1. Effects of oral anticoagulation in people with atrial fibrillation after spontaneous intracranial haemorrhage (COCROACH): prospective, individual participant data meta-analysis of randomised trials.
- Author
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Al-Shahi Salman R, Stephen J, Tierney JF, Lewis SC, Newby DE, Parry-Jones AR, White PM, Connolly SJ, Benavente OR, Dowlatshahi D, Cordonnier C, Viscoli CM, Sheth KN, Kamel H, Veltkamp R, Larsen KT, Hofmeijer J, Kerkhoff H, Schreuder FHBM, Shoamanesh A, Klijn CJM, and van der Worp HB
- Subjects
- Humans, Prospective Studies, Intracranial Hemorrhages chemically induced, Anticoagulants adverse effects, Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic, Atrial Fibrillation complications, Atrial Fibrillation drug therapy, Stroke prevention & control
- Abstract
Background: The safety and efficacy of oral anticoagulation for prevention of major adverse cardiovascular events in people with atrial fibrillation and spontaneous intracranial haemorrhage are uncertain. We planned to estimate the effects of starting versus avoiding oral anticoagulation in people with spontaneous intracranial haemorrhage and atrial fibrillation., Methods: In this prospective meta-analysis, we searched bibliographic databases and trial registries using the strategies of a Cochrane systematic review (CD012144) on June 23, 2023. We included clinical trials if they were registered, randomised, and included participants with spontaneous intracranial haemorrhage and atrial fibrillation who were assigned to either start long-term use of any oral anticoagulant agent or avoid oral anticoagulation (ie, placebo, open control, another antithrombotic agent, or another intervention for the prevention of major adverse cardiovascular events). We assessed eligible trials using the Cochrane Risk of Bias tool. We sought data for individual participants who had not opted out of data sharing from chief investigators of completed trials, pending completion of ongoing trials in 2028. The primary outcome was any stroke or cardiovascular death. We used individual participant data to construct a Cox regression model of the time to the first occurrence of outcome events during follow-up in the intention-to-treat dataset supplied by each trial, followed by meta-analysis using a fixed-effect inverse-variance model to generate a pooled estimate of the hazard ratio (HR) with 95% CI. This study is registered with PROSPERO, CRD42021246133., Findings: We identified four eligible trials; three were restricted to participants with atrial fibrillation and intracranial haemorrhage (SoSTART [NCT03153150], with 203 participants) or intracerebral haemorrhage (APACHE-AF [NCT02565693], with 101 participants, and NASPAF-ICH [NCT02998905], with 30 participants), and one included a subgroup of participants with previous intracranial haemorrhage (ELDERCARE-AF [NCT02801669], with 80 participants). After excluding two participants who opted out of data sharing, we included 412 participants (310 [75%] aged 75 years or older, 249 [60%] with CHA
2 DS2 -VASc score ≤4, and 163 [40%] with CHA2 DS2 -VASc score >4). The intervention was a direct oral anticoagulant in 209 (99%) of 212 participants who were assigned to start oral anticoagulation, and the comparator was antiplatelet monotherapy in 67 (33%) of 200 participants assigned to avoid oral anticoagulation. The primary outcome of any stroke or cardiovascular death occurred in 29 (14%) of 212 participants who started oral anticoagulation versus 43 (22%) of 200 who avoided oral anticoagulation (pooled HR 0·68 [95% CI 0·42-1·10]; I2 =0%). Oral anticoagulation reduced the risk of ischaemic major adverse cardiovascular events (nine [4%] of 212 vs 38 [19%] of 200; pooled HR 0·27 [95% CI 0·13-0·56]; I2 =0%). There was no significant increase in haemorrhagic major adverse cardiovascular events (15 [7%] of 212 vs nine [5%] of 200; pooled HR 1·80 [95% CI 0·77-4·21]; I2 =0%), death from any cause (38 [18%] of 212 vs 29 [15%] of 200; 1·29 [0·78-2·11]; I2 =50%), or death or dependence after 1 year (78 [53%] of 147 vs 74 [51%] of 145; pooled odds ratio 1·12 [95% CI 0·70-1·79]; I2 =0%)., Interpretation: For people with atrial fibrillation and intracranial haemorrhage, oral anticoagulation had uncertain effects on the risk of any stroke or cardiovascular death (both overall and in subgroups), haemorrhagic major adverse cardiovascular events, and functional outcome. Oral anticoagulation reduced the risk of ischaemic major adverse cardiovascular events, which can inform clinical practice. These findings should encourage recruitment to, and completion of, ongoing trials., Funding: British Heart Foundation., Competing Interests: Declaration of interests SJC reports institutional funding from Daiichi Sankyo. CC reports funding from the French Ministry of Health, Novartis (advisory board), and Biogen, Bayer and Bristol Myers Squibb (BMS; steering committees). HK reports funding from the US National Institutes of Health (NIH) and National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke (NINDS; U01NS095869, R01HL144541, R01NS123576, and U01NS106513); funding from BMS-Pfizer Alliance; funding from Roche Diagnostics; being Deputy Editor for JAMA Neurology; participation on clinical trial steering or executive committees for Medtronic, Janssen, and Javelin Medical; participation on endpoint adjudication committees for AstraZeneca, Novo Nordisk, and Boehringer Ingelheim; and household ownership interests in TETMedical, Spectrum Plastics Group, and Burke Porter Group. CJMK and FHBMS report institutional funding from the Dutch Heart Foundation Clinical Established Investigator grant (2012T077) for APACHE-AF. DEN reports institutional funding from BMS and provision of a PET tracer from Life Molecular Imaging. APJ reports personal consulting fees and speaker fees from AstraZeneca. RA-SS reports institutional funding from the British Heart Foundation (CS/18/2/33719) for this work, institutional funding from the UK National Institute for Health and Care Research and The Stroke Association outside the submitted work, being Data Monitoring Committee chair for ELAN (NCT03148457), and consulting fees paid to the University of Edinburgh from Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Bioxodes, and Population Health Research Institute at McMaster University (Hamilton, ON, Canada). KS reports institutional funding from NIH NINDS (U01NS106513, U24NS129500, R01MD016178, R01EB31114, U24NS107215, R01NR018335, R01NS110721), American Heart Association, Hyperfine, Biogen, and Bard, and consulting fees from Astrocyte, Zoll and Sense (Data Safety and Monitoring Board), and CSL Behring. AS reports institutional funding from Heart and Stroke Foundation of Canada, Canadian Institutes of Health Research, NIH, Bayer, Daiichi Sankyo, and Servier Canada; consulting fees from Bayer, Daiichi Sankyo, Servier Canada, AstraZeneca, and Bioxodes; speaker fees from Bayer, Daiichi Sankyo, Servier Canada, and AstraZeneca; payment for expert testimony from Canadian Medical Protective Agency, support for meetings from Bayer, and Data Monitoring Committee membership for Bayer. HBvdW reports institutional funding from Stryker, Dutch Heart Foundation, and the EU, consulting fees from Bayer and TargED, and membership of the Executive Committee of the European Stroke Organisation. RV reports institutional funding from Bayer, BMS, Pfizer, Daiichi Sankyo, Boehringer, and Medtronic; consulting fees from AstraZeneca; speaker fees from BMS-Pfizer, Data Monitoring Committee participation for Bayer and Portola; stock options in Bayer and Novartis; materials from Medtronic; and chair of the World Stroke Organisation research committee. CV reports personal support from NIH NINDS (UO1NS106513). PMW reports institutional funding from Stryker, Medtronic, and Penumbra, and Data Monitoring Committee membership for PROTECT-U, TENSION, and MR CLEAN NO IV. All other authors declare no competing interests., (Copyright © 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)- Published
- 2023
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