to 0.932, P < .001). Conclusions Machine learning models can be used to predict upcoming intraoperative hypoxemia in real-time based on the biosignals acquired by patient monitors, which can be useful for clinicians for prediction and proactive treatment of hypoxemia in an intraoperative setting.
- Published
- 2023