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Compared with traditional selection, the use of genomic information tends to increase the accuracy of estimated breeding values (EBV). The cause of this increase is, however, unknown. To explore this phenomenon, this study investigated whether the increase in accuracy when moving from traditional (AA) to genomic selection (GG) was mainly due to genotyping the reference population (GA) or the evaluated animals (AG). In it, a combined relationship matrix for simultaneous use of genotyped and ungenotyped animals was applied. A simulated data set reflected the dairy cattle population. Four differently designed (i.e., different average relationships within the reference population) small reference populations and 3 heritability levels were considered. The animals in the reference populations had high, moderate, low, and random (RND) relationships. The evaluated animals were juveniles. The small reference populations simulated difficult or expensive to measure traits (i.e., methane emission). The accuracy of selection was expressed as the reliability of (genomic) EBV and was predicted based on selection index theory using relationships. Connectedness between the reference populations and evaluated animals was calculated using the prediction error variance. Average (genomic) EBV reliabilities increased with heritability and with a decrease in the average relationship within the reference population. Reliabilities in AA and AG were lower than those in GG and were higher than those in GA (respectively, 0.039, 0.042, 0.052, and 0.048 for RND and a heritability of 0.01). Differences between AA and GA were small. Average connectedness with all animals in the reference population for all scenarios and reference populations ranged from 0.003 to 0.024; it was lowest when the animals were not genotyped (AA; e.g., 0.004 for RND) and highest when all the animals were genotyped (GG; e.g., 0.024 for RND). Differences present across designs of the reference populations were very small.

Genomic selection (GS) permits accurate breeding values to be obtained for young animals, shortening the generation interval and accelerating the genetic gain, thereby leading to reduced costs for proven bulls. Genotyping a large number of animals using high-density single nucleotide polymorphism marker arrays is nevertheless expensive, and therefore, a method to reduce the costs of GS is desired. The aim of this study was to investigate an influence of enlarging the reference population, with either genotyped animals or individuals with predicted genotypes, on the accuracy of genomic estimated breeding values. A dairy cattle population was simulated in which proven bulls with 100 daughters were used as a reference population for GS. Phenotypic records were simulated for bulls with heritability equal to the reliability of daughter yield deviations based on 100 daughters. The simulated traits represented heritabilities at the level of individual daughter performance of 0.3, 0.05, and 0.01. Three scenarios were considered in which (1) the reference population consisted of 1,000 genotyped animals, (2) 1,000 ungenotyped animals were added to the reference population, and (3) the 1,000 animals added in scenario 2 were genotyped in addition to the 1,000 animals from scenario 1. Genotypes for ungenotyped animals were predicted with an average accuracy of 0.58. Additionally, an adjustment of the diagonal elements of the G matrix was proposed for animals with predicted genotypes. The accuracy of genomic estimated breeding values for juvenile animals was the highest for the scenario with 2,000 genotyped animals, being 0.90, 0.79, and 0.60 for the heritabilities of 0.3, 0.05, and 0.01, respectively. Accuracies did not differ significantly between the scenario with 1,000 genotyped animals only and the scenario in which 1,000 ungenotyped animals were added and the adjustment of the G matrix was applied. The absence of significant increase in the accuracy of genomic estimated bre