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The Hikurangi subduction margin, New Zealand, has not produced large subduction earthquakes within the short written historic period (~180 years) and the potential of the plate interface to host large (M > 7) to great (M > 8) earthquakes and tsunamis is poorly constrained. The geological record of past subduction earthquakes offers a method for assessing the location, frequency and approximate magnitude of subduction earthquakes to underpin seismic and tsunami hazard assessments. We review evidence of Holocene coseismic coastal deformation and tsunamis at 22 locations along the margin. A consistent approach to radiocarbon age modelling is used and earthquake and tsunami evidence is ranked using a systematic assessment of the quality of age control and the certainty that the event in question is an earthquake. To identify possible subduction earthquakes, we use temporal correlation of earthquakes, combined with the type of earthquake evidence, likely primary fault source and the earthquake certainty ranking. We identify 10 past possible subduction earthquakes over the past 7000 years along the Hikurangi margin. The last subduction earthquake occurred at 520–470 years BP in the southern Hikurangi margin and the strongest evidence for a full margin rupture is at 870–815 years BP. There are no apparent persistent rupture patches, suggesting segmentation of the margin is not strong. In the southern margin, the type of geological deformation preserved generally matches that expected due to rupture of the interseismically locked portion of the subduction interface but the southern termination of past subduction ruptures remains unresolved. The pattern of geological deformation on the central margin suggests that the region of the interface that currently hosts slow slip events also undergoes rupture in large earthquakes, demonstrating different modes of slip behaviour occur on the central Hikurangi margin. Evidence for subduction earthquakes on the northern margin has not been identified because deformation signals from upper plate faults dominate the geological record. Large uncertainties remain in regard to evidence of past subduction earthquakes on the Hikurangi margin, with the greatest challenges presented by temporal correlation of earthquake evidence when working within the uncertainties of radiocarbon ages, and the presence of upper plate faults capable of producing deformation and tsunamis similar to that expected for subduction earthquakes. However, areas of priority research such as improving the paleotsunami record and integration of submarine turbidite records should produce significant advances in the future.

Determining the spatial and temporal deliveries of sediment from the Waipaoa River catchment in the post-glacial period is a major goal of integrated source-to-sink landscape evolution studies in the region. In a 2.2 km long section of the Waihuka tributary (217 km 2 ) of the Waipaoa River (2150 km 2 ) in eastern North Island, New Zealand, a sequence of at least ten fluvial terraces and abandoned meanders up to 45 m above the present river records rates and times of post-glacial downcutting. Dateable organic and tephra horizons in the terrace and meander infill stratigraphy indicate that downcutting at this location on the Waihuka tributary was dominated by a short-lived event in the early Holocene from 10–8 ka BP, when as much as half of the downcutting was accomplished in only 10–15% of post-glacial time. The large downcutting event is interpreted to record the passing of a succession of major knickpoints or a knickzone through this tributary. The initiation of knickpoint retreat in the catchment was primarily a consequence of reduction in sediment supply at the end of MIS 2. Based on the timing of rapid downcutting in the Waipaoa River mainstem, we estimate that the rate of knickpoint retreat along the Waihuka tributary was about 2 km/kyr. In the period before and after rapid downcutting in the Waihuka tributary, modest incision rates, averaging 1–2 mm/yr, probably represent the regional tectonic uplift rate.

One of the major environmental controls on sedimentary systems is tectonics, and thus in order to make quantitative explanations and predictions of the behaviour of sedimentary systems, it is important to quantify tectonic rates and mechanisms. In this study we show how a combined Holocene fluvial and marine terrace dataset can be used to place constraints on coastal uplift mechanisms at Pakarae River mouth, to the east of the Waipaoa sedimentary system. Mapping and surveying of fluvial terraces shows that the terraces can be divided into three sets, (i) PgT, a fill terrace formed during post-glacial sea level rise (~ 10000–7000 cal. yr BP), (ii) a sequence of post-7000 cal. yr BP degradation terraces, and (iii) historical (post ~ AD 1880) flood terraces. A conceptual model of terrace evolution proposes that coseismic uplift has resulted in the observed back-tilting, downstream divergence, and successive abandonment of tectonic terraces. Coastal uplift mechanisms are then examined by comparing the fluvial and marine terrace uplift distribution and the uplift-per-event from the marine terraces with those predicted by forward elastic dislocation models. The models agree with the interpretation that the terrace uplift can be explained by coseismic slip on a steeply west-dipping reverse fault located close to the shore, possibly in combination with rupture of the Hikurangi Margin subduction interface 10–24 km below. This study also provides insights into the tectonic drivers and impacts on the adjacent Waipaoa sedimentary system including: the possible role of subduction earthquakes, growth of structures on the shelf and upper slope, and the role that the interplay between sea level and tectonic controls has on sediment dispersal.