Elisabeth H. Bel, Anna Selby, Ratko Djukanovic, Andrew Bush, Gunilla Hedlin, Urs Frey, Dominic E. Shaw, Bertrand De Meulder, Gianluca Praticò, Hans Bisgaard, Stephen J. Fowler, Paul Brinkman, Graham Roberts, I. Pandis, Aruna T. Bansal, Louise Fleming, Kian Fan Chung, Wim M. C. van Aalderen, Susanne J. H. Vijverberg, Simone Hashimoto, Clare S. Murray, Diane Lefaudeux, Julie Corfield, Björn Nordlund, Ana R. Sousa, Anthony Rowe, Nadja Hawwa Vissing, Charles Auffray, Anke-Hilse Maitland-van der Zee, Florian Singer, Scott Wagers, Zaraquiza Zolkipli, Marta Puig Valls, and Peter J. Sterk
Rationale: Paediatric severe asthma is a heterogeneous disease suggesting that there may be discrete underlying clinical phenotypes. Objective: To generate and validate unbiased paediatric clusters in U-BIOPRED. Methods: Cross-sectional analysis of baseline data from the European U-BIOPRED study. Demography, medical history, medication, environmental risk factors, asthma control and quality of life data were collected. External validation utilised a Dutch community paediatric-asthma cohort (PACMAN). Clinical variables were first condensed by factor analysis, followed by subsampled (10000x, proportion: 90%) partition-around-medoid clustering and stability testing by consensus distributions and Calinski & Harabasz index. Finally Classification and Regression Tree Analysis (CART) was applied to generate a prediction model. Results: 250 patients (147 male, 7.9 ±4.8 yrs) with a complete data set of 34 clinical variables were included generating 7 stable clusters (figure) with unique clinical characteristics. Clustering of the PACMAN cohort using the same variables and application of CART-model delivered 3 phenotypes, in agreement with the U-BIOPRED less severe phenotypes (P2,P3,P6). Conclusion: Unsupervised analysis based on clinical parameters revealed 7 stable clusters of paediatric asthma. Part of these clusters could be replicated in an external cohort, suggesting broad pathophysiological and clinical relevance.