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Larval dispersal enables demographic and genetic connectivity among marine populations. For many sessile species, it is the only natural mechanism for resilience after major population disturbances, as those that have been affecting Mediterranean gorgonian species inside and outside Marine Protected Areas (MPAs). Larval dispersal simulation is a powerful tool to anticipate connectivity among populations which might be altered by modelling choices. We assessed how flow representation (resolution and vertical turbulence) and larval traits (pelagic larval duration, release timing and duration, larval vertical behaviour) influenced populations connectivity among five coastal rocky locations in the northwestern Mediterranean, four of them being designated as MPAs. We used a finer (0.3 km) and coarser (1.5 km) flow resolution in two years to assess, using a hierarchical simulation approach, the sensitivity of connectivity patterns to the above parameters. Larval traits corresponded to two gorgonian species, the neutrally buoyant Eunicella singularis and the passive sinker Paramuricea clavata. Ocean model resolution was the most influential factor on resulting connectivity patterns. When using the finer flow model resolution, connectivity patterns were equally influenced by all larval traits while vertical turbulence could be neglected. Hence, advising the design of coastal MPAs with regional connectivity estimates requires adequate flow simulation resolution. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Accounting for connectivity is essential in marine spatial planning and the proper design and management of marine protected areas, given that their effectiveness depends on the patterns of dispersal and colonization between protected and non-protected areas. The genetic structure of populations is commonly used to infer connectivity among distant populations. Here, we explore how population genetic structure is affected by pre- and settlement limitations with a spatially explicit coupled metapopulation-gene flow model that simulates the effect of demographic fluctuations on the allele frequencies of a set of populations. We show that in closed populations, regardless of population growth rate, the maintenance of genetic diversity at saturating initial population density increases with species life expectancy as a result of density-dependent recruitment control. Correlatively, at low initial population density, the time at which a population begins to lose its genetic diversity is driven larval and post-settlement mortality (comprised in the recruitment success parameter) —the larger the recruitment success, the stronger the genetic drift. Different spatial structures of connectivity established for soft bottom benthic invertebrates in the Gulf of Lions (NW Mediterranean, France) lead to very different results in the spatial patterns of genetic structuration of the metapopulation, with high genetic drift in sites where the local retention rate was larger than 2%. The effect of recruitment failure and the loss of key source populations on heterozygosity confirm that transient demographic fluctuations help maintain genetic diversity in a metapopulation. This study highlights the role of intraspecific settlement limitations due to lack of space when the effective number of breeders approaches saturating capacity, causing a strong reduction in effective reproduction. The present model allows to: (i) disentangle the relative contribution of local demography and environmental connectivity in shaping seascape genetics, and (ii) perform in silico evaluations of different scenarios for marine spatial planning. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]