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Introduction: Poorly differentiated neuroendocrine carcinomas (NECs) are characterized by aggressive clinical course and poor prognosis. No reliable prognostic markers have been validated to date; thus, the definition of a specific NEC prognostic algorithm represents a clinical need. This study aimed to analyze a large NEC case series to validate the specific prognostic factors identified in previous studies on gastro-entero-pancreatic and lung NECs and to assess if further prognostic parameters can be isolated. Methods: A pooled analysis of four NEC retrospective studies was performed to evaluate the prognostic role of Ki-67 cut-off, the overall survival (OS) according to primary cancer site, and further prognostic parameters using multivariable Cox proportional hazards model and machine learning random survival forest (RSF). Results: 422 NECs were analyzed. The most represented tumor site was the colorectum (n = 156, 37%), followed by the lungs (n = 111, 26%), gastroesophageal site (n = 83, 20%; 66 gastric, 79%) and pancreas (n = 42, 10%). The Ki-67 index was the most relevant predictor, followed by morphology (pure or mixed/combined NECs), stage, and site. The predicted RSF response for survival at 1, 2, or 3 years showed decreasing survival with increasing Ki-67, pure NEC morphology, stage III–IV, and colorectal NEC disease. Patients with Ki-67 <55% and mixed/combined morphology had better survival than those with pure morphology. Morphology pure or mixed/combined became irrelevant in NEC survival when Ki-67 was ≥55%. The prognosis of metastatic patients who did not receive any treatment tended to be worse compared to that of the treated group. The prognostic impact of Rb1 immunolabeling appears to be limited when multiple risk factors are simultaneously assessed. Conclusion: The most effective parameters to predict OS for NEC patients could be Ki-67, pure or mixed/combined morphology, stage, and site. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Little information is available concerning prognostic factors for bronchopulmonary large cell neuroendocrine carcinomas (BP-LCNECs) and even less is known about combined LCNECs (Co-LCNECs). We investigated whether an integrated morphological, immunohistochemical, and molecular approach could be used for their prognostic evaluation. Methods: Morphological (including combined features), proliferative (mitotic count/Ki-67 index), immunohistochemical (napsin A, p40, TTF-1, CD44, OTP, SSTR2A, SSTR5, mASH1, p53, RB1, and MDM2), and genomic (TP53, RB1, ATM, JAK2, KRAS, and STK11) findings were analyzed in BP-LCNECs from 5 Italian centers, and correlated with overall survival (OS). The Ki-67 index was expressed as the percentage of positive cells in hot spots as indicated in the WHO 2019 Digestive System Tumors and, for Co-LCNECs, the Ki-67 index was evaluated only in the LCNEC component. Results: A total of 111 LCNECs were distinguished into 70 pure LCNECs, 35 Co-LCNECs (27 with adenocarcinoma [ADC] and 8 with squamous cell carcinoma [SqCC]), and 6 LCNECs with only napsin A immunoreactivity. The Ki-67 index cutoff at 55% evaluated in the neuroendocrine component was the most powerful predictor of OS (log-rank p = 0.0001) in all LCNECs; 34 cases had a Ki-67 index <55% (LCNEC-A) and 77 had a Ki-67 index ≥55% (LCNEC-B). Statistically significant differences in OS (log-rank p = 0.0001) were also observed between pure and Co-LCNECs. A significant difference in OS was found between pure LCNECs-A and Co-LCNECs-A (p < 0.05) but not between pure LCNECs-B and Co-LCNECs-B. Co-LCNEC-ADC and LCNEC napsin A+ cases had longer OS than pure LCNEC and Co-LCNEC-SqCC cases (log-rank p = 0.0001). On multivariable analysis, tumor location, pure versus combined features, and napsin A, but no single gene mutation, were significantly associated with OS after adjustment for Ki-67 index and study center (p < 0.05). Conclusions: The Ki-67 proliferation index and the morphological characterization of combined features in LCNECs seem to be important tools for predicting clinical outcome in BP-LCNECs. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: In gastroenteropancreatic (GEP) high-grade neuroendocrine neoplasms (H-NENs), Ki-67 threshold of 55% defines three prognosis subclasses: neuroendocrine tumor (NET) G3, neuroendocrine carcinoma (NEC) <55%, and NEC ≥55%. We investigated whether the molecular profiling of H-NENs differs among these subcategories and evaluated potential therapeutic targets, including PD-L1. Methods: In GEP-NEN patients, we evaluated: (i) 55% threshold for Ki-67 labeling index for further stratifying NEC and (ii) immunoreactivity and gene mutations by immunohistochemistry and targeted next-generation sequencing (T-NGS). Results: Fifteen NETs G3 and 39 NECs were identified. Ki-67 labeling index was <55% in 9 NECs and ≥55% in 30 NECs. Gene mutations by NGS (TP53, 32.9%; KRAS, 5.5%; BRAF, 4.1%) were detected in 46.6% NENs, significantly enriched in NEC ≥55% (76.7%) compared to NEC <55% (55.6%) or NET (20.0%). PD-L1 staining in tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes was observed in NEC ≥55% (36.7%; p = 0.03). Median OS was 4.3 years in NET G3, 1.8 years in NEC <55%, and 0.7 years in NEC ≥55% (p <0.0001); it was 2.3 years with NGS wild-type, 0.7 years with ≥1 mutation (p <0.0001), 0.8 years in PD-L1-positive patients, and 1.7 years in PD-L1-negative subjects (p = 0.0004). In multivariate analysis, only the proposed subclassification approach yielded statistically significant differences between groups (NEC <55% vs. NET G3, HR 14.1, 95% CI 2.2–89.8, p = 0.005; NEC ≥55% vs. NET G3, HR 25.8, 95% CI 3.9–169, p = 0.0007). Conclusions: These findings identify NEC ≥55% as a biologically and prognostically distinct subtype and pave the way for more personalized treatment. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]