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Examines the problem of uncertainty and its effects upon the decision making processes of top-level politicians. Analysis of the Middle East Peace Process; Exploration on the handling of uncertainty in statecraft; Assessment of the uncertainties of the peace process; Approaches that may be used to improve statecraft as prudent risk taking.

Presents challenges and opportunities for crises. Fusion between crises and opportunities demonstrated by the Bosnian crisis as of March 1993; Illustration of the dual nature of crises as opportunities and of missed opportunities as crises; Relationship between politics and policy.