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This article presents a time-delayed SIR epidemiological model that has been quantitatively examined. The model incorporates a logistic growth function for the susceptible population, a Crowley-Martin type incidence, and Holling type II treatment rates. We investigated two separate time delays. The first delay refers to the rate at which new infections occur, allowing us to evaluate the impact of the latent period. The second delay relates to the rate of treatment for those who have contracted the infection, which allows us to examine the consequences of postponed access to therapy. The investigation of the steady-state behavior of the model emphasizes two equilibria, namely, the infection-free equilibrium and the endemic equilibrium. The determination of critical values involves the use of the fundamental reproduction number, denoted R0, which serves as a predictive measure to determine the potential elimination of a disease within a specific population. Using the fundamental reproduction number, it can be shown that infection-free equilibrium exhibits local asymptotic stability when the value of R0 is less than 1. In contrast, when R0 exceeds 1, the infection-free equilibrium becomes unstable in the context of the time-delayed system. Furthermore, an analysis of the steady-state dynamics of the endemic equilibrium indicates the appearance of oscillations and periodic solutions with the Hopf bifurcation for all feasible combinations of two-time delays as the bifurcated parameter. In sensitivity analysis, a sensitivity index is utilized to evaluate the relative modification in the fundamental reproduction number caused by each parameter. In summary, numerical simulations are employed to offer empirical evidence for the theoretical findings.

Rapid urbanization attributed to population growth is affecting the built environment's thermal and landscape dynamics. Using Landsat satellite datasets, this study investigated the complex interplay between urban Land Cover (LC) modification, fluctuation in Land Surface Temperature (LST) and severity of Urban Heat Island (UHI) from 1990 to 2020 in Peshawar City, Pakistan. Thermal bands were used to calculate LST and severity of UHI using the Urban Thermal Field Variance Index (UTFVI). Furthermore, through Cellular Automata (CA), Logistic Regression (LR), and Artificial Neural Network (ANN), future predictions on thermal characteristics associated with land use changes were made. The results showed that the urban areas expanded by ∼25 % from 1990 to 2020, while a ∼10 % decrease occurred in urban vegetation. The city is projected to expand by ∼45 % and ∼56 % in 2035 and 2050, respectively. Notably, the results also demonstrated that urban hotspots were found the warmest with the strongest UHI severity (∼34 °C), followed by the barren land (∼32 °C), and vegetation. The results further predicted an increase of LST (∼55 % and ∼82 %) and UTFVI (∼62 % and ∼83 %) in 2035 and 2050, respectively. These findings provide useful insights for policymakers and city planners to mitigate heat stress and create a sustainable urban environment through the development of effective urban land use policies and urban greening.

Globally, cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) rank among the leading causes of mortality. One out of every three deaths is attributed to cardiovascular disease, according to new World Heart Federation research. Cardiovascular disease can be caused by a number of factors, including stress, alcohol, smoking, a poor diet, inactivity, and other medical disorders like high blood pressure or diabetes. In contrast, for the vast majority of heart disorders, early diagnosis of associated ailments results in permanent recovery. Using newly developed data analysis technology, examining a patient's medical record could aid in the early detection of cardiovascular disease. Recent work has employed machine learning algorithms to predict cardiovascular illness on clinical datasets. However, because of their enormous dimension and class imbalance, clinical datasets present serious issues. An inventive model is offered in this work for addressing these problems.An efficient decision support system, also known as an assistive system, is proposed in this paper for the diagnosis and classification of cardiovascular disorders. It makes use of an optimisation technique and a deep learning classifier. The efficacy of traditional techniques for predicting cardiovascular disease using medical data is anticipated to advance with the combination of the two methodologies. Deep learning systems can reduce mortality rates by predicting cardiovascular illness based on clinical data and the patient's severity level. For an adequate sample size of synthesized samples, the optimisation process chooses the right parameters to yield the best prediction from an enhanced classifier. The 99.58% accuracy was obtained by the proposed method. Also, PSNR, sensitivity, specificity, and other metrics were calculated in this work and compared with systems that are currently in use.

Rapid urban sprawl adversely impacts the local climate and the ecosystem components. Islamabad, one of South Asia's green and environment-friendly capitals, has experienced major Land Use Land Cover (LULC) changes over the past three decades consequently, elevating the seasonal and annual Land Surface Temperature (LST) in planned and unplanned urban areas. The focus of this study was to quantify the fluctuations in LULC and LST in planned and unplanned urban areas using Landsat data and Machine Learning algorithms involving the Support Vector Machine (SVM) over the 1990–2020 data period. Moreover, hybrid Cellular Automata-Markov (CA-Markov) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models were employed to project the future changes in LULC and annual LST, respectively, for the years 2035 and 2050. The findings of the study reveal a distinct difference in seasonal and annual LST in planned and unplanned areas. Results showed an increase of ∼22 % in the built-up area but vegetation and bare soil decreased by ∼10 % and ∼12 %, respectively. Built-up land showed a maximum annual mean LST followed by bare-soil and vegetative surfaces. Seasonal analysis showed that summer months experience the highest LST, followed by spring, autumn and winter. Future projections revealed that the built-up areas (∼27 % in 2020) are likely to increase to ∼37 % and ∼50 %, and the areas under the highest annual mean LST class i.e., ≥28 °C are likely to increase to ∼19 % and ∼21 % in planned, and ∼38 % and ∼42 % in unplanned urban areas for the years 2035 and 2050, respectively. Planned areas have better temperature control with urban green spaces, and controlled infrastructure. The Capital Development Authority of Islamabad may be advised to control the expansion of built-up areas, grow urban forests, and thus mitigate the possible Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect.