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Objectives: The aim of this study was to project clinical outcomes, health care costs, and cost-effectiveness of coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA), as compared with conventional diagnostic technologies, in the evaluation of patients with stable chest pain and suspected coronary artery disease (CAD)., Background: CCTA has recently been found to be effective in the evaluation of patients with suspected CAD, but investigators have raised concerns related to radiation exposure, incidental findings, and nondiagnostic exams., Methods: With published data, we developed a computer simulation model to project clinical outcomes, health care costs, and cost-effectiveness of CCTA, compared with conventional testing modalities, in the diagnosis of CAD. Our target population included 55-year-old patients who present to their primary care physicians with stable chest pain., Results: All diagnostic strategies yielded similar health outcomes, but performing CCTA-with or without stress testing or performing stress single-photon emission computed tomography-marginally minimized adverse events and maximized longevity and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). Health outcomes associated with these strategies were comparable, with CCTA in men and women yielding the greatest QALYs but only by modest margins. Overall differences were small, and performing the most effective test-compared with the least effective-decreased adverse event rates by 3% in men and women. Comparable increases in longevity and QALYs were 2 months and 0.1 QALYs in men and 1 month and 0.03 QALYs in women. CCTA raised overall costs, partly through the follow-up of incidental findings, and when performed with stress testing, its incremental cost-effectiveness ratio ranged from $26,200/QALY in men to $35,000/QALY in women. Health outcomes were marginally less favorable in women when radiation risks were considered., Conclusions: CCTA is comparable to other diagnostic studies and might hold good clinical value, but large randomized controlled trials are needed to guide policy.

Objectives: We sought to evaluate the prognostic and cost implications of stress myocardial perfusion single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT), or MPS, in patients with a high pretest likelihood (>0.85) of coronary artery disease (CAD) with no previous CAD., Background: Sparse data are available regarding the prognostic performance characteristics of MPS in this patient group., Method: We followed up 1,270 consecutive patients with no previous revascularization or myocardial infarction (MI), with a pre-exercise tolerance test (ETT) likelihood of CAD > or =0.85, who underwent exercise or adenosine stress MPS (follow-up 94.4% complete; 2.2 +/- 1.2 years; 60 hard events [5.9%, 2.6%/year]). Risk adjustment of survival data was done using Cox proportional hazards analysis. Costs per reclassification of risk were calculated using assumed costs and threshold analyses., Results: In patients treated medically after MPS, normal MPS had a low risk of cardiac death and hard events (0.6% and 1.3% per year, respectively). With increasing extent and severity of MPS defects, the risk of both cardiac death and hard events increased significantly (p < 0.05). Cox models indicated that the addition of MPS data resulted in incremental prognostic value over pre-MPS data (chi-square increase 48 to 87, p < 0.0001). Compared with strategies of initial referral to ETT in patients able to exercise, initial referral to MPS appeared to be a more cost-effective strategy. Similarly, compared with a strategy of direct referral to catheterization in patients with a high likelihood of CAD, initial referral to MPS is a cost-saving approach., Conclusions: In patients with a high likelihood of CAD but without known CAD, stress MPS yields incremental value and achieves risk stratification in a cost-effective manner. The current results support a strategy of initial stress imaging in this patient cohort, as a reasonable alternative to direct referral to catheterization or initial ETT.

Objectives: The present study sought to determine the value of fractional flow reserve (FFR) compared with stress perfusion scintigraphy (SPS) in patients with recent unstable angina/non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (UA/NSTEMI)., Background: Fractional flow reserve, an invasive index of stenosis severity, is a reliable surrogate for SPS in patients with normal left ventricular function. An FFR > or = 0.75 can distinguish patients after myocardial infarction (MI) with a positive SPS from those with a negative SPS. However, the use of FFR has not been investigated after UA/NSTEMI., Methods: Seventy patients who had recent UA/NSTEMI and an intermediate single-vessel stenosis were randomized to either SPS (n = 35) or FFR (n = 35). Patients in the SPS group were discharged if the SPS revealed no ischemia, whereas those in the FFR group were discharged if the FFR was > or = 0.75. Patients with a positive SPS and those with an FFR <0.75 underwent percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty. The use of FFR markedly reduced the duration and cost of hospitalization compared with SPS (11 +/- 2 h vs. 49 +/- 5 h [-77%], p < 0.001; and 1,329 US dollars +/- 44 US dollars vs. 2,113 US dollars +/- 120 US dollars, respectively, p < 0.05). There were no significant differences in procedure time, radiation exposure time, or event rates during follow-up, including death, MI, or revascularization., Conclusions: These data indicate that: 1) the use of FFR in patients with recent UA/NSTEMI markedly reduces the duration and cost of hospitalization compared with SPS; and 2) these benefits are not associated with an increase in procedure time, radiation exposure time, or clinical event rates.

Objectives: The study aim was to determine observational differences in costs of care by the coronary disease diagnostic test modality., Background: A number of diagnostic strategies are available with few data to compare the cost implications of the initial test choice., Methods: We prospectively enrolled 11,372 consecutive stable angina patients who were referred for stress myocardial perfusion tomography or cardiac catheterization. Stress imaging patients were matched by their pretest clinical risk of coronary disease to a series of patients referred to cardiac catheterization. Composite 3-year costs of care were compared for two patients management strategies: 1) direct cardiac catheterization (aggressive) and 2) initial stress myocardial perfusion tomography and selective catheterization of high risk patients (conservative). Analysis of variance techniques were used to compare costs, adjusting for treatment propensity and pretest risk., Results: Observational comparisons of aggressive as compared with conservative testing strategies reveal that costs of care were higher for direct cardiac catheterization in all clinical risk subsets (range: $2,878 to $4,579), as compared with stress myocardial perfusion imaging plus selective catheterization (range: $2,387 to $3,010, p < 0.0001). Coronary revascularization rates were higher for low, intermediate and high risk direct catheterization patients as compared with the initial stress perfusion imaging cohort (13% to 50%, p < 0.0001); cardiac death or myocardial infarction rates were similar (p > 0.20)., Conclusions: Observational assessments reveal that stable chest pain patients who undergo a more aggressive diagnostic strategy have higher diagnostic costs and greater rates of intervention and follow-up costs. Cost differences may reflect a diminished necessity for resource consumption for patients with normal test results.

Objectives: The purpose of this study was to determine if electron beam computed tomography (EBCT) has potential as a cost-effective approach to diagnosis of obstructive coronary disease., Background: Coronary calcification quantified by EBCT is closely related to the extent of atherosclerosis., Methods: A model based upon published sensitivities (Se)/specificities (Sp) for diagnosis in an ambulatory patient of obstructive coronary disease (> or =50% stenosis) and population prevalence was tested for angiography alone, or treadmill exercise, stress echocardiography, stress thallium or predetermined EBCT calcium score outpoints, followed by angiography if indicated., Results: Total direct testing costs increased in proportion to disease prevalence whereas cost-effectiveness, direct costs/patient diagnosed correctly with disease, decreased as a function of prevalence. Using an EBCT calcium score of 168 (Se/Sp = 71%/90%) provided for the least costly and most cost-effective noninvasive pathway. Calcium scores of 80 (Se/Sp = 84%/84%) and 37 (Se/Sp = 90%/77%) were also cost-effective when prevalence of disease was < or =70%; but results for a >0 calcium score (Se/Sp = 95%/46%) cutpoint were not superior to conventional methods. Calcium score cutpoints of 37, 80 or 168 provided similar or superior overall negative and positive predictive values to conventional noninvasive testing pathways across all prevalence subgroups., Conclusions: In ambulatory patients evaluated for obstructive coronary disease, a testing pathway utilizing quantification of coronary calcium by EBCT as an initial noninvasive testing approach minimized direct costs, and maximized cost-effectiveness in population groups with low/ moderate disease prevalence (< or =70%); as expected, direct angiography as the first and only test proved most cost-effective in patients with a high prevalence (>70%) of disease.

Objectives: This study assessed the incremental prognostic implications of normal and equivocal exercise technetium-99m (Tc-99m) sestamibi single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) and sought to determine its incremental prognostic value, impact on patient management and cost implications., Background: The prognostic implications of Tc-99m sestamibi SPECT are not well defined, and risk stratification using this test has not been explored., Methods: We studied 1,702 patients referred for exercise Tc-99m sestamibi SPECT who were followed up for a mean (+/- SD) of 20 +/- 5 months. Patients with previous percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty or coronary artery bypass surgery were excluded. The SPECT studies were assessed using semiquantitative visual analysis. Cardiac death and myocardial infarction were considered "hard" events, and coronary angioplasty and bypass surgery > 60 days after testing were considered "soft" events., Results: Of the 1,702 patients studied, 1,131 had normal or equivocal scan results. A total of 10 events occurred in this group (1 cardiac death and 1 myocardial infarction [0.2% hard events]; 4 coronary angioplasty and 4 bypass surgery procedures [0.7% soft events]). The rates of hard events and referral to catheterization after SPECT were similarly low in patients with a low (< 0.15), intermediate (0.15 to 0.85) and high (> 0.85) post-exercise treadmill test (ETT) likelihood of coronary artery disease. With respect to scan type, patients with normal, probably normal or equivocal scan results had similarly low hard event rates. In the 571 patients with abnormal scan results, there were 43 hard events (7.5%) and 42 soft events (7.4%) (p < 0.001 vs. 1,131 patients with normal scan results for both). When the complete spectrum of scan responses was considered, SPECT provided incremental prognostic value in all patient subgroups analyzed. However, the nuclear scan was cost-effective only in patients with interpretable exercise ECG responses and an intermediate to high post-ETT likelihood of coronary artery disease and in those with uninterpretable exercise ECG responses and an intermediate to high pre-ETT likelihood of coronary artery disease., Conclusions: Normal or equivocal exercise Tc-99m sestamibi study results are associated with a benign prognosis, even in patients with a high likelihood of coronary artery disease. Although incremental prognostic value is added by nuclear testing in all patient subgroups, a testing strategy incorporating nuclear testing proved to be cost-effective only in the groups with an intermediate to high likelihood of coronary artery disease before scanning.

Objectives: This study compared the accuracy and cost implications of using exercise echocardiography and exercise electrocardiography for detection of coronary artery disease in women., Background: The specificity of exercise electrocardiography in women is lower than in men. Exercise echocardiography accurately identifies coronary artery disease in women, but its utility in place of exercise electrocardiography is unclear., Methods: One hundred sixty-one women without a previous Q wave infarction underwent exercise echocardiography and coronary angiography. Positive findings were a new or worsening wall motion abnormality on the exercise echocardiogram and ST segment depression > 0.1 mV at 0.08 s after the J point on the exercise electrocardiogram (ECG)., Results: Coronary artery stenosis > 50% diameter narrowing was present in 59 patients; the sensitivity (mean +/- SD) of exercise echocardiography was 80 +/- 3%. In 48 patients with an interpretable ECG, the sensitivity of exercise echocardiography was 81 +/- 4%, and that of the exercise ECG was 77 +/- 3% (p = 0.50). In 102 patients without coronary artery disease, the overall specificity of exercise echocardiography was 81 +/- 4%. In 70 patients with an interpretable ECG, the specificity of exercise echocardiography (80 +/- 3%) exceeded that of the exercise ECG (56 +/- 4%, p < 0.0004). The accuracy of exercise echocardiography was also greater than exercise electrocardiography (81 +/- 5% vs. 64 +/- 6%, p < 0.005). Exercise echocardiography stratified significantly more patients of intermediate (20% to 80%) pretest disease probability into the high (> 80%) or low (< 20%) posttest probability group. In women without a previous exercise ECG, the specificity of exercise echocardiography continued to exceed that of exercise electrocardiography (80 +/- 3% vs. 64 +/- 3%, p = 0.05). Exercise echocardiography had the best balance between accuracy and cost for the diagnosis of coronary artery disease in women., Conclusions: Exercise echocardiography is more specific than exercise electrocardiography for diagnosis of coronary artery disease in women and is a cost-effective approach to the diagnosis of coronary artery disease because of the avoidance of inappropriate angiography.

Quantitative decision analyses provide a means whereby the effectiveness, in terms of patient outcome, and costs of diverse clinical approaches to the care of patients with cardiovascular disease can be made explicit and understandable. Increasingly, the profession is being required to justify the costs of clinical care to society, government and third party payers. Such justifications can be effectively presented when structured in decision analytic format. To demonstrate the utility of decision analysis and its extension--cost-effectiveness analysis--as a technique for presenting the rationale for clinical practices and technology utilization, the Cardiovascular Norms Committee of the American College of Cardiology sponsored a model cost-effectiveness analysis. Alternative management options, 6 month mortality and costs for the post-myocardial infarction patient were compared. The options included exercise electrocardiography, exercise thallium scintigraphy and coronary angiography, followed by coronary artery bypass surgery for patients with left main coronary disease only or patients with left main disease, three vessel disease or single or double vessel disease and a significant amount of myocardium in jeopardy. Within the constraints of the model, proceeding directly to angiography for risk stratification was the most effective approach, lowering expected mortality from 8% to approximately 3%. The marginal costs for this strategy, however, were high. The most cost-effective approach was to screen patients initially with exercise electrocardiography.