Search

Baseline kidney function following kidney transplantation is often used in research and clinical decision-making yet is not well defined. Here, a method to determine baseline function was proposed and validated on three single-center retrospective cohorts consisting of 922 patients from Belgium (main cohort) and two validation cohorts of 987 patients from the Netherlands and 519 patients from Germany. For each transplant, a segmented regression model was fitted on the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) evolution during the first-year post-transplantation. This yielded estimates for change point timing, rate of eGFR change before and after change point and eGFR value at change point, now considered the "baseline function". Associations of eGFR evolution with recipient/donor characteristics and the graft failure rate were assessed with linear regression and Cox regression respectively. The change point occurred on average at an eGFR value of 43.7±14.6 mL/min/1.73m 2 , at a median time of 6.5 days post-transplantation. Despite significant associations with several baseline donor-recipient characteristics (particularly, donor type; living vs deceased), the predictive value of these characteristics for eGFR value and timing of the change point was limited. This followed from a large heterogeneity within eGFR trajectories, which in turn indicated that favorable levels of kidney function could be reached despite a suboptimal initial evolution. Segmented regression consistently provided a good fit to early eGFR evolution, and its estimate of the change point can be a useful reference value in future analyses. Thus, our study shows that baseline kidney function after transplantation is heterogeneous and partly related to pretransplant donor characteristics., (Copyright © 2024 International Society of Nephrology. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Systematic screening for BKPyV-DNAemia has been advocated to aid prevention and treatment of polyomavirus associated nephropathy (PyVAN), an important cause of kidney graft failure. The added value of performing a biopsy at time of BKPyV-DNAemia, to distinguish presumptive PyVAN (negative SV40 immunohistochemistry) and proven PyVAN (positive SV40) has not been established. Therefore, we studied an unselected cohort of 950 transplantations, performed between 2008-2017. BKPyV-DNAemia was detected in 250 (26.3%) transplant recipients, and positive SV40 in 91 cases (9.6%). Among 209 patients with a concurrent biopsy at time of first BKPyV-DNAemia, 60 (28.7%) biopsies were SV40 positive. Plasma viral load showed high diagnostic value for concurrent SV40 positivity (ROC-AUC 0.950, 95% confidence interval 0.916-0.978) and the semiquantitatively scored percentage of tubules with evidence of polyomavirus replication (pvl score) (0.979, 0.968-0.988). SV40 positivity was highly unlikely when plasma viral load is below 4 log 10 copies/ml (negative predictive value 0.989, 0.979-0.994). In SV40 positive patients, higher plasma BKPyV-DNA load and higher pvl scores were associated with slower viral clearance from the blood (hazard ratio 0.712, 95% confidence interval 0.604-0.839, and 0.327, 0.161-0.668, respectively), whereas the dichotomy positivity/negativity of SV40 immunohistochemistry did not predict viral clearance. Although the pvl score offers some prognostic value for viral clearance on top of plasma viral load, the latter provided good guidance for when a biopsy was unnecessary to exclude PyVAN. Thus, the distinction between presumptive and proven PyVAN, based on SV40 immunohistochemistry, has limited clinical value. Hence, management of BKPyV-DNAemia and immunosuppression reduction should be weighed against the risk of occurrence of rejection, or exacerbation of rejection observed concomitantly., (Copyright © 2023 International Society of Nephrology. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Transplant glomerulopathy is established as a hallmark of chronic antibody-mediated rejection in kidney transplant patients with donor-specific HLA antibodies (HLA-DSA). The clinical importance of transplant glomerulopathy in the absence of HLA-DSA is not well established. To help define this, 954 patients (encompassing 3744 biopsies) who underwent kidney transplantation 2004-2013 were studied with retrospective high-resolution HLA genotyping of both donors and recipients. The risk factors, histopathological appearance and prognosis of cases with transplant glomerulopathy in the absence of HLA-DSA were compared to those cases with HLA-DSA, and the impact of the PIRCHE-II score and eplet mismatches on development of transplant glomerulopathy evaluated. In this cohort, 10.3% developed transplant glomerulopathy, on average 3.2 years post-transplant. At the time of glomerulopathy, 23.5% had persistent pre-transplant or de novo HLA-DSA, while 76.5% were HLA-DSA negative. Only HLA-DSA was identified as a risk factor for glomerulopathy development as eplet mismatches and the PIRCHE-II score did not associate. HLA-DSA negative biopsies with glomerulopathy had less interstitial inflammation, less glomerulitis, and less C4d deposition in the peritubular capillaries compared to the HLA-DSA positive biopsies with glomerulopathy. While graft function was comparable between the two groups, HLA-DSA positive glomerulopathy was associated with a significantly higher risk of graft failure compared to HLA-DSA negative glomerulopathy (Hazard Ratio 3.84; 95% confidence interval 1.94-7.59). Landmark analysis three-years post-transplant showed that HLA-DSA negative patients with glomerulopathy still had a significant increased risk of graft failure compared to patients negative for glomerulopathy (2.62; 1.46-4.72). Thus, transplant glomerulopathy often occurs in the absence of HLA-DSA, independent of HLA molecular mismatches, and represents a different phenotype with less concomitant inflammation and better graft survival compared to that developed in the presence of HLA-DSA., (Copyright © 2021 International Society of Nephrology. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

The evolution of kidney allograft survival remains insufficiently studied in the context of the changing donor and recipient demographics. Since European data are lacking we performed a cohort study (1986-2015) that, based on the Collaborative Transplant Study, included 108 787 recipients of brain-death kidney donors in 135 hospitals across 21 European countries. We analyzed the hazard rate of kidney failure after transplantation. Between 1986 and 1999, improvement in graft survival was more pronounced in the short term than in the long term: one-, five- and ten-year hazard rates after transplantation declined 64% (95% confidence interval, 61%-66%), 53% (49%-57%) and 45% (39%-50%), respectively. Between 2000 and 2015, hazard rates at one, five and ten years post-transplant declined respectively 22% (12-30%), 47% (36-56%) and 64% (45-76%). Improvement in graft survival in the first five years post-transplant was significantly less since 2000, while improvement after five years was comparable to before. During the 2000-2015 period improvement of graft survival was greater in the long than in the short term. These changes were independent of changing donor and recipient characteristics, and reflect the evolution in global kidney transplant management over the past decades. Unfortunately, after accounting for the evolution of donor and recipient characteristics, we found that short-term improvement in graft survival decreased since 2000, while long-term improvement remained unchanged in Europe. Thus, deceleration of short-term graft survival improvement in more recent years illustrates an unmet need for innovation., (Copyright © 2018 International Society of Nephrology. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)