1. On fortune telling for health informatics
- Author
-
Möhr, J.R. and Möhr, J R
- Subjects
- *
MEDICAL care , *MEDICAL informatics , *CAREGIVERS , *COMPARATIVE studies , *DIAGNOSIS related groups , *FORECASTING , *HEALTH care reform , *HOSPITAL emergency services , *HEALTH insurance , *INTERNET , *RESEARCH methodology , *MEDICAL consultation , *MEDICAL cooperation , *PATIENTS , *PHYSICIAN-patient relations , *PROGNOSIS , *RESEARCH , *TELEMEDICINE , *HEALTH insurance reimbursement , *EVALUATION research - Abstract
This paper examines the paper of Haux et al. in this issue of this journal. It gives some background on specifics of the German health care system, which underlie the theses and prognoses proposed by Haux et al. In analogy to a forecast of the future of health informatics, which is now 10 years old, I then suggest that these attempts meet two types of challenges:
• that of overestimating the positive effects of recent advances, which later are found not to scale up; and• that of blind spots with respect to unforeseen significant advances.- Published
- 2002