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Congestion has become highly recognized as a worldwide traffic problem, as traffic demand has grown steadily over the past few decades. Variable speed limits (VSLs) are an intelligent transportation system (ITS) measure that limits mainline flow to mitigate bottleneck congestion. Currently, VSLs have become proactive based on short-term prediction. Proactive VSLs succeed in simulation evaluations, but few have been deployed in the field and their real-world effectiveness has not been proven. Various factors may lead to this limitation, such as the absence of reliable field application software, accuracy of prediction models, and high computation time for proactive control. To address this research gap, this study reports a preliminary VSL test and details its implementation results on Whitemud Drive, Edmonton, Canada. First, based on field traffic measurements before VSL control, recurrent bottleneck locations are identified. Second, the proactive control algorithm is briefly introduced. Then, a software application is designed to realize all necessary functions for VSL field implementation.With all these in hand, the preliminary field test was conducted and the VSL control performance and reliability are evaluated. Finally, the results for before and after VSL control implementation are analyzed in depth. The analysis compares average traffic speed, standard deviation of speed, total travel time, and total travel distance. The results from this study confirm that proactive VSL can relieve recurrent traffic congestion effectively. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Conditions at a freeway bottleneck are predicted with a two-dimensional stochastic differential equation (SDE) model of flow and speed. Stochastic behavior is assumed to be standard Brownian motion. To fully describe conditions observed in the field, it is necessary to couple the SDE model with a stochastic capacity model, thus forming a stochastic capacity-differential equation (SCDE) model. The model contains mechanisms to (1) trigger a breakdown event when the traffic flow reaches or exceeds the freeway capacity, and (2) identify when recovery takes place. Measures of freeway performance are derived from SCDE model predictions. They include breakdown probability, expressed as a function of traffic flow and time-of-day, and recovery time, i.e., the length of time the freeway remains in a congested state before returning to a free-flow state. To achieve dependable model forecasts, it is necessary to impose constraints when fitting the stochastic capacity model. The constraint condition consists of matching the breakdown and prebreakdown flow distributions derived from field data and stochastic capacity model forecasts. Sensitivity analyses are performed to test validity of the model-fitting procedure and to test the dependability of the SCDE model forecasts. An empirical study of recurrent workday freeway congestion on I-93 in Salem, NH is used to demonstrate the approach. The approach demonstrates the need to treat breakdown as a random process. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]