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A promising approach for scalable Gaussian processes (GPs) is the Karhunen-Loève (KL) decomposition, in which the GP kernel is represented by a set of basis functions which are the eigenfunctions of the kernel operator. Such decomposed kernels have the potential to be very fast, and do not depend on the selection of a reduced set of inducing points. However KL decompositions lead to high dimensionality, and variable selection thus becomes paramount. This paper reports a new method of forward variable selection, enabled by the ordered nature of the basis functions in the KL expansion of the Bayesian Smoothing Spline ANOVA kernel (BSS-ANOVA), coupled with fast Gibbs sampling in a fully Bayesian approach. It quickly and effectively limits the number of terms, yielding a method with competitive accuracies, training and inference times for tabular datasets of low feature set dimensionality. Theoretical computational complexities are O(NP2) in training and O(P) per point in inference, where N is the number of instances and P the number of expansion terms. The inference speed and accuracy makes the method especially useful for dynamic systems identification, by modeling the dynamics in the tangent space as a static problem, then integrating the learned dynamics using a high-order scheme. The methods are demonstrated on two dynamic datasets: a 'Susceptible, Infected, Recovered' (SIR) toy problem, along with the experimental 'Cascaded Tanks' benchmark dataset. Comparisons on the static prediction of time derivatives are made with a random forest (RF), a residual neural network (ResNet), and the Orthogonal Additive Kernel (OAK) inducing points scalable GP, while for the timeseries prediction comparisons are made with LSTM and GRU recurrent neural networks (RNNs) along with the SINDy package. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study endeavors to examine the dynamics of the generalized Kadomtsev-Petviashvili (gKP) equation in (n + 1) dimensions. Based on the comprehensive three-wave methodology and the Hirota's bilinear technique, the gKP equation is meticulously examined. By means of symbolic computation, a number of three-wave solutions are derived. Applying the Lie symmetry approach to the governing equation enables the determination of symmetry reduction, which aids in the reduction of the dimensionality of the said equation. Using symmetry reduction, we obtain the second order differential equation. By means of applying symmetry reduction, the second order differential equation is derived. The second order differential equation undergoes Galilean transformation to obtain a system of first order differential equations. The present study presents an analysis of bifurcation and sensitivity for a given dynamical system. Additionally, when an external force impacts the underlying dynamic system, its behavior resembles quasi-periodic phenomena. The presence of quasi-periodic patterns are identified using chaos detecting tools. These findings represent a novel contribution to the studied equation and significantly advance our understanding of dynamics in nonlinear wave models. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

For nonlinear systems subjected to external disturbances, an adaptive terminal sliding mode control (TSM) approach with fixed-time convergence is presented in this paper. The introduction of the fixed-time TSM with the sliding surface and the new Lemma of fixed-time stability are the main topics of discussion. The suggested approach demonstrates quick convergence, smooth and non-singular control input, and stability within a fixed time. Existing fixed-time TSM schemes are often impacted by unknown dynamics such as uncertainty and disturbances. Therefore, the proposed strategy is developed by combining the fixed-time TSM with an adaptive scheme. This adaptive method deals with an uncertain dynamic system when there are external disturbances. The stability of a closed-loop structure in a fixed-time will be shown by the findings of the Lyapunov analysis. Finally, the outcomes of the simulations are shown to evaluate and demonstrate the efficacy of the suggested method. As a result, examples with different cases are provided for a better comparison of suggested and existing control strategies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Fluctuations in the financial market are influenced by various driving forces and numerous factors. Traditional financial research aims to identify the factors influencing stock prices, and existing works construct a common neural network learning framework that learns temporal dependency using a fixed time window of historical information, such as RNN and LSTM models. However, these models only consider the short-term and point-to-point relationships within stock series. The financial market is a complex and dynamic system with many unobservable temporal patterns. Therefore, we propose an adaptive period-aggregation model called the Latent Period-Aggregated Stock Transformer (LPAST). The model integrates a variational autoencoder (VAE) with a period-to-period attention mechanism for multistep prediction in the financial time series. Additionally, we introduce a self-correlation learning method and routing mechanism to handle complex multi-period aggregations and information distribution. Main contributions include proposing a novel period-aggregation representation scheme, introducing a new attention mechanism, and validating the model's superiority in long-horizon prediction tasks. The LPAST model demonstrates its potential and effectiveness in financial market prediction, highlighting its relevance in financial research and predictive analytics. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This manuscript investigates bifurcation, chaos, and stability analysis for a significant model in the research of shallow water waves, known as the second 3D fractional Wazwaz-Benjamin-Bona-Mahony (WBBM) model. The dynamical system for the above-mentioned nonlinear structure is obtained by employing the Galilean transformation to fulfill the research objectives. Subsequent analysis includes planar dynamic systems techniques to investigate bifurcations, chaos, and sensitivities within the model. Our findings reveal diverse features, including quasi-periodic, periodic, and chaotic motion within the governing nonlinear problem. Additionally, diverse soliton structures, like bright solitons, dark solitons, kink waves, and anti-kink waves, are thoroughly explored through visual illustrations. Interestingly, our results highlight the importance of chaos analysis in understanding complex system dynamics, prediction, and stability. Our techniques' efficiency, conciseness, and effectiveness advance our understanding of this model and suggest broader applications for exploring nonlinear systems. In addition to improving our understanding of shallow water nonlinear dynamics, including waveform features, bifurcation analysis, sensitivity, and stability, this study reveals insights into dynamic properties and wave patterns. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Tumor microenvironment (TME) is a complex dynamic system with many tumor-interacting components including tumor-infiltrating leukocytes (TILs), cancer associated fibroblasts, blood vessels, and other stromal constituents. It intrinsically affects tumor development and pharmacology of oncology therapeutics, particularly immune-oncology (IO) treatments. Accurate measurement of TME is therefore of great importance for understanding the tumor immunity, identifying IO treatment mechanisms, developing predictive biomarkers, and ultimately, improving the treatment of cancer. Here, we introduce a mouse-IO NGS-based (NGSmIO) assay for accurately detecting and quantifying the mRNA expression of 1080 TME related genes in mouse tumor models. The NGSmIO panel was shown to be superior to the commonly used microarray approach by hosting 300 more relevant genes to better characterize various lineage of immune cells, exhibits improved mRNA and protein expression correlation to flow cytometry, shows stronger correlation with mRNA expression than RNAseq with 10x higher sequencing depth, and demonstrates higher sensitivity in measuring low-expressed genes. We describe two studies; firstly, detecting the pharmacodynamic change of interferon-γ expression levels upon anti-PD-1: anti-CD4 combination treatment in MC38 and Hepa 1–6 tumors; and secondly, benchmarking baseline TILs in 14 syngeneic tumors using transcript level expression of lineage specific genes, which demonstrate effective and robust applications of the NGSmIO panel. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

As people age, their ability to maintain homeostasis in response to stressors diminishes. Physical frailty, a syndrome characterized by loss of resilience to stressors, is thought to emerge due to dysregulation of and breakdowns in communication among key physiological systems. Dynamical systems modeling of these physiological systems aims to model the underlying processes that govern response to stressors. We hypothesize that dynamical systems model summaries are predictive of age-related declines in health and function. In this study, we analyze data obtained during 75-gram oral-glucose tolerance tests (OGTT) on 1,120 adults older than 50 years of age from the Baltimore Longitudinal Study on Aging. We adopt a two-stage modeling approach. First, we fit OGTT curves with the Ackerman model—a nonlinear, parametric model of the glucose-insulin system—and with functional principal components analysis. We then fit linear and Cox proportional hazards models to evaluate whether usual gait speed and survival are associated with the stage-one model summaries. We also develop recommendations for identifying inadequately-fitting nonlinear model fits in a cohort setting with numerous heterogeneous response curves. These recommendations include: (1) defining a constrained parameter space that ensures biologically plausible model fits, (2) evaluating the relative discrepancy between predicted and observed responses of biological interest, and (3) identifying model fits that have notably poor model fit summary measures, such as Rpseudo2 , relative to other fits in the cohort. The Ackerman model was unable to adequately fit 36% of the OGTT curves. The stage-two regression analyses found no associations between Ackerman model summaries and usual gait speed, nor with survival. The second functional principal component score was associated with faster gait speed (p<0.01) and improved survival (p<0.01). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, we investigate the (2+1)-dimensional Kadomtsev-Petviashvili-Benjamin-Bona Mahony equation using two effective methods: the unified scheme and the advanced auxiliary equation scheme, aiming to derive precise wave solutions. These solutions are expressed as combinations of trigonometric, rational, hyperbolic, and exponential functions. Visual representations, including three-dimensional (3D) and two-dimensional (2D) combined charts, are provided for some of these solutions. The influence of the nonlinear parameter p on the wave type is thoroughly examined through diverse figures, illustrating the profound impact of nonlinearity. Additionally, we briefly investigate the Hamiltonian function and the stability of the model using a planar dynamical system approach. This involves examining trajectories, isoclines, and nullclines to illustrate stable solution paths for the wave variables. Numerical results demonstrate that these methods are reliable, straightforward, and potent tools for analyzing various nonlinear evolution equations found in physics, applied mathematics, and engineering. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Despite the exponential transformation occurring in the healthcare industry, operational failures pose significant challenges in the delivery of safe and efficient care. Incident management plays a crucial role in mitigating these challenges; however, it encounters limitations due to organizational factors within complex and dynamic healthcare systems. Further, there are limited studies examining the interdependencies and relative importance of these factors in the context of incident management practices. To address this gap, this study utilized aggregate-level hospital data to explore the influence of organizational factors on incident management practices. Employing a Bayesian Belief Network (BBN) structural learning algorithm, Tree Augmented Naive (TAN), this study assessed the probabilistic relationships, represented graphically, between organizational factors and incident management. Significantly, the model highlighted the critical roles of morale and staff engagement in influencing incident management practices within organizations. This study enhances our understanding of the importance of organizational factors in incident management, providing valuable insights for healthcare managers to effectively prioritize and allocate resources for continuous quality improvement efforts. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Keen model is designed to represent an economy as a dynamic system governed by the interactions between private debt, wage share, and employment rate. When certain conditions are met, the model can lead to a debt spiral, which accurately mimics the impact of a financial crisis on an economy. This manuscript presents a recipe for breaking this spiral by expressing Keen's model as an affine nonlinear system that can be modified through policy interventions. We begin by considering critical initial conditions that resemble a financial crisis to achieve this goal. We then locate a desired point within the system's vector field that leads to a desirable equilibrium and design a path towards it. This path is later followed using one-step-ahead optimal control. We illustrate our approach by presenting simulated control scenarios. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The stochastic nonlinear Schrödinger model (SNLSM) in (1+1)-dimension with random potential is examined in this paper. The analysis of the evolution of nonlinear dispersive waves in a totally disordered medium depends heavily on the model under investigation. This study has three main objectives. Firstly, for the SNLSM, derive stochastic precise solutions by using the modified Sardar sub-equation technique. This technique is efficient and intuitive for solving such models, as shown by the generated solutions, which can be described as trigonometric, hyperbolic, bright, single and dark. Secondly, for obtaining numerical solutions to the SNLSM, the algorithms described here offer an accurate and efficient technique. Lastly, investigate the phase plane analysis of the perturbed and unperturbed dynamical system and the time series analysis of the governing model. The results show that the numerical and analytical techniques can be extended to solve other nonlinear partial differential equations in physics and engineering. The results of this study have a significant impact on how well we comprehend how solitons behave in physical systems. Additionally, they may serve as a foundation for the development of improved numerical techniques for handling challenging nonlinear partial differential equations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Musical performers synchronize to each other despite differences in sound-onset timings which reflect each musician's sense of the beat. A dynamical system of Kuramoto oscillators can simulate this spread of onsets at varying levels of temporal alignment with a variety of tempo and sound densities which also influence individual abilities for beat extraction. Here, we examined how people's sense of beat emerges when tapping with Kuramoto oscillators of varying coupling strengths which distribute onsets around periodic moments in time. We hypothesized that people tap regularly close to the sound onset density peaks when coupling is strong. When weaker coupling produces multiple inter-onset intervals that are more widely spread, people may interpret their variety and distributions differently in order to form a sense of beat. Experiment 1 with a small in-person cohort indeed showed a few individuals who responded with high frequency tapping to slightly weak coupled stimuli although the rest found regular beats. Experiment 2 with a larger on-line cohort revealed three groups based on characteristics of inter-tap-intervals analyzed by k-means clustering, namely a Regular group (about 1/3 of the final sample) with the most robust beat extraction, Fast group (1/6) who maintained frequent tapping except for the strongest coupling, and Hybrid group (1/2) who maintained beats except for the weakest coupling. Furthermore, the adaptation time course of tap interval variability was slowest in Regular group. We suggest that people's internal criterion for forming beats may involve different perceptual timescales where multiple stimulus intervals could be integrated or processed sequentially as is, and that the highly frequent tapping may reflect their approach in actively seeking synchronization. Our study provides the first documentation of the novel limits of sensorimotor synchronization and individual differences using coupled oscillator dynamics as a generative model of collective behavior. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We propose an algorithm to simulate Markovian SIS epidemics with homogeneous rates and pairwise interactions on a fixed undirected graph, assuming a distributed memory model of parallel programming and limited bandwidth. This setup can represent a broad class of simulation tasks with compartmental models. Existing solutions for such tasks are sequential by nature. We provide an innovative solution that makes trade-offs between statistical faithfulness and parallelism possible. We offer an implementation of the algorithm in the form of pseudocode in the Appendix. Also, we analyze its algorithmic complexity and its induced dynamical system. Finally, we design experiments to show its scalability and faithfulness. In our experiments, we discover that graph structures that admit good partitioning schemes, such as the ones with clear community structures, together with the correct application of a graph partitioning method, can lead to better scalability and faithfulness. We believe this algorithm offers a way of scaling out, allowing researchers to run simulation tasks at a scale that was not accessible before. Furthermore, we believe this algorithm lays a solid foundation for extensions to more advanced epidemic simulations and graph dynamics in other fields. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The fractional coupled Konno-Onno model, which is frequently used in numerous fields of scientific and engineering disciplines, is being investigated in the current study in order to gain an understanding of complex phenomena and systems. The two main goals of this study are to be accomplished. Firstly, the research aims to identify novel solitons for the fractional coupled Konno-Onno model using the unified technique, which is currently absent from the literature. Secondly, a novel strategy that hasn't been previously investigated is phase portrait analysis for both perturbed and non-perturbed dynamical systems. The current study uses appropriate parametric values in phase plane analysis, 2D, 3D, and density plots to ensure the results are physically compatible. The results validate the claim that the technique used in this research to produce complete and uniform responses is not only simple to use and effective, but also substantially faster in computing. The technique is useful for resolving more complex phenomena that arise in engineering and mathematical physics. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The impact of the Amazon River freshwater plume on planktonic cnidarians over neritic and oceanic provinces is unknown. To provide further knowledge we took advantage of an oceanographic cruise performed in October 2012 in the Western Atlantic off the North Brazilian coast (8°N, 51°W—3.5°S, 37°W). A complex and dynamic system was observed, with strong currents and eddies dispersing the plume over a large area. Our results show that the Amazon River shapes marine habitats with a thin highly productive surface layer compressed by a deeper oxygen minimum zone both over the shelf and in the open ocean. We hypothesized that such habitat structure is particularly advantageous to planktonic cnidarians, which have low metabolic rates, being able to survive in hypoxic zones, resulting in high species richness and abundance. Over the shelf, distinctions were sharp and the area under the influence of the plume presented a diverse assemblage occurring in large abundance, while outside the plume, the hydromedusa Liriope tetraphylla was dominant and occurred almost alone. Divergences in the oceanic province were less pronounced, but still expressive being mostly related to the abundance of dominant species. We concluded that Amazon River plume is a paramount physical feature that profoundly affects the dynamics of the mesoscale habitat structure in the Western Equatorial Atlantic Ocean and that such habitat structure is responsible for shaping planktonic cnidarian assemblages both in neritic and oceanic provinces. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

An appropriate dynamic coupling form between nodes and edges' state can effectively promote the emergence of desired network function (phenomenon), but the existing literatures have not conducted in-depth research on the coupling mechanism. This paper mainly focuses on the coupling auxiliary mechanism of dynamic edges for the emergence of cluster phenomenon of nodes, explores the essential relation between structure and function in complex dynamical networks (CDNs). Firstly, a novel model of CDNs has dynamic systems attached on not only nodes but also edges is proposed from the viewpoint of large-scale system. Secondly, a feedback nodes controller is synthesized associate with the designed linear and adaptive dynamics of edges. Via the appropriate dynamic behaviors of the edges system, the controlled nodes can realize cluster synchronized. Finally, the validity of the proposed approaches is verified by a given numerical example. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Modeling psychopathology as a complex dynamic system represents Borderline Personality Disorder (BPD) as a constellation of symptoms (e.g., nodes) that feedback and self-sustain each other shaping a network structure. Through in silico interventions, we simulated the evolution of the BPD system by manipulating: 1) the connectivity strength between nodes (i.e., vulnerability), 2) the external disturbances (i.e., stress) and 3) the predisposition of symptoms to manifest. Similarly, using network analysis we evaluated the effect of an in vivo group psychotherapy to detect the symptoms modified by the intervention. We found that a network with greater connectivity strength between nodes (more vulnerable) showed a higher number of activated symptoms than networks with less strength connectivity. We also found that increases in stress affected more vulnerable networks compared to less vulnerable ones, while decreases in stress revealed a hysteresis effect in the most strongly connected networks. The in silico intervention to symptom alleviation revealed the relevance of nodes related to difficulty in anger regulation, nodes which were also detected as impacted by the in vivo intervention. The complex systems methodology is an alternative to the common cause model with which research has approached the BPD phenomenon. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Compartment models are implemented to understand the dynamic of a system. To analyze the models, a numerical tool is required. This manuscript presents an alternative numerical tool for the SIR and SEIR models. The same idea could be applied to other compartment models. The result starts with transforming the SIR model to an equivalent differential equation. The Dirichlet series satisfying the differential equation leads to an alternative numerical method to obtain the model's solutions. The derived Dirichlet solution not only matches the numerical solution obtained by the fourth-order Runge-Kutta method (RK-4), but it also carries the long-run behavior of the system. The SIR solutions obtained by the RK-4 method, an approximated analytical solution, and the Dirichlet series approximants are graphically compared. The Dirichlet series approximants order 15 and the RK-4 method are almost perfectly matched with the mean square error less than 2 × 10−5. A specific Dirichlet series is considered in the case of the SEIR model. The process to obtain a numerical solution is done in the similar way. The graphical comparisons of the solutions achieved by the Dirichlet series approximants order 20 and the RK-4 method show that both methods produce almost the same solution. The mean square errors of the Dirichlet series approximants order 20 in this case are less than 1.2 × 10−4. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Based on the panel data of 123 city commercial banks in China from 2007 to 2017, we use the dynamic panel system GMM estimation method to empirically test the impact of private capital holdings on the stability of city commercial banks. The results show that private capital holding improves the operating performance of city commercial banks, reduces the volatility of return on total assets, and is conducive to the stability of city commercial banks. Furthermore, the lack of financial awareness of local governments has led to the negative impact of private capital, that is, the stability of the banks has declined. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A method is proposed to study the temporal variability of legislative roll-call votes in a parliament from the perspective of complex dynamical systems. We studied the Chilean Chamber of Deputies' by analyzing the agreement ratio and the voting outcome of each vote over the last 19 years with a Recurrence Quantification Analysis and an entropy analysis (Sample Entropy). Two significant changes in the temporal variability were found: one in 2014, where the voting outcome became more recurrent and with less entropy, and another in 2018, where the agreement ratio became less recurrent and with higher entropy. These changes may be directly related to major changes in the Chilean electoral system and the composition of the Chamber of Deputies, given that these changes occurred just after the first parliamentary elections with non-compulsory voting (2013 elections) and the first elections with a proportional system in conjunction with an increase in the number of deputies (2017 elections) were held. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In contrast with robust systems that resist noise or fragile systems that break with noise, antifragility is defined as a property of complex systems that benefit from noise or disorder. Here we define and test a simple measure of antifragility for complex dynamical systems. In this work we use our antifragility measure to analyze real data from return prices in the stock and cryptocurrency markets. Our definition of antifragility is the product of the return price and a perturbation. We explore different types of perturbations that typically arise from within the system. Our results suggest that for both the stock market and the cryptocurrency market, the tendency among the 'top performers' is to be robust rather than antifragile. It would be important to explore other possible definitions of antifragility to understand its role in financial markets and in complex dynamical systems in general. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper is concerned with the sampled-data consensus of networked Euler-Lagrange systems. The Euler-Lagrange system has enormous advantages in analyzing and designing dynamical systems. Yet, some problems arise in the Euler-Lagrange equation-based control laws when they contain sampled-data feedbacks. The control law differentiates the discontinuous sampled-data signals to generate its control input. In this process, infinities in the control inputs are generated inevitably. The main goal of this work is to eliminate these infinities and make the control inputs applicable. To reach this goal, a class of differentiable pulse functions is designed for the controllers. The pulse functions work as multipliers on the sampled-data signals to make them differentiable, hence avoid the infinities. A new consensus condition compatible with the pulse function is also obtained through rigorous consensus analysis. The condition is proved to be less conservative compared with that of the existing method. Finally, numerical examples are given to illustrate the findings and theoretical results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper is the first studying on designing exponentially passive analysis for T-S fuzzy of dynamic systems with various time-varying delays such as neutral, discrete, and distributed time-varying delays. Constructing the new Lyapunov-Krasovskii function and the Newton-Leibniz theory, the zero equations, and the matrix inequality techniques, the multiple delay-dependent criteria, with assuring exponentially passive on the discussed T-S fuzzy system, are defined in respect of linear matrix inequalities (LMIs) that can be checked easily using the LMI toolbox of MATLAB. Those approaches give less conservative, exponentially passive criteria for special cases of general stability of a neutral differential system. Furthermore, the results of this study are delay-dependent, which depend on the lower and upper bound with the time-varying delay. Lastly, some numerical examples illustrate the performance of our criteria based on the results obtained and summarize some of the previous achievements. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A fundamental challenge in neuroscience is to uncover the principles governing how the brain interacts with the external environment. However, assumptions about external stimuli fundamentally constrain current computational models. We show in silico that unknown external stimulation can produce error in the estimated linear time-invariant dynamical system. To address these limitations, we propose an approach to retrieve the external (unknown) input parameters and demonstrate that the estimated system parameters during external input quiescence uncover spatiotemporal profiles of external inputs over external stimulation periods more accurately. Finally, we unveil the expected (and unexpected) sensory and task-related extra-cortical input profiles using functional magnetic resonance imaging data acquired from 96 subjects (Human Connectome Project) during the resting-state and task scans. This dynamical systems model of the brain offers information on the structure and dimensionality of the BOLD signal's external drivers and shines a light on the likely external sources contributing to the BOLD signal's non-stationarity. Our findings show the role of exogenous inputs in the BOLD dynamics and highlight the importance of accounting for external inputs to unravel the brain's time-varying functional dynamics. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Task allocation is a fundamental requirement for multi-robot systems working in dynamic environments. An efficient task allocation algorithm allows the robots to adjust their behavior in response to environmental changes such as fault occurrences, or other robots' actions to increase overall system performance. To address these challenges, this paper presents a Task Allocation technique based on a threshold level which is an accumulative value aggregated by a centralized unit using the Task-Robot ratio and the number of the available resource in the system. The threshold level serves as a reference for task acceptance and the task acceptance occurs despite resource shortage. The deficient resources for the accepted task are acquired through an auction process using objective minimization. Despite resource shortage, task acceptance occurs. The threshold approach and the objective minimization in the auction process reduce the overall completion time and increase the system's resource utilization up to 96%, which is demonstrated theoretically and validated through simulations and real experimentation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Dynamical systems on graphs allow to describe multiple phenomena from different areas of Science. In particular, many complex systems in Ecology are studied by this approach. In this paper we analize the mathematical framework for the study of the structural stability of each stationary point, feasible or not, introducing a generalization for this concept, defined as Global Structural Stability. This approach would fit with the proper mathematical concept of structural stability, in which we find a full description of the complex dynamics on the phase space due to nonlinear dynamics. This fact can be analyzed as an informational field grounded in a global attractor whose structure can be completely characterized. These attractors are stable under perturbation and suppose the minimal structurally stable sets. We also study in detail, mathematically and computationally, the zones characterizing different levels of biodiversity in bipartite graphs describing mutualistic antagonistic systems of population dynamics. In particular, we investigate the dependence of the region of maximal biodiversity of a system on its connectivity matrix. On the other hand, as the network topology does not completely determine the robustness of the dynamics of a complex network, we study the correlation between structural stability and several graph measures. A systematic study on synthetic and biological graphs is presented, including 10 mutualistic networks of plants and seed-dispersal and 1000 random synthetic networks. We compare the role of centrality measures and modularity, concluding the importance of just cooperation strength among nodes when describing areas of maximal biodiversity. Indeed, we show that cooperation parameters are the central role for biodiversity while other measures act as secondary supporting functions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Introduction: Public health policy and practice is strengthened by the application of quality evidence to decision making. However, there is limited understanding of how initiatives that support the generation and use of evidence in public health are operationalised. This study examines factors that support the internal functioning of a partnership, the Western Australian Sexual Health and Blood-borne Virus Applied Research and Evaluation Network (SiREN). SiREN aims to build research and evaluation capacity and increase evidence-informed decision making in a public health context. Methods: This study was informed by systems concepts. It developed a causal loop diagram, a type of qualitative system model that illustrated the factors that influence the internal operation of SiREN. The causal loop diagram was developed through an iterative and participatory process with SiREN staff and management (n = 9) via in-depth semi-structured interviews (n = 4), workshops (n = 2), and meetings (n = 6). Results: Findings identified critical factors that affected the functioning of SiREN. Central to SiREN's ability to meet its aims was its capacity to adapt within a dynamic system. Adaptation was facilitated by the flow of knowledge between SiREN and system stakeholders and the expertise of the team. SiREN demonstrated credibility and capability, supporting development of new, and strengthening existing, partnerships. This improved SiREN's ability to be awarded new funding and enhanced its sustainability and growth. SiREN actively balanced divergent stakeholder interests to increase sustainability. Conclusion: The collaborative development of the diagram facilitated a shared understanding of SiREN. Adaptability was central to SiREN achieving its aims. Monitoring the ability of public health programs to adapt to the needs of the systems in which they work is important to evaluate effectiveness. The detailed analysis of the structure of SiREN and how this affects its operation provide practical insights for those interested in establishing a similar project. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Dynamical systems can be subject to critical transitions where a system's state abruptly shifts from one stable equilibrium to another. To a certain extent such transitions can be predicted with a set of methods known as early warning signals. These methods are often developed and tested on systems simulated with equation-based approaches that focus on the aggregate dynamics of a system. Many ecological phenomena however seem to necessitate the consideration of a system's micro-level interactions since only there the actual reasons for sudden state transitions become apparent. Agent-based approaches that simulate systems from the bottom up by explicitly focusing on these micro-level interactions have only rarely been used in such investigations. This study compares the performance of a bifurcation estimation method for predicting state transitions when applied to data from an equation-based and an agent-based version of the Ising-model. The results show that the method can be applied to agent-based models and, despite its greater stochasticity, can provide useful predictions about state changes in complex systems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]