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Background: High-mobility group box 1 (HMGB1) is a pro-inflammatory protein associated with the pathophysiology of lung injury and lung tumorigenesis. Here, we investigated the predictive potential of serum HMGB1 levels for radiation pneumonitis in patients with lung cancer. Methods: This was a retrospective biomarker study of 73 patients with non-small cell lung cancer treated with definitive thoracic radiotherapy between August 2007 and January 2021. We measured HMGB1 levels in serum stored before treatment, and analyzed its association with the development of grade ≥ 2 or grade ≥ 3 radiation pneumonitis. Additionally, baseline characteristics affecting HMGB1 levels were identified. Results: Of the 73 patients, 21 (28.8%) and 6 (8.2%) patients experienced grade 2 and ≥ 3 radiation pneumonitis, respectively. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses revealed that higher baseline levels of serum HMGB1 were significantly associated with a higher risk of grade ≥ 3, but not grade ≥ 2, radiation pneumonitis. The incidence of grade ≥ 3 radiation pneumonitis was higher in patients with HMGB1 levels ≥ 6.2 ng/mL than in those with levels < 6.2 ng/mL (25.0% vs. 3.5%, p = 0.019). Baseline serum levels of HMGB1 were independently and positively associated with gross tumor volume. Conclusions: Higher serum HMGB1 levels were significantly associated with the risk of grade ≥ 3 radiation pneumonitis in patients with lung cancer, and therefore, HMGB1 could be a potential blood biomarker for predicting severe radiation pneumonitis. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]