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According to the transmission characteristics of COVID-19, this paper proposes a stochastic SAIRS epidemic model with two mean reversion Ornstein–Uhlenbeck processes and saturated incidence rates. We first prove the existence and uniqueness of the global solution in the stochastic model. Using several suitable Lyapunov methods, we then derive the extinction and persistence of COVID-19 under certain conditions. Further, stationary distribution and ergodic properties are obtained. Moreover, we obtain the probability density function of the stochastic model around the equilibrium. Numerical simulations illustrate our theoretical results and the effect of essential parameters. Finally, we apply the model to investigate the latest outbreak of the COVID-19 epidemic in Guangzhou city, China. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this work, we consider a stochastic epidemic model with vaccination, healing and relapse. We prove the existence and the uniqueness of the positive solution. We establish sufficient conditions for the extinction and the persistence in mean of the stochastic system. Moreover, we also establish sufficient conditions for the existence of ergodic stationary distribution to the model, which reveals that the infectious disease will persist. The graphical illustrations of the approximate solutions of the stochastic epidemic model have been performed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper considered a multi-stage sheep brucellosis model with incomplete immunity. First, we established a deterministic model, calculated the basic reproduction number ℛ 0 , set out the conditions for the global stability of the disease-free equilibrium and endemic equilibrium. Second, considering the influence of environmental white noise on brucellosis infection, we further established the stochastic version of the model. By constructing a suitable Lyapunov function, we proved the existence and uniqueness of the global positive solution. Further, we got the sufficient conditions for disease extinction and the existence of ergodic stationary distribution. Finally, we carried out some numerical simulations to verify the theoretical results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, we investigate a two-dimensional avian influenza model with Allee effect and stochasticity. We first show that a unique global positive solution always exists to the stochastic system for any positive initial value. Then, under certain conditions, this solution is proved to be stochastically ultimately bounded. Furthermore, by constructing a suitable Lyapunov function, we obtain sufficient conditions for the existence of stationary distribution with ergodicity. The conditions for the extinction of infected avian population are also analytically studied. These theoretical results are conformed by computational simulations. We numerically show that the environmental noise can bring different dynamical outcomes to the stochastic model. By scanning different noise intensities, we observe that large noise can cause extinction of infected avian population, which suggests the repression of noise on the spread of avian virus. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is a dangerous pandemic and it spreads to many people in most of the world. In this paper, we propose a COVID-19 model with the assumption that it is affected by randomness. For positivity, we prove the global existence of positive solution and the system exhibits extinction under certain parametric restrictions. Moreover, we establish the stability region for the stochastic model under the behavior of stationary distribution. The stationary distribution gives the guarantee of the appearance of infection in the population. Besides that, we find the reproduction ratio R 0 S for prevail and disappear of infection within the human population. From the graphical representation, we have validated the threshold conditions that define in our theoretical findings. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, the dynamical behavior of a stochastic SQEIAR epidemic model is investigated. First of all, we establish sufficient conditions for extinction of the diseases. Then the sufficient conditions for the existence of an ergodic stationary distribution of the positive solutions to the model are obtained by constructing a suitable stochastic Lyapunov function. The existence of stationary distribution implies stochastic weak stability. Furthermore, the optimal control problem is considered to provide a theoretical basis for the prevention and control of the disease. Finally, the theoretical results are verified by numerical simulations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, we study the dynamical behavior of a stochastic two-compartment model of B -cell chronic lymphocytic leukemia, which is perturbed by white noise. Firstly, by constructing suitable Lyapunov functions, we establish sufficient conditions for the existence of a unique ergodic stationary distribution. Then, conditions for extinction of the disease are derived. Furthermore, numerical simulations are presented for supporting the theoretical results. Our results show that large noise intensity may contribute to extinction of the disease. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Considering the impact of environmental white noise on the quantity and behavior of vector of disease, a stochastic differential model describing the transmission of Dengue fever between mosquitoes and humans, in this paper, is proposed. By using Lyapunov methods and Itô's formula, we first prove the existence and uniqueness of a global positive solution for this model. Further, some sufficient conditions for the extinction and persistence in the mean of this stochastic model are obtained by using the techniques of a series of stochastic inequalities. In addition, we also discuss the existence of a unique stationary distribution which leads to the stochastic persistence of this disease. Finally, several numerical simulations are carried to illustrate the main results of this contribution. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper deals with stochastic Chikungunya (CHIKV) virus model along with saturated incidence rate. We show that there exists a unique global positive solution and also we obtain the conditions for the disease to be extinct. We also discuss about the existence of a unique ergodic stationary distribution of the model, through a suitable Lyapunov function. The stationary distribution validates the occurrence of disease; through that, we find the threshold value for prevail and disappear of disease within host. With the help of numerical simulations, we validate the stochastic reproduction number R 0 S as stated in our theoretical findings. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, we analyze a stochastic rabies epidemic model which is perturbed by both white noise and telegraph noise. First, we prove the existence of the unique global positive solution. Second, by constructing an appropriate Lyapunov function, we establish a sufficient condition for the existence of a unique ergodic stationary distribution of the positive solutions to the model. Then we establish sufficient conditions for the extinction of diseases. Finally, numerical simulations are introduced to illustrate our theoretical results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Environmental perturbations are unavoidable in the propagation of infectious diseases. In this paper, we introduce the stochasticity into the susceptible–infected–recovered (SIR) model via the parameter perturbation method. The stochastic disturbances associated with the disease transmission coefficient and the mortality rate are presented with two perturbations: Gaussian white noise and Lévy jumps, respectively. This idea provides an overview of disease dynamics under different random perturbation scenarios. By using new techniques and methods, we study certain interesting asymptotic properties of our perturbed model, namely: persistence in the mean, ergodicity and extinction of the disease. For illustrative purposes, numerical examples are presented for checking the theoretical study. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper discusses the dynamics of a Gilpin–Ayala competition model of two interacting species perturbed by white noise. We obtain the existence of a unique global positive solution of the system and the solution is bounded in p th moment. Then, we establish sufficient and necessary conditions for persistence and the existence of an ergodic stationary distribution of the model. We also establish sufficient conditions for extinction of the model. Moreover, numerical simulations are carried out for further support of present research. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, stochastic dynamics with Lévy noise of two-consumers-one-resource competing systems with Beddington–DeAngelis functional response are considered. We first show the existence of the global positive solution, then discuss the effects of noises on the extinction of the species and the stochastic persistence of the species. In the meanwhile, numerical simulations are carried to support results. Finally, we show the existence of the stationary distribution for a special case. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, we investigate the stochastic avian influenza model with human-to-human transmission, which is disturbed by both white and telegraph noises. First, we show that the solution of the stochastic system is positive and global. Furthermore, by using stochastic Lyapunov functions, we establish sufficient conditions for the existence of a unique ergodic stationary distribution. Then we obtain the conditions for extinction. Finally, numerical simulations are employed to demonstrate the analytical results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper presents a nonlinear family of stochastic SEIRS models for diseases such as malaria in a highly random environment with noises from the disease transmission and natural death rates, and also from the random delays of the incubation and immunity periods. Improved analytical methods and local martingale characterizations are applied to find conditions for the disease to persist near an endemic steady state, and also for the disease to remain permanently in the system over time. Moreover, the ergodic stationary distribution for the stochastic process describing the disease dynamics is defined, and the statistical characteristics of the distribution are given numerically. The results of this study show that the disease will persist and become permanent in the system, regardless of (1) whether the noises are from the disease transmission rate and/or from the natural death rates or (2) whether the delays in the system are constant or random for individuals in the system. Furthermore, it is shown that "weak" noise is associated with the existence of an endemic stationary distribution for the disease, while "strong" noise is associated with extinction of the population over time. Numerical simulation examples for Plasmodium vivax malaria are given. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, a stochastic epidemic system with both switching noise and white noise is proposed to research the dynamics of the diseases. Nonlinear incidence and vaccination strategies are also considered in the proposed model. By using the method of stochastic analysis, we point out the key parameters that determine the persistence and extinction of the diseases. Specifically, if Rs 0 is greater than 0, the stochastic system has a unique ergodic stationary distribution; while if R* 0 is less than 0, the diseases will be extinct at an exponential rate. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, we consider two chemostat models with random perturbation, in which single species depends on two perfectly substitutable resources for growth. For the autonomous system, we first prove that the solution of the system is positive and global. Then we establish sufficient conditions for the existence of an ergodic stationary distribution by constructing appropriate Lyapunov functions. For the non-autonomous system, by using Has'minskii theory on periodic Markov processes, we derive it admits a nontrivial positive periodic solution. Finally, numerical simulations are carried out to illustrate our main results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper investigates the stochastic HTLV-I infection model with CTL immune response, and the corresponding deterministic model has two basic reproduction numbers. We consider the nonlinear CTL immune response for the interaction between the virus and the CTL immune cells. Firstly, for the theoretical needs of system dynamical behavior, we prove that the stochastic model solution is positive and global. In addition, we obtain the existence of ergodic stationary distribution by stochastic Lyapunov functions. Meanwhile, sufficient condition for the extinction of the stochastic system is acquired. Reasonably, the dynamical behavior of deterministic model is included in our result of stochastic model when the white noise disappears. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We investigate a stochastic heroin epidemic model with bilinear incidence and varying population size. Sufficient criteria for the extinction of the drug abusers and the existence of ergodic stationary distribution for the model are established by constructing suitable stochastic Lyapunov functions. By analyzing the sensitivity of the threshold of spread, we obtain that prevention is better than cure. Numerical simulations are carried out to confirm the analytical results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper is devoted to studying the dynamics of a susceptible-infective-latent-infective (SILI) epidemic model that is subject to the combined effects of environmental noise and intervention strategy. We extend the classical SILI epidemic model from a deterministic framework to a stochastic one. For the deterministic case, the global stability analysis of the solution is carried out in terms of the basic reproduction number. For the stochastic case, sufficient conditions for the extinction of diseases are obtained. Then, the existence of stationary distribution and asymptotic behavior of the solution are further studied to illustrate the cycling phenomena of recurrent diseases. Numerical simulations are conducted to verify these analytical results. It is shown that both stochastic noise and intervention strategy contribute to the control of diseases. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, we explore the long time behavior of a multigroup Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model with stochastic perturbations. The conditions for the disease to die out are obtained. Besides, we also show that the disease is fluctuating around the endemic equilibrium under some conditions. Moreover, there is a stationary distribution under stronger conditions. At last, some numerical simulations are applied to support our theoretical results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, the dynamics of a stochastic model for algal bloom with nutrient recycling is investigated. The model incorporates a white noise term in the growth equation of algae population to describe the effects of random fluctuations in the environment, and a nutrient recycling term in the nutrient equation to account for the conversion of detritus into nutrient. The existence and uniqueness of the global positive solution of the model is first proved. Then we study the long-time behavior of the model. Conditions for the extinction and persistence in the mean of the algae population are established. By using the theory of integral Markov semigroups, we show that the model has an invariant and asymptotically stable density. Numerical simulations illustrate our theoretical results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, we introduce stochasticity into an SIR epidemic model with vaccination. The stochasticity in the model is a standard technique in stochastic population modeling. When the perturbations are small, by the method of stochastic Lyapunov functions, we carry out a detailed analysis on the dynamical behavior of the stochastic model regarding of the basic reproduction number . If , the solution of the model is oscillating around a steady state, which is the disease-free equilibrium of the corresponding deterministic model. If , there is a stationary distribution and the solution has the ergodic property, which means that the disease will prevail. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]