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Purpose: This study aimed to determine the prevalence and predictors of death or new disability following critical illness. Methods: Prospective, multicentre cohort study conducted in six metropolitan intensive care units (ICU). Participants were adults admitted to the ICU who received more than 24 h of mechanical ventilation. The primary outcome was death or new disability at 6 months, with new disability defined by a 10% increase in the WHODAS 2.0. Results: Of 628 patients with the primary outcome available (median age of 62 [49–71] years, 379 [61.0%] had a medical admission and 370 (58.9%) died or developed new disability by 6 months. Independent predictors of death or new disability included age [OR 1.02 (1.01–1.03), P = 0.001], higher severity of illness (APACHE III) [OR 1.02 (1.01–1.03), P < 0.001] and admission diagnosis. Compared to patients with a surgical admission diagnosis, patients with a cardiac arrest [OR (95% CI) 4.06 (1.89–8.68), P < 0.001], sepsis [OR (95% CI) 2.43 (1.32–4.47), P = 0.004], or trauma [OR (95% CI) 6.24 (3.07–12.71), P < 0.001] diagnosis had higher odds of death or new disability, while patients with a lung transplant [OR (95% CI) 0.21 (0.07–0.58), P = 0.003] diagnosis had lower odds. A model including these three variables had good calibration (Brier score 0.20) and acceptable discriminative power with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.76 (95% CI 0.72–0.80). Conclusion: Less than half of all patients mechanically ventilated for more than 24 h were alive and free of new disability at 6 months after admission to ICU. A model including age, illness severity and admission diagnosis has acceptable discriminative ability to predict death or new disability at 6 months. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Purpose: Liberal use of oxygen may contribute to secondary brain injury in patients with hypoxic-ischaemic encephalopathy (HIE). However, there are limited data on the effect of different oxygen regimens on survival and neurological disability in HIE patients., Methods: We undertook a post-hoc analysis of the 166 patients with suspected HIE enrolled in a trial comparing conservative oxygen therapy with usual oxygen therapy in 1000 mechanically ventilated ICU patients. The primary endpoint for the current analysis was death or unfavourable neurological outcome at day 180. Key secondary outcomes were day 180 mortality, and cause-specific mortality., Results: Patients with HIE allocated to conservative oxygen spent less time in the ICU with an SpO 2  ≥ 97% (26 h [interquartile range (IQR) 13-45 vs. 35 h [IQR 19-70], absolute difference, 9 h; 95% CI - 21.4 to 3.4). A total of 43 of 78 patients (55.1%) assigned to conservative oxygen and 49 of 72 patients (68.1%) assigned to usual oxygen died or had an unfavourable neurological outcome at day 180; odds ratio 0.58; 95% CI 0.3-1.12; P = 0.1 adjusted odds ratio 0.54; 95% CI 0.23-1.26; P = 0.15. A total of 37 of 86 patients (43%) assigned to conservative oxygen and 46 of 78 (59%) assigned to usual oxygen had died by day 180; odds ratio 0.53; 95% CI 0.28-0.98; P = 0.04; adjusted odds ratio 0.56; 95% CI 0.25-1.23; P = 0.15. Cause-specific mortality was similar by treatment group., Conclusions: Conservative oxygen therapy was not associated with a statistically significant reduction in death or unfavourable neurological outcomes at day 180. The potential for important benefit or harm from conservative oxygen therapy in HIE patients is not excluded by these data.

Purpose: Sepsis is a common reason for intensive care unit (ICU) admission and mortality in ICU patients. Despite increasing interest in treatment strategies limiting oxygen exposure in ICU patients, no trials have compared conservative vs. usual oxygen in patients with sepsis., Methods: We undertook a post hoc analysis of the 251 patients with sepsis enrolled in a trial that compared conservative oxygen therapy with usual oxygen therapy in 1000 mechanically ventilated ICU patients. The primary end point for the current analysis was 90-day mortality. Key secondary outcomes were cause-specific mortality, ICU and hospital length of stay, ventilator-free days, vasopressor-free days, and the proportion of patients receiving renal replacement therapy in the ICU., Results: Patients with sepsis allocated to conservative oxygen therapy spent less time in the ICU with an SpO 2  ≥ 97% (23.5 h [interquartile range (IQR) 8-70] vs. 47 h [IQR 11-93], absolute difference, 23 h; 95% CI 8-38), and more time receiving an FiO 2 of 0.21 than patients allocated to usual oxygen therapy (20.5 h [IQR 1-79] vs. 0 h [IQR 0-10], absolute difference, 20 h; 95% CI 14-26). At 90-days, 47 of 130 patients (36.2%) assigned to conservative oxygen and 35 of 120 patients (29.2%) assigned to usual oxygen had died (absolute difference, 7 percentage points; 95% CI - 4.6 to 18.6% points; P = 0.24; interaction P = 0.35 for sepsis vs. non-sepsis). There were no statistically significant differences between groups for secondary outcomes but point estimates of treatment effects consistently favored usual oxygen therapy., Conclusions: Point estimates for the treatment effect of conservative oxygen therapy on 90-day mortality raise the possibility of clinically important harm with this intervention in patients with sepsis; however, our post hoc analysis was not powered to detect the effects suggested and our data do not exclude clinically important benefit or harm from conservative oxygen therapy in this patient group., Clinical Trials Registry: ICU-ROX Australian and New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry number ACTRN12615000957594.