1. Speculation, money supply and price indeterminacy in financial markets: An experimental study
- Author
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Thomas Stöckl, Shinichi Hirota, Juergen Huber, and Shyam Sunder
- Subjects
Organizational Behavior and Human Resource Management ,Economics and Econometrics ,Rational expectations ,050208 finance ,05 social sciences ,Financial market ,Money supply ,Monetary economics ,Maturity (finance) ,Experimental finance ,0502 economics and business ,Economics ,Dividend ,Asset (economics) ,050207 economics ,Speculation - Abstract
To explore how speculative trading influences prices in financial markets, we conduct a laboratory market experiment with speculating investors (who do not collect dividends and trade only for capital gains) and dividend-collecting investors. Moreover, we operate markets at two different levels of money supply. We find that in phases with only speculating investors present (i) price deviations from fundamentals are larger; (ii) prices are more volatile; (iii) mispricing increases with the number of transfers until maturity; and (iv) speculative trading pushes prices upward (downward) when the supply of money is high (low). These results suggest that controlling the money supply can help to stabilize asset prices.
- Published
- 2022