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1. Impact of cirrhosis aetiology on incidence and prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma diagnosed during surveillance

Author

Nathalie Ganne-Carrié, Pierre Nahon, Cendrine Chaffaut, Gisèle N’Kontchou, Richard Layese, Etienne Audureau, Sylvie Chevret, Isabelle Archambeaud, Louis d’Alteroche, Frédéric Oberti, Dominique Roulot, Christophe Moreno, Alexandre Louvet, Thông Dao, Romain Moirand, Odile Goria, Eric Nguyen-Khac, Nicolas Carbonell, Jean-Charles Duclos-Vallée, Stanislas Pol, Victor de Ledinghen, Violaine Ozenne, Jean Henrion, Jean-Marie Péron, Albert Tran, Gabriel Perlemuter, Xavier Amiot, Jean-Pierre Zarski, Tarik Asselah, Dominique Guyader, Hélène Fontaine, Georges-Philippe Pageaux, Victor De Lédinghen, Denis Ouzan, Fabien Zoulim, Jean-Pierre Bronowicki, Thomas Decaens, Ghassan Riachi, Paul Calès, Laurent Alric, Marc Bourlière, Philippe Mathurin, Sebastien Dharancy, Jean-Frédéric Blanc, Armand Abergel, Olivier Chazouillères, Ariane Mallat, Jean-Didier Grangé, Pierre Attali, Claire Wartelle, Dominique Thabut, Christophe Pilette, Christine Silvain, Christos Christidis, Brigitte Bernard-Chabert, Sophie Hillaire, and Vincent Di Martino

Subjects
alcoholic liver disease, cirrhosis, primary liver cancer, competing risk analysis, Diseases of the digestive system. Gastroenterology, RC799-869
Abstract

Background & Aims: In this study we aimed to analyse the impact of the aetiology of cirrhosis on the incidence, characteristics and prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) diagnosed during a surveillance program. Methods: Individual data from a randomized trial and 2 prospective cohorts of patients with compensated histologically proven cirrhosis recruited between 2000 and 2016 were pooled. The influence of cirrhosis aetiology on survival after HCC detection was assessed using multivariable regression models. Results: Among 3,533 patients (1,926 virus [VIR], 1,167 alcohol [ALC], 440 combined [MIX]), 431 were diagnosed with HCC after a median follow-up of 57.1 months. The 5-year HCC incidence was lowest in ALC (VIR 12.6%, ALC 9.1%, MIX 14.3%, p = 0.04). At the time of diagnosis, tumour burden and Child-Pugh score were comparable across aetiology groups, but early BCLC stages (0/A) were significantly less frequent in ALC (VIR 80%, ALC 37%, MIX 72%) as a result of worse ECOG performance status. However, similar access to first-line curative HCC treatment was reported across aetiology groups (p = 0.68). Median survival after HCC diagnosis was significantly reduced in ALC (VIR 39, ALC 21, MIX 34 months, p = 0.02). However, when adjusting for tumour size, ECOG and Child-Pugh score, the aetiology of the underlying cirrhosis no longer had a significant impact. Conclusion: Compared to patients with virus-related cirrhosis, patients with alcohol-related compensated cirrhosis enrolled in a surveillance program have: i) the lowest 5-year HCC incidence; ii) worse overall prognosis, mostly driven by a poor general condition, despite similar access to first-line curative treatment. Lay summary: It has been suggested that early detection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) may be futile in patients with alcohol-related cirrhosis. By comparing outcomes in more than 3,000 patients with compensated cirrhosis included in surveillance programs, this study suggests that HCC surveillance enables early diagnosis in most patients with alcohol-related cirrhosis despite a higher competing risk of death in these patients. We also report similar access to first-line curative HCC treatment in these patients compared to those with viral cirrhosis, despite higher rates of comorbidities and impaired liver function. Following HCC detection, the later parameters were major drivers of death irrespective of the cause of cirrhosis. Registration: CHC2000 (NCT00190385) and CIRRAL (NCT01213927) cohorts were registered at ClinicalTrials.gov and the full protocols are available at the following links (https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT00190385) and https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT01213927, respectively). The full CirVir protocol is available via the ANRS Web site (http://anrs.fr).

Published
2021
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2. Early hepatocellular carcinoma detection using magnetic resonance imaging is cost-effective in high-risk patients with cirrhosis

Author

Pierre Nahon, Marie Najean, Richard Layese, Kevin Zarca, Laeticia Blampain Segar, Carole Cagnot, Nathalie Ganne-Carrié, Gisèle N’Kontchou, Stanislas Pol, Cendrine Chaffaut, Fabrice Carrat, Maxime Ronot, Etienne Audureau, Isabelle Durand-Zaleski, Tarik Asselah, Dominique Guyader, Hélène Fontaine, Georges-Philippe Pageaux, Victor De Lédinghen, Denis Ouzan, Fabien Zoulim, Dominique Roulot, Albert Tran, Jean-Pierre Bronowicki, Thomas Decaensi, Ghassan Riachi, Paul Calès, Jean-Marie Péron, Laurent Alric, Marc Bourlière, Philippe Mathurin, Sebastien Dharancy, Jean-Frédéric Blanc, Armand Abergel, Olivier Chazouillères, Ariane Mallat, Jean-Didier Grangé, Pierre Attali, Louis d’Alteroche, Claire Wartelle, Thông Dao, Dominique Thabut, Christophe Pilette, Christine Silvain, Christos Christidis, Eric Nguyen-Khac, Brigitte Bernard-Chabert, Sophie Hillaire, Vincent Di Martino, Delphine Bonnet, Virginie Payssan-Sicart, Chloe Pomes, François Bailly, Marjolaine Beaudoin, Dominique Giboz, Kerstin Hartig-Lavie, Marianne Maynard, Eric Billaud, David Boutoille, Morane Cavellec, Marjorie Cheraud-Carpentier, Isabelle Hubert, Jaouad Benhida, Adrien Lannes, Françoise Lunel, Frédéric Oberti, Nathalie Boyer, Nathalie Giuily, Corinne Castelnau, Giovanna Scoazec, Aziza Chibah, Sylvie Keser, Karim Bonardi, Anaïs Vallet-Pichard, Philippe Sogni, Juliette Foucher, Jean-Baptiste Hiriart, Amy Wilson, Sarah Shili, Faiza Chermak, Christelle Ansaldi, Nisserine Ben Amara, Laëtitia Chouquet, Emilie De Luca, Valérie Oules, Rodolphe Anty, Eve Gelsi, Régine Truchi, Elena Luckina, Nadia Messaoudi, Joseph Moussali, Barbara De Dieuleveult, Damien Labarriere, Pascal Poter, Si Nafa Si Ahmed, Véronique Grando-Lemaire, Valérie Bourcier, Séverine Brulé, Thomas Stalhberger, Caroline Jezequel, Audrey Brener, Anne Laligant, Aline Rabot, Isabelle Renard, Thomas F. Baumert, Michel Dofföel, Catherine Mutter, Pauline Simo-Noumbissie, Esma Razi, Hélène Barraud, Mouni Bensenane, Abdelbasset Nani, Sarah Hassani-Nani, Marie-Albertine Bernard, Michael Bismuth, Ludovic Caillo, Stéphanie Faure, Marie Pierre Ripault, Christophe Bureau, Jean Marie Peron, Marie Angèle Robic, Léa Tarallo, Marine Faure, Bruno Froissart, Marie-Noelle Hilleret, Jean-Pierre Zarski, Odile Goria, Victorien Grard, Hélène Montialoux, Muriel François, Christian Ouedraogo, Christelle Pauleau, Anne Varault, Tony Andreani, Bénédicte Angoulevant, Azeline Chevance, Lawrence Serfaty, Teresa Antonini, Audrey Coilly, Jean-Charles Duclos Vallée, Mariagrazia Tateo, Corinne Bonny, Chanteranne Brigitte, Géraldine Lamblin, Léon Muti, Abdenour Babouri, Virginie Filipe, Camille Barrault, Laurent Costes, Hervé Hagège, Soraya Merbah, Paul Carrier, Maryline Debette-Gratien, Jérémie Jacques, Guillaume Lassailly, Florent Artu, Valérie Canva, Sébastien Dharancy, Alexandre Louvet, Marianne Latournerie, Marc Bardou, Thomas Mouillot, Yannick Bacq, Didier Barbereau, Charlotte Nicolas, Caroline Chevalier, Isabelle Archambeaud, Sarah Habes, Danièle Botta-Fridlund, Eric Saillard, Marie-Josée Lafrance, Patrice Cacoub, Patrizia Carrieri, Elisabeth Delarocque-Astagneau, Victor De Ledinghen, Céline Dorival, Jean Dubuisson, Chantal Housset, Dominique Larrey, Patrick Marcellin, Jean-Michel Pawlotsky, Ventzislava Petrov-Sanchez, Sophie Vaux, Linda Wittkop, Yazdan Yazdanpanah, Jessica Zucman-Rossi, Christophe Moreno, Romain Moirand, Nicolas Carbonell, Jean-Charles Duclos-Vallée, Victor de Ledinghen, Violaine Ozenne, Jean Henrion, Gabriel Perlemuter, Xavier Amiot, Sylvie Chevret, Hôpital Avicenne [AP-HP], Assistance publique - Hôpitaux de Paris (AP-HP) (AP-HP), Université Paris 13 (UP13), Génomique fonctionnelle des tumeurs solides = Functional Genomics of Solid Tumors [CRC] (FunGeST), Centre de Recherche des Cordeliers (CRC (UMR_S_1138 / U1138)), École pratique des hautes études (EPHE), Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Université Paris Cité (UPCité)-École pratique des hautes études (EPHE), Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Université Paris Cité (UPCité), Centre de Recherche Épidémiologie et Statistique Sorbonne Paris Cité (CRESS (U1153 / UMR_A_1125 / UMR_S_1153)), Conservatoire National des Arts et Métiers [CNAM] (CNAM), HESAM Université - Communauté d'universités et d'établissements Hautes écoles Sorbonne Arts et métiers université (HESAM)-HESAM Université - Communauté d'universités et d'établissements Hautes écoles Sorbonne Arts et métiers université (HESAM)-Université Sorbonne Paris Cité (USPC)-Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM)-Université Paris Cité (UPCité)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE), Hôpital Henri Mondor, Unité de recherche clinique en économie de la santé [Paris] (URC Eco), Délégation de la Recherche Clinique et de l’Innovation [Paris] (DRCI), Assistance publique - Hôpitaux de Paris (AP-HP) (AP-HP)-Assistance publique - Hôpitaux de Paris (AP-HP) (AP-HP), Service de santé publique [Mondor], Assistance publique - Hôpitaux de Paris (AP-HP) (AP-HP)-Hôpital Henri Mondor-Université Paris-Est Créteil Val-de-Marne - Paris 12 (UPEC UP12), Clinical Epidemiology and Ageing : Geriatrie Soins Primaires et Santé Publique (CEpiA), Université Paris-Est Créteil Val-de-Marne - Paris 12 (UPEC UP12), ANRS|Maladies infectieuses émergentes (ANRS|MIE), Université Sorbonne Paris Nord, Hôpital Cochin [AP-HP], Service de biostatistique et information médicale de l’hôpital Saint Louis (Equipe ECSTRA) (SBIM), Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM)-Institut national du cancer [Boulogne] (INCA)-Hopital Saint-Louis [AP-HP] (AP-HP), Assistance publique - Hôpitaux de Paris (AP-HP) (AP-HP)-Assistance publique - Hôpitaux de Paris (AP-HP) (AP-HP)-Université Paris Cité (UPCité), Equipe 2 : ECSTRA - Epidémiologie Clinique, STatistique, pour la Recherche en Santé (CRESS - U1153), HESAM Université - Communauté d'universités et d'établissements Hautes écoles Sorbonne Arts et métiers université (HESAM)-HESAM Université - Communauté d'universités et d'établissements Hautes écoles Sorbonne Arts et métiers université (HESAM)-Université Sorbonne Paris Cité (USPC)-Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM)-Université Paris Cité (UPCité)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE)-Conservatoire National des Arts et Métiers [CNAM] (CNAM), Institut Pierre Louis d'Epidémiologie et de Santé Publique (iPLESP), Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM)-Sorbonne Université (SU), Service de santé publique [CHU Saint-Antoine], Assistance publique - Hôpitaux de Paris (AP-HP) (AP-HP)-CHU Saint-Antoine [AP-HP], Assistance publique - Hôpitaux de Paris (AP-HP) (AP-HP)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Sorbonne Université (SU), and Hôpital Beaujon [AP-HP]

Subjects
AMRI, abbreviated magnetic resonance imaging, NAFLD, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, medicine.medical_specialty, Cirrhosis, Cost effectiveness, [SDV]Life Sciences [q-bio], Population, TACE, transarterial chemoembolization, Sciences du Vivant [q-bio]/Médecine humaine et pathologie, Gastroenterology, QALY, quality-adjusted life year, Internal medicine, Internal Medicine, LY, life years, Immunology and Allergy, Medicine, Early Hepatocellular Carcinoma, liver cancer risk, education, cost-effectiveness, RFA, radiofrequency ablation, education.field_of_study, AFP, alpha-fetoprotein, US, ultrasound, Hepatology, medicine.diagnostic_test, business.industry, cirrhosis, LYG, life years gained, Incidence (epidemiology), BCLC, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer, ICER, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio, Magnetic resonance imaging, medicine.disease, HR, hazard ratio, digestive system diseases, Hepatocellular carcinoma, SHR, subdistribution hazard ratio, surveillance, HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma, business, MRI, magnetic resonance imaging, Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio, Research Article, MRI
Abstract

Background & Aims Reinforced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) could increase early tumour detection but faces cost-effectiveness issues. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of MRI for the detection of very early HCC (Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer [BCLC] 0) in patients with an annual HCC risk >3%. Methods French patients with compensated cirrhosis included in 4 multicentre prospective cohorts were considered. A scoring system was constructed to identify patients with an annual risk >3%. Using a Markov model, the economic evaluation estimated the costs and life years (LYs) gained with MRI vs. ultrasound (US) monitoring over a 20-year period. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was calculated by dividing the incremental costs by the incremental LYs. Results Among 2,513 patients with non-viral causes of cirrhosis (n = 840) and/or cured HCV (n = 1,489)/controlled HBV infection (n = 184), 206 cases of HCC were detected after a 37-month follow-up. When applied to training (n = 1,658) and validation (n = 855) sets, the construction of a scoring system identified 33.4% and 37.5% of patients with an annual HCC risk >3% (3-year C-Indexes 75 and 76, respectively). In patients with a 3% annual risk, the incremental LY gained with MRI was 0.4 for an additional cost of €6,134, resulting in an ICER of €15,447 per LY. Compared to US monitoring, MRI detected 5x more BCLC 0 HCC. The deterministic sensitivity analysis confirmed the impact of HCC incidence. At a willingness to pay of €50,000/LY, MRI screening had a 100% probability of being cost-effective. Conclusions In the era of HCV eradication/HBV control, patients with annual HCC risk >3% represent one-third of French patients with cirrhosis. MRI is cost-effective in this population and could favour early HCC detection. Lay summary The early identification of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with cirrhosis is important to improve patient outcomes. Magnetic resonance imaging could increase early tumour detection but is more expensive and less accessible than ultrasound (the standard modality for surveillance). Herein, using a simple score, we identified a subgroup of patients with cirrhosis (accounting for >one-third), who were at increased risk of hepatocellular carcinoma and for whom the increased expense of magnetic resonance imaging would be justified by the potential improvement in outcomes., Graphical abstract, Highlights • HCC risk stratification in patients with cirrhosis aims at improving performance of cancer surveillance. • Using a simple scoring system, one-third of patients with cirrhosis with an annual HCC risk >3% can be easily identified. • Semi-annual surveillance using MRI in this population could enable the cost-effective detection of 5x more BCLC 0 HCCs.

Published
2022

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