1. TRI-SCORE: a single-Centre validation study
- Author
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Alessandra Sala, Davide Carino, Roberto Lorusso, Edoardo Zancanaro, Marta Bargagna, Benedetto Del Forno, Cinzia Trumello, Paolo Denti, Stefania Ruggeri, Alessandro Nonis, Maria Giovanna Scarale, Davide Schiavi, Alessandro Castiglioni, Francesco Maisano, Ottavio Alfieri, and Michele De Bonis
- Abstract
Background and Aims The TRI-SCORE is a recently published risk score for predicting in-hospital mortality in patients undergoing isolated tricuspid valve surgery (ITVS). The aim of this study is to externally validate the ability of the TRI-SCORE in predicting in-hospital and long-term mortality following ITVS. Methods A retrospective review of our institutional database was carried out to identify all patients undergoing isolated tricuspid valve repair or replacement from March 1997 to March 2021. The TRI-SCORE was calculated for all patients. Discrimination of the TRI-SCORE was assessed using receiver operating characteristic curves. Accuracy of the models was tested calculating the Brier score. Finally, a COX regression was employed to evaluate the relationship between the TRI-SCORE value and long-term mortality. Results A total of 176 patients were identified and the median TRI-SCORE was 3 (1–5). The cut-off value identified for increased risk of isolated ITVS was 5. Regarding in-hospital outcomes, the TRI-SCORE showed high discrimination (area under the curve 0.82), and high accuracy (Brier score 0.054). This score showed also very good performance in predicting long-term mortality (at 10 years HR: 1.47, 95% CI [1.31–1.66], p 0.80 at 1–5 and 10 years) and high accuracy values (Brier score 0.179). Conclusions This external validation confirm the good performance of the TRI-SCORE in predicting in-hospital mortality. Moreover, the score showed also very good performance in predicting the long-term mortality.
- Published
- 2023
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