1. Prediction of survival and magnitude of reverse remodeling using the ST2-R2 score in heart failure: A multicenter study
- Author
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Sandra Sanders-van Wijk, Amparo Galán, Antoni Bayes-Genis, Matthias Pfisterer, Marta de Antonio, James L. Januzzi, Josep Lupón, Hanna K. Gaggin, Ravi V. Shah, Hans-Peter Brunner-La Rocca, RS: CARIM - R2.05 - Clinical heart failure, MUMC+: MA Cardiologie (9), and RS: CARIM - R2.02 - Cardiomyopathy
- Subjects
Male ,medicine.medical_specialty ,LVEF ,Internationality ,Survival ,Heart failure ,030204 cardiovascular system & hematology ,Severity of Illness Index ,Ventricular Function, Left ,Cohort Studies ,03 medical and health sciences ,Ventricular Dysfunction, Left ,0302 clinical medicine ,Reverse remodeling ,Predictive Value of Tests ,Internal medicine ,Severity of illness ,Medicine ,Humans ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Ventricular remodeling ,Survival rate ,Aged ,Aged, 80 and over ,Ejection fraction ,Ventricular Remodeling ,business.industry ,Left bundle branch block ,Middle Aged ,medicine.disease ,ST2 ,Survival Rate ,Predictive value of tests ,Cardiology ,Female ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,business ,Biomarkers ,Cohort study ,Follow-Up Studies - Abstract
Background Cardiac remodeling and its reversibility are key in HF outcomes. The ST2-R2 score was recently developed to predict relevant left ventricular (LV) reverse remodeling (R2) in patients with heart failure (HF). In the present study we sought to validate the ST2-R2 score for grading improvement in LV ejection fraction (EF) and LV size at one year, and to evaluate its prognostic implication up to 4 years. Methods A total of 569 patients with baseline LVEF < 40% from three international cohorts (Barcelona, TIME-CHF, and PROTECT) were included in the study. Patients were classified into four strata based on their ST2-R2 score, which took into account concentrations of the biomarker ST2, non-ischemic etiology, absence of left bundle branch block, HF duration, baseline LVEF, and β-blocker treatment. Results A significant relationship was observed between ST2-R2 scores and changes in LVEF and indexed LV sizes. LVEF recovery (from + 5.6% to + 17.3%; p < 0.001), percentage reduction in LV end-systolic volume index (from − 6.1% to − 32.1%; p < 0.001) and in LV end-systolic diameter index (from − 1.1% to − 18.6%; p < 0.001) increased over the ST2-R2 strata. A similar trend was observed with diastolic parameters. Improvement in LV function and size was inversely predictive of mortality. Hazard ratios for risk of death, using the lower ST2-R2 score strata (< 9) as a reference, were 0.49 (p < 0.001; score 9–11), 0.27 (p < 0.001; score 12–14), and 0.17 (p < 0.001; score 15–17). Conclusions The ST2-R2 score predicts reverse LV remodeling in HF patients and is useful for predicting mortality up to 4 years.
- Published
- 2016