Search

The Budyko-based elasticity method has been widely employed to clarify the driving factors behind runoff changes. However, different formulations of the Budyko framework could produce biases in the elasticity analysis and the assessment errors induced from different formulations of the Budyko framework in the elasticity method remain unclear. Here, we attempt to address this issue by validating the performance of elasticity methods derived from two analytical Budyko equations (Fu's equation and Choudhury's equation), as well as one empirical Budyko equation (Wang-Tang's equation) of the Budyko framework across 22 basins in China. Validations show that the runoff change simulated by the elasticity method derived from the empirical equation has lower errors compared with the two analytical Budyko equations. Results reveal that in the semi-humid environment, the alteration of basin characteristics takes the main responsibility for the runoff change. However, a clear divergence was found in simulated runoff changes among different Budyko-based elasticity methods in humid basins. For parts of the humid basin, the precipitation is the main driver of runoff change from the analytical Budyko-based elasticity methods, while the alteration of basin characteristics is the main derive of the runoff changes according to based on the empirical Budyko-based elasticity method. This difference could be attributed to the variations in the simulated contributions from the alteration of basin characteristics on runoff changes. Generally, our results highlight the importance of validating different Budyko equations when applying the elasticity method to investigate the driver of the runoff changes in humid regions. • Analytical Budyko-based elasticity methods overestimate runoff changes in wet and dry basins compared to empirical solutions. • A divergence was found from the attribution analysis of runoff change among Budyko-based elasticity methods in humid regions. • This divergence could be attributed to the variations in the effects of the basin characteristics on runoff changes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Compound Drought and Saltwater intrusion Events (CDSEs) refer to hydrologic drought and saltwater intrusion occurring simultaneously or consecutively in estuaries, and exacerbate the negative impacts resulting from an individual extreme event. CDSEs have been drawing increasing attention due to their potential adverse impacts on water resources, crop production, and food security. A new Standardized compound Drought and Saltwater intrusion Index (SDSI) was developed in this study to systematically detect changes in the severity of CDSEs in six estuaries (Little Back, Ebro, Rhine, Orange, Pearl River and Murray). The results illustrated that (1) compared to the Standardized Runoff Index (SRI), SDSI effectively characterizes and quantifies the occurrences and severity of CDSEs in major river estuaries worldwide. (2) Temporally, the SDSI trend varied across estuaries. Specifically, a decreasing trend was observed in the Little Back, Ebro, and Orange estuaries, with corresponding Zs values of −2.43, −3.63, and −3.23. (3) Spatially, moderate CDSEs occurred more frequently among different estuaries, and their frequency, duration and severity varied in different estuaries. Notably, Ebro, Rhine and Murray River estuaries had the highest probability of CDSEs, nearing 60%. Among them, the Murray Estuary had the longest average duration, spanning 7.68 months, and the highest severity was 5.94. (4) According to the contributions analysis, saltwater intrusion plays a dominant role in influencing SDSI severity, accounting for a substantial percentage (54%–95.30%) compared to runoff. Notably, the Orange Estuary experienced the greatest impact from saltwater intrusion (81.54%–95.30%), while the Murray Estuary had relatively equal contributions from hydrological drought and saltwater intrusion. • The simultaneous occurrence of hydrological droughts and saltwater intrusion is considered. • The Little Back, Ebro and Orange estuaries exhibit a significant decreasing trend in SDSI. • Moderate compound drought and saltwater intrusion events occurred more frequently among different estuaries. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]