Search

Objective: Potential coeliac disease (PCD) is characterised by positive serological and genetic markers of coeliac disease with architecturally preserved duodenal mucosa. The clinical outcomes and rates of progression to overt coeliac disease in patients with PCD remain uncertain. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we aimed to evaluate the clinical outcomes of patients with PCD., Design: We searched Medline, Embase, Scopus and Cochrane Library from 1991 through May 2024 to identify studies evaluating the clinical outcomes of patients with PCD. The progression rates to villous atrophy, seroconversion and response to a gluten-free diet (GFD) were analysed. A random-effect meta-analysis was performed, and the results were reported as pooled proportions with 95% CIs., Results: Seventeen studies comprising 1010 patients with PCD were included in the final analyses. The pooled prevalence of PCD among patients with suspected coeliac disease was 16% (95% CI 10% to 22%). The duration of follow-up in most of the studies was at least 1 year, with follow-up periods within individual studies ranging from 5 months to 13 years. During follow-up, 33% (95% CI 18% to 48%; I 2 =96.4%) of patients with PCD on a gluten-containing diet developed villous atrophy, and 33% (95% CI 17% to 48%; I 2 =93.0%) had normalisation of serology. Among those who adhered to a GFD, 88% (95% CI 79% to 97%; I 2 =93.2%) reported symptomatic improvement., Conclusion: Almost a third of patients with PCD develop villous atrophy over time, whereas a similar proportion experience normalisation of serology despite a gluten-containing diet. Most symptomatic patients benefit from a GFD. These findings highlight the importance of structured follow-up and individualised management for patients with PCD., Competing Interests: Competing interests: None declared., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2024. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)

Background: Ultra-short coeliac disease (USCD) is defined as villous atrophy only present in the duodenal bulb (D1) with concurrent positive coeliac serology. We present the first, multicentre, international study of patients with USCD., Methods: Patients with USCD were identified from 10 tertiary hospitals (6 from Europe, 2 from Asia, 1 from North America and 1 from Australasia) and compared with age-matched and sex-matched patients with conventional coeliac disease., Findings: Patients with USCD (n=137, median age 27 years, IQR 21-43 years; 73% female) were younger than those with conventional coeliac disease (27 vs 38 years, respectively, p<0.001). Immunoglobulin A-tissue transglutaminase (IgA-tTG) titres at index gastroscopy were lower in patients with USCD versus conventional coeliac disease (1.8×upper limit of normal (ULN) (IQR 1.1-5.9) vs 12.6×ULN (IQR 3.3-18.3), p<0.001).Patients with USCD had the same number of symptoms overall (median 3 (IQR 2-4) vs 3 (IQR 1-4), p=0.875). Patients with USCD experienced less iron deficiency (41.8% vs 22.4%, p=0.006).Both USCD and conventional coeliac disease had the same intraepithelial lymphocytes immunophenotype staining pattern; positive for CD3 and CD8, but not CD4.At follow-up having commenced a gluten-free diet (GFD) (median of 1181 days IQR: 440-2160 days) both USCD and the age-matched and sex-matched controls experienced a similar reduction in IgA-tTG titres (0.5 ULN (IQR 0.2-1.4) vs 0.7 ULN (IQR 0.2-2.6), p=0.312). 95.7% of patients with USCD reported a clinical improvement in their symptoms., Interpretation: Patients with USCD are younger, have a similar symptomatic burden and benefit from a GFD. This study endorses the recommendation of D1 sampling as part of the endoscopic coeliac disease diagnostic workup., Competing Interests: Competing interests: None declared., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2024. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)