1. Fiscal Multipliers in a Small Open Economy: The Case of Austria
- Author
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Jesus Crespo Cuaresma, Jan Capek, Philip Schuster, and Johannes Holler
- Subjects
Government spending ,Economics and Econometrics ,05 social sciences ,Small open economy ,Mean value ,Fiscal multiplier ,Magnitude (mathematics) ,Econometric model ,8. Economic growth ,0502 economics and business ,Value (economics) ,Econometrics ,Economics ,Multiplier (economics) ,050207 economics ,050205 econometrics - Abstract
We estimate fiscal multipliers for Austria in a framework of model uncertainty emanating from the choice of a particular econometric model. We present a comprehensive framework that allows to assess the effects of different multiplier definitions and choices related to the data, the model employed, and further technical choices associated with the specification of the model exert on fiscal multiplier estimates. The mean present-value government spending multiplier over all models entertained, based on around 3,000 estimates, is 0.68. Estimates of the peak spending multiplier for Austria tend to be larger than present-value spending multipliers, with a mean value of 0.85. The magnitude of the present-value tax multiplier is relatively high, with an average value across specifications of −1.12 and the mean peak tax multiplier is −0.54 for all specifications used.
- Published
- 2022