Munoz, Miranda, Byung-Mo Oh, Zhensheng Wang, Conley, Yvette, Failla, Michelle, Kumar, Raj, and Wagner, Amy
Distinct regulatory signaling mechanisms exist between cortisol and brain derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF), and both acute cerebral spinal fluid (CSF) cortisol and BDNF can predict TBI outcome. We investigated concurrent CSF BDNF relationships with CSF cortisol in 92 patients week-1 after severe traumatic brain injury (sTBI). BDNF genetics and age were assessed for relationships with 6-month mortality. We hypothesized cortisol would mediate BDNF effects on 6-month mortality when also considering age and BDNF genetics. We also hypothesized BDNF genetics would moderate relationships between CSF BDNF and cortisol levels. BDNF variants, rs6265 and rs7124442, were used to create a gene risk score (GRS) in reference to "younger patients" ( < 48 years old). GRS = 0 was hypothesized as the no-risk group (Val/Val, T/T), GRS = 1 included carriers for one risk-allele (Val/Val, C-carrier or T/T, Met-carrier), and GRS = 2 included carriers of both risk-alleles (Met-carrier, C-carrier). Group based trajectory analysis was used to create patient cortisol groupings, and spline analysis was used to identify the 80th percentile as an appropriate cut-point for high vs. low BDNF levels. CSF BDNF predicted patient cortisol trajectory grouping (p = 0.041) when controlling for age and injury severity. Additionally, cortisol grouping predicted 6-month mortality (p = 0.020), when controlling for age, injury severity and genetics. In mediation analysis, the direct effect of BDNF predicting mortality, when controlling for cortisol trajectory grouping, was not significant. However, the total BDNF effect predicting mortality, with cortisol acting as the mediator, was significant (p = 0.040), yielding a mediation percentage of 20.30%. Also, BDNF was associated with cortisol trajectory grouping among patients with a BDNF GRS = 1 or GRS = 2 (p = 0.026). A BDNF*GRS interaction predicted mortality in younger subjects when controlling for cortisol trajectory grouping, GCS, and GRS (p = 0.018). Thus, we conclude that 6-month mortality after sTBI can be predicted through a mediation model with CSF cortisol and BDNF while also considering age and BDNF genetics. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]