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Mycophenolic acid (MPA) area under the curve (AUC) has been associated with graft outcome. The aims of our study were: (1) to develop pharmacokinetic tools to optimize MPA inter-dose AUC estimation in heart transplant patients; and (2) to investigate the relationships between acute allograft rejection and MPA AUC, trough level (C0) or mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) dose. Two independent modeling approaches (parametric and non parametric) were used to fit 56 rich MPA pharmacokinetic (PK) profiles collected from 40 adult heart transplant recipients enrolled in the PIGREC study, receiving MMF and a calcineurin inhibitor (CNI), in the first year post-transplantation. In addition, associations between drug exposure (MPA C0, AUC and MMF dose) and acute rejection or MMF adverse events were investigated using time-dependent Cox models with stratification on the type of calcineurin inhibitor. Exposure threshold values were investigated using ROC curve analysis. The 2 models developed fit adequately the data and the use of their combination yielded 100% consistency with the measured AUC in terms of strategy of dose adjustment (maintain, increase or decrease). MPA measured AUC adjusted on CNI exposure was significantly associated with rejection (per unit increase: HR [95% CI] = 0.97 [0.95–0.99], p = 0.0122), while no effect was shown for adverse events attributable to MMF. An AUC threshold of 50 mg × h/L was proposed (sensitivity = 77%, specificity = 25%) beyond which the risk of rejection was significantly increased (low vs. high: HR = 3.48 [1.21–10.0], p = 0.0204). The tools developed have already been made available to the heart transplant community on our ISBA website ( https://pharmaco.chu-limoges.fr ).

Every transplant patient will, at least occasionally, miss immunosuppressive drug doses or take them outside the prescribed times. This study aims at quantifying the impact of poor execution on tacrolimus exposure in renal transplant patients. Validated pharmacokinetic tools applied in clinical setting were used to simulate the steady-state pharmacokinetic profiles of the drug when given as the immediate-release formulation to renal transplant patients, being CYP3A5 expressors or not, and who have reached either a standard or a minimized exposure. Situations of interruption due to a missed or delayed dose were simulated and the impact on drug exposure was explored. In case of a missed dose, it was observed that: (i) a single forgotten dose can greatly impact exposure: up to 49% decrease for tacrolimus trough concentration and 70% for AUC0-12 h in patients with the highest clearance values; (ii) patients with a minimized exposure are the most affected by a missed dose; and (iii) a dose of 1.5 times the usual dose may be recommended after a total dose oversight. Considering that intra-patient exposure variability is a predictive factor of poor graft outcome, these modeling results may serve as recommendations for patients, both preventively and in response to their questions.