1. Assessment of Serum microRNA Biomarkers to Predict Reclassification of Prostate Cancer in Patients on Active Surveillance
- Author
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Laurence Klotz, Neil Fleshner, Fang Zhao, Renu Jeyapala, Danny Vesprini, Ekaterina Olkhov-Mitsel, Andrew Loblaw, Bharati Bapat, Richard S.C. Liu, Kristina Commisso, and Stanley K. Liu
- Subjects
Male ,Oncology ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Biopsy ,Urology ,medicine.medical_treatment ,030232 urology & nephrology ,Logistic regression ,Gleason Score 6 ,03 medical and health sciences ,Prostate cancer ,0302 clinical medicine ,Predictive Value of Tests ,Internal medicine ,Biomarkers, Tumor ,medicine ,Humans ,In patient ,Circulating MicroRNA ,Prospective Studies ,Watchful Waiting ,Serum microrna ,Aged ,Retrospective Studies ,Aged, 80 and over ,business.industry ,Prostate ,Prostatic Neoplasms ,Middle Aged ,medicine.disease ,Prostate-specific antigen ,ROC Curve ,030220 oncology & carcinogenesis ,Predictive value of tests ,Disease Progression ,Feasibility Studies ,Neoplasm Grading ,business ,Watchful waiting - Abstract
Conventional clinical variables cannot accurately differentiate indolent from aggressive prostate cancer in patients on active surveillance. We investigated promising circulating miRNA biomarkers to predict the reclassification of active surveillance cases.We collected serum samples from 2 independent active surveillance cohorts of 196 and 133 patients for the training and validation, respectively, of candidate miRNAs. All patients were treatment naïve and diagnosed with Gleason score 6 prostate cancer. Samples were collected prior to potential reclassification. We analyzed 9 circulating miRNAs previously shown to be associated with prostate cancer progression. Logistic regression and ROC analyses were performed to assess the predictive ability of miRNAs and clinical variables.A 3-miR (miRNA-223, miRNA-24 and miRNA-375) score was significant to predict patient reclassification (training OR 2.72, 95% CI 1.50-4.94 and validation OR 3.70, 95% CI 1.29-10.6). It was independent of clinical characteristics in multivariable models. The ROC AUC was maximized when combining the 3-miR score and prostate specific antigen, indicating additive predictive value. The 3-miR score plus the prostate specific antigen panel cutoff achieved 89% to 90% negative predictive value and 66% to 81% specificity.The 3-miR score combined with prostate specific antigen represents a noninvasive biomarker panel with high negative predictive value. It may be used to identify patients on active surveillance who have truly indolent prostate cancer.
- Published
- 2018