1. Estimating Survival in Melanoma Patients With Brain Metastases: An Update of the Graded Prognostic Assessment for Melanoma Using Molecular Markers (Melanoma-molGPA).
- Author
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Sperduto, Paul W, Jiang, Wen, Brown, Paul D, Braunstein, Steve, Sneed, Penny, Wattson, Daniel A, Shih, Helen A, Bangdiwala, Ananta, Shanley, Ryan, Lockney, Natalie A, Beal, Kathryn, Lou, Emil, Amatruda, Thomas, Sperduto, William A, Kirkpatrick, John P, Yeh, Norman, Gaspar, Laurie E, Molitoris, Jason K, Masucci, Laura, Roberge, David, Yu, James, Chiang, Veronica, and Mehta, Minesh
- Subjects
Humans ,Melanoma ,Brain Neoplasms ,Proto-Oncogene Proteins B-raf ,Genetic Markers ,Prognosis ,Karnofsky Performance Status ,Regression Analysis ,Age Factors ,Aged ,Aged ,80 and over ,Middle Aged ,Clinical Decision-Making ,Brain Cancer ,Neurosciences ,Clinical Research ,Rare Diseases ,Patient Safety ,Cancer ,Brain Disorders ,Detection ,screening and diagnosis ,4.2 Evaluation of markers and technologies ,Other Physical Sciences ,Clinical Sciences ,Oncology and Carcinogenesis ,Oncology & Carcinogenesis - Abstract
PurposeTo update the Diagnosis-Specific Graded Prognostic Assessment (DS-GPA) for a markedly heterogeneous patient population, patients with melanoma and brain metastases, using a larger, more current cohort, including molecular markers.MethodsThe original Melanoma-GPA is based on data from 483 patients whose conditions were diagnosed between 1985 and 2005. This is a multi-institutional retrospective database analysis of 823 melanoma patients with newly diagnosed brain metastases from January 1, 2006, to December 31, 2015. Multivariable analyses identified significant prognostic factors, which were weighted and included in the updated index (Melanoma-molGPA). Multiple Cox regression was used to select and weight prognostic factors in proportion to their hazard ratios to design the updated Melanoma-molGPA in which scores of 4.0 and 0.0 are associated with the best and worst prognoses, as with all of the diagnosis-specific GPA indices. Log-rank tests were used to compare adjacent classes.ResultsThere were 5 significant prognostic factors for survival (age, Karnofsky performance status [KPS], extracranial metastases [ECM], number of brain metastases, and BRAF status), whereas only KPS and the number of brain metastases were significant in the original Melanoma-GPA. Median survival improved from 6.7 to 9.8 months between the 2 treatment eras, and the median survival times for patients with Melanoma-molGPA of 0 to 1.0, 1.5 to 2.0, 2.5 to 3.0, and 3.5 to 4.0 were 4.9, 8.3, 15.8, and 34.1 months (P
- Published
- 2017