1. On the Determinants of Net Foreign Investment.
- Author
-
STULZ, RENÉ M.
- Subjects
FOREIGN investments ,ECONOMETRIC models ,EXPECTED returns ,RATE of return ,FOREIGN source income ,RISK assessment ,EXPECTED utility ,INTERNATIONAL economic relations ,CAPITAL movements ,INTERNATIONAL markets ,INTERNATIONAL finance ,EDUCATION ,ACCOUNTING - Abstract
This paper presents a simple model of net foreign investment. It is shown that an increase in the expected return of investments in the foreign technology decreases net foreign investment in the domestic country, whereas an increase in the variance of the return of investments in the foreign technology increases net foreign investment in the domestic country. An increase in foreign wealth accompanied by an equivalent decrease in domestic wealth is shown to increase net foreign investment in the domestic country. Finally, it is shown that an increase in the risk tolerance coefficient of the domestic investor has, to a first approximation, no effect on net foreign investment in the domestic country. A closed-form solution is given for the case in which all investors have a logarithmic utility function and is used to derive the dynamics of net foreign investment. One direction in which the present model could be extended consists in taking into account the fact that it is harder for domestic investors to enforce property rights abroad than at home. If property rights cannot be enforced abroad by domestic investors and at home by foreign investors, net foreign investment is always equal to zero, even though gross foreign investment differs from zero. Whereas the differential cost of enforcing property rights at home and abroad for domestic investors creates incentives for foreign investors to take actions which reduce the value of the net investment abroad by domestic investors, domestic investors can impose substantial penalties on foreign investors if they engage in confiscatory actions. The suggested extension of the analysis involves the development of a concept of equilibrium that accounts for the dependence of the actions of domestic investors on what they believe foreign investors will do. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 1983
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