1. A STUDY OF EARLY STOPPING AND MODEL SELECTION APPLIED TO THE PAPERMAKING INDUSTRY
- Author
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P. J. Edwards and Alan F. Murray
- Subjects
Paper ,Measure (data warehouse) ,Early stopping ,Artificial neural network ,Computer Networks and Communications ,Computer science ,business.industry ,Model selection ,Estimator ,Context (language use) ,General Medicine ,Models, Theoretical ,computer.software_genre ,Bayesian inference ,Machine learning ,Task (project management) ,Industry ,Neural Networks, Computer ,Data mining ,Artificial intelligence ,business ,computer ,Algorithms - Abstract
This paper addresses the issues of neural network model development and maintenance in the context of a complex task taken from the papermaking industry. In particular, it describes a comparison study of early stopping techniques and model selection, both to optimise neural network models for generalisation performance. The results presented here show that early stopping via use of a Bayesian model evidence measure is a viable way of optimising performance while also making maximum use of all the data. In addition, they show that ten-fold cross-validation performs well as a model selector and as an estimator of prediction accuracy. These results are important in that they show how neural network models may be optimally trained and selected for highly complex industrial tasks where the data are noisy and limited in number.
- Published
- 2000
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